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3. The development and validation of a scoring tool to predict the operative duration of elective laparoscopic cholecystectomy

Author

Bharamgoudar, R., Sonsale, A., Hodson, J., Griffiths, E., Vohra, R.S., Kirkham, A.J., Pasquali, S., Marriott, P., Johnstone, M., Spreadborough, P., Alderson, D., Griffiths, E.A., Fenwick, S., Elmasry, M., Nunes, Q.M., Kennedy, D., Khan, R.B., Khan, M.A.S., Magee, C.J., Jones, S.M., Mason, D., Parappally, C.P., Mathur, P., Saunders, M., Jamel, S., Haque, S.U., Zafar, S., Shiwani, M.H., Samuel, N., Dar, F., Jackson, A., Lovett, B., Dindyal, S., Winter, H., Fletcher, T., Rahman, S., Wheatley, K., Nieto, T., Ayaani, S., Youssef, H., Nijjar, R.S., Watkin, H., Naumann, D., Emesih, S., Sarmah, P.B., Lee, K., Joji, N., Lambert, J., Heath, J., Teasdale, R.L., Weerasinghe, C., Needham, P.J., Welbourn, H., Forster, L., Finch, D., Blazeby, J.M., Robb, W., McNair, A.G.K., Hrycaiczuk, A., Charalabopoulos, A., Kadirkamanathan, S., Tang, C.-B., Jayanthi, N.V.G., Noor, N., Dobbins, B., Cockbain, A.J., Nilsen-Nunn, A., de Siqueira, J., Pellen, M., Cowley, J.B., Ho, W.-M., Miu, V., White, T.J., Hodgkins, K.A., Kinghorn, A., Tutton, M.G., Al-Abed, Y.A., Menzies, D., Ahmad, A., Reed, J., Khan, S., Monk, D., Vitone, L.J., Murtaza, G., Joel, A., Brennan, S., Shier, D., Zhang, C., Yoganathan, T., Robinson, S.J., McCallum, I.J.D., Jones, M.J., Elsayed, M., Tuck, L., Wayman, J., Carney, K., Aroori, S., Hosie, K.B., Kimble, A., Bunting, D.M., Fawole, A.S., Basheer, M., Dave, R.V., Sarveswaran, J., Jones, E., Kendal, C., Tilston, M.P., Gough, M., Wallace, T., Singh, S., Mockford, J.D.K.A., Issa, E., Shah, N., Chauhan, N., Wilson, T.R., Forouzanfar, A., Wild, J.R.L., Nofal, E., Bunnell, C., Madbak, K., Rao, S.T.V., Devoto, L., Siddiqi, N., Khawaja, Z., Hewes, J.C., Gould, L., Chambers, A., Rodriguez, D.U., Sen, G., Robinson, S., Bartlett, F., Rae, D.M., Stevenson, T.E.J., Sarvananthan, K., Dwerryhouse, S.J., Higgs, S.M., Old, O.J., Hardy, T.J., Shah, R., Hornby, S.T., Keogh, K., Frank, L., Al-Akash, M., Upchurch, E.A., Frame, R.J., Hughes, M., Jelley, C., Weaver, S., Roy, S., Sillo, T.O., Galanopoulos, G., Cuming, T., Cunha, P., Tayeh, S., Kaptanis, S., Heshaishi, M., Eisawi, A., Abayomi, M., Ngu, W.S., Fleming, K., Bajwa, D.S., Chitre, V., Aryal, K., Ferris, P., Silva, M., Lammy, S., Mohamed, S., Khawaja, A., Hussain, A., Ghazanfar, M.A., Bellini, M.I., Ebdewi, H., Elshaer, M., Gravante, G., Drake, B., Ogedegbe, A., Mukherjee, D., Arhi, C., Giwa, L., Iqbal, N., Watson, N.F., Aggarwal, S.K., Orchard, P., Villatoro, E., Willson, P.D., Mok, K.W.J., Woodman, T., Deguara, J., Garcea, G., Babu, B.I., Dennison, A.R., Malde, D., Lloyd, D., Satheesan, S., Al-Taan, O., Boddy, A., Slavin, J.P., Jones, R.P., Ballance, L., Gerakopoulos, S., Jambulingam, P., Mansour, S., Sakai, N., Acharya, V., Sadat, M.M., Karim, L., Larkin, D., Amin, K., Khan, A., Law, J., Jamdar, S., Smith, S.R., Sampat, K., O?shea, K.M., Manu, M., Asprou, F.M., Malik, N.S., Chang, J., Lewis, M., Roberts, G.P., Karavadra, B., Photi, E., Hewes, J., Rodriguez, D., O?Reilly, D.A., Rate, A.J., Sekhar, H., Henderson, L.T., Starmer, B.Z., Coe, P.O., Tolofari, S., Barrie, J., Bashir, G., Sloane, J., Madanipour, S., Halkias, C., Trevatt, A.E.J., Borowski, D.W., Hornsby, J., Courtney, M.J., Virupaksha, S., Seymour, K., Hawkins, H., Bawa, S., Gallagher, P.V., Reid, A., Wood, P., Finch, J.G., Guy Finch, J., Parmar, J., Stirland, E., Gardner-Thorpe, J., Al-Muhktar, A., Peterson, M., Majeed, A., Bajwa, F.M., Martin, J., Choy, A., Tsang, A., Pore, N., Andrew, D.R., Al-Khyatt, W., Taylor, C., Bhandari, S., Subramanium, D., Toh, S.K.C., Carter, N.C., Tate, S., Pearce, B., Wainwright, D., Mercer, S.J., Knight, B., Vijay, V., Alagaratnam, S., Sinha, S., El-Hasani, S.S., Hussain, A.A., Bhattacharya, V., Kansal, N., Fasih, T., Jackson, C., Siddiqui, M.N., Chishti, I.A., Fordham, I.J., Siddiqui, Z., Bausbacher, H., Geogloma, I., Gurung, K., Tsavellas, G., Basynat, P., Shrestha, A.K., Basu, S., Chhabra, A., Harilingam, M., Rabie, M., Akhtar, M., Kumar, P., Jafferbhoy, S.F., Hussain, N., Raza, S., Haque, M., Alam, I., Aseem, R., Patel, S., Asad, M., Booth, M.I., Ball, W.R., Wood, C.P.J., Pinho-Gomes, A.C., Kausar, A., Obeidallah, M.R., Varghase, J., Lodhia, J., Bradley, D., Rengifo, C., Lindsay, D., Gopalswamy, S., Finlay, I., Wardle, S., Bullen, N., Iftikhar, S.Y., Awan, A., Ahmed, J., Leeder, P., Fusai, G., Bond-Smith, G., Psica, A., Puri, Y., Hou, D., Noble, F., Szentpali, K., Broadhurst, J., Date, R., Hossack, M.R., Goh, Y.L., Turner, P., Shetty, V., Riera, M., Macano, C.A.W., Sukha, A., Preston, S.R., Hoban, J.R., Puntis, D.J., Williams, S.V., Krysztopik, R., Kynaston, J., Batt, J., Doe, M., Goscimski, A., Jones, G.H., Hall, C., Carty, N., Panteleimonitis, S., Gunasekera, R.T., Sheel, A.R.G., Lennon, H., Hindley, C., Reddy, M., Kenny, R., Elkheir, N., McGlone, E.R., Rajaganeshan, R., Hancorn, K., Hargreaves, A., Prasad, R., Longbotham, D.A., Vijayanand, D., Wijetunga, I., Ziprin, P., Nicolay, C.R., Yeldham, G., Read, E., Gossage, J.A., Rolph, R.C., Ebied, H., Phull, M., Khan, M.A., Popplewell, M., Kyriakidis, D., Henley, N., Packer, J.R., Derbyshire, L., Porter, J., Appleton, S., Farouk, M., Basra, M., Jennings, N.A., Ali, S., Kanakala, V., Ali, H., Lane, R., Dickson-Lowe, R., Zarsadias, P., Mirza, D., Puig, S., Al Amari, K., Vijayan, D., Sutcliffe, R., Marudanayagam, R., Hamady, Z., Prasad, A.R., Patel, A., Durkin, D., Kaur, P., Bowen, L., Byrne, J.P., Pearson, K.L., Delisle, T.G., Davies, J., Tomlinson, M.A., Johnpulle, M.A., Slawinski, C., Macdonald, A., Nicholson, J., Newton, K., Mbuvi, J., Farooq, A., Mothe, B.S., Zafrani, Z., Brett, D., Francombe, J., Barnes, J., Cheung, M., Al-Bahrani, A.Z., Preziosi, G., Urbonas, T., Alberts, J., Mallik, M., Patel, K., Segaran, A., Doulias, T., Sufi, P.A., Yao, C., Pollock, S., Manzelli, A., Wajed, S., Kourkulos, M., Pezzuto, R., Wadley, M., Hamilton, E., Jaunoo, S., Padwick, R., Sayegh, M., Newton, R.C., Hebbar, M., Farag, S.F., Spearman, J., Hamdan, M.F., D?Costa, C., Blane, C., Giles, M., Peter, M.B., Hirst, N.A., Hossain, T., Pannu, A., El-Dhuwaib, Y., Morrison, T.E.M., Taylor, G.W., Thompson, R.L.E., McCune, K., Loughlin, P., Lawther, R., Byrnes, C.K., Simpson, D.J., Mawhinney, A., Warren, C., McKay, D., McIlmunn, C., Martin, S., MacArtney, M., Diamond, T., Davey, P., Jones, C., Clements, J.M., Digney, R., Chan, W.M., McCain, S., Gull, S., Janeczko, A., Dorrian, E., Harris, A., Dawson, S., Johnston, D., McAree, B., Ghareeb, E., Thomas, G., Connelly, M., McKenzie, S., Cieplucha, K., Spence, G., Campbell, W., Hooks, G., Bradley, N., Hill, A.D.K., Cassidy, J.T., Boland, M., Burke, P., Nally, D.M., Khogali, E., Shabo, W., Iskandar, E., McEntee, G.P., O?Neill, M.A., Peirce, C., Lyons, E.M., O?Sullivan, A.W., Thakkar, R., Carroll, P., Ivanovski, I., Balfe, P., Lee, M., Winter, D.C., Kelly, M.E., Hoti, E., Maguire, D., Karunakaran, P., Geoghegan, J.G., McDermott, F., Martin, S.T., Cross, K.S., Cooke, F., Zeeshan, S., Murphy, J.O., Mealy, K., Mohan, H.M., Nedujchelyn, Y., Ullah, M.F., Ahmed, I., Giovinazzo, F., Milburn, J., Prince, S., Brooke, E., Buchan, J., Khalil, A.M., Vaughan, E.M., Ramage, M.I., Aldridge, R.C., Gibson, S., Nicholson, G.A., Vass, D.G., Grant, A.J., Holroyd, D.J., Jones, M.A., Sutton, C.M.L.R., O?Dwyer, P., Nilsson, F., Weber, B., Williamson, T.K., Lalla, K., Bryant, A., Carter, C.R., Forrest, C.R., Hunter, D.I., Nassar, A.H., Orizu, M.N., Knight, K., Qandeel, H., Suttie, S., Belding, R., McClarey, A., Boyd, A.T., Guthrie, G.J.K., Lim, P.J., Luhmann, A., Watson, A.J.M., Richards, C.H., Nicol, L., Madurska, M., Harrison, E., Boyce, K.M., Roebuck, A., Ferguson, G., Pati, P., Wilson, M.S.J., Dalgaty, F., Fothergill, L., Driscoll, P.J., Mozolowski, K.L., Banwell, V., Bennett, S.P., Rogers, P.N., Skelly, B.L., Rutherford, C.L., Mirza, A.K., Lazim, T., Lim, H.C.C., Duke, D., Ahmed, T., Beasley, W.D., Wilkinson, M.D., Maharaj, G., Malcolm, C., Brown, T.H., Al-Sarireh, B., Shingler, G.M., Mowbray, N., Radwan, R., Morcous, P., Wood, S., Kadhim, A., Stewart, D.J., Baker, A.L., Tanner, N., Shenoy, H., Hafiz, S., De Marchi, J.A., Singh-Ranger, D., Hisham, E., Ainley, P., O?Neill, S., Terrace, J., Napetti, S., Hopwood, B., Rhys, T., Downing, J., Kanavati, O., Coats, M., Aleksandrov, D., Kallaway, C., Yahya, S., Templeton, A., Trotter, M., Lo, C., Dhillon, A., Heywood, N., Aawsaj, Y., Hamdan, A., Reece-Bolton, O., McGuigan, A., Shahin, Y., Aymon, Luther, A.A., Nicholson, J.A., Rajendran, I., Boal, M., and Ritchie, J.

Subjects
Adult, Male, Scoring tool, medicine.medical_specialty, Patient factors, medicine.medical_treatment, Operative Time, Operative duration, 030230 surgery, Logistic regression, Article, patient factors, 03 medical and health sciences, Laparoscopic cholecystectomy, 0302 clinical medicine, Patient satisfaction, 030202 anesthesiology, Interquartile range, medicine, Humans, theatre utilisation, Propensity Score, Aged, Framingham Risk Score, Receiver operating characteristic, business.industry, prediction, Middle Aged, operative duration, Cholecystectomy, Laparoscopic, ROC Curve, scoring tool, Centre for Surgical Research, Elective Surgical Procedures, Theatre utilisation, Emergency medicine, Cohort, Propensity score matching, Female, Surgery, Cholecystectomy, Prediction, business
Abstract

Background The ability to accurately predict operative duration has the potential to optimise theatre efficiency and utilisation, thus reducing costs and increasing staff and patient satisfaction. With laparoscopic cholecystectomy being one of the most commonly performed procedures worldwide, a tool to predict operative duration could be extremely beneficial to healthcare organisations. Methods Data collected from the CholeS study on patients undergoing cholecystectomy in UK and Irish hospitals between 04/2014 and 05/2014 were used to study operative duration. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was produced in order to identify significant independent predictors of long (> 90 min) operations. The resulting model was converted to a risk score, which was subsequently validated on second cohort of patients using ROC curves. Results After exclusions, data were available for 7227 patients in the derivation (CholeS) cohort. The median operative duration was 60 min (interquartile range 45–85), with 17.7% of operations lasting longer than 90 min. Ten factors were found to be significant independent predictors of operative durations > 90 min, including ASA, age, previous surgical admissions, BMI, gallbladder wall thickness and CBD diameter. A risk score was then produced from these factors, and applied to a cohort of 2405 patients from a tertiary centre for external validation. This returned an area under the ROC curve of 0.708 (SE = 0.013, p 90 min increasing more than eightfold from 5.1 to 41.8% in the extremes of the score. Conclusion The scoring tool produced in this study was found to be significantly predictive of long operative durations on validation in an external cohort. As such, the tool may have the potential to enable organisations to better organise theatre lists and deliver greater efficiencies in care.

Published
2018
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4. Population-based cohort study of outcomes following cholecystectomy for benign gallbladder diseases

Author

Vohra, RS, Pasquali, S, Kirkham, AJ, Marriott, P, Johnstone, M, Spreadborough, P, Alderson, D, Griffiths, EA, Fenwick, S, Elmasry, M, Nunes, Q, Kennedy, D, Khan, RB, Khan, MAS, Magee, CJ, Jones, SM, Mason, D, Parappally, CP, Mathur, P, Saunders, M, Jamel, S, Ul Haque, S, Zafar, S, Shiwani, MH, Samuel, N, Dar, F, Jackson, A, Lovett, B, Dindyal, S, Winter, H, Fletcher, T, Rahman, S, Wheatley, K, Nieto, T, Ayaani, S, Youssef, H, Nijjar, RS, Watkin, H, Naumann, D, Emeshi, S, Sarmah, PB, Lee, K, Joji, N, Heath, J, Teasdale, RL, Weerasinghe, C, Needham, PJ, Welbourn, H, Forster, L, Finch, D, Blazeby, JM, Robb, W, McNair, AGK, Hrycaiczuk, A, Kadirkamanathan, S, Tang, C-B, Jayanthi, NVG, Noor, N, Dobbins, B, Cockbain, AJ, Nilsen-Nunn, A, de Siqueira, J, Pellen, M, Cowley, JB, Ho, W-M, Miu, V, White, TJ, Hodgkins, KA, Kinghorn, A, Tutton, MG, Al-Abed, YA, Menzies, D, Ahmad, A, Reed, J, Khan, S, Monk, D, Vitone, LJ, Murtaza, G, Joel, A, Brennan, S, Shier, D, Zhang, C, Yoganathan, T, Robinson, SJ, McCallum, IJD, Jones, MJ, Elsayed, M, Tuck, L, Wayman, J, Carney, K, Aroori, S, Hosie, KB, Kimble, A, Bunting, DM, Fawole, AS, Basheer, M, Dave, RV, Sarveswaran, J, Jones, E, Kendal, C, Tilston, MP, Gough, M, Wallace, T, Singh, S, Downing, J, Mockford, KA, Issa, E, Shah, N, Chauhan, N, Wilson, TR, Forouzanfar, A, Wild, JRL, Nofal, E, Bunnell, C, Madbak, K, Rao, STV, Devoto, L, Siddiqi, N, Khawaja, Z, Hewes, JC, Gould, L, Chambers, A, Rodriguez, DU, Sen, G, Robinson, S, Bartlett, F, Rae, DM, Stevenson, TEJ, Sarvananthan, K, Dwerryhouse, SJ, Higgs, SM, Old, OJ, Hardy, TJ, Shah, R, Hornby, ST, Keogh, K, Frank, L, Al-Akash, M, Upchurch, EA, Frame, RJ, Hughes, M, Jelley, C, Weaver, S, Roy, S, Sillo, TO, Galanopoulos, G, Cuming, T, Cunha, P, Tayeh, S, Kaptanis, S, Heshaishi, M, Eisawi, A, Abayomi, M, Ngu, WS, Fleming, K, Bajwa, DS, Chitre, V, Aryal, K, Ferris, P, Silva, M, Lammy, S, Mohamed, S, Khawaja, A, Hussain, A, Ghazanfar, MA, Bellini, MI, Ebdewi, H, Elshaer, M, Gravante, G, Drake, B, Ogedegbe, A, Mukherjee, D, Arhi, C, Iqbal, LGN, Watson, NF, Aggarwal, SK, Orchard, P, Villatoro, E, Willson, PD, Wa, K, Mok, J, Woodman, T, Deguara, J, Garcea, G, Babu, BI, Dennison, AR, Malde, D, Lloyd, D, Satheesan, S, Al-Taan, O, Boddy, A, Slavin, JP, Jones, RP, Ballance, L, Gerakopoulos, S, Jambulingam, P, Mansour, S, Sakai, N, Acharya, V, Sadat, MM, Karim, L, Larkin, D, Amin, K, Khan, A, Law, J, Jamdar, S, Smith, SR, Sampat, K, O'Shea, KM, Manu, M, Asprou, FM, Malik, NS, Chang, J, Lewis, M, Roberts, GP, Karavadra, B, Photi, E, Hewes, J, Rodriguez, D, O'Reilly, DA, Rate, AJ, Sekhar, H, Henderson, LT, Starmer, BZ, Coe, PO, Tolofari, S, Barrie, J, Bashir, G, Sloane, J, Madanipour, S, Halkias, C, Trevatt, AEJ, Borowski, DW, Hornsby, J, Courtney, MJ, Seymour, K, Hawkins, H, Bawa, S, Gallagher, PV, Reid, A, Wood, P, Finch, JG, Parmar, J, Stirland, E, Gardner-Thorpe, J, Al-Muhktar, A, Peterson, M, Majeed, A, Bajwa, FM, Martin, J, Choy, A, Tsang, A, Pore, N, Andrew, DR, Al-Khyatt, W, Taylor, C, Bhandari, S, Subramanium, D, Toh, SKC, Carter, NC, Mercer, SJ, Knight, B, Tate, S, Pearce, B, Wainwright, D, Vijay, V, Alagaratnam, S, Sinha, S, El-Hasani, SS, Hussain, AA, Bhattacharya, V, Kansal, N, Fasih, T, Jackson, C, Siddiqui, MN, Chishti, IA, Fordham, IJ, Siddiqui, Z, Bausbacher, H, Geogloma, I, Gurung, K, Tsavellas, G, Basynat, P, Shrestha, AK, Basu, S, Harilingam, ACM, Rabie, M, Akhtar, M, Kumar, P, Jafferbhoy, SF, Hussain, N, Raza, S, Haque, M, Alam, I, Aseem, R, Patel, S, Asad, M, Booth, MI, Ball, WR, Wood, CPJ, Pinho-Gomes, AC, Kausar, A, Obeidallah, MR, Varghase, J, Lodhia, J, Bradley, D, Rengifo, C, Lindsay, D, Gopalswamy, S, Finlay, I, Wardle, S, Bullen, N, Iftikhar, SY, Awan, A, Ahmed, J, Leeder, P, Fusai, G, Bond-Smith, G, Psica, A, Puri, Y, Hou, D, Noble, F, Szentpali, K, Broadhurst, J, Date, R, Hossack, MR, Goh, YL, Turner, P, Shetty, V, Riera, M, Macano, CAW, Sukha, A, Preston, SR, Hoban, JR, Puntis, DJ, Williams, SV, Krysztopik, R, Kynaston, J, Batt, J, Doe, M, Goscimski, A, Jones, GH, Hall, C, Carty, N, Panteleimonitis, S, Gunasekera, RT, Sheel, ARG, Lennon, H, Hindley, C, Reddy, M, Kenny, R, Elkheir, N, McGlone, ER, Rajaganeshan, R, Hancorn, K, Hargreaves, A, Prasad, R, Longbotham, DA, Vijayanand, D, Wijetunga, I, Ziprin, P, Nicolay, CR, Yeldham, G, Read, E, Gossage, JA, Rolph, RC, Ebied, H, Phull, M, Khan, MA, Popplewell, M, Kyriakidis, D, Henley, N, Packer, JR, Derbyshire, L, Porter, J, Appleton, S, Farouk, M, Basra, M, Jennings, NA, Ali, S, Kanakala, V, Ali, H, Lane, R, Dickson-Lowe, R, Zarsadias, P, Mirza, D, Puig, S, Al Amari, K, Vijayan, D, Sutcliffe, R, Marudanayagam, R, Hamady, Z, Prasad, AR, Patel, A, Durkin, D, Kaur, P, Bowen, L, Byrne, JP, Pearson, KL, Delisle, TG, Davies, J, Tomlinson, MA, Johnpulle, MA, Slawinski, C, Macdonald, A, Nicholson, J, Newton, K, Mbuvi, J, Farooq, A, Mothe, BS, Zafrani, Z, Brett, D, Francombe, J, Barnes, J, Cheung, M, Al-Bahrani, AZ, Preziosi, G, Urbonas, T, Alberts, J, Mallik, M, Patel, K, Segaran, A, Doulias, T, Sufi, PA, Yao, C, Pollock, S, Manzelli, A, Wajed, S, Kourkulos, M, Pezzuto, R, Wadley, M, Hamilton, E, Jaunoo, S, Padwick, R, Sayegh, M, Newton, RC, Hebbar, M, Farag, SF, Spearman, J, Hamdan, MF, D'Costa, C, Blane, C, Giles, M, Peter, MB, Hirst, NA, Hossain, T, Pannu, A, El-Dhuwaib, Y, Morrison, TEM, Taylor, GW, Thompson, RLE, McCune, K, Loughlin, P, Lawther, R, Byrnes, CK, Simpson, DJ, Mawhinney, A, Warren, C, Mckay, D, McIlmunn, C, Martin, S, MacArtney, M, Diamond, T, Davey, P, Jones, C, Clements, JM, Digney, R, Chan, WM, McCain, S, Gull, S, Janeczko, A, Dorrian, E, Harris, A, Dawson, S, Johnston, D, McAree, B, Ghareeb, E, Thomas, G, Connelly, M, McKenzie, S, Cieplucha, K, Spence, G, Campbell, W, Hooks, G, Bradley, N, Hill, ADK, Cassidy, JT, Boland, M, Burke, P, Nally, DM, Khogali, E, Shabo, W, Iskandar, E, McEntee, GP, O'Neill, MA, Peirce, C, Lyons, EM, O'Sullivan, AW, Thakkar, R, Carroll, P, Ivanovski, I, Balfe, P, Lee, M, Winter, DC, Kelly, ME, Hoti, E, Maguire, D, Karunakaran, P, Geoghegan, JG, Martin, ST, McDermott, F, Cross, KS, Cooke, F, Zeeshan, S, Murphy, JO, Mealy, K, Mohan, HM, Nedujchelyn, Y, Ullah, MF, Ahmed, I, Giovinazzo, F, Milburn, J, Prince, S, Brooke, E, Buchan, J, Khalil, AM, Vaughan, EM, Ramage, MI, Aldridge, RC, Gibson, S, Nicholson, GA, Vass, DG, Grant, AJ, Holroyd, DJ, Jones, MA, Sutton, CMLR, O'Dwyer, P, Nilsson, F, Weber, B, Williamson, TK, Lalla, K, Bryant, A, Carter, CR, Forrest, CR, Hunter, DI, Nassar, AH, Orizu, MN, Knight, K, Qandeel, H, Suttie, S, Belding, R, McClarey, A, Boyd, AT, Guthrie, GJK, Lim, PJ, Luhmann, A, Watson, AJM, Richards, CH, Nicol, L, Madurska, M, Harrison, E, Boyce, KM, Roebuck, A, Ferguson, G, Pati, P, Wilson, MSJ, Dalgaty, F, Fothergill, L, Driscoll, PJ, Mozolowski, KL, Banwell, V, Bennett, SP, Rogers, PN, Skelly, BL, Rutherford, CL, Mirza, AK, Lazim, T, Lim, HCC, Duke, D, Ahmed, T, Beasley, WD, Wilkinson, MD, Maharaj, G, Malcolm, C, Brown, TH, Shingler, GM, Mowbray, N, Radwan, R, Morcous, P, Wood, S, Kadhim, A, Stewart, DJ, Baker, AL, Tanner, N, Shenoy, H, Hafiz, S, De Marchi, JA, Singh-Ranger, D, Hisham, E, Ainley, P, O'Neill, S, Terrace, J, Napetti, S, Hopwood, B, Rhys, T, Kanavati, O, Coats, M, Aleksandrov, D, Kallaway, C, Yahya, S, Templeton, A, Trotter, M, Lo, C, Dhillon, A, Heywood, N, Aawsaj, Y, Hamdan, A, Reece-Bolton, O, McGuigan, A, Shahin, Y, Ali, A, Luther, A, Nicholson, JA, Rajendran, I, Boal, M, Ritchie, J, Grp, CS, and Collaborative, WMR

Subjects
Male, medicine.medical_treatment, 030230 surgery, outcomes, 0302 clinical medicine, Postoperative Complications, 80 and over, Prospective Studies, Prospective cohort study, Aged, 80 and over, education.field_of_study, Middle Aged, Conversion to Open Surgery, medicine.anatomical_structure, Treatment Outcome, Cholecystectomy, Laparoscopic, Centre for Surgical Research, Elective Surgical Procedures, 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis, Cohort, Female, Elective Surgical Procedure, Adult, medicine.medical_specialty, Population, Gallbladder disease, Gallbladder Diseases, Aged, Ambulatory Surgical Procedures, Cholecystectomy, Emergency Treatment, Humans, Ireland, Patient Readmission, Time-to-Treatment, United Kingdom, Surgery, benign disease, 03 medical and health sciences, Laparoscopic, medicine, education, business.industry, General surgery, Gallbladder, medicine.disease, business, Complication
Abstract

Background The aim was to describe the management of benign gallbladder disease and identify characteristics associated with all-cause 30-day readmissions and complications in a prospective population-based cohort. Methods Data were collected on consecutive patients undergoing cholecystectomy in acute UK and Irish hospitals between 1 March and 1 May 2014. Potential explanatory variables influencing all-cause 30-day readmissions and complications were analysed by means of multilevel, multivariable logistic regression modelling using a two-level hierarchical structure with patients (level 1) nested within hospitals (level 2). Results Data were collected on 8909 patients undergoing cholecystectomy from 167 hospitals. Some 1451 cholecystectomies (16·3 per cent) were performed as an emergency, 4165 (46·8 per cent) as elective operations, and 3293 patients (37·0 per cent) had had at least one previous emergency admission, but had surgery on a delayed basis. The readmission and complication rates at 30 days were 7·1 per cent (633 of 8909) and 10·8 per cent (962 of 8909) respectively. Both readmissions and complications were independently associated with increasing ASA fitness grade, duration of surgery, and increasing numbers of emergency admissions with gallbladder disease before cholecystectomy. No identifiable hospital characteristics were linked to readmissions and complications. Conclusion Readmissions and complications following cholecystectomy are common and associated with patient and disease characteristics.

Published
2016
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5. Population-based cohort study of variation in the use of emergency cholecystectomy for benign gallbladder diseases

Author

Vohra, R. S., Pasquali, S., Kirkham, A. J., Marriott, P., Johnstone, M., Spreadborough, P., Alderson, D., Griffiths, E. A., Fenwick, S., Elmasry, M., Nunes, Q., Kennedy, D., Basit Khan, R., Khan, M. A. S., Magee, C. J., Jones, S. M., Mason, D., Parappally, C. P., Mathur, P., Saunders, M., Jamel, S., Ul Haque, S., Zafar, S., Shiwani, M. H., Samuel, N., Dar, F., Jackson, A., Lovett, B., Dindyal, S., Winter, H., Fletcher, T., Rahman, S., Wheatley, K., Nieto, T., Ayaani, S., Youssef, H., Nijjar, R. S., Watkin, H., Naumann, D., Emeshi, S., Sarmah, P. B., Lee, K., Joji, N., Heath, J., Teasdale, R. L., Weerasinghe, C., Needham, P. J., Welbourn, H., Forster, L., Finch, D., Blazeby, J. M., Robb, W., Mcnair, A. G. K., Hrycaiczuk, A., Charalabopoulos, A., Kadirkamanathan, S., Tang, C. -B., Jayanthi, N. V. G., Noor, N., Dobbins, B., Cockbain, A. J., Nilsen-Nunn, A., de Siqueira, J., Pellen, M., Cowley, J. B., W. -M., Ho, Miu, V., White, T. J., Hodgkins, K. A., Kinghorn, A., Tutton, M. G., Al-Abed, Y. A., Menzies, D., Ahmad, A., Reed, J., Khan, S., Monk, D., Vitone, L. J., Murtaza, G., Joel, A., Brennan, S., Shier, D., Zhang, C., Yoganathan, T., Robinson, S. J., Mccallum, I. J. D., Jones, M. J., Elsayed, M., Tuck, L., Wayman, J., Carney, K., Aroori, S., Hosie, K. B., Kimble, A., Bunting, D. M., Fawole, A. S., Basheer, M., Dave, R. V., Sarveswaran, J., Jones, E., Kendal, C., Tilston, M. P., Gough, M., Wallace, T., Singh, S., Downing, J., Mockford, K. A., Issa, E., Shah, N., Chauhan, N., Wilson, T. R., Forouzanfar, A., Wild, J. R. L., Nofal, E., Bunnell, C., Madbak, K., Rao, S. T. V., Devoto, L., Siddiqi, N., Khawaja, Z., Hewes, J. C., Gould, L., Chambers, A., Urriza Rodriguez, D., Sen, G., Robinson, S., Bartlett, F., Rae, D. M., Stevenson, T. E. J., Sarvananthan, K., Dwerryhouse, S. J., Higgs, S. M., Old, O. J., Hardy, T. J., Shah, R., Hornby, S. T., Keogh, K., Frank, L., Al-Akash, M., Upchurch, E. A., Frame, R. J., Hughes, M., Jelley, C., Weaver, S., Roy, S., Sillo, T. O., Galanopoulos, G., Cuming, T., Cunha, P., Tayeh, S., Kaptanis, S., Heshaishi, M., Eisawi, A., Abayomi, M., Ngu, W. S., Fleming, K., Singh Bajwa, D., Chitre, V., Aryal, K., Ferris, P., Silva, M., Lammy, S., Mohamed, S., Khawaja, A., Hussain, A., Ghazanfar, M. A., Bellini, M. I., Ebdewi, H., Elshaer, M., Gravante, G., Drake, B., Ogedegbe, A., Mukherjee, D., Arhi, C., Giwa Nusrat Iqbal, L., Watson, N. F., Kumar Aggarwal, S., Orchard, P., Villatoro, E., Willson, P. D., Wa, K., Mok, J., Woodman, T., Deguara, J., Garcea, G., Babu, B. I., Dennison, A. R., Malde, D., Lloyd, D., Satheesan, S., Al-Taan, O., Boddy, A., Slavin, J. P., Jones, R. P., Ballance, L., Gerakopoulos, S., Jambulingam, P., Mansour, S., Sakai, N., Acharya, V., Sadat, M. M., Karim, L., Larkin, D., Amin, K., Khan, A., Law, J., Jamdar, S., Smith, S. R., Sampat, K., M O'shea, K., Manu, M., Asprou, F. M., Malik, N. S., Chang, J., Lewis, M., Roberts, G. P., Karavadra, B., Photi, E., Hewes, J., Rodriguez, D., O'Reilly, D. A., Rate, A. J., Sekhar, H., Henderson, L. T., Starmer, B. Z., Coe, P. O., Tolofari, S., Barrie, J., Bashir, G., Sloane, J., Madanipour, S., Halkias, C., Trevatt, A. E. J., Borowski, D. W., Hornsby, J., Courtney, M. J., Virupaksha, S., Seymour, K., Hawkins, H., Bawa, S., Gallagher, P. V., Reid, A., Wood, P., Finch, J. G., Parmar, J., Stirland, E., Gardner-Thorpe, J., Al-Muhktar, A., Peterson, M., Majeed, A., Bajwa, F. M., Martin, J., Choy, A., Tsang, A., Pore, N., Andrew, D. R., Al-Khyatt, W., Taylor, C., Bhandari, S., Subramanium, D., Toh, S. K. C., Carter, N. C., Mercer, S. J., Knight, B., Tate, S., Pearce, B., Wainwright, D., Vijay, V., Alagaratnam, S., Sinha, S., El-Hasani, S. S., Hussain, A. A., Bhattacharya, V., Kansal, N., Fasih, T., Jackson, C., Siddiqui, M. N., Chishti, I. A., Fordham, I. J., Siddiqui, Z., Bausbacher, H., Geogloma, I., Gurung, K., Tsavellas, G., Basynat, P., Kiran Shrestha, A., Basu, S., Chhabra Mohan Harilingam, A., Rabie, M., Akhtar, M., Kumar, P., Jafferbhoy, S. F., Hussain, N., Raza, S., Haque, M., Alam, I., Aseem, R., Patel, S., Asad, M., Booth, M. I., Ball, W. R., Wood, C. P. J., Pinho-Gomes, A. C., Kausar, A., Rami Obeidallah, M., Varghase, J., Lodhia, J., Bradley, D., Rengifo, C., Lindsay, D., Gopalswamy, S., Finlay, I., Wardle, S., Bullen, N., Iftikhar, S. Y., Awan, A., Ahmed, J., Leeder, P., Fusai, G., Bond-Smith, G., Psica, A., Puri, Y., Hou, D., Noble, F., Szentpali, K., Broadhurst, J., Date, R., Hossack, M. R., Li Goh, Y., Turner, P., Shetty, V., Riera, M., Macano, C. A. W., Sukha, A., Preston, S. R., Hoban, J. R., Puntis, D. J., Williams, S. V., Krysztopik, R., Kynaston, J., Batt, J., Doe, M., Goscimski, A., Jones, G. H., Hall, C., Carty, N., Panteleimonitis, S., Gunasekera, R. T., Sheel, A. R. G., Lennon, H., Hindley, C., Reddy, M., Kenny, R., Elkheir, N., Mcglone, E. R., Rajaganeshan, R., Hancorn, K., Hargreaves, A., Prasad, R., Longbotham, D. A., Vijayanand, D., Wijetunga, I., Ziprin, P., Nicolay, C. R., Yeldham, G., Read, E., Gossage, J. A., Rolph, R. C., Ebied, H., Phull, M., Khan, M. A., Popplewell, M., Kyriakidis, D., Henley, N., Packer, J. R., Derbyshire, L., Porter, J., Appleton, S., Farouk, M., Basra, M., Jennings, N. A., Ali, S., Kanakala, V., Ali, H., Lane, R., Dickson-Lowe, R., Zarsadias, P., Mirza, D., Puig, S., Al Amari, K., Vijayan, D., Sutcliffe, R., Marudanayagam, R., Hamady, Z., Prasad, A. R., Patel, A., Durkin, D., Kaur, P., Bowen, L., Byrne, J. P., Pearson, K. L., Delisle, T. G., Davies, J., Tomlinson, M. A., Johnpulle, M. A., Slawinski, C., Macdonald, A., Nicholson, J., Newton, K., Mbuvi, J., Farooq, A., Sidhartha Mothe, B., Zafrani, Z., Brett, D., Francombe, J., Barnes, J., Cheung, M., Al-Bahrani, A. Z., Preziosi, G., Urbonas, T., Alberts, J., Mallik, M., Patel, K., Segaran, A., Doulias, T., Sufi, P. A., Yao, C., Pollock, S., Manzelli, A., Wajed, S., Kourkulos, M., Pezzuto, R., Wadley, M., Hamilton, E., Jaunoo, S., Padwick, R., Sayegh, M., Newton, R. C., Hebbar, M., Farag, S. F., Spearman, J., Hamdan, M. F., D'Costa, C., Blane, C., Giles, M., Peter, M. B., Hirst, N. A., Hossain, T., Pannu, A., El-Dhuwaib, Y., Morrison, T. E. M., Taylor, G. W., Thompson, R. L. E., Mccune, K., Loughlin, P., Lawther, R., Byrnes, C. K., Simpson, D. J., Mawhinney, A., Warren, C., Mckay, D., Mcilmunn, C., Martin, S., Macartney, M., Diamond, T., Davey, P., Jones, C., Clements, J. M., Digney, R., Chan, W. M., Mccain, S., Gull, S., Janeczko, A., Dorrian, E., Harris, A., Dawson, S., Johnston, D., Mcaree, B., Ghareeb, E., Thomas, G., Connelly, M., Mckenzie, S., Cieplucha, K., Spence, G., Campbell, W., Hooks, G., Bradley, N., Hill, A. D. K., Cassidy, J. T., Boland, M., Burke, P., Nally, D. M., Khogali, E., Shabo, W., Iskandar, E., Mcentee, G. P., O'Neill, M. A., Peirce, C., Lyons, E. M., O'Sullivan, A. W., Thakkar, R., Carroll, P., Ivanovski, I., Balfe, P., Lee, M., Winter, D. C., Kelly, M. E., Hoti, E., Maguire, D., Karunakaran, P., Geoghegan, J. G., Martin, S. T., Mcdermott, F., Cross, K. S., Cooke, F., Zeeshan, S., Murphy, J. O., Mealy, K., Mohan, H. M., Nedujchelyn, Y., Fahad Ullah, M., Ahmed, I., Giovinazzo, F., Milburn, J., Prince, S., Brooke, E., Buchan, J., Khalil, A. M., Vaughan, E. M., Ramage, M. I., Aldridge, R. C., Gibson, S., Nicholson, G. A., Vass, D. G., Grant, A. J., Holroyd, D. J., Jones, M. A., Sutton, C. M. L. R., O'Dwyer, P., Nilsson, F., Weber, B., Williamson, T. K., Lalla, K., Bryant, A., Carter, C. R., Forrest, C. R., Hunter, D. I., Nassar, A. H., Orizu, M. N., Knight, K., Qandeel, H., Suttie, S., Belding, R., Mcclarey, A., Boyd, A. T., Guthrie, G. J. K., Lim, P. J., Luhmann, A., Watson, A. J. M., Richards, C. H., Nicol, L., Madurska, M., Harrison, E., Boyce, K. M., Roebuck, A., Ferguson, G., Pati, P., Wilson, M. S. J., Dalgaty, F., Fothergill, L., Driscoll, P. J., Mozolowski, K. L., Banwell, V., Bennett, S. P., Rogers, P. N., Skelly, B. L., Rutherford, C. L., Mirza, A. K., Lazim, T., Lim, H. C. C., Duke, D., Ahmed, T., Beasley, W. D., Wilkinson, M. D., Maharaj, G., Malcolm, C., Brown, T. H., Shingler, G. M., Mowbray, N., Radwan, R., Morcous, P., Wood, S., Kadhim, A., Stewart, D. J., Baker, A. L., Tanner, N., Shenoy, H., Hafiz, S., De Marchi, J. A., Singh-Ranger, D., Hisham, E., Ainley, P., O'Neill, S., Terrace, J., Napetti, S., Hopwood, B., Rhys, T., Kanavati, O., Coats, M., Aleksandrov, D., Kallaway, C., Yahya, S., Templeton, A., Trotter, M., Lo, C., Dhillon, A., Heywood, N., Aawsaj, Y., Hamdan, A., Reece-Bolton, O., Mcguigan, A., Shahin, Y., Ali, A., Luther, A., Nicholson, J. A., Rajendran, I., Boal, M., and Ritchie, J.

Subjects
Adult, Male, medicine.medical_specialty, medicine.medical_treatment, Gallbladder disease, Population, Gallbladder Diseases, 030230 surgery, Biliary colic, Time-to-Treatment, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Emergency cholecystectomy, benign gallbladder disease, hospital care, 80 and over, Medicine, Humans, Cholecystectomy, Prospective Studies, Prospective cohort study, education, Emergency Treatment, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, education.field_of_study, Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, medicine.diagnostic_test, business.industry, General surgery, Gallbladder, Middle Aged, medicine.disease, Hospitals, United Kingdom, Hospitalization, medicine.anatomical_structure, Centre for Surgical Research, 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis, Female, Ireland, Surgery, medicine.symptom, business, Cohort study
Abstract

Background The aims of this prospective population-based cohort study were to identify the patient and hospital characteristics associated with emergency cholecystectomy, and the influences of these in determining variations between hospitals. Methods Data were collected for consecutive patients undergoing cholecystectomy in acute UK and Irish hospitals between 1 March and 1 May 2014. Potential explanatory variables influencing the performance of emergency cholecystectomy were analysed by means of multilevel, multivariable logistic regression modelling using a two-level hierarchical structure with patients (level 1) nested within hospitals (level 2). Results Data were collected on 4744 cholecystectomies from 165 hospitals. Increasing age, lower ASA fitness grade, biliary colic, the need for further imaging (magnetic retrograde cholangiopancreatography), endoscopic interventions (endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography) and admission to a non-biliary centre significantly reduced the likelihood of an emergency cholecystectomy being performed. The multilevel model was used to calculate the probability of receiving an emergency cholecystectomy for a woman aged 40 years or over with an ASA grade of I or II and a BMI of at least 25·0 kg/m2, who presented with acute cholecystitis with an ultrasound scan showing a thick-walled gallbladder and a normal common bile duct. The mean predicted probability of receiving an emergency cholecystectomy was 0·52 (95 per cent c.i. 0·45 to 0·57). The predicted probabilities ranged from 0·02 to 0·95 across the 165 hospitals, demonstrating significant variation between hospitals. Conclusion Patients with similar characteristics presenting to different hospitals with acute gallbladder pathology do not receive comparable care.

Published
2016
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7. Chicken or the leg: Sigmoid colon perforation by ingested poultry fibula proximal to an occult malignancy.

Author

Terrace JD, Samuel J, Robertson JH, Wilson RG, and Anderson DN

Abstract

Introduction: Colonic perforation by ingested foreign bodies is exceedingly rare, with the diagnosis made more challenging by patients infrequently recalling any inadvertent ingestion and the poor sensitivity of plain radiography., Presentation of Case: The presented case demonstrates that bony perforation of the large bowel might occur immediately proximal to an otherwise occult colonic malignancy., Discussion: Ingestion of foreign bodies is common and rarely results in colonic perforation. However, bony ingestion is not usually remembered and can be missed even with cross-sectional imaging. If present, consideration should be given to the presence of an adjacent concealed colon cancer., Conclusion: The co-existence of separate pathology should be carefully assessed in these patients, since this has important implications for relevant investigations and appropriate surgical management., (Copyright © 2013 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Published
2013
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8. An unusual case of peritonitis in an intravenous drug user.

Author

Johns N, Cooper D, and Terrace J

Subjects
Adult, Drug Contamination, Fatal Outcome, Humans, Male, Peritonitis diagnostic imaging, Peritonitis surgery, Radiography, Young Adult, Abdomen, Acute microbiology, Anthrax microbiology, Bacillus anthracis, Heroin, Peritonitis microbiology, Substance Abuse, Intravenous complications
Published
2011
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9. Results of decompression surgery for pain in chronic pancreatitis.

Author

Terrace JD, Paterson HM, Garden OJ, Parks RW, and Madhavan KK

Abstract

Introduction: A vast majority of patients with chronic pancreatitis require regular opiate/opioid analgesia and recurrent hospital admission for pain. However, the role and timing of operative strategies for pain in chronic pancreatitis is controversial. This study hypothesized that pancreatic decompression surgery reduces analgesia requirement and hospital readmission for pain in selected patients., Patients and Methods: This was a retrospective review of patients undergoing longitudinal pancreatico-jejunostomy (LPJ), with or without coring of the pancreatic head (Frey's procedure), between 1995 and 2007 in a single UK centre. Surgery was performed for chronic pain with clinical/radiological evidence of chronic pancreatitis amenable to decompression/head coring., Results: Fifty patients were identified. Thirty-six were male with a median age of 46 years and median follow-up of 30 months. Twenty-eight underwent LPJ and 22 underwent Frey's procedure. No significant difference in reduction of analgesia requirement (71% vs 64%, p=0.761) or hospital readmission for pain (21% vs 23%, p=1.000) was observed when comparing LPJ and Frey's procedure. Patients were significantly more likely to be pain-free following surgery if they required non-opiate rather than opiate analgesia preoperatively (75% vs 19%, p=0.0002). Fewer patients required subsequent hospital readmission for pain if taking non-opiate rather than opiate analgesia preoperatively (12.5% vs 31%, p=0.175)., Conclusions: In selected patients, LPJ and Frey's procedure have equivalent benefit in short-term pain reduction. Patients should be selected for surgery before the commencement of opiate analgesia.

Published
2007
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10. Capillary blood gases in acute exacerbations of COPD.

Author

Murphy R, Thethy S, Raby S, Beckley J, Terrace J, Fiddler C, Craig M, and Robertson C

Subjects
Acute Disease, Capillaries, Ear blood supply, Humans, Radial Artery, Reproducibility of Results, Blood Gas Analysis methods, Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive blood
Abstract

Objectives: To assess the correlation and agreement between measurements of PO(2), PCO(2), H(+) and HCO(3)(-) in arterial and capillary blood in patients with acute exacerbations of COPD. To assess the repeatability of capillary measurements., Design: Method comparison study., Setting: Accident and emergency department in a university teaching hospital., Main Outcome Measures: Measurements of PO(2), PCO(2), H(+) and HCO(3)(-) in one arterial and two capillary samples taken from consecutive patients with acute exacerbations of COPD., Results: The agreement between measurements of PCO(2), H(+) and HCO(3)(-) in arterial and capillary blood was good with mean differences of 0.087 kPa, 1.044 nmol/l and 0.513 mmol/l, respectively. The corresponding 95% limits of agreement were narrow. The agreement between measurements of PO(2) was poor with a mean difference of 1.256 kPa and wide 95% limits of agreement. There was good repeatability between capillary samples with mean differences of 0.094 kPa, 0.674 nmol/l and 0.028 mmol/l for measurements of PCO(2), H(+) and HCO(3) respectively and narrow coefficients of repeatability., Conclusions: Capillary blood gas measurements provide an accurate assessment of PCO(2), H(+) and HCO(3)(-) and can be used to reliably measure the ventilatory status of patients. Combined with continuous pulse oximetry they can be used as an alternative to arterial blood gas measurements in patients with acute exacerbations of COPD.

Published
2006
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