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Aims: This systematic review aims to identify 3D predictors derived from biplanar reconstruction, and to describe current methods for improving curve prediction in patients with mild adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. Methods: A comprehensive search was conducted by three independent investigators on MEDLINE, PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library. Search terms included “adolescent idiopathic scoliosis”,“3D”, and “progression”. The inclusion and exclusion criteria were carefully defined to include clinical studies. Risk of bias was assessed with the Quality in Prognostic Studies tool (QUIPS) and Appraisal tool for Cross-Sectional Studies (AXIS), and level of evidence for each predictor was rated with the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations (GRADE) approach. In all, 915 publications were identified, with 377 articles subjected to full-text screening; overall, 31 articles were included. Results: Torsion index (TI) and apical vertebral rotation (AVR) were identified as accurate predictors of curve progression in early visits. Initial TI > 3.7° and AVR > 5.8° were predictive of curve progression. Thoracic hypokyphosis was inconsistently observed in progressive curves with weak evidence. While sagittal wedging was observed in mild curves, there is insufficient evidence for its correlation with curve progression. In curves with initial Cobb angle < 25°, Cobb angle was a poor predictor for future curve progression. Prediction accuracy was improved by incorporating serial reconstructions in stepwise layers. However, a lack of post-hoc analysis was identified in studies involving geometrical models. Conclusion: For patients with mild curves, TI and AVR were identified as predictors of curve progression, with TI > 3.7° and AVR > 5.8° found to be important thresholds. Cobb angle acts as a poor predictor in mild curves, and more investigations are required to assess thoracic kyphosis and wedging as predictors. Cumulative reconstruction of radiographs improves prediction accuracy. Comprehensive analysis between progressive and non-progressive curves is recommended to extract meaningful thresholds for clinical prognostication. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(3):243–251.

Objectives(1) Compare the cross-sectional thickness (CST) and shear wave speed (SWS) of paraspinal muscles (PSM) in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) with and without curve progression; (2) investigate the relationship between CST/SWS and radiographic characteristics in AIS with curve progression; (3) compare the CST/SWS between AIS and non-scoliosis controls.MethodsThis cross-sectional study analyzed the CST and SWS of PSM in 48 AIS with mild to moderate curvature and 24 non-scoliosis participants. Participants with scoliosis greater than 45° of Cobb angles were excluded. The Change of Cobb angles within the last 6-months was retrieved to allocate AIS into progression and non-progression groups. The SWS and CST of multifidus; longissimus and iliocostalis of the major curve were measured using B-mode ultrasound image with an elastography mode. Discrepancies of the SWS (SWS-ratio: SWS on the convex side divided by SWS on the concave side) and CST (CST-ratio: CST on the convex side divided by CST on the concave side) at the upper/lower end and apical vertebrae were studied.ResultsA higher SWS at the apical vertebrae on the concave side of the major curve (multifidus: 3.9 ± 1.0 m/s vs. 3.1 ± 0.6 m/s; p

Abstract Background Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) refers to a three‐dimensional spinal deformity which has a typical onset during adolescence. In most cases, the cause of the deformity cannot be clearly identified. Unbalanced paraspinal muscle activity in AIS patients was reported and hypoxia was implicated to regulate myogenesis. This study aims to investigate the association between myogenesis/muscle toning and HIF‐αs activity in the pathogenesis of AIS. Methods HIF‐αs expression was examined by enzyme‐linked immunosorbent assay and western blot in paraspinal myoblasts isolated from 18 subjects who underwent deformity correction surgery. QPCR was conducted to measure the gene expression levels of perinatal muscle fiber markers MYH3, MYH8; slow twitch muscle fiber markers MHY7; fast twitch muscle fiber markers MYH4; and myogenic regulatory factors MYF5 and MYOG. Slow and fast twitch muscle fiber composition in concave/convex paraspinal musculature of AIS subjects was evaluated by immunostaining of myosin heavy chain type I (MyHC I) and myosin heavy chain type II (MyHC II). Results Reduced HIF‐2α induction under hypoxia was found in paraspinal myoblast culture of 33% AIS subjects. We detected a suppression of perinatal and slow twitch muscle fiber associated genes, but not fast twitch muscle fiber‐associated genes and myogenic regulatory factors in HIF‐2α misexpressed AIS myoblasts. Distinct reduction of slow twitch muscle fiber was evidenced in convex paraspinal musculature, suggesting an asymmetric expression of slow twitch muscle fiber in HIF‐2α misexpressed AIS patients. Conclusions This study indicates an association of abnormal HIF‐2α expression in paraspinal myoblasts and a disproportionate slow twitch muscle fiber content in the convexity of the curvature in a subset of AIS subjects, suggesting HIF‐2α dysregulation as a possible risk factor for AIS. The role of HIF‐2α in paraspinal muscle function during spinal growth and its relevance in AIS prognosis warrants further investigation.