1. How does El Niño Southern Oscillation affect rice-producing environments in central Colombia ?
- Author
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Julian Ramirez-Villegas, Maria Camila Rebolledo, Kensuke Okada, Steven D. Prager, Camilo Barrios-Perez, Gabriel Garcés Varón, The University of Tokyo (UTokyo), Colombian Natl Rice Growers Federat Fedearroz, International Center for Tropical Agriculture [Colombie] (CIAT), Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research [CGIAR] (CGIAR), Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR), Amélioration génétique et adaptation des plantes méditerranéennes et tropicales (UMR AGAP), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro), Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Département Systèmes Biologiques (Cirad-BIOS), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad), Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development Program (SATREPS), University of Tokyo, International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Colombian National Rice Growers Federation (FEDEARROZ), CGIAR, Climate Services for Resilient Development (CSRD) partnership, and Colombia's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MADR)
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,[SDV.SA]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Agricultural sciences ,Atmospheric Science ,Irrigation ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,P40 - Météorologie et climatologie ,Yield (finance) ,Growing season ,La Nina ,Conditions météorologiques ,Colombia ,Facteur climatique ,01 natural sciences ,Crop ,Agro-climatic indices ,F01 - Culture des plantes ,parasitic diseases ,Climate risk ,Precipitation ,Climate risk management ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,2. Zero hunger ,Global and Planetary Change ,Crop yield ,food and beverages ,Forestry ,Facteur du milieu ,15. Life on land ,La Niña ,El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) ,Rendement des cultures ,Agronomy ,13. Climate action ,Besoin en eau ,Environmental science ,Simulated rice yield ,Agronomy and Crop Science ,Agroclimatologie ,010606 plant biology & botany - Abstract
International audience; The rice industry plays an important role in the agricultural economy of Colombia and its success dependents largely on weather conditions. Rice farmers, policymakers and other stakeholders thus need to understand and manage the risks associated with climate variability, including those related to El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) - the most important source of variability affecting Colombian climates. The objectives of this study were to (1) assess the ENSO influence on the spatio-temporal variability of agro-climatic conditions (crop water requirements, dry and wet spells, and heatwaves) and rice yield across the central producing region of Colombia; and (2) identify the main agro-climatic factors driving crop yield variability. Results showed that rice irrigation water requirements under positive ENSO phases (El Nino) increased by up to 14% compared to the long-term average. These increases were associated with less total precipitation, more dry days and longer dry spells, together with a greater number of day-and-night heatwave episodes. During negative phases (La Nina), on the other hand, irrigation requirements decreased by 16% with respect to the long-term average due to longer and more frequent wet spells, and more total precipitation. Analyses of simulated yields indicated that El Nino years reduce crop yield in about 86% of the study region, while La Nina affects 62% of the region positively. The number of heat nights (i.e. nights with minimum temperature > 23 degrees C) during the growing season was the most important agro-climatic factor causing yield losses during ENSO events. Our results represent an important step towards understanding the interaction between climate variability and rice production in Colombia, which is useful for improving climate risk management at local levels.
- Published
- 2021
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