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Study GS-99-907 was a 48-week, phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled intensification trial of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (tenofovir DF). Antiretroviral-experienced patients added tenofovir DF 300 mg once daily to their existing regimen. The patterns of HIV-1 resistance development and the corresponding virologic responses were evaluated in a virology substudy at week 48. Although 94% of these treatment-experienced patients had nucleoside-associated resistance mutations (NAMs) at baseline, addition of tenofovir DF resulted in a mean reduction in viral load of -0.59 log10 copies/mL after 24 weeks that was durable through 48 weeks. Relative to the placebo-controlled arm, patients in the tenofovir DF arm had a reduced frequency of development of resistance mutations to all classes of HIV-1 inhibitors, with reduction in new protease inhibitor (PI)-associated mutations achieving statistical significance. The K65R mutation, which occurred in 8 patients (3%), was the only emergent mutation directly associated with tenofovir DF therapy. New thymidine analogue-associated mutations (TAMs) emerged in 19% of patients by week 48. Other than K65R, the patterns of mutations that developed were not significantly different between the tenofovir DF and placebo control arms, suggesting that the background therapies caused their development. The K65R mutation emerged only in patients with no detectable TAMs at baseline, whereas new TAMs developed similarly between patients with or without TAMs at baseline. Development of K65R was associated with mostly low-level changes in phenotypic susceptibility to tenofovir DF and other nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors and was not associated with viral load rebound. No novel patterns of genotypic or phenotypic resistance to tenofovir were identified. Therefore, intensification with once-daily tenofovir DF therapy resulted in a sustained reduction in HIV-1 viral load and a low risk for development of the K65R mutation in this treatment-experienced patient population.

Results from 2 placebo-controlled intensification trials of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (DF) in treatment-experienced human immunodeficiency type 1 (HIV-1)-infected patients (n=332) were integrated to determine the effects of resistance at baseline on HIV-1 RNA response. In these trials, there was a high prevalence of HIV-1 resistance mutations, with 94% of patients having nucleoside-associated mutations and 71% having thymidine analogue-associated mutations (TAMs). Statistically significant HIV-1 RNA reductions associated with tenofovir DF treatment, relative to placebo (P<.001), were observed for patients without TAMs (n=97) or for patients with 1-2 (n=88) or >or=3 TAMs (n=147). Response to tenofovir DF was reduced among patients with HIV-1 with >or=3 TAMs inclusive of either the M41L or L210W mutation (n=86) or patients who had a preexisting K65R mutation (n=6). Slightly increased treatment responses were observed when the M184V mutation was present. Phenotypic cutoffs were established at 1.4-fold and 4-fold, respectively, for the beginning of reduced response to tenofovir DF and for a strongly reduced response. The results from these controlled clinical trials provide guidance for the use of tenofovir DF for treatment-experienced patients.

CD4 lymphocyte and survival data from two completed trials, a double-blind placebo-controlled trial of zidovudine in patients with advanced human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV) disease (BW-02 study) and a randomized trial of two different doses of zidovudine in patients with advanced HIV disease (ACTG-002 study) were used to determine the degree to which CD4 lymphocyte counts reflect zidovudine-associated survival benefit. Proportional hazards models were used, and CD4 lymphocyte counts were smoothed by using empirical Bayes estimates. The geometric mean of the CD4 lymphocyte counts increased by 71 and 46 cells/mm3 for patients in the BW-02 and ACTG-002 studies, respectively, followed by a progressive decline. Higher pretreatment CD4 lymphocyte counts (p = 0.001), greater increases in CD4 lymphocytes at 8 weeks (p = 0.1), and smaller declines in the slope (p = 0.001) were associated with a lower risk of death. The most current CD4 lymphocyte count was most prognostic of death (p = 0.001). The risk of death was greater for patients with lower CD4 lymphocytes and this risk increased sharply when the CD4 lymphocyte counts fell below 50 cells/mm3. The hazard of death was higher for placebo recipients at all levels of CD4 lymphocytes compared with zidovudine recipients. Although higher CD4 lymphocyte counts are associated with improved survival, these increases account for only a small proportion of the survival benefit of zidovudine in these two studies.

AIDS Clinical Trial Group Randomized Trial 002 compared the effect of high-dose with low-dose 3-azido-3-deoxythymidine (AZT) on the survival of AIDS patients. Embedded within the trial was an essentially uncontrolled observational study of the effect of prophylaxis therapy for pneumocystis carinii pneumonia on survival. In this paper, we estimate the causal effect of prophylaxis therapy on survival by using the method of G-estimation to estimate the parameters of a structural nested failure time model (SNFTM). Our SNFTM relates a subject's observed time of death and observed prophylaxis history to the time the subject would have died if, possibly contrary to fact, prophylaxis therapy had been withheld. We find that, under our assumptions, the data are consistent with prophylaxis therapy increasing survival by 16% or decreasing survival by 18% at the alpha = 0.05 level. The analytic approach proposed in this paper will be necessary to control bias in any epidemiologic study in which there exists a time-dependent risk factor for death, such as pneumocystis carinii pneumonia history, that (A1) influences subsequent exposure to the agent under study, for example, prophylaxis therapy, and (A2) is itself influenced by past exposure to the study agent. Conditions A1 and A2 will be true whenever there exists a time-dependent risk factor that is simultaneously a confounder and an intermediate variable.

Background: The initially tested dose of zidovudine for the treatment of patients with advanced disease caused by the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV) was 1500 mg. Although this dose is effective, it is associated with substantial toxicity., Methods: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of a reduced dose, we conducted a randomized controlled trial in 524 subjects who had had a first episode of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia. The subjects were assigned to receive zidovudine in either a dose of 250 mg taken orally every four hours (the standard-treatment group, n = 262) or a dose of 200 mg taken orally every four hours for four weeks and thereafter 100 mg taken every four hours (the low-dose group, n = 262)., Results: The median length of follow-up was 25.6 months. At 18 months the estimated survival rates were 52 percent for the standard-treatment group and 63 percent for the low-dose group (P = 0.012 by the log-rank test). At 24 months the estimated survival rates were 27 percent for the standard-treatment group and 34 percent for the low-dose group (P = 0.033). In both groups, 82 percent of the subjects had another opportunistic infection, and the length of time to that infection was similar in the two groups (P = 0.56 by the log-rank test). CD4 T-lymphocyte counts improved transiently in both groups, and serum levels of HIV antigen decreased in the subjects with antigenemia. The hemoglobin level declined to less than 5 mmol per liter (80 g per liter) in 101 subjects in the standard-treatment group and in 77 in the low-dose group (39 vs. 29 percent, P = 0.0009 by the log-rank test). The neutrophil count declined to less than 0.750 x 10(9) per liter in 134 subjects in the standard-treatment group and in 96 in the low-dose group (51 vs. 37 percent, P = 0.0001)., Conclusions: The reduced daily dose of zidovudine used in this study was at least as effective as the standard dose and was less toxic; however, with the use of a four-week induction period with a high dose followed by low-dose treatment, severe anemia and neutropenia were common complications of treatment with zidovudine.