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Antibiotic overprescribing is a global challenge contributing to rising levels of antibiotic resistance and mortality. We test a novel approach to antibiotic stewardship. Capitalising on the concept of “wisdom of crowds”, which states that a group’s collective judgement often outperforms the average individual, we test whether pooling treatment durations recommended by different prescribers can improve antibiotic prescribing. Using international survey data from 787 expert antibiotic prescribers, we run computer simulations to test the performance of the wisdom of crowds by comparing three data aggregation rules across different clinical cases and group sizes. We also identify patterns of prescribing bias in recommendations about antibiotic treatment durations to quantify current levels of overprescribing. Our results suggest that pooling the treatment recommendations (using the median) could improve guideline compliance in groups of three or more prescribers. Implications for antibiotic stewardship and the general improvement of medical decision making are discussed. Clinical applicability is likely to be greatest in the context of hospital ward rounds and larger, multidisciplinary team meetings, where complex patient cases are discussed and existing guidelines provide limited guidance.

International audience; OBJECTIVE: To compare the practices of French infection specialists related to antibiotic therapy duration between 2016 and 2018.METHODS: We conducted two identical surveys (in 2016 and 2018) targeting hospital-based infection specialists (medical physicians, pharmacists) who gave at least weekly advice on antibiotic prescriptions. The questionnaire included 15 clinical vignettes. Part A asked about the durations of antibiotic therapies they would usually advise to prescribers, and part B asked about the shortest duration they would be willing to advise for the same clinical situations.RESULTS: We included 325 specialists (165 in 2016 and 160 in 2018), mostly infectious disease specialists (82.4%, 268/325), members of antibiotic stewardship teams in 72% (234/325) of cases. Shorter antibiotic treatments (as compared with the literature) were advised to prescribers in more than half of the vignettes by 71% (105/147) of respondents in 2018, versus 46% (69/150) in 2016 (P