1. COVID-19 information propagation dynamics in the Chinese Sina-microblog
- Author
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Fu Lian Yin, Jianhong Wu, Xiaojian Zhang, Xin Yu Xia, and Jia Hui Lv
- Subjects
China ,Information propagation ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Computer science ,Microblogging ,Reproduction (economics) ,Information Seeking Behavior ,Pneumonia, Viral ,Information Storage and Retrieval ,02 engineering and technology ,dynamic model ,Public opinion ,Disease Outbreaks ,Betacoronavirus ,Order (exchange) ,0502 economics and business ,QA1-939 ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,medicine ,Humans ,Social media ,sina-microblog ,Pandemics ,Models, Statistical ,Information Dissemination ,SARS-CoV-2 ,business.industry ,Communication ,Applied Mathematics ,Public health ,05 social sciences ,prediction ,General Medicine ,Data science ,Computational Mathematics ,covid-19 ,Dynamics (music) ,Modeling and Simulation ,Key (cryptography) ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,Public Health ,Coronavirus Infections ,General Agricultural and Biological Sciences ,business ,Social Media ,TP248.13-248.65 ,Mathematics ,050203 business & management ,Biotechnology - Abstract
The outbreak of a novel coronavirus (COVID-19) generated an outbreak of public opinions in the Chinese Sina-microblog. To help in designing effective communication strategies during a major public health emergency, we propose a multiple-information susceptible-discussing-immune (M-SDI) model in order to understand the patterns of key information propagation on social networks. We develop the M-SDI model, based on the public discussion quantity and take into account of the behavior that users may re-enter another related topic or Weibo after discussing one. Data fitting using the real data of COVID-19 public opinion obtained from Chinese Sina-microblog can parameterize the model to make accurate prediction of the public opinion trend until the next major news item occurs. The reproduction ratio has fallen from 1.7769 and maintained around 0.97, which reflects the peak of public opinion has passed but it will continue for a period of time.
- Published
- 2020
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