1. Empirical dynamics of traffic moving jams: Insights from Kerner's three-phase traffic theory.
- Author
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Chen, Qiucheng, Zhu, Shunying, Wu, Jingan, Chen, Guojun, and Wang, Hong
- Subjects
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TRAFFIC flow , *TRAFFIC monitoring , *CHANGE-point problems , *BAYESIAN analysis , *WAVELETS (Mathematics) , *TRAFFIC congestion - Abstract
This study explores the dynamics of moving traffic jams at consecutive merging bottlenecks using empirical trajectory data from China's expressway. It builds on existing phase-transition point methods of Kerner's three-phase traffic theory by incorporating changepoint detection to distinguish between wide moving jams (J) and synchronized flow (S) within the expanded general congested pattern (EGP). The findings indicate that the dissolution of J in the outer lane precedes and influences the disintegration of J in the adjacent inner lane. To investigate this phenomenon, a Bayesian network (BN) was employed for causal analysis to identify key factors. Additionally, wavelet-based energy analysis was conducted on individual vehicles to examine fluctuations triggered by lane-changing maneuvers (LCMs) and their impact on the dynamics of moving jams. The results reveal that traffic flow at downstream merging bottlenecks and the lane-changing rate are crucial for J disintegration. Furthermore, the J propagated beyond the upstream merging bottleneck becomes more unstable due to the compounded effects of consecutive merging bottlenecks. The study also shows that LCMs affect the propagation of moving jams in EGP, and that the induced fluctuations may persist even after phase transitions occur. Consistent with earlier studies on German and US highways, empirical data from China show that non-regular moving jam dynamics in congested traffic, caused by LCMs and vehicle merging at adjacent bottlenecks, can be explained by complex sequences of J -> S and S -> J transitions. These sequences, which determine the empirical non-regular moving jam dynamics, exhibit qualitatively the same spatiotemporal features observed in microscopic single-vehicle data from German and US highways. Applying the phase-transition points method to empirical vehicle trajectories on China's expressways effectively reveals the spatiotemporal features of non-regular moving jam dynamics (dynamics of traffic oscillations) and traffic congestion. This research provides quantitative insights into the dynamics of traffic moving jams and the impact of LCMs, offering new strategies for mitigating congestion at complex traffic bottlenecks. • China's expressway data are studied based on Kerner's three-phase traffic theory. • Phase-transition point method combined with change-point detection identifies traffic phases. • Downstream bottleneck and lane-changing rate impact J under consecutive merging bottlenecks. • J → S and S → J transitions explain traffic congestion in China, Germany, and the USA. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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