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The effects of climate warming on wheat yields vary geographically under different warming scenarios. Such variations reflect real climatic differences and our insufficient understanding of how physiological processes respond to warming conditions. In this study, a 16-year trial comprising three crop production systems (CPSs) and a 5-year trial including seven cultivars were conducted in the Sichuan Basin of China to investigate the effects of climate warming on the phenological development, grain yield (GY), dry matter (DM) accumulation and translocation of wheat. The three CPSs included conventional rotary tillage with residue removal for both rice and wheat (CPS1), conventional rotary tillage with the wheat residue incorporated for the rice following zero tillage with residue-mulching for wheat (CPS2), and zero tillage and residue-mulching employed for both wheat and rice (CPS3). The wheat cultivars used in this study were all spring-type wheat, and the trials were planted from 26 to 30 October each year, irrigation was applied only at the seeding and topdressing stages and in amounts less than 20 mm. The results showed that mean of daily mean temperature from November to March (MT Nov-Mar) and November to April (MT Nov-Apr) significantly increased by 0.0964 °C yr-1 and 0.0947 °C yr-1 from 2004 to 2020, respectively. This warming caused earlier flowering and significantly decreased mean temperature from anthesis to maturity (P ost AT mean) by 0.091 °C yr-1. However, grain number m-2 was unaffected by this warming. Cooler and longer grain-gilling periods (GFP) lead to larger grain sinks and allow more preanthesis assimilates to be transported to the grain, resulting in increased individual grain weight and harvest index under all CPSs and all cultivars. There were no significant differences in sensitivities of GY and DM related trait responses to temperature change between CPSs or between cultivars. Averaged over all CPSs, GY increased 741.9 kg ha-1 with each 1 °C increases in MT Nov-Apr. The increase in yield was mainly attributable to increase in grain weights while grain number m-2 was maintained. In addition, the MT Nov-Apr values in the Sichuan Basin were predicted to reach 14.7 °C and 16.5 °C by the end of this century under the SSP245 and SSP585 climate change scenarios, respectively. When the CO 2 concentration was fixed at 350 ppm, the Agricultural Production Systems SIMulator (APSIM) model showed that the increasing MT Nov-Apr values significantly increased the GY under the SSP245 scenario, but the GY was initially positively and then negatively affected under the SSP585 scenario. These results lay the foundation for developing adaptation strategies to address future climate change in climates like that of Sichuan Basin and ensure wheat supplies. • An increasing MT Nov-Apr strongly advanced the anthesis date and increased the GY by 742 kg ha-1 °C-1 in the Sichuan Basin. • High GY obtained from high MT Nov-Apr because of earlier flowering and cooler GFP induced larger grain sinks, DMt and CPAG. • Under SSP245 scenario from 2021 to 2100, increasing MT Nov-Apr values are expected to increase the wheat yield using APSIM. • No significant differences in slopes of GY response to temperature change was detected between CPSs or between cultivars. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Optimizing tillage and seeding strategies is important for increasing crop productivity and nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) while reducing environmental impact. A newly developed innovative no-till seeding (INtS) technology was shown to effectively enhance seeding quality and increase wheat yield in wet clay soil after puddled rice harvest in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB) of China. However, comprehensive assessments of the yield, NUE, and eco-environmental benefits of INtS technology have not been performed. The present study conducted a consecutive three-year field experiment combining field plots and microplots with the 15N tracer method using two wheat seeding technologies (INtS and typical rotary-till seeding (TRtS) technology) and three nitrogen (N) application rates (0, 90, and 180 kg ha−1). The study evaluated the yield, NUE, fate of fertilizer/straw N, N budgets, and environmental footprints of wheat production after rice harvesting. The results showed that compared with TRtS, the average yield, N uptake and NUE of wheat under INtS technology increased by 27.2%, 28.9%, and 31.9%, respectively. By tracing the multi-seasonal fate of 15N-labeled fertilizer/straw N in soil-crop systems, it was found that 43.8% and 6.0% of fertilizer N and rice straw N applied in the first wheat growing season were recovered by wheat plants in the same season under INtS technology, which significantly decreased to 29.0% and 4.1% for TRtS technology. Over the five growing seasons, the cumulative recoveries of fertilizer and straw N for INtS technology were 26.2% and 15.6% higher, while the total fertilizer and straw N losses were 20.6% and 20.0% lower than those for TRtS technology, respectively. Over 50% of straw N remained in the soil after the fifth growing season, while only 14.5–23.6% of fertilizer N remained. In addition, INtS technology significantly reduced the fertilizer/straw N losses when applied in the subsequent rice growing season. Unlike TRtS technology, INtS could maintain a low-level soil N balance (2.1 kg N ha−1 for N180) and generate less soil surface N surplus in the wheat growing season. On average, INtS significantly reduced the carbon footprint and N footprint in the wheat growing season by 26.8% and 19.1%, respectively. In conclusion, INtS technology can significantly improve crop production and agricultural sustainability while minimizing negative environmental impacts for wheat production after rice cultivation in the YRB of China and other areas of the world with similar field conditions. [Display omitted] • Innovative no-till seeding (INtS) technology increased grain yield by 27.2% and N uptake by 28.9%. • INtS technology showed higher fertilizer/straw N use efficiency and lower fertilizer/straw N losses. • INtS technology could maintain a low-level soil N balance and soil surface N surplus. • INtS technology reduced the carbon footprint and N footprint by 26.8% and 19.1%, respectively. • Higher productivity and N use efficiency while reducing environmental pressure can be achieved by INtS technology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]