Search

In this study, daily outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) product is used to detect the atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) in the eastern tropical Indian Ocean (TIO). A 50–80-day ISO is identified south of the equator, peaking in boreal winter and propagating eastward. The mechanisms underneath are investigated using observational data and reanalysis products. The results suggest that the 50–80-day atmospheric ISO is enhanced by ocean dynamic processes during December–January. Monsoon transition in October–November causes large wind variability along the equator. Equatorial sea surface height/thermocline anomalies appear off Sumatra due to the accumulative effects of the wind variability, leading the atmospheric 50–80-day ISO by ~ 5–6 weeks. The wind-driven ocean equatorial dynamics are reflected from the Sumatra coast as downwelling oceanic Rossby waves, which deepen the thermocline and contribute to the SST warming in the southeastern TIO, affecting local atmospheric conditions. It offers insights into the role of ocean dynamics in the intensification of 50–80-day atmospheric ISOs over the eastern TIO and explains the seasonal peak of the eastward-propagating ISO during boreal winter. These results have implications for intraseasonal predictability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To investigate the South Equatorial Current (SEC) in the Indian Ocean, 18 drifters were deployed off Sumatra‐Java during boreal spring 2019. These drifter observations revealed a large SEC meander that swung southward about 1,100 km during 40 days along ∼100°E. The southward motion occurred on the eastern edge of the Seychelles‐Chagos thermocline ridge, accompanied by an anticyclonic eddy/Rossby wave from the east, indicated by the geostrophic velocity induced by the zonal pressure gradient. Meanwhile, the ageostrophic velocity induced by the southeasterly wind also contributes to this southward motion. This is verified by a Lagrangian Trajectory Model in which drifter trajectories are well reproduced using Chinese‐French Oceanic SATellite winds products. Further analysis of the historical drifters with similar trajectories reveals that the geostrophic and ageostrophic currents jointly drive drifters to move southward. Ageostrophic component could contribute up to 45% of the southward movement of the SEC meander. Plain Language Summary: The South Equatorial Current (SEC) is westward in the tropical Indian Ocean. During boreal spring 2019, 18 drifters were deployed off Sumatra‐Java, and their trajectories show a large SEC meander, with a typical drifter moved southward over 1,100 km during 40 days along ∼100°E. The geostrophic component, associated with the Seychelles‐Chagos thermocline ridge and an anticyclonic eddy/Rossby wave, and ageostrophic component, induced by southeasterly wind, jointly drive drifters to move southward. Further diagnoses of historical drifters show that the ageostrophic component could take up to 45% contribution in the southward movement in the SEC meander. Key Points: South Equatorial Current in the Indian Ocean advected drifters southward more than 1,100 km within 40 days (∼32 cm s−1) in 2019Combined effects of the zonal pressure gradient and the southeasterly wind contribute to the southward movementSouthward movement usually occurs in spring and summer, contributing from ageostrophic current up to ∼45% [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study identifies a new triggering mechanism of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) from the Southern Hemisphere. This mechanism is independent from the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and tends to induce the IOD before its canonical peak season. The joint effects of this mechanism and ENSO may explain different lifetimes and strengths of the IOD. During its positive phase, development of sea surface temperature cold anomalies commences in the southern Indian Ocean, accompanied by an anomalous subtropical high system and anomalous southeasterly winds. The eastward movement of these anomalies enhances the monsoon off Sumatra‐Java during May–August, leading to an early positive IOD onset. The pressure variability in the subtropical area is related with the Southern Annular Mode, suggesting a teleconnection between high‐latitude and midlatitude climate that can further affect the tropics. To include the subtropical signals may help model prediction of the IOD event. Plain Language Summary: An Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) at its positive phase featuring anomalously high and low sea surface temperature (SST) in the west and east equatorial Indian Ocean, respectively, shifts atmosphere convection westward, causing severe floods and droughts in surrounding west and east Indian Ocean‐rim regions. Known triggering mechanisms, such as the external El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO), cannot explain development or intensity of many IOD events. Here we find a novel triggering mechanism of the IOD from the Southern Hemisphere, in which the subtropical high pressure and wind anomalies forcing cool SST anomalies evolve to trigger onset of an IOD event via enhancing the monsoon off Sumatra‐Java. This Southern Hemisphere Mechanism can operate independently from the ENSO and commences earlier than the ENSO forcing, thus providing explanation of different IOD characteristics and a longer prediction lead time. Key Points: A triggering mechanism of the IOD originated from the Southern Hemisphere is identifiedThe Southern Hemisphere Mechanism is independent from ENSO and associated with subtropical and high‐latitude climatic variabilityThe joint effects of such mechanism and ENSO produce different characteristics of the IOD [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An unusual positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event occurred in 2015 associated with the 2015/16 extreme El Niño. Unlike the canonical IOD, sea surface temperature (SST) warming in the west-central tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) dominated the strong zonal SST gradient as cooling off Sumatra-Java was weak. Over the southeastern TIO, deeper thermocline has suppressed the upwelling cooling since 2012. Such deepened thermocline related to a low-frequency adjustment and curtailed cool anomalies in the 2015 positive IOD but favored warm anomalies in the 2016 negative IOD. Based on statistical analyses, ocean assimilation data confirm that an IOD-like pattern exists in the TIO on decadal time-scale. During a negative decadal IOD-like phase, thermocline is deeper in the southeastern TIO; the thermocline-SST feedback is unfavorable for positive IOD occurrence and intensity, but conducive to negative IOD events. Thus, we propose that the 2015-2016 IOD events are modulated by the low-frequency variability of thermocline. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]