1. Six-month outcome of elderly people hospitalized via the emergency department: the SAFES cohort.
- Author
-
Dramé M, Lang PO, Novella JL, Narbey D, Mahmoudi R, Lanièce I, Somme D, Gauvain JB, Heitz D, Voisin T, de Wazières B, Gonthier R, Ankri J, Saint-Jean O, Jeandel C, Couturier P, Blanchard F, and Jolly D
- Subjects
- Aged, 80 and over, Algorithms, Cohort Studies, Female, Follow-Up Studies, France epidemiology, Geriatric Assessment statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Outcome Assessment, Health Care statistics & numerical data, Prognosis, Time Factors, Aged, Emergency Service, Hospital statistics & numerical data, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: The objective of the study was to identify factors predictive of 6-month institutionalization or mortality in frail elderly patients after acute hospitalization., Methods: A prospective cohort of elderly subjects 75 years and older was set up in nine French teaching hospitals. Data obtained from a comprehensive geriatric assessment were used in a Cox model to predict 6-month institutionalization or mortality. Institutionalization was defined as incident admission either to a nursing home or other long-term care facility during the follow-up period., Results: Crude institutionalization and death rates after 6 months of follow-up were 18% and 24%, respectively. Independent predictors of institutionalization were: living alone (HR=1.83; 95% CI=1.27-2.62) or a higher number of children (HR=0.86; 95% CI=0.78-0.96), balance problems (HR=1.72; 95% CI=1.19-2.47), malnutrition or risk thereof (HR=1.93; 95% CI=1.24-3.01), and dementia syndrome (HR=1.88; 95% CI=1.32-2.67). Factors found to be independently related to 6-month mortality were exclusively medical factors: malnutrition or risk thereof (HR=1.92; 95% CI=1.17-3.16), delirium (HR=1.80; 95% CI=1.24-2.62), and a high level of comorbidity (HR=1.62; 95% CI=1.09-2.40). Institutionalization (HR=1.92; 95% CI=1.37-2.71) and unplanned readmission (HR=4.47; 95% CI=3.16-2.71) within the follow-up period were also found as independent predictors., Conclusion: The main factors predictive of 6-month outcome identified in this study are modifiable by global and multidisciplinary interventions. Their early identification and management would make it possible to modify frail elderly subjects' prognosis favorably., (Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF