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Background: In the realm of in vitro fertilization (IVF), artificial intelligence (AI) models serve as invaluable tools for clinicians, offering predictive insights into ovarian stimulation outcomes. Predicting and understanding a patient's response to ovarian stimulation can help in personalizing doses of drugs, preventing adverse outcomes (eg, hyperstimulation), and improving the likelihood of successful fertilization and pregnancy. Given the pivotal role of accurate predictions in IVF procedures, it becomes important to investigate the landscape of AI models that are being used to predict the outcomes of ovarian stimulation., Objective: The objective of this review is to comprehensively examine the literature to explore the characteristics of AI models used for predicting ovarian stimulation outcomes in the context of IVF., Methods: A total of 6 electronic databases were searched for peer-reviewed literature published before August 2023, using the concepts of IVF and AI, along with their related terms. Records were independently screened by 2 reviewers against the eligibility criteria. The extracted data were then consolidated and presented through narrative synthesis., Results: Upon reviewing 1348 articles, 30 met the predetermined inclusion criteria. The literature primarily focused on the number of oocytes retrieved as the main predicted outcome. Microscopy images stood out as the primary ground truth reference. The reviewed studies also highlighted that the most frequently adopted stimulation protocol was the gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist. In terms of using trigger medication, human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) was the most commonly selected option. Among the machine learning techniques, the favored choice was the support vector machine. As for the validation of AI algorithms, the hold-out cross-validation method was the most prevalent. The area under the curve was highlighted as the primary evaluation metric. The literature exhibited a wide variation in the number of features used for AI algorithm development, ranging from 2 to 28,054 features. Data were mostly sourced from patient demographics, followed by laboratory data, specifically hormonal levels. Notably, the vast majority of studies were restricted to a single infertility clinic and exclusively relied on nonpublic data sets., Conclusions: These insights highlight an urgent need to diversify data sources and explore varied AI techniques for improved prediction accuracy and generalizability of AI models for the prediction of ovarian stimulation outcomes. Future research should prioritize multiclinic collaborations and consider leveraging public data sets, aiming for more precise AI-driven predictions that ultimately boost patient care and IVF success rates., (©Rawan AlSaad, Alaa Abd-alrazaq, Fadi Choucair, Arfan Ahmed, Sarah Aziz, Javaid Sheikh. Originally published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research (https://www.jmir.org), 05.07.2024.)

Background: Adverse events refer to incidents with potential or actual harm to patients in hospitals. These events are typically documented through patient safety event (PSE) reports, which consist of detailed narratives providing contextual information on the occurrences. Accurate classification of PSE reports is crucial for patient safety monitoring. However, this process faces challenges due to inconsistencies in classifications and the sheer volume of reports. Recent advancements in text representation, particularly contextual text representation derived from transformer-based language models, offer a promising solution for more precise PSE report classification. Integrating the machine learning (ML) classifier necessitates a balance between human expertise and artificial intelligence (AI). Central to this integration is the concept of explainability, which is crucial for building trust and ensuring effective human-AI collaboration., Objective: This study aims to investigate the efficacy of ML classifiers trained using contextual text representation in automatically classifying PSE reports. Furthermore, the study presents an interface that integrates the ML classifier with the explainability technique to facilitate human-AI collaboration for PSE report classification., Methods: This study used a data set of 861 PSE reports from a large academic hospital's maternity units in the Southeastern United States. Various ML classifiers were trained with both static and contextual text representations of PSE reports. The trained ML classifiers were evaluated with multiclass classification metrics and the confusion matrix. The local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME) technique was used to provide the rationale for the ML classifier's predictions. An interface that integrates the ML classifier with the LIME technique was designed for incident reporting systems., Results: The top-performing classifier using contextual representation was able to obtain an accuracy of 75.4% (95/126) compared to an accuracy of 66.7% (84/126) by the top-performing classifier trained using static text representation. A PSE reporting interface has been designed to facilitate human-AI collaboration in PSE report classification. In this design, the ML classifier recommends the top 2 most probable event types, along with the explanations for the prediction, enabling PSE reporters and patient safety analysts to choose the most suitable one. The LIME technique showed that the classifier occasionally relies on arbitrary words for classification, emphasizing the necessity of human oversight., Conclusions: This study demonstrates that training ML classifiers with contextual text representations can significantly enhance the accuracy of PSE report classification. The interface designed in this study lays the foundation for human-AI collaboration in the classification of PSE reports. The insights gained from this research enhance the decision-making process in PSE report classification, enabling hospitals to more efficiently identify potential risks and hazards and enabling patient safety analysts to take timely actions to prevent patient harm., (©Hongbo Chen, Eldan Cohen, Dulaney Wilson, Myrtede Alfred. Originally published in JMIR Human Factors (https://humanfactors.jmir.org), 25.01.2024.)

The COVID-19 pandemic erupted at the beginning of 2020 and proved fatal, causing many casualties worldwide. Immediate and precise screening of affected patients is critical for disease control. COVID-19 is often confused with various other respiratory disorders since the symptoms are similar. As of today, the reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test is utilized for diagnosing COVID-19. However, this approach is sometimes prone to producing erroneous and false negative results. Hence, finding a reliable diagnostic method that can validate the RT-PCR test results is crucial. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) applications in COVID-19 diagnosis has proven to be beneficial. Hence, clinical markers have been utilized for COVID-19 diagnosis with the help of several classifiers in this study. Further, five different explainable artificial intelligence techniques have been utilized to interpret the predictions. Among all the algorithms, the k-nearest neighbor obtained the best performance with an accuracy, precision, recall and f1-score of 84%, 85%, 84% and 84%. According to this study, the combination of clinical markers such as eosinophils, lymphocytes, red blood cells and leukocytes was significant in differentiating COVID-19. The classifiers can be utilized synchronously with the standard RT-PCR procedure making diagnosis more reliable and efficient., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Predictions about the future of laboratory medicine have had a mixed success, and in some instances they have been overambitious and incorrectly assessed the future impact of emerging technologies. Current predictions suggest a more highly automated and connected future for diagnostic testing. The central laboratory of the future may be dominated by more robotics and more connectivity in order to take advantage of the benefits of the Internet of Things and artificial intelligence (AI)-based systems (e.g. decision support software and imaging analytics). For point-of-care testing, mobile health (mHealth) may be in the ascendancy driven by healthcare initiatives from technology companies such as Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, IBM, Microsoft and Uber.

Research on clinical versus statistical prediction has demonstrated that algorithms make more accurate predictions than humans in many domains. Geopolitical forecasting is an algorithm-unfriendly domain, with hard-to-quantify data and elusive reference classes that make predictive model-building difficult. Furthermore, the stakes can be high, with missed forecasts leading to mass-casualty consequences. For these reasons, geopolitical forecasting is typically done by humans, even though algorithms play important roles. They are essential as aggregators of crowd wisdom, as frameworks to partition human forecasting variance, and as inputs to hybrid forecasting models. Algorithms are extremely important in this domain. We doubt that humans will relinquish control to algorithms anytime soon—nor do we think they should. However, the accuracy of forecasts will greatly improve if humans are aided by algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the continuous evolution of the coronavirus, the Omicron variant has gradually replaced the Delta variant as the prevalent strain. Their inducing epidemics last longer, have a higher number of asymptomatic cases, and are more serious. In this article, we proposed a nonautonomous time-delayed susceptible-infected-removed (NATD-SIR) model to predict them in different regions of China. We obtained the maximum and its time of current infected persons, the final size, and the end time of COVID-19 epidemics from January 2022 in China. The method of the fifth-order moving average was used to preprocess the time series of the numbers of current infected and removed cases to obtain more accurate parameter estimations. We found that usually the transmission rate β (t) was a piecewise exponential decay function, but due to multiple bounces in Shanghai City, β (t) was approximately a piecewise quadratic function. In most regions, the removed rate γ (t) was approximately equal to a piecewise linear increasing function of (a*t+b)*H(t-k), but in a few areas, γ (t) displayed an exponential increasing trend. For cases where the removed rate cannot be obtained, we proposed a method for setting the removed rate, which has a good approximation. Using the numerical solution, we obtained the prediction results of the epidemics. By analyzing those important indicators of COVID-19, we provided valuable suggestions for epidemic prevention and control and the resumption of work and production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Industry 4.0 uses artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms to optimize processes. The main goal of the manuscript is to analyze the possibilities of applying automated machine learning to predict company bankruptcy. The data sample consists of financial data of 9,771 manufacturing companies for the years 2020 and 2021 collected from the Finstat database. Two methods of automated machine learning, AutoML and H2O, were tested. The results were compared with five other methods - linear discriminant analysis, logistic regression, naive Bayes classifier, CatBoost and XGBoost. The resulting model was cross-validated through the 10-fold approach. The best results were achieved by H2O automated machine learning algorithm with an AUC of 90.13%, followed by the gradient boosting methods CatBoost with AUC of 90.05% and XGBoost (AUC of 88.61%) and another automated learning algorithm AutoML with AUC of 81.17%. The findings of this paper indicate possibilities to apply automated machine learning methods in predicting bankruptcy. However, it is necessary to distinguish between individual automated machine learning algorithms since they provide a different range of results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Starting from drug discovery, through research and development, to clinical trials and FDA approval, artificial intelligence (AI) plays a vital role in planning, developing, assessing modelling, and optimization of product attributes. In recent decades, machine-learning algorithms integrated into artificial neural networks, neuro-fuzzy logic and decision trees have been applied to tremendous domains related to drug formulation development. Optimized formulations were transformed from lab to market based on optimized properties derived from AI Technologies. Research and development in pharmaceutical industry rely upon computer-driven equipment and machine learning technology to extract data, perform simulations, modelling, and optimization to get optimum solutions. Merging AI technologies in various steps of pharmaceutical manufacture is a major challenge due to lack of in-house technologies. In silico studies based on artificial intelligence are widely applied as effective tools to screen the market needs of medications and pharmaceutical services through inspecting scientific literature and prioritizing medicines for specific illnesses or a particular patient. Specialized personnel who excel in scientific and data science with analytical knowledge are essential for transformation to smart manufacturing and offering services. However, privacy, cybersecurity, AI-dependent unemployment, and ownership rights of AI technologies require proper regulations to gain the benefits and minimize the drawbacks.

The proposed solution presented in this report aims to address the critical issue of stress detection and management among IT professionals. Our innovative approach leverages machine learning and consists of four key components, three of which actively monitor and analyze an individual's stress levels through their keystroke dynamics, heart rate variability (HRV) via an external mouse (utilizing cost-effective IOT devices), and facial expressions captured by a webcam. The fourth component focuses on providing tailored recommendations and suggestions to help users reduce their detected stress levels. Stress is a prevalent concern among IT professionals, with potential long-term repercussions on both physical and mental health. Recognizing the urgency of addressing this problem, our system facilitates early stress detection and offers practical strategies to mitigate and maintain stress at manageable levels. The ultimate goal is to enhance the overall work experience, minimize health complications, and boost productivity among IT professionals who utilize our user-friendly approach, which integrates seamlessly with their everyday tools and equipment. This holistic solution holds the promise of a healthier, happier, and more productive workforce in the IT industry. Furthermore, our system is designed to be scalable and adaptable to various IT environments, allowing organizations to tailor it to their specific needs and preferences. It can be seamlessly integrated into existing IT infrastructure, making it a cost-effective and efficient solution for companies seeking to prioritize the well-being of their IT professionals. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper investigated the importance of explainability in artificial intelligence models and its application in the context of prediction in Formula (1). A step-by-step analysis was carried out, including collecting and preparing data from previous races, training an AI model to make predictions, and applying explainability techniques in the said model. Two approaches were used: the attention technique, which allowed visualizing the most relevant parts of the input data using heat maps, and the permutation importance technique, which evaluated the relative importance of features. The results revealed that feature length and qualifying performance are crucial variables for position predictions in Formula (1). These findings highlight the relevance of explainability in AI models, not only in Formula (1) but also in other fields and sectors, by ensuring fairness, transparency, and accountability in AI-based decision making. The results highlight the importance of considering explainability in AI models and provide a practical methodology for its implementation in Formula (1) and other domains. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The culpable cybersecurity practices that threaten leading organizations are logically prone to establishing countermeasures, including honeypots, and bestowing research innovations in various dimensions, such as ML-enabled threat predictions. This article proposes an explainable AI-assisted permissioned blockchain framework named EA-POT for predicting potential defaulters' IP addresses. EA-POT registers the probable defaulters predicted by explainable AI based on the approval of IP authorizers of blockchain databases. Experiments were carried out at the IoT Cloud Research laboratory using three prediction models, such as Random Forest Modeling (RFM), Linear Regression Modeling (LRM), and Support Vector Machines (SVM); and, the experimental results for predicting the AWS honeypots were explored. The proposed EA-POT framework revealed the procedure for including interpretable knowledge while blacklisting IPs that reach honeypots. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We review the classic clinical versus statistical prediction debate as well as related modern work on humans versus. algorithms. Despite the successes of statistical prediction over clinical prediction, there is still widespread resistance to algorithms. We discuss recent attempts to understand that resistance. Current research focuses on when people use algorithmic predictions, how people perceive algorithms, and how algorithms can be made more appealing. We also examine attempts to boost human forecasting accuracy, either by spotting talent, cultivating talent via training, or developing algorithms that aggregate individual forecasts. We hypothesize that hybrid models with both human and algorithmic predictions may encounter less resistance than algorithms alone, especially when the algorithm is "humanized" (with anthropomorphic features) and the human is "algorithmized" (by reducing nose, decreasing bias and increasing signal). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, various machine learning algorithms were used in order to predict the evolution of open-angle glaucoma (POAG). The datasets were built containing clinical observations and objective measurements made at the Countess of Chester Hospital in the UK and at the "St. Spiridon" Hospital of Iași, Romania. Using these datasets, different classification problems were proposed. The evaluation of glaucoma progression was conducted based on parameters such as VFI (Visual field index), MD (Mean Deviation), PSD (Pattern standard deviation), and RNFL (Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer). As classification tools, the following algorithms were used: Multilayer Perceptron, Random Forest, Random Tree, C4.5, k-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machine, and Non-Nested Generalized Exemplars. The best results, with an accuracy of over 90%, were obtained with Multilayer Perceptron and Random Forest algorithms. The NNGE algorithm also proved very useful in creating a hierarchy of the input values according to their influence (weight) on the considered outputs. On the other hand, the decision tree algorithms gave us insight into the logic used in their classification, which is of practical importance in obtaining additional information regarding the rationale behind a certain rule or decision. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The depletion of natural resources and greenhouse gas emissions related to the manufacture and use of ordinary Portland cement (OPC) pose serious concerns to the environment and human life. The present research focuses on using alternative binders to replace OPC. Geopolymer might be the best option because it requires waste materials enriched in aluminosilicate for its production. The research on geopolymer concrete (GPC) is growing rapidly. However, substantial effort and expenses are required to cast specimens, cures, and tests. Applying novel techniques for the said purpose is the key requirement for rapid and cost-effective research. In this research, supervised machine learning (SML) techniques, including two individual (decision tree (DT) and gene expression programming (GEP)) and two ensembled (bagging regressor (BR) and random forest (RF)) algorithms were employed to estimate the compressive strength (CS) of GPC. The validity and comparison of all the models were made using the coefficient of determination (R2), k-fold, and statistical assessments. It was noticed that the ensembled SML techniques performed better than the individual SML techniques in forecasting the CS of GPC. However, individual SML model results were also in the reasonable range. The R2 value for BR, RF, GEP, and DT models was 0.96, 0.95, 0.93, and 0.88, respectively. The models' lower error values such as mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square errors (RMSE) also verified the higher precision of ensemble SML methods. The RF (MAE = 2.585 MPa, RMSE = 3.702 MPa) and BR (MAE = 2.044 MPa, RMSE = 3.180) results are better than the DT (MAE = 4.136 MPa, RMSE = 6.256 MPa) and GEP (MAE = 3.102 MPa, RMSE = 4.049 MPa). The application of SML techniques will benefit the construction sector with fast and cost-effective methods for estimating the properties of materials. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Stock-market prediction using machine-learning technique aims at developing effective and efficient models that can provide a better and higher rate of prediction accuracy. Numerous ensemble regressors and classifiers have been applied in stock market predictions, using different combination techniques. However, three precarious issues come in mind when constructing ensemble classifiers and regressors. The first concerns with the choice of base regressor or classifier technique adopted. The second concerns the combination techniques used to assemble multiple regressors or classifiers and the third concerns with the quantum of regressors or classifiers to be ensembled. Subsequently, the number of relevant studies scrutinising these previously mentioned concerns are limited. In this study, we performed an extensive comparative analysis of ensemble techniques such as boosting, bagging, blending and super learners (stacking). Using Decision Trees (DT), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Neural Network (NN), we constructed twenty-five (25) different ensembled regressors and classifiers. We compared their execution times, accuracy, and error metrics over stock-data from Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE), Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE-SENSEX) and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), from January 2012 to December 2018. The study outcome shows that stacking and blending ensemble techniques offer higher prediction accuracies (90–100%) and (85.7–100%) respectively, compared with that of bagging (53–97.78%) and boosting (52.7–96.32%). Furthermore, the root means square error (RMSE) recorded by stacking (0.0001–0.001) and blending (0.002–0.01) shows a better fit of ensemble classifiers and regressors based on these two techniques in market analyses compared with bagging (0.01–0.11) and boosting (0.01–0.443). Finally, the results undoubtedly suggest that an innovative study in the domain of stock market direction prediction ought to include ensemble techniques in their sets of algorithms.

In this paper, various machine learning algorithms were used in order to predict the evolution of open-angle glaucoma (POAG). The datasets were built containing clinical observations and objective measurements made at the Countess of Chester Hospital in the UK and at the “St. Spiridon” Hospital of Iași, Romania. Using these datasets, different classification problems were proposed. The evaluation of glaucoma progression was conducted based on parameters such as VFI (Visual field index), MD (Mean Deviation), PSD (Pattern standard deviation), and RNFL (Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer). As classification tools, the following algorithms were used: Multilayer Perceptron, Random Forest, Random Tree, C4.5, k-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machine, and Non-Nested Generalized Exemplars. The best results, with an accuracy of over 90%, were obtained with Multilayer Perceptron and Random Forest algorithms. The NNGE algorithm also proved very useful in creating a hierarchy of the input values according to their influence (weight) on the considered outputs. On the other hand, the decision tree algorithms gave us insight into the logic used in their classification, which is of practical importance in obtaining additional information regarding the rationale behind a certain rule or decision.

Starting from drug discovery, through research and development, to clinical trials and FDA approval, artificial intelligence (AI) plays a vital role in planning, developing, assessing modelling, and optimization of product attributes. In recent decades, machine-learning algorithms integrated into artificial neural networks, neuro-fuzzy logic and decision trees have been applied to tremendous domains related to drug formulation development. Optimized formulations were transformed from lab to market based on optimized properties derived from AI Technologies. Research and development in pharmaceutical industry rely upon computer-driven equipment and machine learning technology to extract data, perform simulations, modelling, and optimization to get optimum solutions. Merging AI technologies in various steps of pharmaceutical manufacture is a major challenge due to lack of in-house technologies. In silico studies based on artificial intelligence are widely applied as effective tools to screen the market needs of medications and pharmaceutical services through inspecting scientific literature and prioritizing medicines for specific illnesses or a particular patient. Specialized personnel who excel in scientific and data science with analytical knowledge are essential for transformation to smart manufacturing and offering services. However, privacy, cybersecurity, AI-dependent unemployment, and ownership rights of AI technologies require proper regulations to gain the benefits and minimize the drawbacks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recently, the advancement in communications, intelligent transportation systems, and computational systems has opened up new opportunities for intelligent traffic safety, comfort, and efficiency solutions. Artificial intelligence (AI) has been widely used to optimize traditional data-driven approaches in different areas of the scientific research. Vehicle-to-everything (V2X) system together with AI can acquire the information from diverse sources, can expand the driver's perception, and can predict to avoid potential accidents, thus enhancing the comfort, safety, and efficiency of the driving. This paper presents a comprehensive survey of the research works that have utilized AI to address various research challenges in V2X systems. We have summarized the contribution of these research works and categorized them according to the application domains. Finally, we present open problems and research challenges that need to be addressed for realizing the full potential of AI to advance V2X systems.

During our 2019 ConVerge2Xcelerate (ConV2X) conference in Boston, we focused on the theme "Proving Market Value with Pragmatic Innovation in Healthcare" (see https://conv2x-2019.eventcreate.com/). This year, along with BHTY editorial board members, conference speakers were invited to join with Tory Cenaj, Publisher of BHTY, to contribute their expertise and share insights for the near-term landscape of blockchain in healthcare.

As data analytics become prevalent in industries in Malaysia to draw predictions about individuals' habits and behaviour, it is important that certainty exists about the legal status of predictions vis-à-vis data protection law. The predictions can be privacy-intrusive and threaten individuals' autonomy, although this may not always be so. The Malaysian Personal Data Protection Act 2010 is silent on the legal status of predictions. This paper examines whether the Malaysian Parliament should extend the Act to provide control to individuals over predictions about themselves. In doing so, the paper explores the position in the EU, Japan, Australia and the USA. The finding is that in those jurisdictions, predictions are within the remit of data protection law. It is argued that this is an over-generalisation and is inconsonant with commercial realities. The author advocates that a different approach be adopted to achieve a balance between individuals' interest to control their data and commercial needs to use predictions without undue hindrance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Stock-market prediction using machine-learning technique aims at developing effective and efficient models that can provide a better and higher rate of prediction accuracy. Numerous ensemble regressors and classifiers have been applied in stock market predictions, using different combination techniques. However, three precarious issues come in mind when constructing ensemble classifiers and regressors. The first concerns with the choice of base regressor or classifier technique adopted. The second concerns the combination techniques used to assemble multiple regressors or classifiers and the third concerns with the quantum of regressors or classifiers to be ensembled. Subsequently, the number of relevant studies scrutinising these previously mentioned concerns are limited. In this study, we performed an extensive comparative analysis of ensemble techniques such as boosting, bagging, blending and super learners (stacking). Using Decision Trees (DT), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Neural Network (NN), we constructed twenty-five (25) different ensembled regressors and classifiers. We compared their execution times, accuracy, and error metrics over stock-data from Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE), Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE-SENSEX) and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), from January 2012 to December 2018. The study outcome shows that stacking and blending ensemble techniques offer higher prediction accuracies (90–100%) and (85.7–100%) respectively, compared with that of bagging (53–97.78%) and boosting (52.7–96.32%). Furthermore, the root means square error (RMSE) recorded by stacking (0.0001–0.001) and blending (0.002–0.01) shows a better fit of ensemble classifiers and regressors based on these two techniques in market analyses compared with bagging (0.01–0.11) and boosting (0.01–0.443). Finally, the results undoubtedly suggest that an innovative study in the domain of stock market direction prediction ought to include ensemble techniques in their sets of algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article considers some of the risks and challenges raised by the use of algorithm-assisted decisionmaking and predictive tools by the public sector. Alongside, it reviews a number of long-standing English administrative law rules designed to regulate the discretionary power of the state. The principles of administrative law are concerned with human decisions involved in the exercise of state power and discretion, thus offering a promising avenue for the regulation of the growing number of algorithmassisted decisions within the public sector. This article attempts to re-frame key rules for the new algorithmic environment and argues that 'old' law--interpreted for a new context--can help guide lawyers, scientists and public sector practitioners alike when considering the development and deployment of new algorithmic tools. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Predicting the development of artificial intelligence (AI) is a difficult project – but a vital one, according to some analysts. AI predictions are already abound: but are they reliable? This paper starts by proposing a decomposition schema for classifying them. Then it constructs a variety of theoretical tools for analysing, judging and improving them. These tools are demonstrated by careful analysis of five famous AI predictions: the initial Dartmouth conference, Dreyfus's criticism of AI, Searle's Chinese room paper, Kurzweil's predictions in theAge of Spiritual Machines, and Omohundro's ‘AI drives’ paper. These case studies illustrate several important principles, such as the general overconfidence of experts, the superiority of models over expert judgement and the need for greater uncertainty in all types of predictions. The general reliability of expert judgement in AI timeline predictions is shown to be poor, a result that fits in with previous studies of expert competence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Machine learning (ML) techniques have been popular data-driven approaches for hydrological studies during the last few decades owing to their capability to identify complex nonlinear relationships between input and output data without the requirement for physical understanding of the system. This paper aims to predict river flows using various ML methods [feed forward neural network (FFNN), adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and genetic programming (GP)] and also a non-ML method (multiple linear regression) in the Euphrates Basin in Turkey. Infilling the missing data in the runoff record of the selected stations in Euphrates Basin is also an objective of this study. The ML methods were applied to the three main sub-basins of the Euphrates Basin, namely the Upper, Middle, and Lower Euphrates Basins. ANFIS and FFNN methods were the most successful ML methods for runoff estimation in the Upper and Lower Euphrates Basins, whereas GP and ANFIS models were the best ones in the Middle Euphrates Basin. Missing flow data were constructed successfully in the selected stations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]