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Seasonal life history events are often interdependent, but we know relatively little about how the relationship between different events is influenced by the abiotic and biotic environment. Such knowledge is important for predicting the immediate and evolutionary phenological response of populations to changing conditions. We manipulated germination timing and shade in a multi-factorial experiment to investigate the relationship between spring and autumn phenology in seedlings of the pedunculate oak, Quercus robur, and whether this relationship was mediated by natural colonization of leaves by specialist fungal pathogens (i.e., the oak powdery mildew complex). Each week delay in germination corresponded to about 2 days delay in autumn leaf senescence, and heavily shaded seedlings senesced 5-8 days later than seedlings in light shade or full sun. Within seedlings, leaves on primary-growth shoots senesced later than those on secondary-growth shoots in some treatments. Path analyses demonstrated that germination timing and shade affected autumn phenology both directly and indirectly via pathogen load, though the specific pattern differed among and within seedlings. Pathogen load increased with later germination and greater shade. Greater pathogen load was in turn associated with later senescence for seedlings, but with earlier senescence for individual leaves. Our findings show that relationships between seasonal events can be partly mediated by the biotic environment and suggest that these relationships may differ between the plant and leaf level. The influence of biotic interactions on phenological correlations across scales has implications for understanding phenotypic variation in phenology and for predicting how populations will respond to climatic perturbation.

Climate change can have important effects on plant performance by altering the relationship between spring temperature and other abiotic factors, such as light availability. Higher temperatures can advance plant phenology so that seedling germination takes place when days are shorter, and affect light availability for understory plants by altering the relative timing of seedling germination and canopy closure. To predict the effects of climate-induced changes in phenology and light availability on plant performance and species interactions during the growing season, we need to determine i) how effects of plant phenology on plant performance and the plant-associated community depend on light availability, and ii) to what extent effects of phenology and light availability on plant performance are direct vs. mediated by changes in the plant-associated community. We conducted a multifactorial field experiment to test for the effect of germination timing and light availability on Quercus robur seedling traits and performance, as well as attack by specialist plant pathogens, insects, and small mammals. Germination timing strongly affected seedling performance whereas light availability’s effects were limited. Likewise, germination timing strongly affected herbivore and pathogen attack, whereas light availability and its interaction with germination timing explained a minor part of the variation. Small mammals preferentially attacked later germinating seedlings, which strongly affected plant survival, while insect herbivores and pathogens did not mediate the effect of germination timing and light availability on plant performance. The results showed that the effect of germination timing can have greater influence than light availability on plant performance and plant attack, and that small mammal herbivores can play a larger role than diseases and insect herbivores in mediating the effect of spring phenology on plant performance. Together, these findings advance our understanding of the consequences of climate-induced changes in spring phenology and the abiotic environment on plant performance within a community context.

O_LIClimate change is affecting both the abiotic environment and the seasonal timing of life history events, with potentially major consequences for plant performance and plant-associated food webs. Despite this, we lack insights into how effects of plant phenology on plant performance and food webs depend on environmental conditions, and to what extent effects of phenology and the environment on plant performance are direct vs. mediated by changes in the plant-associated community. C_LIO_LIWe conducted a multifactorial field experiment to test for the effect of spring phenology and shade on Quercus robur seedling traits and performance, as well as attacks by specialist plant pathogens, insects and small mammals. C_LIO_LISpring phenology strongly affected seedling performance whereas shade only affected leaf thickness and chlorophyll. Likewise, spring phenology strongly affected herbivore and pathogen attack, whereas shade and its interaction with spring phenology only explained a minor part of the variation. Small mammals preferentially attacked later phenology seedlings, which strongly affected plant survival, while insect herbivores and pathogens did not mediate the effect of spring phenology and shade on plant performance. C_LIO_LISynthesis: This study highlights that the effect of spring phenology outweighs the effect of environmental context on plant performance and plant attack during the growing season. Interestingly, small mammal herbivores, and not diseases and insect herbivores, may play a key role in mediating the effect of spring phenology on plant performance. Together, these findings advance our understanding of the consequences of climate-induced changes in spring phenology and the abiotic environment on plant performance within a community context. C_LI