1. A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the COVID-19 Asymptomatic Mass Testing Strategy in the North Metropolitan Area of Barcelona
- Author
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Francesc López Seguí, Martí Català Sabaté, Josep Bonet, Anna Aran Solé, Oriol Estrada Cuxart, Ignacio Blanco, Oriol Mitjà i Villar, Bonaventura Clotet, Nemesio Moreno Millan, Guillem Hernández Guillamet, Nuria Prat Gil, Josep Maria Argimon Pallàs, Jordi Ara Del Rey, Mar Isnard Blanchar, and Marc Vilar Capella
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Test strategy ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Asymptomatic Mass ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Total cost ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,Cost-Benefit Analysis ,Population ,asymptomatic screening ,Psychological intervention ,COVID-19 (Malaltia) ,Article ,economic analysis ,03 medical and health sciences ,COVID-19 (Disease) ,0302 clinical medicine ,Environmental health ,Epidemiology ,cost benefit analysis ,Cribatge (Medicina) ,medicine ,Humans ,Economic analysis ,test-tracking-quarantine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Economic impact analysis ,mass testing ,education ,Mass screening ,education.field_of_study ,Non pharmacological interventions ,Medical (screening) ,Monetization ,Cost–benefit analysis ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,COVID-19 ,Asymptomatic screening ,Metropolitan area ,virology ,030104 developmental biology ,non-pharmacological interventions ,Spain ,Ciències de la salut::Medicina::Medicina comunitària i salut pública [Àrees temàtiques de la UPC] ,Medicine ,Business ,Contact Tracing - Abstract
Background: The epidemiological situation generated by COVID-19 has highlighted the importance of applying non-pharmacological measures in the management of the epidemic. Mass screening of the asymptomatic general population has been established as a priority strategy by carrying out diagnostic tests to detect possible cases, isolate contacts, cut transmission chains and thus limit the spread of the virus. Objective: To evaluate the economic impact of mass COVID-19 screenings of an asymptomatic population during the first and second wave of the epidemic in Catalonia, Spain. Methodology: Cost-Benefit Analysis based on the estimated total costs of mass screening versus health gains and associated health costs avoided. Results: Excluding the value of monetized health, the Benefit-Cost ratio was estimated at 0.45, a low value that would seem to advise against mass screening policies. However, if monetized health is included, the ratio is close to 1.20, reversing the interpretation. In other words, the monetization of health is the critical element that tips the scales in favour of the desirability of screening. Results show that the interventions with the highest return are those that maximize the percentage of positives detected. Conclusion: Efficient management of resources for the policy of mass screening in asymptomatic populations can generate high social returns. The positivity rate critically determines its desirability. Likewise, precocity in the detection of cases will cut more transmissions in the chain of contagion and increase the economic return of these interventions. Maximizing the value of resources depends on screening strategies being accompanied by contact-tracing and specific in their focus, targeting, for example, high-risk subpopulations with the highest rate of expected positives.
- Published
- 2021