1. Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries
- Author
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Ben Watkins, Jacob Schewe, Michael J. Puma, Matti Kummu, Christian Otto, Theresa Falkendal, Jonas Jägermeyr, Megan Konar, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Water and Environmental Eng., Kimetrica, Columbia University, Department of Built Environment, Aalto-yliopisto, and Aalto University
- Subjects
2. Zero hunger ,Food security ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,business.industry ,Supply chain ,010501 environmental sciences ,Livelihood ,01 natural sciences ,Agricultural economics ,13. Climate action ,Low and middle income countries ,Agriculture ,Threatened species ,Production (economics) ,Animal Science and Zoology ,Business ,Agronomy and Crop Science ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Food Science - Abstract
Global food security is threatened by the effects of COVID-19 on international agricultural supply chains and locusts destroying crops and livelihoods in the Horn of Africa and South Asia. We quantify the possible impacts on global supplies and prices of wheat, rice and maize. We show that local production declines have moderate impacts on global prices and supply—but trade restrictions and precautionary purchases by a few key actors could create global food price spikes and severe local food shortages. COVID-19 and locust swarms have threatened international agricultural supply chains. Here, the possible impacts on wheat, rice and maize trade are modelled, showing that trade restrictions could create food price spikes and localized food shortages.
- Published
- 2021