1. Influence of the Long-Term Temperature Trend on the Number of New Records for Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation in Japan
- Author
-
Tsuyoshi Hoshino, Chhay Ngorn Seang, and Tomohito J. Yamada
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Vapor pressure ,0208 environmental biotechnology ,Climate system ,Climate change ,02 engineering and technology ,Environmental Science (miscellaneous) ,lcsh:QC851-999 ,Atmospheric sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Clausius-Clapeyron relation ,Clausius–Clapeyron relation ,Japan ,annual maximum precipitation intensity ,Precipitation ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,number of new records ,020801 environmental engineering ,Sampling theory ,Term (time) ,climate change ,sampling number theory ,Environmental science ,lcsh:Meteorology. Climatology - Abstract
Record-breaking precipitation events have been frequent in Japan in recent years. To investigate the statistical characteristics of the frequency of record-breaking events, observations can be compared with the values derived from sampling theory with a stationary state. This study counted the number of record-breaking daily and 3-day total precipitation events at 58 rain-gauge stations in Japan between 1901 and 2018. The average number of record-breaking events over the 118-year period was 5.9 for daily total precipitation, which is larger than the theoretical value of 5.4 derived using the assumption that the climate system over the same period was stationary. Sampling theory was used to incorporate the influence of the long-term temperature trend from the Clausius&ndash, Clapeyron relation associated with the saturation vapor pressure. In theory, the long-term temperature trend gives a similar number of observed record-breaking events when the long-term temperature trend is approximately 0.5 Kelvin/100 years.
- Published
- 2020