1. Novel coronavirus epidemic in the Hungarian population, a cross-sectional nationwide survey to support the exit policy in Hungary
- Author
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Gergő Merkely, Júlia Karády, Béla Merkely, János Sinkó, Kornélia Mag, Attila Szabo, Annamaria Kosztin, József Betlehem, Csaba Papp, Barna Vásárhelyi, Endre Ludwig, Gyula Prinz, Csaba Lengyel, Péter Varga, István Várkonyi, Ildikó Csóka, Gabor A. Fulop, Ervin Berényi, Balázs Hankó, Zoltán Vokó, Andor Sebestyén, Katalin Burián, and Attila Miseta
- Subjects
Aging ,Cross-sectional study ,Pneumonia, Viral ,Population ,Sample (statistics) ,Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome ,medicine.disease_cause ,Serology ,Betacoronavirus ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Cross-sectional ,Surveys and Questionnaires ,medicine ,Humans ,Young adult ,Social isolation ,education ,Pandemics ,Sampling frame ,030304 developmental biology ,Coronavirus ,Hungary ,0303 health sciences ,education.field_of_study ,SARS-CoV-2 ,business.industry ,COVID-19 ,Ageing ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,Nationwide ,Original Article ,Geriatrics and Gerontology ,medicine.symptom ,Coronavirus Infections ,business ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Demography - Abstract
After months of restrictive containment efforts to fight the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) epidemic, European countries are planning to reopen. To support the process, we conducted a cross-sectional survey among the Hungarian population to estimate the prevalence of infectious cases and prior SARS-CoV-2 exposure. A representative sample (n = 17,787) for the Hungarian population of 14 years or older living in private households (n = 8,283,810) was selected. The study was performed within 16 days after 50 days of restrictions, when the number of confirmed cases was stable low. Naso- and oropharyngeal smears and blood samples were collected for PCR and antibody testing. The testing was accompanied by a questionnaire about symptoms, comorbidities, and contacts. Design-based prevalence estimates were calculated. In total, 10,474 individuals (67.7% taken into account a sample frame error of 2315) of the selected sample participated in the survey. Of the tested individuals, 3 had positive PCR and 69 had positive serological test. Population estimate of the number of SARS-CoV-2 infection and seropositivity were 2421 and 56,439, respectively, thus active infection rate (2.9/10,000) and the prevalence of prior SARS-CoV-2 exposure (68/10,000) was low. Self-reported loss of smell or taste and body aches were significantly more frequent among those with SARS-CoV-2. In this representative, cross-sectional survey of the Hungarian population with a high participation rate, the overall active infection rate was low in sync with the prevalence of prior SARS-CoV-2 exposure. We demonstrated a potential success of containment efforts, supporting an exit strategy. NCT04370067, 30.04.2020.
- Published
- 2020
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