1. Ten Things You Should Know About the Dynamic Conditional Correlation Representation
- Author
-
Caporin, Massimiliano and McAleer, Michael
- Subjects
Nuclear Theory ,conditional correlations ,asymptotic properties ,ddc:330 ,DCC representation ,C58 ,two step estimators ,GARCC ,Nuclear Experiment ,C32 ,BEKK ,Statistische Methode ,G17 ,filter ,assumed properties ,C18 ,derived model ,diagnostic check ,conditional covariances ,stated representation ,moments ,Computer Science::Programming Languages ,Econometría ,Korrelation ,Theorie ,regularity conditions - Abstract
The purpose of the paper is to discuss ten things potential users should know about the limits of the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) representation for estimating and forecasting time-varying conditional correlations. The reasons given for caution about the use of DCC include the following: DCC represents the dynamic conditional covariances of the standardized residuals, and hence does not yield dynamic conditional correlations; DCC is stated rather than derived; DCC has no moments; DCC does not have testable regularity conditions; DCC yields inconsistent two step estimators; DCC has no asymptotic properties; DCC is not a special case of GARCC, which has testable regularity conditions and standard asymptotic properties; DCC is not dynamic empirically as the effect of news is typically extremely small; DCC cannot be distinguished empirically from diagonal BEKK in small systems; and DCC may be a useful filter or a diagnostic check, but it is not a model.
- Published
- 2013