9 results on '"Villero, Daniel"'
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2. Estat de la Natura a Catalunya 2020
- Author
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Brotons, Lluís, Pou, Núria, Sainz de la Maza, Pau, Pont, Sara, Herrando, Sergi, Bota, Gerard, Villero, Daniel, Garrabou, Joaquim, Anton, Marc, Gual, Gemma, Recoder, Laura, Alcaraz, Júlia, Pla, Magda, and Pino, Joan
- Abstract
56 pages. 58 figures, Aquest informe és un encàrrec del Departament de Territori i Sostenibilitat (DTES) al Centre de Ciència i Tecnologia Forestal de Catalunya (CTFC) i al Centre de Recerca Ecològica i Aplicacions Forestals (CREAF), que han elaborat el document conjuntament amb l'Institut Català d'Ornitologia (ICO), l'Institut de Ciències del Mar i la Direcció General de Polítiques Ambientals i Medi Natural. Es tracta d'una obra inèdita que ha comptat amb la contribució de més de 40 entitats de recerca en l'estudi de la natura, així com en dades i evidències científiques a tot el territori recollides per universitats, administracions, associacions privades i ONGs i centenars de persones voluntàries agrupades en projectes de ciència ciutadana. Sens dubte, es tracta d'un document clau per orientar les polítiques i accions de conservació que ens han de permetre aturar la pèrdua de biodiversitat a casa nostra
- Published
- 2020
3. Electronic supplementary material from Historical citizen science to understand and predict climate-driven trout decline
- Author
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Clavero, Miguel, Ninyerola, Miquel, Hermoso, Virgilio, Filipe, Ana Filipa, Pla, Magda, Villero, Daniel, Lluís Brotons, and Delibes, Miguel
- Abstract
Figure S1. Annual average daily mean temperatures in Spain for the period 1850-2005. Represented values are anomalies (in °C) from the mean values from 1961 to 1990, as reported by Brunet et al. (2007). Squares and whiskers are mean and standard error values for the periods 1850-1870, 1900-1920 and 1990-2005. A and B mark the significant differences among periods found by a Tukey HSD post-hoc test (P< 0.001). The temporal temperature trend is represented by a weighted average line with a 10-year period Brunet M et al. 2007 Temporal and spatial temperature variability and change over Spain during 1850–2005. J. Geophys. Res. 112, D12117.; Figure S2. Response curves of thermic suitability for trout to temperature variables using data from 1850 and 2000. The values shown are average suitability for temperature categories of 0.5 °C intervals, using 2000 temperature as a reference. Annual mean, July maximum and January minimum have 32, 36 and 35 categories, respectively. The curves shown correspond to those modelling techniques that accurately predicted trout distribution in both periods (i.e., AUC > 0.7).GLM: Generalized Linear Models; GBM: Generalized Boosting Models; GAM: Generalized Additive Models; ANN: Artificial Neural Networks; FDA: Flexible Discriminant Analysis; MARS: Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines; and RF: Random Forest. Classification Tree Analysis (CTA) and Surface Range Envelope (SRE) were also run but are not shown in the figure for not reaching AUC thresholds.; Figure S3. Extinction probability as determined by trout prevalence in 10×10km cells. Proportion of extinction cells (trout cited in the 1850s but not in the 2000s) among the different categories of trout prevalence defined for cells with information from at least 3 localities from the Madoz (1850s data). Low: trout present in 1 to 50% of the localities (n= 48); High: trout present in 51 to 90% of the localities (n= 178); Widespread: trout present in more than 90% of the localities (n= 439).; Figure S4. Changes in temperatures in Spain between the 1850s and 2000s climatic scenarios. See methods for a description of the development of climatic scenarios; Figure S5. Relationship between the predicted and observed changes in thermal suitability for trout between the 1850s and 2000s. Predicted change was calculated as the suitability difference between the projection of the 1850s model to the 2000s thermal scenario (2000s predictions) and the 1850s estimates, while observed change is the difference between the suitability estimates of the 2000s and the 1850s models.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. EU's Conservation Efforts Need More Strategic Investment to Meet Continental Commitments
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Hermoso, Virgilio, Clavero, Miguel, Villero, Daniel, Brotons, Lluís, Hermoso, Virgilio, Clavero, Miguel, Villero, Daniel, and Brotons, Lluís
- Abstract
The European Union (EU) has made significant conservation efforts in the last two decades, guided by the Birds and Habitats Directives, currently under evaluation. Despite these efforts a large proportion of priority species are still in unfavorable condition and continue declining. For this reason, a thoughtful review of the implementation of conservation efforts in Europe is needed to identify potential causes behind this poor effectiveness. We compiled information on the distribution of all conservation funds under the LIFE-Nature, the main financial tool for conservation in Europe. We found that LIFE-Nature has not adequately covered continental conservation needs. The majority of funds have been directed toward nonthreatened species or regions of low conservation priority. Given the limited resources available, two key aspects are in urgent need for revision and improvement. First, the distribution of funds should be guided by continental and global conservation needs and planned at the EU scale. Second, new mechanisms are required to set conservation priorities in a dynamic fashion, rather than relying on fixed lists (i.e., the Directives’ Annexes) that may rapidly become outdated. These improvements would require new mechanisms to set priorities and redistribution of conservation efforts, supported by adequate policy and a more effective top-down control on investment.
- Published
- 2017
5. Data from: Historical citizen science to understand and predict climate-driven trout decline
- Author
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Clavero, Miguel, Ninyerola, Miquel, Hermoso, Virgilio, Filipe, Ana F., Pla, Magda, Villero, Daniel, Brotons, Lluís, Delibes, M., Clavero, Miguel, Ninyerola, Miquel, Hermoso, Virgilio, Filipe, Ana F., Pla, Magda, Villero, Daniel, Brotons, Lluís, and Delibes, M.
- Abstract
Historical species records offer an excellent opportunity to test the predictive ability of range forecasts under climate change, but researchers often consider that historical records are scarce and unreliable, besides the datasets collected by renowned naturalists. Here, we demonstrate the relevance of biodiversity records developed through citizen-science initiatives generated outside the natural sciences academia. We used a Spanish geographical dictionary from the mid-nineteenth century to compile over 10 000 freshwater fish records, including almost 4 000 brown trout (Salmo trutta) citations, and constructed a historical presence–absence dataset covering over 2 000 10 × 10 km cells, which is comparable to present-day data. There has been a clear reduction in trout range in the past 150 years, coinciding with a generalized warming. We show that current trout distribution can be accurately predicted based on historical records and past and present values of three air temperature variables. The models indicate a consistent decline of average suitability of around 25% between 1850s and 2000s, which is expected to surpass 40% by the 2050s. We stress the largely unexplored potential of historical species records from non-academic sources to open new pathways for long-term global change science.
- Published
- 2016
6. Historical ecology and invasion biology: Long-term distribution changes of introduced freshwater species
- Author
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Clavero, Miguel, Villero, Daniel, Clavero, Miguel, and Villero, Daniel
- Abstract
We used historical written accounts from Spain to describe the long-term dynamics in the distributions of tench (Tinca tinca), common carp (Cyprinus carpio), and white-clawed crayfish (Austropotamobius italicus) from the sixteenth century to the present. The results show the widespread, human-mediated expansion of the three species and support their introduced status, which has been controversial for tench and crayfish. The temporal patterns of spread of the three species differ dramatically. Although tench and crayfish expanded rapidly, carp spread mainly during the twentieth century, probably because of hydrologic alterations to Spanish streams. This prolonged time lag in the expansion of an introduced species calls for precaution when judging species invasiveness. Austropotamobius italicus is the focus of several conservation actions in Spain, a strategy that should be questioned in the view of the crayfish's probable introduced status. This work provides an example of how historical ecology analyses may have implications for present-day environmental management. © 2014 The Author(s) 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Institute of Biological Sciences. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
- Published
- 2014
7. Climate Change or Land Use Dynamics: Do We Know What Climate Change Indicators Indicate?
- Author
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Clavero, Miguel, Villero, Daniel, Brotons, Lluís, Clavero, Miguel, Villero, Daniel, and Brotons, Lluís
- Abstract
Different components of global change can have interacting effects on biodiversity and this may influence our ability to detect the specific consequences of climate change through biodiversity indicators. Here, we analyze whether climate change indicators can be affected by land use dynamics that are not directly determined by climate change. To this aim, we analyzed three community-level indicators of climate change impacts that are based on the optimal thermal environment and average latitude of the distribution of bird species present at local communities. We used multiple regression models to relate the variation in climate change indicators to: i) environmental temperature; and ii) three landscape gradients reflecting important current land use change processes (land abandonment, fire impacts and urbanization), all of them having forest areas at their positive extremes. We found that, with few exceptions, landscape gradients determined the figures of climate change indicators as strongly as temperature. Bird communities in forest habitats had colder-dwelling bird species with more northern distributions than farmland, burnt or urban areas. Our results show that land use changes can reverse, hide or exacerbate our perception of climate change impacts when measured through community-level climate change indicators. We stress the need of an explicit incorporation of the interactions between climate change and land use dynamics to understand what are current climate change indicators indicating and be able to isolate real climate change impacts.
- Published
- 2011
8. Climate Change or Land Use Dynamics: Do We Know What Climate Change Indicators Indicate?
- Author
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Clavero, Miguel, primary, Villero, Daniel, additional, and Brotons, Lluís, additional
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. EU's conservation efforts need more strategic investment to meet continental commitments
- Author
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Hermoso, Virgilio, Clavero, Miguel, Villero, Daniel, and Brotons, Lluís
- Subjects
Habitats Directive ,Birds Directive ,Conservation policy ,Habitats directive ,REFIT ,LIFE-Nature ,Conservation investment - Abstract
The European Union (EU) has made significant conservation efforts in the last two decades, guided by the Birds and Habitats Directives, currently under evaluation. Despite these efforts a large proportion of priority species are still in unfavorable condition and continue declining. For this reason, a thoughtful review of the implementation of conservation efforts in Europe is needed to identify potential causes behind this poor effectiveness. We compiled information on the distribution of all conservation funds under the LIFE-Nature, the main financial tool for conservation in Europe. We found that LIFE-Nature has not adequately covered continental conservation needs. The majority of funds have been directed toward nonthreatened species or regions of low conservation priority. Given the limited resources available, two key aspects are in urgent need for revision and improvement. First, the distribution of funds should be guided by continental and global conservation needs and planned at the EU scale. Second, new mechanisms are required to set conservation priorities in a dynamic fashion, rather than relying on fixed lists (i.e., the Directives’ Annexes) that may rapidly become outdated. These improvements would require new mechanisms to set priorities and redistribution of conservation efforts, supported by adequate policy and a more effective top-down control on investment.
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