1. Prognostic Accuracy of DSM-5 Attenuated Psychosis Syndrome in Adolescents: Prospective Real-World 5-Year Cohort Study
- Author
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Umberto Balottin, Eleonora Filosi, Renato Borgatti, Paolo Fusar-Poli, Silvia Molteni, Elena Ballante, Martina Maria Mensi, and Melanie Iorio
- Subjects
Male ,Risk ,Psychosis ,Pediatrics ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Adolescent ,Prodromal Symptoms ,Comorbidity ,Sensitivity and Specificity ,DSM-5 ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,mental disorders ,medicine ,Humans ,Prospective Studies ,Aps diagnosis ,business.industry ,Area under the curve ,Syndrome ,Patient Acceptance of Health Care ,Prognosis ,medicine.disease ,030227 psychiatry ,Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders ,Cumulative risk ,Psychiatry and Mental health ,Italy ,Psychotic Disorders ,Schizophrenia ,Disease Progression ,Female ,business ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Regular Articles ,Cohort study ,Psychopathology - Abstract
There is limited research in adolescents at risk for psychosis. The new Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition attenuated psychosis syndrome (DSM-5 APS) criteria have not been validated in this group. We conducted a RECORD-compliant, real-world, prospective, 5-year cohort study addressing clinical profile, transition to psychosis, and prognostic accuracy of DSM-5 APS in help-seeking inpatient/outpatient adolescents accessing Children and Adolescent Neuropsychiatric services at IRCCS Mondino Foundation (Pavia, Lombardy, Italy) between 2012 and 2019. About 243 adolescents (31 early-onset psychosis [EOP]; 110 meeting DSM-5 APS criteria, DSM-5 APS; 102 not meeting psychotic or DSM-5 APS criteria, non-APS) were included. At baseline, DSM-5 APS adolescents (aged 15.4 ± 1.6) had on average 2.3 comorbid disorders (higher than EOP/non-APS, P < .001). DSM-5 APS adolescents had an intermediate psychopathological profile between non-APS/EOP (P < .001) and worsen Clinical Global Impression-Severity than non-APS (P < .001). DSM-5 APS functioning was intermediate between non-APS and EOP. 39.1% of DSM-5 APS were treated with psychotropic drugs (average = 64 days); 53.6% received psychotherapy. Follow-up of DSM-5 APS and non-APS groups lasted 33 and 26 months, respectively (median). The cumulative risk of transition at 1–5 years was 13%, 17%, 24.2%, 26.8%, and 26.8% in the DSM-5 APS group, 0%, 0%, 3.2%, 3.2%, and 3.2% in the non-APS group. The 5-year prognostic accuracy of the DSM-5 APS in adolescent was adequate (area under the curve = 0.77; Harrell’s C = 0.736, 95%CI 0.697–0.775), with high sensitivity (91.3%) and suboptimal specificity (63.2%). The DSM-5 APS diagnosis can be used to detect help-seeking adolescents at risk of psychosis and predict their long-term outcomes. Future research should consolidate these findings.
- Published
- 2021
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