Search

Various risk score calculators used to predict 30-day mortality after treatment of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAAs) have produced mixed results regarding their usefulness and reproducibility. We prospectively validated the accuracy of our preoperative scoring system in a modern cohort of patients with rAAAs.A retrospective review of all patients wiith rAAAs who had presented to a single academic center from January 2002 to December 2018 was performed. The patients were divided into three cohorts according to when the institutional practice changes had occurred: the pre-endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) era (January 2002 to July 2007), the pre-Harbor View risk score era (August 2007 to October 2013), and the modern era (November 2013 to December 2018). The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality. Our preoperative risk score assigns 1 point for each of the following: age76 years, pH 7.2, creatinine2 mg/dL, and any episode of hypotension (systolic blood pressure 70 mm Hg). The previously reported mortality from a retrospective analysis of the first two cohorts was 22% for 1 point, 69% for 2 points, 78% for 3 points, and 100% for 4 points. The goal of the present study was to prospectively validate the Harborview scoring system in the modern era.During the 17-year study period, 417 patients with rAAAs were treated at our institution. Of the 118 patients treated in the modern era, 45 (38.1%) had undergone open aneurysm repair (OAR), 61 (51.7%) had undergone EVAR, and 12 (10.2%) had received comfort measures only. Excluding the 12 patients without aneurysm repair, we found a statistically significant linear trend between the preoperative risk score and subsequent 30-day mortality for all patients combined (P .0001), for OAR patients alone (P = .0003), and for EVAR patients alone (P .0001). After adjustment for the Harborview risk score, the 30-day mortality was 41.3% vs 31.6% after OAR vs EVAR, respectively (P = .2). For all repairs, the 30-day mortality was 14.6% for a score of 0, 35.7% for a score of 1, 68.4% for a score of 2, and 100% for a score of 3 or 4.Our results, representing one of the largest modern series of rAAAs treated at a single institution, have confirmed the accuracy of a simple 4-point preoperative risk score in predicting 30-day mortality in the modern rAAA patient. Such tools should be used when discussing the treatment options with referring physicians, patients, and their family members to help guide transfer and treatment decision-making.

The Technical Performance Score (TPS) can predict outcomes after congenital cardiac surgery. We sought to validate TPS as a predictor of both short- and long-term outcomes of the Norwood procedure.We conducted a retrospective review of patients who underwent the Norwood procedure from 1997 to 2017. We assigned TPS (class 1, no residua; class 2, minor residua; class 3, major residua or reintervention for major residua before discharge) based on subcomponent scores from discharge echocardiograms or unplanned reinterventions, or both. Multivariable Cox or competing risk analysis, adjusted for preoperative patient- and procedure-related covariates, examined the association of TPS with postoperative hospital length of stay, transplant-free survival, and postdischarge reinterventions.Among 500 patients, 319 (64%) were male, 54 (11%) were premature, 56 (11%) had noncardiac anomalies/syndromes, 146 (29%) had preoperative risk factors, and 480 (96%) were assigned TPS. On multivariable analysis, class 3 had greater hazard for reinterventions in transplant-free survivors (class 3: subdistribution hazard ratio [HR], 2.06; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-3.16; P = .001) and was associated with increased hospital length of stay vs class 1 (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.18-0.34; P.001). Transplant-free survival after Norwood surgery was shorter for both class 2 (HR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.68-3.66; P.001) and class 3 (HR, 3.29; 95% CI, 2.18-4.95; P.001).TPS predicts early and late outcomes after Norwood. Absence of residual lesions results in improved long-term prognosis for single-ventricle patients. TPS may improve outcomes after Norwood by identifying patients warranting closer follow-up and potentially earlier reintervention.

Background The universal Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System (SURPAS) prediction models for postoperative adverse outcomes have good accuracy for estimating risk in broad surgical populations and for surgical specialties. The accuracy in individual operations has not yet been assessed. The objective of this study was to evaluate the Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System in predicting adverse outcomes for selected individual operations. Methods The SURPAS models were applied to the top 2 most frequent common procedural terminology codes in 9 surgical specialties and 5 additional common general surgical operations in the 2009 to 2018 database of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP). Goodness of fit statistics were estimated, including c-indices for discrimination, Hosmer-Lemeshow graphs and P values for calibration, overall observed versus expected event rates, and Brier scores. Results The total sample size was 2,020,172, which represented 29% of the 6.9 million operations in the ACS NSQIP database. Average c-indices across 12 outcomes were acceptable (≥0.70) for 13 (56.5%) of the 23 operations. Overall observed-to-expected rates were similar for mortality and overall morbidity across the 23 operations. Hosmer-Lemeshow graphs over quintiles of risk comparing observed-to-expected rates of mortality and overall morbidity were similar for 52% and 70% of operations, respectively. Model performance was better in less complex operations and those done in patients with lower preoperative risk. Conclusion SURPAS displayed accuracy in estimating postoperative adverse events for some of the 23 operations studied, but not all. In the procedures where SURPAS was not accurate, developing disease or operation-specific risk models might be appropriate.

Background The Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System (SURPAS) uses eight variables to accurately predict postoperative complications but has not been sufficiently studied in emergency surgery. We evaluated SURPAS in emergency surgery, comparing it to the Emergency Surgery Score (ESS). Methods SURPAS and ESS estimates of 30-day mortality and overall morbidity were calculated for emergency operations in the 2009–2018 ACS-NSQIP database and compared using observed-to-expected plots and rates, c-indices, and Brier scores. Cases with incomplete data were excluded. Results In 205,318 emergency patients, SURPAS underestimated (8.1%; 35.9%) while ESS overestimated (10.1%; 43.8%) observed mortality and morbidity (8.9%; 38.8%). Each showed good calibration on observed-to-expected plots. SURPAS had better c-indices (0.855 vs 0.848 mortality; 0.802 vs 0.755 morbidity), while the Brier score was better for ESS for mortality (0.0666 vs. 0.0684) and for SURPAS for morbidity (0.1772 vs. 0.1950). Conclusions SURPAS accurately predicted mortality and morbidity in emergency surgery using eight predictor variables.

Objectives The phenomenon of systolic anterior motion (SAM) of the mitral valve (MV) was discovered 50 years ago, but to date only a few studies have identified risk factors for SAM following mitral repair. There are limited data on the necessity of surgical reintervention on the MV once SAM is discovered by intraoperative transesophageal echocardiography. We sought to identify predictors of SAM in a large cohort of consecutive patients, assess the rate of early reintervention on the MV to address SAM, and follow the progression of SAM postdischarge. Methods Analysis of electronically stored echocardiographic exams of adults who underwent MV repair in a recent decade. Results Following MV repair, the incidence of SAM immediately after cardiopulmonary bypass was 13% (98 of 761 patients). Multivariable analysis revealed several preoperative risk factors of SAM development and progression, including a lower ratio of anterior to posterior leaflets heights, younger age, lower end-systolic left ventricular volume, presence of bileaflet prolapse, and male sex. SAM was managed conservatively in 91 patients (93%) and surgically in 7 patients (7%). In a majority of patients (70 of 98 patients [71%]) SAM resolved before hospital discharge. Conclusions Transesophageal echocardiography findings associated with SAM were excessive height of posterior to anterior mitral leaflet, smaller left ventricular end-systolic volume, and bileaflet prolapse. Conservative management of SAM was usually successful, and persistent hemodynamically significant SAM was uncommon. Prophylactic modification of the surgical technique to avoid SAM seems unnecessary for all but those at highest risk for developing SAM.

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS To identify factors that may increase the risk of unplanned admission following elective outpatient endoscopic sinonasal surgery (ESS). STUDY DESIGN Retrospective analysis of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP). METHODS All cases of ESS were extracted from the 2010 to 2018 NSQIP database using Current Procedural Terminology codes. Only cases coded as outpatient, elective, and nonemergent procedures were included. Unplanned admissions were defined as cases with a total hospital stay of 1 day or more. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify variables that independently predicted unanticipated admission. RESULTS A total of 971 cases met inclusion criteria, of which 274 (28.2%) were unanticipated admissions. Patients in the unplanned admission group were more likely to be older (46.8 vs. 41.1 years, P

Prolonged postoperative mechanical ventilation (PPMV) increases length of stay, hospitalization costs, and postoperative complications. Independent risk factors associated with PPMV are not well-known for children.We identified children (18 years) in the ACS NSQIP-P database who underwent a general surgical abdominal operation. We excluded children with preoperative ventilator dependence and mortality within 48 h of surgery. PPMV was defined as cumulative postoperative mechanical ventilation exceeding 72 h. A multivariable logistic regression model identified independent predictors of PPMV.We identified 108,392 children who underwent a general surgical abdominal operation in the ACS NSQIP-P database from 2012 to 2017. We randomly divided the population into a derivation cohort of 75,874(70%) and a validation cohort of 32,518(30%). In the derivation cohort, we identified PPMV in 1,643(2.2%). In the multivariable model, the strongest independent predictor of PPMV was neonatal age (OR:20.66; 95%CI:16.44-25.97). Other independent risk factors for PPMV were preoperative inotropic support (OR:10.56; 95%CI:7.56-14.77), an operative time longer than 150 min (OR:4.30; 95%CI:3.72-4.52), and an American Society of Anesthesiologists classification3 (OR:12.16; 95%CI:10.75-13.75).Independent preoperative risk factors for PPMV in children undergoing a general surgical operation were neonatal age, preoperative ionotropic support, duration of operation, and ASA classification3.

Study Objective To evaluate the diagnostic performance of a Volume and Solid Vascular Tissue Score (VSVTS) for preoperative risk assessment of pediatric and adolescent adnexal masses. Design A retrospective cohort study comprised of all female individuals who presented with an adnexal mass that was managed surgically between April 2011 and March 2016. Setting The Hospital for Sick Children (Toronto, Ontario, Canada). Participants Female individuals 1–18 years of age who presented to a large tertiary pediatric hospital with an adnexal mass that was managed surgically. Main Outcome Measures Main outcome measures included diagnostic performance of the VSVTS for malignancy via sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (LR+), negative likelihood ratio (LR−), and receiver operating characteristic area-under-the-curve (AUC) analysis. Results A total of 179 masses in 169 subjects were included. The malignancy rate was 10.6%. The AUC for the VSTVS was 0.919. A VSTVS cut-off value of 4 achieved a sensitivity of 79% (95% CI 0.54-0.93), specificity of 88% (95% CI 0.82-0.93), PPV of 0.44 (95% CI 0.33-0.56), NPV of 0.97 (95% CI 0.94-0.99), LR+ of 6.77 (95% CI 4.18-10.97), and LR− of 0.24 (95% CI 0.10-0.57). Conclusions A sonographic scoring system based on the volume and presence of solid vascular tissue improves PPV for preoperative risk stratification of adnexal masses in the pediatric and adolescent population compared to existing ultrasound-only approaches. Further prospective research is needed to determine how best to incorporate components of such scoring systems into clinical management algorithms.

The available data on outcomes after transfemoral carotid artery stenting (TFCAS) originate from the early experience with TFCAS. Although most previous studies stratified outcomes according to a symptomatic or asymptomatic presentation, they often did not specify the degree of presenting neurologic injury. We previously reported that the outcomes after carotid endarterectomy differed according to neurologic injury severity, the contemporary perioperative outcomes of TFCAS stratified by the specific presenting symptom status are unknown.Patients with data in the Vascular Quality Initiative database who had undergone TFCAS from 2016 to 2020 were included. We stratified patients according to their preprocedural symptom status as asymptomatic, formerly symptomatic (last symptoms180 days before the procedure), or recently symptomatic (symptoms 180 days before the procedure). The symptoms included stroke, hemispheric transient ischemic attack (TIA), and ocular TIA. We compared the occurrence of in-hospital stroke or death (stroke/death) among the asymptomatic, formerly symptomatic, and specific subtypes of recently symptomatic patients. Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to adjust for the baseline differences among the groups.Of the 9807 included patients, 2650 (27%) had had recent stroke, 842 (9%), recent hemispheric TIA, and 360 (4%), recent ocular TIA. In addition, 795 patients (8%) were formerly symptomatic and 5160 (53%) were asymptomatic. The patients with recent stroke had a perioperative stroke/death rate of 5.5%, higher than that of patients with recent hemispheric TIA (2.4%; P .001) or recent ocular TIA (2.8%; P = .03) and asymptomatic patients (1.4%; P .001). The stroke/death rate was greater for patients with recent ocular TIA than for asymptomatic patients (2.8% vs 1.4%; P = .04). Formerly symptomatic patients had higher stroke/death rates compared with asymptomatic patients (3.5% vs 1.4%; P .001). On multivariable-adjusted analysis, recent stroke was associated with higher stroke/death compared with recent hemispheric TIA (odds ratio [OR], 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-4.3; P .001) and asymptomatic status (OR, 4.1; 95% CI, 3.0-5.6; P .001) and demonstrated a trend toward higher stroke/death compared with recent ocular TIA (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.0-3.9; P = .06). Furthermore, asymptomatic status was associated with lower stroke/death compared with formerly symptomatic status (OR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.6; P .001).For patients undergoing TFCAS, recent stroke was associated with greater odds of in-hospital stroke/death after TFCAS compared with recent hemispheric TIA. Also, formerly symptomatic status was associated with greater odds of stroke/death compared with asymptomatic status. These findings support further symptom stratification by the degree of the presenting neurologic injury in the preoperative risk assessment.

Introduction The Waterlow score (WS) is used routinely in clinical practice to assess risk of pressure sore development. Recent studies have also suggested its use in preoperative risk stratification. The primary aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the current evidence on the WS in predicting morbidity and mortality in surgical patients. Methods A systematic review was carried out in accordance with PRISMA and SWiM guidelines. A search strategy was conducted on the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases. Quality was assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa scale. Findings Overall, 72 papers were identified, of which 7 met inclusion criteria for full text review, and 4 were included for analysis. All studies were cohort in nature and published between 2013 and 2016, encompassing a total of 505 surgical patients. The studies included general, vascular, transplant and orthopaedic surgery. A high WS was demonstrated to have statistically significant association with increased morbidity and mortality as well as need for intensive care unit admission and length of stay. Furthermore, this was a more accurate predictor compared with the P-POSSUM and ASA scoring systems used currently in routine practice. Conclusions The WS is a promising tool for risk stratification of surgical patients. It is already collected routinely by nursing staff throughout hospitals in the UK and would therefore be easy to implement. However, further large prospective studies are required in order to validate these findings prior to its establishment for this role in everyday surgical practice.

INTRODUCTION Despite increasing reports of laparoscopy for strangulated small bowel obstruction (SSBO), there is no consensus on outcomes in patients with SSBO. We evaluated the safety and utility of laparoscopy for SSBO and investigated the preoperative risk factors for laparotomy. METHODS This retrospective study included 107 patients who underwent emergency surgery for SSBO over a period of 6 years. Patients' characteristics and surgical parameters were compared between 27 patients undergoing laparoscopy alone (group L) and 80 patients undergoing laparotomy (group O, including conversion). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine risk factors for laparotomy. RESULTS Compared with group L, group O had significantly shorter operation time (59 vs 115 minutes, P

Machine learning models used to predict postoperative mortality rarely include intraoperative factors. Several intraoperative factors like hypotension (IOH), vasopressor-inotropes, and cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time are significantly associated with postoperative outcomes. The authors explored the ability of machine learning models incorporating intraoperative risk factors to predict mortality after cardiac surgery.Retrospective study.Tertiary hospital.A total of 5,015 adults who underwent cardiac surgery from 2008 to 2016.None.The intraoperative phase was divided into the following: (1) CPB, (2) outside CPB, and (3) total surgery for quantifying IOH only. Phase-specific IOH parameters (area under the curve for mean arterial pressure65 mmHg), vasopressor-inotropes (norepinephrine equivalents), duration, and cross-clamp time, along with preoperative risk factors ,were incorporated into the models. The primary outcome was mortality. The following 5 models were applied to 3 intraoperative phases separately: (1) logistic regression, (2) random forests, (3) neural networks, (4) support vector machines, and (5) extreme gradient boosting (XGB). Mortality was predicted using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Of 5,015 patients included, 112 (2.2%) died. XGB model from the outside-CPB phase predicted mortality better with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.88(0.83-0.94); positive predictive value, 0.10(0.06-0.15); specificity 0.85 (0.83-0.87) and sensitivity 0.75 (0.57-0.90).XGB machine learning model from IOH outside the CPB phase seemed to offer a better discrimination, sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value compared with other models. Machine learning models incorporating intraoperative adverse factors might offer better predictive ability for risk stratification and triaging of patients after cardiac surgery.

Background In patients with early hepatocellular cancer (HCC) and preserved liver function, the choice between transplantation, resection and ablation and which factors to consider is not obvious and guidelines differ. In this national cohort study, we aimed to compare posttreatment survival in patients fulfilling predefined criteria, and to analyse preoperative risk factors that could influence decision. Methods We used data from HCC-patients registered with primary transplantation, resection or ablation 2008–2016 in the SweLiv-registry. In Child A-subgroups, 18–75 years, we compared survival after transplantation or resection, with different tumour criteria; either corresponding to our transplantation criteria (N = 257) or stricter with single tumours ≤50 mm (N = 159). A subgroup with single tumours ≤30 mm, compared all three treatments (N = 193). Results We included 1022 HCC-patients; transplantation n = 223, resection n = 438, ablation n = 361. In the transplant criteria subgroup, differences in five-year survival, adjusted for age and gender, were not significant, with 71.2% (CI 62.3–81.3) after transplantation (n = 109) and 63.5% (CI 54.9–73.5) after resection (n = 148). Good liver function (Child 5 vs. 6, Albumin ≥36), increased the risk after transplantation, but decreased the risk after resection and ablation. Conclusion Even within Child A, detailed liver function assessment is important before treatment decision, and for stratifying survival comparisons.

Robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) is the current standard of care with long term cure in organ-confined disease. The introduction of nerve-sparing (NS) to standard RARP has shown positive results in terms of functional outcomes in addition to the oncological outcomes. This article reviews the current perspectives of NS-RARP in terms of applied anatomy of the prostatic fascial planes, the neurovascular bundle (NVB), various NS techniques and postoperative functional outcomes. A non-systematic review was done using PubMed, Embase and Medline databases to retrieve and analyse articles in English, with following keywords “prostate cancer”, “robotic radical prostatectomy”, “nerve-sparing”. The Delphi method was used with an expert panel of robotic surgeons in urology to analyse the potency outcomes of various published comparative and non-comparative studies. The literature has shown that NS-RARP involves various techniques and approaches while there is a lack of randomized studies to suggest the superiority of one over the other. Variables such as preoperative risk assessments, baseline potency, surgical anatomy of individual patients and surgeons’ expertise play a major role in the outcomes. A tailored approach for each patient is required for applying the NS approach during RARP.

Background: Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy (LDP) is a challenging operation due to technical complexity and tumor-related factors. Aim of this study was to identify preoperative risk factors affecting LDP difficulty. Methods: Consecutive patients who underwent LDP between 2015 and 2018 at San Raffaele Hospital and Policlinico S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital were enrolled retrospectively. Three variables were used to define surgical difficulty: conversion to open, duration of surgery >3rd quartile and intraoperative blood loss >3rd quartile. The presence of ≥1 of these 3 variables was considered as another measure of difficulty. Results: Overall, 191 patients were included. Conversion to open was required in 25 patients (13%). At multiple regression analysis, tumor proximity to major vessels was the only independent predictor of conversion from laparoscopic to open (p < 0.001). No variables independently predicted an excessive duration of surgery. Male gender (p = 0.033) and increasing parenchymal thickness at resection line (p = 0.018) were independent predictors of excessive blood loss. Increasing parenchymal thickness at resection line (p = 0.014) and tumor proximity to major vessels (p = 0.002) were significant risk factors for the presence of ≥1 outcome of surgical difficulty. Conclusion: Male gender, increasing parenchymal thickness at resection line and tumor proximity to major vessels represent preoperative risk factors of LDP difficulty.

BACKGROUND Pancreaticobiliary malignant diseases are primarily treated by surgical resection. However, the surgical indications for elderly patients, especially for pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD), must be carefully considered due to patient compliance. Whether PD can contribute to better prognoses in elderly patients remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the complications, compliance, and survival of elderly and non-elderly patients who underwent PD in our department. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 282 patients who underwent PD from 2000 to 2017 and divided them into non-elderly (aged ≤ 79 years, n = 238) and elderly (aged ≥ 80 years, n = 44) groups. The estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress (E-PASS) system was used to evaluate morbidity and mortality using preoperative risk score (PRS), surgical stress score (SSS), and comprehensive risk score (CRS). RESULTS Preoperative risk score was higher in the elderly group than in the non-elderly group, although SSS and CRS were similar. No significant differences were detected in the occurrence of postoperative complications. In the elderly group, CRS was higher in patients with complications than in those without. Long-term outcomes evaluated by overall and disease-specific survival were not significantly different. CONCLUSIONS In the elderly patients, E-PASS especially CRS can predict the occurrence of complications. The safety and prognoses of elderly patients after PD are comparable with those of non-elderly patients.

Cognitive impairment (CI) is common in geriatric patients. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and impact of CI on outcomes in geriatric patients undergoing emergency general surgery (EGS).We performed a (2017-2018) prospective analysis of patients (age ≥65y) who underwent EGS. Cognition was assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). Patients were stratified into: CI (MoCA score26) and no-CI (MoCA≥26). Outcomes were the prevalence of CI, in-hospital complications, discharged to rehab/skilled nursing facility (SNF), and mortality.A total of 142 patients were enrolled. Overall prevalence of CI was 20%. Patients with CI had higher rates of complications (OR 1.6 [1.4-1.9]; p = 0.01), and discharge to rehab/SNF (OR 2.2 [2.0-2.5]; p = 0.03). There was no difference in mortality (OR 1.1 [0.6-1.8]; p = 0.24) between the 2 groups.One in five geriatric EGS patients has CI. It is associated with higher complications and adverse discharge. Cognitive assessment should be included in preoperative risk stratification.

Coronary artery disease is one of the commonest surgery demanding cardiovascular diseases. Coronary artery bypass graft surgery is practiced all over the world for the treatment of coronary artery disease. Systemic trauma during the surgery is associated with a wide range of complications, some of which are fatal. Preoperative risk factors such as age, previous illness and obesity are common predictors of these adverse events. Advances in therapeutic medicine have allowed timely treatment of these adverse events and co-morbidities. This review summarizes some of the most occurring complications associated with coronary artery bypass graft and corresponding treatment options.

Aim To explore the potentiality of radiomics analysis, performed on 68Ga-DOTATOC and fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/computed tomography (CT) images, in predicting tumour aggressiveness and outcome in patients candidate to surgery for pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (PanNENs). Patients and methods Retrospective study including 61 patients who underwent 68Ga-DOTATOC and 18F-FDG PET/CT before surgery for PanNEN. Semiquantitative variables [SUVmax and somatostatin receptor density (SRD) for 68Ga-DOTATOC PET; SUVmax and MTV for 18F-FDG PET] and texture features [intensity variability, size zone variability (SZV), zone percentage, entropy; homogeneity, dissimilarity and coefficient of variation (Co-V)] have been analysed to evaluate their possible role in predicting tumour characteristics. Principal component analysis (PCA) was firstly performed and then multiple regression analyses were performed by using the extracted principal components. Results Regarding 68Ga-DOTATOC PET, SZV, entropy, intensity variability and SRD were predictive for tumour dimension. Regarding 18F-FDG PET, intensity variability, SZV, homogeneity, SUVmax and MTV were predictive for tumour dimension. Four principal components were extracted from PCA: PC1 correlated with all 18F-FDG variables, while PC2, PC3 and PC4 with 68Ga-DOTATOC variables. PC1 was the only significantly predicting angioinvasion (P = 0.0222); PC4 was the only one significantly predicting lymph nodal involvement (P = 0.0151). All principal components except PC4 significantly predicted tumour dimension (P

With increasing prevalence of chronic diseases, multimorbid patients have become commonplace in the neurosurgical intensive care unit (neuro-ICU), offering unique management challenges. By reducing physiological reserve and interacting with one another, chronic comorbidities pose a greatly enhanced risk of major postoperative medical complications, especially cardiopulmonary complications, which ultimately exert a negative impact on neurosurgical outcomes. These premises underscore the importance of perioperative optimization, in turn requiring a thorough preoperative risk stratification, a basic understanding of a multimorbid patient’s deranged physiology and a proper appreciation of the potential of surgery, anesthesia and neurocritical care interventions to exacerbate comorbid pathophysiologies. This knowledge enables neurosurgeons, neuroanesthesiologists and neurointensivists to function with a heightened level of vigilance in the care of these high-risk patients and can inform the perioperative neuro-ICU management with individualized strategies able to minimize the risk of untoward outcomes. This review highlights potential pitfalls in the intra- and postoperative neuro-ICU period, describes common preoperative risk stratification tools and discusses tailored perioperative ICU management strategies in multimorbid neurosurgical patients, with a special focus on approaches geared toward the minimization of postoperative cardiopulmonary complications and unplanned reintubation.

Background Proximal interphalangeal joint (PIPJ) arthrodesis can provide reliable pain relief and restore hand function in patients with PIPJ arthritis. However, there is a paucity of literature on patient-specific preoperative risk factors that are associated with adverse outcomes after PIPJ arthrodeses. Therefore, the primary purpose of this study was to assess preoperative predictors of nonunion and reoperation after PIPJ arthrodesis. Methods This study identified all patients who underwent PIPJ arthrodesis at a single community practice between 1987 and 2013. The final analysis included 415 PIPJs treated with arthrodesis. The mean follow-up was 1.3 years. Data on preoperative diagnosis, demographics, comorbidities, and operative techniques were recorded, as well as the occurrence of nonunions and reoperations. Logistic regression models were used to identify independent risk factors of nonunion and reoperation. Results There were 40 nonunions (10%) and 62 reoperations (15%). Of the reoperations, there were 39 incidences of isolated hardware removal, 9 irrigation and debridement, 8 amputations, 5 revision arthrodeses, and 1 corrective osteotomy. The highest number of nonunions occurred in the traumatic diagnosis group (37%), followed by the rheumatoid group (23%) and the scleroderma group (15%). The highest number of reoperations occurred within the traumatic joint disorder group (40%), followed by the rheumatoid group (24%) and the scleroderma group (11%). Multivariate analysis revealed that male sex ( P < .01) and hepatic disease ( P = .03) were significant risk factors of nonunion. Male sex was also significantly associated with increased reoperation risk ( P < .01). Conclusion Risks of nonunions and reoperations after PIPJ arthrodeses are low; however, these findings may guide clinicians and patients in the preoperative decision-making process and help with targeted postoperative surveillance to mitigate these risks.

Purpose To present a statistically validated risk classification system for intraoperative complications in cataract surgery. Setting 2nd Department of Ophthalmology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece. Design Prospective observational study. Methods All patients underwent phacoemulsification surgery by experienced, high-volume surgeons for cases with intraoperative complications. The presence of several risk factors was statistically assessed with the help of multiple correspondence analysis to determine the more reliable rank categorization for severity and to calculate a total risk score. Results This study included 1572 consecutive patients. The proposed system had 3 risk groups and a no-risk group and had high statistical reliability. A comparison of this system against a previously asserted empirical system showed higher internal reliability. Conclusions Previous efforts to construct a risk classification system for intraoperative complications in cataract surgery have been empirically defined and tested against practice-as-usual. The system in this study quantified risk more accurately and provided an experienced clinician with a reliable means of assessing the preoperational likelihood of intraoperative complications.

This study was conducted to evaluate preoperative risk factors for development of complications of percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL). All consecutive patients aged ≥ 16 years who underwent PCNL during 2015 were retrospectively reviewed. Non-contrast CT (NCCT) was performed for all patients to evaluate stone complexity. The technique of PCNL was the same for all patients. Intra-operative and postoperative complications were recorded and classified based on modified Clavien system. The differences in preoperative data (patients, renal and stone characteristics including Guy’s and STONE scores) between complicated and uncomplicated cases were compared using univariate and multivariate statistical analyses for detection of independent risk factors. The study included 1178 patients (61% were males). Mean age was 50 ± 12 years, and mean BMI was 30.7 ± 5.7 kg/m2. Complicated group included 166 patients (14.1%). Independent risk factors on multivariate analysis were infected preoperative urine culture (RR: 2.098, P 0.001, 95%CI: 1.380–3.189), largest stones diameter 30 mm or more (RR: 2.481, P > 0.001, 95%CI: 1.697–3.627) and number of calyces affected by the stones (RR: 2.431, P 0.002, 95%CI: 1.400–4.222 for affection of two calyces and RR: 2.778, P 0.005, 95%CI: 1.357–5.684 for affection of three calyces). While two scoring systems (Guy’s and STONE) were not predictive of complications after PCNL, preoperative risk factors were infected preoperative urine culture, distribution of the stones or stone branches in two or three calyceal groups and stone size 30 mm or more.

Background Although most conventional risk prediction models have been based on preoperative information, intra- and post-operative events may be more relevant to mortality after surgery. We sought to develop a mortality risk calculator based on real time characteristics associated with hepatectomy. Methods Patients who underwent hepatectomy between 2014 and 2017 were identified in the ACS-NSQIP dataset. Three prediction models (pre-, intra-, post-operative) were developed and validated using perioperative data. Results Among 14,720 patients, 197 (1.3%) experienced 30-day mortality. The predictive ability of the real-time mortality risk calculator was very good based on only preoperative factors (AUC; training cohort: 0.813, validation cohort: 0.731). Incorporating intra-operative variables into the model increased the AUC (training: 0.838, validation: 0.777), while the post-operative model achieved an AUC of 0.922 in the training and 0.885 in the validation cohorts, respectively. While patients with low preoperative risk had only very small fluctuations in the estimated 30-day mortality risk during the intraoperative (Δ0.4%) and postoperative (Δ0.6%) phases, patients who were already deemed high risk preoperatively had additional increased mortality risk based on factors that occurred in the intraoperative (Δ5.4%) and postoperative (Δ9.3%) periods. Conclusion A real-time mortality risk calculator may better help clinicians identify patients at risk of death at the different stages of the surgical episode.

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW: To discuss tear- and patient-related factors that influence the healing potential of rotator cuff tears and to clarify the terminology surrounding this topic. RECENT FINDINGS: Over the last few years, further insight has been gained regarding rotator cuff tear features that are associated with poor healing rates after rotator cuff repair. Some of these features have been incorporated in prediction models developed to accurately predict rotator cuff healing rates utilizing preoperative risk factors weighted by importance. SUMMARY: Rotator cuff tears may be considered functionally irreparable based on their size, chronicity, absence of adequate tendon length, atrophy, and fatty infiltration. Furthermore, advanced age, use of tobacco products, diabetes, and other patient-related factors may impair tendon healing. Careful analysis and discussion of all these factors with patients is essential to determine if surgical repair of a rotator cuff tear should be recommended, or if it is best to proceed with one of the several salvage procedures reviewed in this topical collection, including augmentation of the repair, superior capsular reconstruction, tendon transfers, and other.

Background Informed consent is an ethical imperative of surgical practice. This requires effective communication of procedural risks to patients and is learned during residency. No systematic review has yet examined current risk disclosure. This systematic review aims to use existing published information to assess preoperative provision of risk information by surgeons. Methods Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses as a guide, a standardized search in Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, CINHAL, and PubMed was performed. Three reviewers performed the study screening, with 2-reviewer consensus required at each stage. Studies containing objective information concerning preoperative risk provision in adult surgical patients were selected for inclusion. Studies exclusively addressing interventions for pediatric patients or trauma were excluded, as were studies addressing risks of anesthesia. Results The initial search returned 12,988 papers after deduplication, 33 of which met inclusion criteria. These studies primarily evaluated consent through surveys of providers, record reviews and consent recordings. The most ubiquitous finding of all study types was high levels of intra-surgeon variation in what risk information is provided to patients preoperatively. Studies recording consents found the lowest rates of risk disclosure. Studies using multiple forms of investigation corroborated this, finding disparity between verbally provided information vs chart documentation. Conclusions The wide variance in what information is provided to patients preoperatively inhibits the realization of the ethical and practical components of informed consent. The findings of this review indicate that significant opportunities exist for practice improvement. Future development of surgical communication tools and techniques should emphasize standardizing what risks are shared with patients.

Debate persists over whether surgery to correct pelvic organ prolapse (POP) should be combined with midurethral sling (MUS) insertion. The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence of stress urinary incontinence (SUI) up to 12 months after transvaginal mesh surgery, with or without MUS, and to identify risk factors for postoperative SUI. This retrospective single-center study included patients who underwent transvaginal mesh surgery with Uphold™ between October 2010 and December 2017. The primary outcome was the prevalence of SUI at 12 months postoperatively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to identify risks factors for postoperative SUI. Of the 308 women included, 123 (40%) were continent (no SUI), 108 (35%) had SUI, and 76 (25%) had occult SUI. Forty-nine patients (15.9%) had a concomitant MUS procedure. At 12 months after surgery, 35.9% of patients without concomitant MUS had SUI vs 14.3% with (p = 0.003). Thirty-five patients (29%) developed de novo SUI. Postoperative complications were more common in patients with concomitant MUS (30.6% vs 17%; p = 0.003). The best predictor of postoperative SUI was the presence of preoperative SUI (OR 2.52 (1.25–5.09). Concomitant MUS (p

Early findings of superior total knee arthroplasty (TKA) outcomes at high volume centers have been thought to have led to distinct referral patterns. However, the effect of these selective referral processes has not been well assessed. Therefore, this study compared the characteristics of primary TKA patients at high, intermediate, and low volume hospitals.A total of 12,541 primary TKA patients were stratified into risk groups based on age (65 years), body mass index (40), and Charlson Comorbidity Index (≥4). Hospitals were classified as low, intermediate, or high volume based on mean annual TKA volumes (250, 250-499, and500). Multivariate logistic regression models evaluated the relationship between baseline patient characteristics and hospital volume.There was a greater percentage of high risk patients at high volume (19%, n = 853) compared to those at intermediate (16%, n = 899) or low volume (17%, n = 444) hospitals (P.001). Patients with a body mass index40 were more likely to be treated at high compared to intermediate (odds ratio [OR] 1.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-1.6, P.001) and low volume centers (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.7, P.001). Patients with Charlson Comorbidity Index scores ≥4 were also more likely be treated at high compared to intermediate (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3-1.6, P.001) or low (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.0-1.4, P = .002) volume centers.This study found that TKA patients at high volume centers have significantly different baseline characteristics compared to those at lower volume centers. This study highlights the importance of considering hospital volume status and the associated disparity in the preoperative risk of patients when comparing primary TKA outcomes between centers.

Many patients with sickle cell disease (SCD) need surgical management during their lifetime. The best approach for preoperative transfusion in SCD is still to be determined. In this single-center retrospective study, we included HBSS/HBS-Beta

INTRODUCTION. Coronary artery bypass surgery is the most popular method of surgical treatment of patients with chronic heart failure of ischemic origin. Modern direction of developing the cardiac surgery in treating patients with chronic heart failure of ischemic origin is «off-pump» techniques. However, the high risk of emergency conversion to «on pump» reduce the availability for using «off pump» techniques with this kind of patients. Preoperative risk factors for unplanned conversion to cardiopulmonary bypass have not been studied. The OBJECTIVE was to determine preoperative risk factors of urgent conversion to bypass in patients with congestive ischemic heart failure during off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting. METHODS AND MATERIALS. The results of 44 coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) off-pump procedures in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy were retrospectively analyzed. Emergent conversion to artificial circulation was needed due to acute heart failure in 8 (18 %) patients. All patients were divided into 2 groups depending on the necessity for emergency using the cardiopulmonary bypass. Then the patients’ preoperative status was analyzed. RESULTS. We determined that the risk factors of emergent conversion to cardiopulmonary bypass were observed in the following cases: patients after 70 years old with a combined left main coronary artery lesion and right coronary artery occlusion; left ventricle end-diastolic size more than 70 mm; mild mitral insufficiency; the presence of atrial or ventricle rhythm disturbances; EuroSCORE logistic score more than 4.9 %. CONCLUSION. The identified risk factors allow to minimize the risk of urgent conversion to bypass circulation during off-pump myocardial revascularization in patients with congestive ischemic heart failure. When these risk factors are present, it is recommended to use on-pump or on-pump beating heart techniques of coronary artery bypass grafting in these patients.

Background The role of dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) in the risk stratification of patients undergoing noncardiac surgery in the current era is unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the yield of DSE and the additive role of DSE to clinical criteria for preoperative risk stratification of patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Methods The study included 4,494 patients undergoing DSE ≤90 days before noncardiac surgery. The primary outcome was a composite of postoperative myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest, and all-cause mortality ≤30 days after noncardiac surgery. Results The overall 30-day postoperative cardiac event rate was 2.3%. The mortality rate was 0.9% overall and 0.7% and 1.3% after normal and abnormal results on DSE, respectively. Among clinical variables, the modified Revised Cardiac Risk Index score demonstrated the strongest association with postoperative risk (P Conclusions Baseline and peak-stress findings on preoperative DSE add to the prognostic utility of clinical variables for stratifying cardiac risk after noncardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND The spine-pelvis-hip interaction during postural change should be considered in the functional anatomy of the hip. The component parts of this anatomy and how they influence hip function are important to know. Pelvic incidence (PI) is one of these components. We studied if PI was preoperatively predictive of impingement risk and if it postoperatively influences hip position, which could cause outliers from the functional safe zone of hip replacement. METHODS This was a prospective radiographic study of 187 consecutive patients (200 hips) who had lateral spinopelvis-hip radiographs before and after primary total hip arthroplasty with measurements of the component factors that influence mobility and position of the functional anatomy. The predictive value of PI for risk of impingement of the hip and its postoperative relationship to functional safe-zone outliers were assessed. Forty-one dislocations from our clinical practice were also reviewed. RESULTS Of 200 hips, the PI was normal in 145 hips (73%), low in 18 hips (9%), and high in 37 hips (19%). Eighty-two hips had spinopelvic imbalance: 12 (67%) of the 18 hips with low PI, 56 (39%) of the 145 hips with normal PI, and 14 (38%) of the 37 hips with high PI. Low-PI hips was the most predictive of the risk of impingement and postoperatively these hips had the most outliers from the functional safe zone. CONCLUSIONS PI is an anatomical component that is predictive of both impingement risk and functional safe-zone outliers. Preoperative risk, based on factors such as the Lewinnek zones and combined anteversion, is an established guide in determining cup position in hip replacement. Low-PI hips that have the "terrible triad" of a posteriorly tilted pelvis, stiff pelvic mobility, and increased femoral flexion therefore have no functional safe zone. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Prognostic Level IV. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Background For patients with Grade III acute cholecystitis (AC), several factors have been proposed in the 2018 Tokyo guidelines as caution signs in performing early surgery. However, these factors have not been externally validated in detail. Methods This retrospective study examined 35 patients who had been diagnosed with Grade III AC and treated with laparoscopic cholecystectomy between January 2008 and July 2019. The patients were allocated into an early group (patients who underwent surgery within 7 days of admission, n = 28) and a delayed group (patients who underwent surgery at least 8 days after admission, n = 7). Comparisons were made between these groups. Results No patients died. Significantly more patients required a conversion to open surgery (0% vs 28.5%, P = .003) or conversion to subtotal cholecystectomy (25.0% vs 71.4%, P = .020) in the delayed group than in the early group, and the total length of postoperative stay was significantly longer in the delayed group (11.4 vs 27.2 days, P = .001). The presence of negative predictive factors or risk factors listed in the 2018 Tokyo guidelines was not associated with death or postoperative complications. Conclusions Early surgery was considered appropriate and feasible for select patients who had Grade III AC and preoperative risk factors.

Background: Lymph node examination is a prognostic indicator for colon cancer (CC) patients. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a preoperative risk prediction model for inadequate lymph node examination. Methods: 24284 patients diagnosed as stage I-III CC between 2010-2014 were extracted from SEER database and randomly divided into development cohort (N=12142) and internal validation cohort (N=12142). 680 patients diagnosed as stage I-III CC between 2012-2014 were extracted from our hospital as external validation cohort. Logistic regression analysis was performed and risk score of each factor was calculated according to model formula. Model discrimination was assessed using C-statistics. Results: Preoperative risk factors were identified as gender, age, tumor site and tumor size. Patients with total risk score of 0-6 were considered as low risk group while patients scored ≥13 were considered as high risk group. The model had good discrimination and calibration in all cohorts and could apply to patients in the SEER database (American population) and patients in our hospital (Chinese population). Conclusions: The model could accurately predict the risk of inadequate lymph node examination before surgery and might provide useful reference for surgeons and pathologists.

Purpose Postoperative cerebellar mutism syndrome (pCMS) is a complication that may occur after pediatric fossa posterior tumor surgery. Liu et al. developed an MRI-based prediction model to estimate pCMS risk preoperatively. The goal of this study was to validate the model of Liu et al. and if validation was not as sensitive in our group as previously described to develop an easy to use, reliable, and sensitive preoperative risk prediction model for pCMS. Methods In this study, 121children with a fossa posterior tumor who underwent surgery at ErasmusMC/Sophia Children’s Hospital, the Netherlands between 2004 and 2018 could be included. Twenty-six percent of them developed pCMS. Preoperative MRI were scored using the Liu et al. model. Results The Liu et al. model reached an accuracy of 78%, a sensitivity of 58%, and a specificity of 84% in our cohort. In a new risk model some of the variables of Liu et al. were included as well as some of the recently described preoperative MRI characteristics in pCMS patients by Zhang et al. The new model reached an accuracy of 87%, a sensitivity of 97%, and a specificity of 84% in our patient group. Conclusion Because the Liu et al. model did not provide an as accurate risk prediction in our cohort as was expected, we created a new risk prediction model that reached high model accuracy in our cohort that could assist neurosurgeons in determining their surgical tactics and help prepare high risk patients and their parents for this severe complication.

To minimize healthcare related costs, ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs) have become increasingly favored venues for outpatient spine surgery. Using a national cohort of patients undergoing elective lumbar decompression (LD) in an inpatient or outpatient hospital setting, the current objectives were to: 1) outline specific factors that were associated with complications, and 2) describe potentially catastrophic complications.Adults who underwent LD between 2008 and 2014 were identified in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. Inclusion criteria were: principal procedure LD (CPT 63030), elective, neurologic/orthopaedic surgeons, length of stay (LOS) of 0/1 days, and discharged home. The primary outcome was presence of any complication. The secondary outcome was occurrence of potentially catastrophic complications. Univariate/multivariable logistic regression was performed.A total of 19,908 patients met the inclusion criteria. 564 (2.83%) patients experienced a complication. Cardiac intervention remained the only independent predictor of complications after multivariate testing (OR: 2.02, 95% CI: 1.00, 4.07, p = 0.049). Approximate comorbidity score cut-offs associated with2% risk of complication were: ASA ≤ 3, CCI ≤ 5, mFI ≤ 0.182. A total of 96 (0.48%) patients experienced potentially catastrophic complications.We utilized a national cohort of patients undergoing elective inpatient and outpatient LD in a hospital setting to identify preoperative risk factors for postoperative complications. Previous cardiac intervention was the sole independent predictor of complications. Although no patients treated at ASCs were studied, we believe these factors can aid in selecting patients most appropriate for ASCs and begin the process of selecting the best patients for an ambulatory setting.

First postoperative day drain fluid amylase (DFA1)5000 U/L is commonly used for early drain removal. We manage patients with risk-stratified pancreatectomy care pathways determined preoperatively by risk for postoperative pancreatic fistula. We hypothesized that preoperative risk stratification would yield unique DFA1/DFA3 cutoffs for safe early drain removal.Patients with DFA1/DFA3 values after pancreaticoduodenectomy or distal pancreatectomy were identified. Patients were risk stratified as "low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy," "high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy," or "distal pancreatectomy." Receiver operator characteristic analyses yielded clinically relevant sensitivity thresholds for International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery grade B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas.From October 2016 to April 2018, 174 patients were preoperatively stratified as low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy (n = 78, 45%), high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy (n = 51, 29%), and distal pancreatectomy (n = 45, 26%). B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas developed in 3% (n = 2) of low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomies, 37% (n = 19) of high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomies, and 24% (n = 11) of distal pancreatectomies (low- vs high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy P.001, low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy versus distal pancreatectomy P = .004, high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy versus distal pancreatectomy P = .25). B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas occurred in 16% (n = 21) pancreaticoduodenectomy patients (high- + low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy), and B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas were excluded in pancreaticoduodenectomy with 100% sensitivity if DFA1 ≤ 136 or DFA3 ≤ 93. DFA15000 excluded B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas with only 57% sensitivity after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Exclusion of B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas occurred with 100% sensitivity if DFA1 ≤ 661 or DFA3 ≤ 141 in low-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy patients, DFA1 ≤ 136 or DFA3 ≤ 93 in high-risk pancreaticoduodenectomy patients, and DFA149 or DFA326 in distal pancreatectomy patients.Preoperative risk stratification results in unique DFA1/DFA3 thresholds to exclude B/C postoperative pancreatic fistulas, thus allowing for safe drain removal and potential for accelerated discharge. Rather than applying generic DFA cutoffs based on national databases, we propose institution-specific DFA1 and DFA3 values tailored to 3 replicable postoperative pancreatic fistula-risk pathways.

The aging surgical population constitutes a unique challenge to clinicians across the spectrum of care. Frailty is a valuable tool for preoperative risk stratification and may guide targeted interventions, such as prehabilitation. The aim of this review is to revise the recent literature on the role of frailty and prehabilitation to optimize geriatric patients undergoing surgery.The concept of frailty became more refined over the past couple of decades, and its various dimensions have been operationalized into an array of different frailty scoring systems. The association between frailty and adverse perioperative events has been demonstrated in many surgical specialties. The use of multimodal prehabilitation of frail patients is expanding, and most prehabilitation programs (which focus on nutritional supplementation, feedback-based exercise regimens, and pulmonary optimization) have promising outcomes.Frailty is a valuable risk stratification tool that better captures the state of augmented vulnerability of older adults. Frail patients benefit from targeted interventions, such as multimodal prehabilitation. Thus, the implementation of nationwide geriatric surgery standards can address ongoing challenges in performing surgery on older, frail patients.

Background Total ankle arthroplasty (TAA) offers an effective option for end-stage osteoarthritis. The incidence and preoperative risk factors for early adverse events (AEs) following primary and revision TAA may be useful information for providers. Methods A large database was queried from 2010 to 2016 to identify 905 patients of whom 818 underwent primary TAA (90.4%) and 87 underwent revision TAA (9.6%). Data on patient demographics, comorbidities, and hospital length of stay were analyzed as risk factors for reported 30-day AEs. Results The overall AE rate was 5.5% (50/905) for the entire cohort. AEs occurred more frequently for revision TAA (9/87) than primary TAA (41/818) cases (OR 2.43, p = 0.022). Age (OR 1.03, p = 0.045), BMI (OR 1.04, p = 0.046), and revision TAA (OR 2.56, p = 0.002) were independent risk factors for 30-day AEs in multivariate analysis. Conclusions Older age, higher BMI, and revision cases are associated with a higher risk of AEs.

International audience; BACKGROUND: Bariatric surgery has increased the number of patients requiring medial thighplasty after massive weight loss. However, despite the various complications, the procedure improves quality of life. The authors report postoperative complications of vertical J-shaped medial thigh lift in a series of patients and identify preoperative risk factors. METHODS: For almost 5 years, the details of all J medial thighplasties performed by a single surgeon were recorded; detailed medical records were also available. Complications can be major (e.g., need for early surgical revision or readmission) or minor (delayed wound healing). RESULTS: During the study period, 94 patients were treated and only minor complications were recorded (42.5 percent). On multivariate analysis, older age (OR, 1.05; 95 percent CI, 1.01 to 1.10) and a body mass index greater than or equal to 30 kg/m2 (OR, 2.82; 95 percent CI, 1.10 to 7.22) were independent risk factors for postoperative complications. CONCLUSIONS: As with other postbariatric operations, medial thighplasty is associated with significant morbidity, but the risk thereof can be easily established and managed. Specific algorithms for determining the risk of postoperative complications based on age and body mass index are needed to guide preoperative discussions with patients and perform patient selection. CLINICAL QUESTION/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Risk, III.

Background: The number of patients requiring reoperation has increased as the volume of hip arthroscopy for femoroacetabular impingement syndrome (FAIS) has increased. The factors most important in determining patients who are likely to require reoperation remain elusive. Purpose: To leverage machine learning to better characterize the complex relationship across various preoperative factors (patient characteristics, radiographic parameters, patient-reported outcome measures [PROMs]) for patients undergoing primary hip arthroscopy for FAIS to determine which features predict the need for future ipsilateral hip reoperation, namely, revision hip arthroscopy, total hip arthroplasty (THA), hip resurfacing arthroplasty (HRA), or periacetabular osteotomy (PAO). Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: A cohort of 3147 patients undergoing 3748 primary hip arthroscopy procedures were included from an institutional hip preservation registry. Preoperative computed tomography of the hip was obtained for each patient, from which the following parameters were calculated: the alpha angle; the coronal center-edge angle; the neck-shaft angle; the acetabular version angle at 1, 2, and 3 o’clock; and the femoral version angle. Preoperative PROMs included the modified Harris Hip Score (mHHS), the Hip Outcome Score (HOS)–Activities of Daily Living subscale (HOS-ADL) and the Sport Specific subscale, and the international Hip Outcome Tool (iHOT-33). Random forest models were created for revision hip arthroscopy, the THA, the HRA, and the PAO. Area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operating characteristic curve and accuracy were calculated to evaluate each model. Results: A total of 171 patients (4.6%) underwent subsequent hip surgery after primary hip arthroscopy for FAIS. The AUC and accuracy, respectively, were 0.77 (fair) and 76% for revision hip arthroscopy (mean, 26.4-month follow-up); 0.80 (good) and 81% for THA (mean, 32.5-month follow-up); 0.62 (poor) and 69% for HRA (mean, 45.4-month follow-up); and 0.76 (fair) and 74% for PAO (mean, 30.4-month follow-up). The most important factors in predicting reoperation after primary hip arthroscopy were higher body mass index (BMI) and lower preoperative HOS-ADL for revision hip arthroscopy, greater age and lower preoperative iHOT-33 for THA, increased BMI for HRA, and larger neck-shaft angle and lower preoperative mHHS for PAO. Conclusion: Despite the low failure rate of hip arthroscopy for FAIS, our study demonstrated that machine learning has the capability to identify key preoperative risk factors that may predict subsequent ipsilateral hip surgery before the index hip arthroscopy. Knowledge of these demographic, radiographic, and patient-reported outcome data may aid in preoperative counseling and expectation management to better optimize hip preservation.

This comprehensive narrative literature review aims to extract studies related to frailty indices and their use in elective spine procedures, as limited studies regarding frailty exist in the spine literature. Most studies are retrospective analyses of prospectively collected databases. Evidence suggests a positive correlation between frailty level and mortality rate, postoperative complication rate, length of stay, and the possibility of discharge to a skilled nursing facility; these correlations have been illustrated across various spine procedures. The leading index is the modified frailty index, which measures 11 deficits. The development of more comprehensive frailty indices, such as the Adult Spinal Deformity Frailty Index, are promising and have high predictive value regarding postoperative complication rate in patients with spinal deformity. However, a frailty index that combines clinical, radiographic, and laboratory measures awaits development. Perhaps, the use of a frailty index in preoperative risk stratification for elective spine procedures could serve multiple purposes, including screening for high-risk patients, enhancement of operative decision making, approximation of complication rate for informed decision making, and refinement of perioperative care. Further prospective studies are warranted to determine clinically meaningful interventions in frail individuals.

Objectives Outcomes after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) are worse in women than in men. This study aims to investigate whether off-pump coronary artery bypass (OPCAB) surgery improves the outcomes in women by comparing different outcome measures in both genders. Methods Patients who underwent isolated CABG, either on-pump (ONCAB) or OPCAB, between January 1998 and June 2017 were included. Primary endpoints were 30-day and 120-day mortality. Logistic regression models were constructed to evaluate the effect of the CABG technique on important outcomes such as mortality and the need for blood transfusion. Results The data of 17,052 patients were analysed, 3,684 of whom were women (414 OPCAB) and 13,368 men (1,483 OPCAB). The mean number of grafts was lower in the OPCAB group of both genders (p p p p = 0.026]. The difference in 120-day mortality was not significant in men (OR = 0.787, 95% CI 0.498–1.246, p = 0.307). Conclusions Women undergoing CABG benefit more from OPCAB surgery than from ONCAB surgery in terms of 120-day mortality. This difference was not found in men in our patient population.

Background Certain behavioral traits and inadequate social support are known risk factors for complications after cancer surgery. Despite their importance, it is unclear whether conventional patient preoperative evaluation captures them. This study was conducted to assess concordance between documentation and patient survey of selected risk factors and to determine whether failure to document affected postoperative outcomes. Methods Adult patients at a tertiary academic medical center were surveyed before abdominal cancer surgery to assess 6 psychosocial risk factors. Risk factors were also assessed by retrospective chart review and compared with survey results through concordance measures. Thirty-day postoperative complications were abstracted by chart review. Rates of major complications for those with and without clinically missed risk factors were compared. Results Comparisons between chart review and screening survey revealed poor-to-moderate positive agreement (0%–47%) for 5 risk factors and strong negative agreement (82%–99%) among all risk factors. Kappa analysis demonstrated poor-to-fair agreement among 5 risk factors (κ = 0.112–0.423). The overall complication rate was 36%. The complication rate for patients with at least 1 clinically missed risk factor was 49% vs 24% in those without (P = .021), with a similar effect replicated for each individual risk factor. Conclusion This study shows a high level of discordance between formal screening and routine clinician documentation in a preoperative setting for psychosocial risk factors. There is a significant association between missing these risk factors and worse postoperative outcomes. Future work should examine whether structured screening of psychosocial risk factors may improve preoperative risk stratification through proactive interventions.

Objectives Type II endoleak is a problem after endovascular abdominal aneurysm repair. Preoperative risk factors for Type II endoleak include anatomical factors in the lumbar artery and inferior mesenteric artery; however, preventable postoperative risk factors are unknown. Postimplantation syndrome is associated with lower incidence of Type II endoleak. Therefore, we focused on inflammation, and our aim was to investigate nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs as a postoperative risk factor for Type II endoleak. Methods This was a retrospective study of patients with aortic aneurysm who underwent endovascular aneurism repair at the Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beppu Medical Center, Oita, Japan, from January 2011 to August 2018. Clinical characteristics were retrieved from patients’ medical records and included age, sex, body mass index, smoking history, comorbidities, treatment devices, medications, and perioperative information, including postimplantation syndrome. Postimplantation syndrome was defined as body temperature >38.5°C with 12,000/dL white blood cells or >10.0 mg/dL C-reactive protein. The primary outcome was the presence or absence of Type II endoleak assessed on the first postoperative enhanced computed tomography scan. Risk factors for Type II endoleak were assessed. Results and conclusions: Of the eligible 84 patients, 20 (24%) had Type II endoleak identified in the first enhanced computed tomographic scans after endovascular aneurism repair. Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use (odds ratio (OR): 21.2; 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.5–308.4; P = 0.026), cerebrovascular disease (OR: 7.27; 95% CI: 1.06–49.99; P = 0.044), and body mass index 2 (OR: 17.3; 95% CI: 2.1–141.8; P = 0.008) were independent risk factors for Type II endoleak after endovascular aneurism repair. Comparing the rate of Type II endoleak among patients who did not receive nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs within 24 h after endovascular aneurism repair, patients who first used nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs 12–24 h after endovascular aneurism repair, and those who received nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs within 12 h after endovascular aneurism repair, we found a significant difference among the groups (4%, 18%, 45%, respectively; P = 0.001). Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use within 24 h after endovascular aneurism repair is a risk factor for Type II endoleak. We should know nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs within 24 h after endovascular aneurism repair can be a risk of Type II endoleak.

PURPOSE: To build radiomic prediction models using contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CE-CT) to preoperatively predict malignant potential and mitotic count of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 333 GISTs patients were retrospectively included in our study. Radiomic features were extracted from the preoperative CE-CT images. According to postoperative pathology, patients were categorized by malignant potential and mitotic count, respectively. The most valuable radiomic features were chosen to build a logistic regression model to predict the malignant potential and a random forest classifier model to predict the mitotic count. The performance of radiomic models was assessed with the receiver operating characteristics curve. Our study further developed a radiomic nomogram to preoperatively predict malignant potential in a personalized way for patients with GISTs. RESULTS: The predictive model was built to discriminate high– from low–malignant potential GISTs with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.882 (95% CI 0.823-0.942) in the training set and 0.920 (95% CI 0.870-0.971) in the validation set. Moreover, the other radiomic model was built to differentiate high– from low–mitotic count GISTs with an AUC of 0.820 (95% CI 0.753-0.887) in the training set and 0.769 (95% CI 0.654-0.883) in the validation set. CONCLUSION: The radiomic models using CE-CT showed a good predictive performance for preoperative risk stratification of GISTs and hold great potential for personalized clinical decision making.

A retrospective review of prospectively collected data.The purpose of this study is to compare and validate several preoperative scores for predicting outcomes following spine tumor resection.Preoperative risk assessment for patients undergoing spinal tumor resection remains challenging. At present, few risk assessment tools have been validated in this high-risk population.The 2008 to 2014 National Surgical Quality Improvement database was used to identify all patients undergoing surgical resection of spinal tumors, stratified as extradural, intradural extramedullary, and intramedullary based on CPT codes. American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, modified Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and modified Frailty Index (mFI) were computed. A binary logistic regression model was used to explore the relationship between these variables and postoperative outcomes, including mortality, major and minor adverse events, and hospital length of stay (LOS). Other significant variables such as demographics, operative time, and tumor location were controlled for in each model.Two thousand one hundred seventy patients met the inclusion criteria. Higher CCI scores were independent predictors of mortality (OR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.14-1.36, P 0.001), major adverse events (OR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.01-1.31, P = 0.018), minor adverse events (OR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.10-1.20, P 0.001), and prolonged LOS (OR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.09-1.19, P 0.001). Patients' mFI scores were significantly associated with mortality and LOS, but not major or minor adverse events. ASA scores were not associated with any outcome metric when controlling for other variables.The CCI demonstrated superior predictive capacity compared with mFI and ASA scores and may be valuable as a preoperative risk assessment tool for patients undergoing surgical resection of spinal tumors. The validation of assessment scores is important for preoperative risk stratification and improving outcomes in this high-risk group.3.

This study examined the effects of pain and opioid intakes on subsyndromal delirium in older adults who had joint replacement surgery. Delirium assessments of 53 older adults were completed on the first, second, and third days following joint replacement surgery using the Confusion Assessment Method (CAM). Statistical relationships were analyzed using correlations and multiple regressions. Subsyndromal delirium developed in 68% ( n = 36) of participants. Pain was significantly related ( p < .05) to increased delirium symptoms after accounting for preoperative risk factors of comorbidity, cognitive status, fall history, and preoperative fasting times, whereas opioid intake was not significantly associated with increased delirium symptoms. Findings suggest older adults with increased pain levels are at higher risk for subsyndromal delirium as well as delirium after joint replacement surgery.

The aim of this study was to compare the patient profiles and outcomes of men and women undergoing isolated aortic valve replacement.Patient data were analyzed retrospectively.This single-center study was performed at Catharina Hospital in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.The study comprised 2,362 patients, of whom 1,040 (44%) were women and 1,322 were men (56%).Isolated aortic valve replacement was performed between January 1998 and December 2016.The mean follow-up was 8.3 ± 5.1 years. Women were relatively older (69.9 years v 64.6 years; p0.001); more of them were underweight, obese, and diabetic; and they had lower hemoglobin values and worse renal function than did men. However, fewer women than men experienced chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, aortic regurgitation, left ventricular dysfunction, and endocarditis. Early mortality did not differ significantly between men and women (p = 0.238). Overall survival was worse in women (p0.001). After correction for potential risk factors, female sex was not associated with worse survival. During the study period, the mean age of patients undergoing aortic valve replacement increased. In addition, the mean age at the time of death increased, following the trend of national statistics.Although women undergoing aortic valve replacement have relatively more risk factors than do men, early mortality in women is not significantly higher than in men. Overall survival is worse in women than in men; however, after adjustment for preoperative risk factors, there is no difference in overall survival between women and men.

Purpose of review The current review covers recent research examining the utility of preoperative frailty assessments to predict worse postoperative outcomes after radical cystectomy. It also discusses how to implement frailty assessments into routine clinical practice. Recent findings Frailty is associated with worse postoperative outcomes after radical cystectomy, including increased complications and nonhome discharge. Although the majority of these studies have been retrospective using a frailty index, prospective studies using a preoperative frailty assessment have also shown frailty to be associated with worse outcomes. Preoperative frailty assessments based on patients' physiologic fitness, such as the Fried Frailty Criteria or psoas muscle volume, have been the best predictors of worse outcomes on prospective cohorts. However, no study to date has directly compared a prospective frailty assessment and frailty index to determine the most effective tool for routine clinical care. National guidelines are lacking on how to assess frailty preoperatively before radical cystectomy. Summary Frailty has been consistently shown to correlate with worse postoperative outcomes after radical cystectomy. Although the most effective and efficient method for preoperative assessment has yet to be determined, assessments based on physiologic fitness are likely to be most useful. Improved guidelines will likely increase implementation of frailty assessments into routine management.