1. Developing impact-based thresholds for coastal inundation from tide gauge observations
- Author
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Bradley F. Murphy, Andy Taylor, David A. Jones, and Ben S. Hague
- Subjects
Environmental sciences ,Atmospheric Science ,Global and Planetary Change ,Oceanography ,Meteorology. Climatology ,Environmental science ,Tide gauge ,GE1-350 ,QC851-999 ,Coastal flood ,Sea level - Abstract
This study presents the first assessment of the observed frequency of the impacts of high sea levels at locations along Australia’s northern coastline. We used a new methodology to systematically define impact-based thresholds for coastal tide gauges, utilising reports of coastal inundation from diverse sources. This method permitted a holistic consideration of impact-producing relative sea-level extremes without attributing physical causes. Impact-based thresholds may also provide a basis for the development of meaningful coastal flood warnings, forecasts and monitoring in the future. These services will become increasingly important as sea-level rise continues.The frequency of high sea-level events leading to coastal flooding increased at all 21 locations where impact-based thresholds were defined. Although we did not undertake a formal attribution, this increase was consistent with the well-documented rise in global sea levels. Notably, tide gauges from the south coast of Queensland showed that frequent coastal inundation was already occurring. At Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast, impact-based thresholds were being exceeded on average 21.6 and 24.3 h per year respectively. In the case of Brisbane, the number of hours of inundation annually has increased fourfold since 1977.
- Published
- 2019