Search

Background: The decision of whether to treat incidental intracranial saccular aneurysms is complicated by limitations in current knowledge of their natural history. We combined individual patient data from prospective cohort studies to determine predictors of aneurysm rupture and to construct a risk prediction chart to estimate 5-year aneurysm rupture risk by risk factor status., Methods: We did a systematic review and pooled analysis of individual patient data from 8382 participants in six prospective cohort studies with subarachnoid haemorrhage as outcome. We analysed cumulative rupture rates with Kaplan-Meier curves and assessed predictors with Cox proportional-hazard regression analysis., Findings: Rupture occurred in 230 patients during 29,166 person-years of follow-up. The mean observed 1-year risk of aneurysm rupture was 1·4% (95% CI 1·1-1·6) and the 5-year risk was 3·4% (2·9-4·0). Predictors were age, hypertension, history of subarachnoid haemorrhage, aneurysm size, aneurysm location, and geographical region. In study populations from North America and European countries other than Finland, the estimated 5-year absolute risk of aneurysm rupture ranged from 0·25% in individuals younger than 70 years without vascular risk factors with a small-sized (<7 mm) internal carotid artery aneurysm, to more than 15% in patients aged 70 years or older with hypertension, a history of subarachnoid haemorrhage, and a giant-sized (>20 mm) posterior circulation aneurysm. By comparison with populations from North America and European countries other than Finland, Finnish people had a 3·6-times increased risk of aneurysm rupture and Japanese people a 2·8-times increased risk., Interpretation: The PHASES score is an easily applicable aid for prediction of the risk of rupture of incidental intracranial aneurysms., Funding: Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: The pathogenesis of delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) after subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is unclear. We assessed whether DCI relates to focal or global cerebral perfusion on admission and on follow-up imaging., Materials and Methods: Twenty-seven SAH patients underwent computed tomography (CT) perfusion (CTP) on admission and at clinical deterioration or 1 week after admission in clinically stable patients. We compared global and focal (least perfused territory) perfusion in patients with DCI (n = 12), clinically stable patients (n = 7), and patients with non-DCI-related deterioration (n = 8)., Results: Global cerebral blood flow (CBF) increased on follow-up: 29% (95% confidence interval (CI) 15% to 43%) in patients with DCI, 12% (95%CI -1% to 25%) in stable patients, and 20% (95%CI 4% to 36%) in patients with non-DCI-related deterioration. Focal CBF decreased in patients with DCI, (-23%; 95%CI -58% to 12%) but increased in patients with non-DCI-related deterioration (23%; 95%CI -26% to 55%) and stable patients (7%; 95%CI -30% to 45%).On follow-up, global CBF was lower in patients with DCI (70.0 ml per 100 g/min) than in clinically stable patients (81.6; difference 11.6; 95%CI 0.8 to 22.5 ml per 100 g/min) but comparable to patients with non-DCI-related deterioration (67.6; difference -2.4; 95%CI -11.9 to 7.2 ml per 100 g/min). Focal CBF was lower in patients with DCI (30.7) than in clinically stable patients (53.6; difference 22.9; 95%CI 5.1 to 40.6 ml per 100 g/min) and patients with non-DCI-related deterioration (46.6; difference 15.9; 95%CI -2.6 to 28.4 ml per 100 g/min), Conclusion: Our results suggest that DCI is more likely a focal than a global process.

Background and Purpose: We updated our previous review from 1996 on the risk of rupture of unruptured intracranial aneurysms, aiming to include the newly published articles., Methods: We reviewed all studies from our former meta-analysis and performed a Medline search for new studies published after 1996. We calculated overall risks of rupture for studies with a mean follow-up time of <5, 5 to 10, and >10 years. Relative risks (RR) were calculated by comparing the risk of rupture in patients with and without potential risk factors. We aimed to perform multivariable analyses of the different risk factors with meta-regression analysis., Results: We included 19 studies (10 new) with 4705 patients and 6556 unruptured aneurysms (follow-up 26 122 patient-years). The overall rupture risks were 1.2% (follow-up <5 years), 0.6% (follow-up 5 to 10 years), and 1.3% (follow-up >10 years). In the univariable analysis, statistically significant risk factors for rupture were age >60 years (RR 2.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1 to 3.7), female gender (RR 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.4), Japanese or Finnish descent (RR 3.4; 95% CI, 2.6 to 4.4), size >5 mm (RR 2.3; 95% CI, 1.0 to 5.2), posterior circulation aneurysm (RR 2.5; 95% CI, 1.6 to 4.1), and symptomatic aneurysm (RR 4.4; 95% CI, 2.8 to 6.8). Meta-regression analysis yielded implausible results., Conclusions: Age, gender, population, size, site, and type of aneurysm should be considered in the decision whether to treat an unruptured aneurysm. Pooled multivariable analyses of individual data are needed to identify independent risk factors and to provide more reliable risk estimates for individual patients.

Objectives: In patients with previous subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) undergoing follow up screening, the authors assessed the impact of finding but not treating very small aneurysms by comparing quality of life (QOL), anxiety, and depression between patients with a newly detected aneurysm that was left untreated (cases) and patients with a negative screening (controls) as this should be incorporated in the evaluation of effectiveness of screening., Methods: In patients with previous SAH undergoing screening for new aneurysms the authors compared QOL (SF-36, EURO-QOL, and a screening related questionnaire), anxiety, and depression (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS)) between cases and controls. Differences in scores on the SF-36, EURO-QOL, and HADS were assessed with Student's t test and differences in proportions of patients with HADS scores in the pathological range and screening related changes with chi2 analysis. The authors powered the study to detect a moderate, clinically relevant difference., Results: Thirty five cases and 34 controls were included. Trends for health related QOL, anxiety, depression, and consequences in daily life pointed in the same direction of a less favourable situation for cases but all effects were small, and did not reach statistical significance. On the screenings specific questionnaire, cases more often (but not statistically significant) reported changes in daily life., Conclusions: The authors found no major or moderate impact on QOL, anxiety, and depression of the awareness of having an untreated aneurysm, which was detected at screening, although most items showed a trend towards more negative effects for cases. Minor effects on individual level cannot be excluded by this study.

Background and Purpose: Because intracranial aneurysms develop during life, patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and successfully occluded aneurysms are at risk for a recurrence. We studied the incidence of and risk factors for recurrent SAH in patients who regained independence after SAH and in whom all aneurysms were occluded by means of clipping., Methods: From a cohort of patients with SAH admitted between 1985 and 2001, we included those patients who were discharged home or to a rehabilitation facility. We interviewed these patients about new episodes of SAH. We retrieved all medical records and radiographs in case of reported recurrences. If patients had died, we retrieved the cause of death. We analyzed the incidence of and risk factors for recurrent SAH by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analysis., Results: Of 752 patients with 6016 follow-up years (mean follow up 8.0 years), 18 had a recurrence. In the first 10 years after the initial SAH, the cumulative incidence of recurrent SAH was 3.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5% to 4.9%) and the incidence rate 286 of 100,000 patient-years (95% CI, 160 to 472 per 100,000). Risk factors were smoking (hazard ratio [HR], 6.5; 95% CI, 1.7 to 24.0), age (HR, 0.5 per 10 years; 95% CI, 0.3 to 0.8) and multiple aneurysms at the time of the initial SAH (HR, 5.5; 95% CI, 2.2 to 14.1)., Conclusions: After SAH, the incidence of a recurrence within the first 10 years is 22 (12 to 38) times higher than expected in populations with comparable age and sex. Whether this increased risk justifies screening for recurrent aneurysms in patients with a history of SAH requires further study.

Objective: Patients who have been successfully treated for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) are at risk for new episodes. The authors studied the effect of screening with CT angiography (CTA) for new aneurysms., Methods: In a decision model, the authors compared the strategies "screening" and "no screening" after SAH. A literature review yielded the risks of aneurysm recurrence, complications of CTA, and re-treatment. The authors estimated the expected number of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), the number of SAH, and the mortality and disability rates for both strategies. They evaluated screening at intervals of 2, 5, and 10 years after SAH, using 10 years and remaining life expectancy as time horizon., Results: The expected number of QALYs 10 years after clipping was virtually the same for no screening (8.33), screening once after 5 years (8.28), and screening every 2 years (8.27). With screening every 2 years, the expected rate of new SAH decreased from 1.9 to 0.5%, and mortality decreased from 0.9 to 0.6%; however, the disability rate increased from 0.5 to 1.9%. Results were comparable with remaining life expectancy as time horizon and for screening after initial treatment with coils. The key estimates of the analyses were the incidence and rupture rate of new aneurysms, the risk of dying from recurrent SAH, the utility of disability, and the risk of complications from DSA and re-treatment., Conclusions: Presently, screening for new aneurysms after subarachnoid hemorrhage cannot be recommended. Screening may prevent new episodes of subarachnoid hemorrhage but with too high a cost in terms of complications from preventive treatment.