1. Point-of-care creatinine measurements to predict acute kidney injury.
- Author
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Vaara ST, Glassford N, Eastwood GM, Canet E, Mårtensson J, and Bellomo R
- Subjects
- Aged, Biomarkers blood, Databases, Factual, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Predictive Value of Tests, Reproducibility of Results, Retrospective Studies, Acute Kidney Injury blood, Acute Kidney Injury prevention & control, Creatinine blood, Point-of-Care Systems
- Abstract
Background: Plasma creatinine (Cr) is a marker of kidney function and typically measured once daily. We hypothesized that Cr measured by point-of-care technology early after ICU admission would be a good predictor of acute kidney injury (AKI) the next day in critically ill patients., Methods: We conducted a retrospective database audit in a single tertiary ICU database. We included patients with normal first admission Cr (Cr
F ) and identified a Cr value (CrP ) obtained within 6-12 hours from ICU admission. We used their difference converted into percentage (delta-Cr-%) to predict subsequent AKI (based on Cr and/or need for renal replacement therapy) the next day. We assessed predictive value by calculating area under the receiver characteristic curve (AUC), logistic regression models for AKI with and without delta-Cr-%, and the category-free net reclassifying index (cfNRI)., Results: We studied 780 patients. Overall, 70 (9.0%) fulfilled the Cr AKI definition by CrP measurement. On day 2, 148 patients (19.0%) were diagnosed with AKI. AUC (95% CI) for delta-Cr-% to predict AKI on day 2 was 0.82 (95% CI 0.78-0.86), and 0.74 (95% CI 0.69-0.80) when patients with AKI based on the CrP were excluded. Using a cut-off of 17% increment, the positive likelihood ratio (95% CI) for delta-Cr-% to predict AKI was 3.5 (2.9-4.2). The cfNRI was 90.0 (74.9-106.1)., Conclusions: Among patients admitted with normal Cr, early changes in Cr help predict AKI the following day., (© 2020 The Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica Foundation. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)- Published
- 2020
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