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Objectives: In chronic myeloid leukemia, after promising results in major cytogenetic remission (MCR), long-term survival data on imatinib treatment is of particular interest, especially in relation to former standard treatment based on interferon-alpha. However, data is still unavailable and due to high remission rates, most patients randomized to interferon-alpha in a clinical trial crossed over to imatinib. Therefore, to assess the expected long-term survival advantage with imatinib, a simulation study based on prognostic factors validated for interferon-alpha treatment was performed.Methods: In interferon-alpha-treated patients with intermediate-risk and low-risk according to the established New CML score, survival probabilities of patients with MCR were significantly higher than those of patients without MCR. Three samples with simulated survival data for imatinib-treated intermediate-risk patients were constituted by randomly drawing varying percentages of their survival times from interferon-alpha-treated intermediate-risk patients with MCR and the remaining data from intermediate-risk patients without MCR. The same procedure was applied to low-risk patients.Results: The 10-year survival probabilities of inter-feron-alpha-treated intermediate-risk and low-risk patients were 0.22 and 0.37. In the simulated samples, when 80%, 65%, and 50% of survival times were as favorable as for interferon-alpha-treated patients with MCR, respectively, the corresponding survival probabilities were 0.43 and 0.57, 0.36 and 0.49, and 0.30 and 0.42.Conclusions: In all simulation samples, increments of survival probabilities by imatinib were predicted, although survival probabilities of patients with MCR were assumed to be lower than with interferon-alpha. Prognosticated survival advantage with imatinib is backed by increasing observation time of imatinib-treated patients in real studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) in older patients has not been studied well. To assess the long-term outcome of older patients with Philadelphia- and/or BCR-ABL-positive CML, 199 patients aged ?60 years representing 23% of 856 patients enrolled in the German randomized CML-studies I (interferon a (IFN) vs hydroxyurea (HU) vs busulfan (BU) and II (IFN+HU vs HU alone) were analyzed after a median observation time of 7 years. In all, 45 patients were treated with Bu, 63 with HU, and 91 with IFN. The 5-year survival was 38% in patients ?60 years and 47% in patients <60 years (P<0.001). Whereas 5-year survival in chemotherapy-treated older patients was inferior to that in younger patients (33 vs 46%, P=0.006 for HU and 29 vs 38%, P=0.042 for Bu), no significant survival difference could be verified in IFN-treated patients (46 vs 53%, P=0.077). Calculation of age-adjusted, relative survival confirmed these results. Adverse effects of IFN were similar in both age groups, but IFN dosage to achieve treatment goals was lower in older patients. We conclude that the course of CML is not different in the elderly. They require lower IFN doses, achieve the same hematologic and cytogenetic response rates and the same survival advantage at comparable toxicity.Leukemia (2003) 17, 1820-1826. doi:10.1038/sj.leu.2403042 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The optimum treatment conditions of interferon (IFN) a therapy in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) are still controversial. To evaluate the role of hydroxyurea (HU) for the outcome of IFN therapy, we conducted a randomized trial to compare the combination of IFN and HU vs HU monotherapy (CML-study II). From February 1991 to December 1994, 376 patients with newly diagnosed CML in chronic phase were randomized. In all, 340 patients were Ph/BCR-ABL positive and evaluable. Randomization was unbalanced 1:2 in favor of the combination therapy, since study conditions were identical to the previous CML-study I and it had been planned in advance to add the HU patients of study I (n=194) to the HU control group. Therefore, a total of 534 patients were evaluable (226 patients with IFN/HU and 308 patients with HU). Analyses were according to intention-to-treat. Median observation time of nontransplanted living patients was 7.6 years (7.9 years for IFN/HU and 7.3 years for HU). The risk profile (new CML score) was available for 532 patients: 200 patients (38%) were low, 239 patients (45%) intermediate, and 93 patients (17%) high risk. Complete hematologic response rates were higher in IFN/HU-treated patients (59 vs 32%). Of 169 evaluable IFN/HU-treated patients (75%), 104 patients (62%) achieved a cytogenetic response that was complete in 12% (n=21), major in 14% (n=24), and at least minimal in 35% (n=59). Of the 534 patients, 105 (20%) underwent allogeneic stem cell transplantation in first chronic phase. In the low-risk group, 65 of 200 patients were transplanted (33%), 30 (13%) in the intermediate-risk group, and nine (10%) in the high-risk group. Duration of chronic phase was 55 months for IFN/HU and 41 months for HU (P<0.0001). Median survival was 64 months for IFN/HU and 53 months for HU-treated patients (P=0.0063). We conclude that IFN in combination with HU achieves a significant long-term survival advantage over HU monotherapy. In view of the data of CML-study I, these results suggest that IFN/HU is also superior to IFN alone. HU should be combined with IFN in IFN-based therapies and for comparisons with new therapies.Leukemia (2003) 17, 1529-1537. doi:10.1038/sj.leu.2403006 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Since, for obvious reasons, systematic testing of the teratogenic properties of drugs in humans is not possible in the premarketing phase, the epidemiological approaches to postmarketing risk evaluation are of major importance. Cohort studies, with their prospective exposure assessment, their ability to study even exposure to drugs not commonly used in pregnancy, and their ability to monitor both adverse and beneficial fetal outcomes, seem to be the most promising study type from a methodological viewpoint. Although there are numerous cohort studies on the harmful effects of drug use in pregnant women, only a few have been able to demonstrate a risk in terms of an increase in the prevalence of malformations. Most studies with significant findings were those investigating the risk potential of one group of drugs, the anticonvulsants. The lack of cohort studies showing a risk for drug use in pregnancy, however, is not necessarily indicative of some methodological deficiency. Rather, it may suggest that, for the majority of drugs, their use in pregnancy is not associated with an increased risk of congenital malformations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Interferon alfa is a conservative and widely used alternative to bone marrow transplantation in treatment of patients with early chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). A meta-analysis was conducted to develop a reliable prognostic scoring system for estimation of survival of patients with CML treated with interferon alfa.Methods: Patients treated in prospective studies, including major randomized trials, were separated into learning and validation samples. Cox regression analysis and the minimum P-value approach were used to identify prognostic factors for patient survival and to discover groups in the learning sample with the greatest differences in survival. These findings were then validated by applying the new scoring system to patients in the validation sample.Results: We collected data on 1573 patients who were participants in 14 studies involving 12 institutions; 1303 patients (learning sample, n = 981; validation sample, n = 322) were eligible for inclusion in this analysis, and their median survival time was 69 months (range, 1-117 months). Because two previously described prognostic scoring systems failed to discriminate risk groups satisfactorily, we developed a new scoring system that utilizes the following covariates: age, spleen size, blast count, platelet count, eosinophil count, and basophil count. Among 908 patients with complete data in the learning sample, three distinct risk groups were identified (median survival times of 98 months [n = 369; 40.6%], 65 months [n = 406; 44.7%], or 42 months [n = 133;14.6%]; two-sided logrank test, P< or =.0001). The ability of the new scoring system to discriminate these risk groups was confirmed by analysis of 285 patients with complete data in the validation sample (two-sided logrank test, P = .0002).Conclusions: A new prognostic scoring system for estimating survival of patients with CML treated with interferon alfa has been developed and validated through use of a large dataset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]