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Contains fulltext : 286832.pdf (Publisher’s version ) (Open Access) BACKGROUND: Direct evaluation of vascular inflammation in patients with COVID-19 would facilitate more efficient trials of new treatments and identify patients at risk of long-term complications who might respond to treatment. We aimed to develop a novel artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted image analysis platform that quantifies cytokine-driven vascular inflammation from routine CT angiograms, and sought to validate its prognostic value in COVID-19. METHODS: For this prospective outcomes validation study, we developed a radiotranscriptomic platform that uses RNA sequencing data from human internal mammary artery biopsies to develop novel radiomic signatures of vascular inflammation from CT angiography images. We then used this platform to train a radiotranscriptomic signature (C19-RS), derived from the perivascular space around the aorta and the internal mammary artery, to best describe cytokine-driven vascular inflammation. The prognostic value of C19-RS was validated externally in 435 patients (331 from study arm 3 and 104 from study arm 4) admitted to hospital with or without COVID-19, undergoing clinically indicated pulmonary CT angiography, in three UK National Health Service (NHS) trusts (Oxford, Leicester, and Bath). We evaluated the diagnostic and prognostic value of C19-RS for death in hospital due to COVID-19, did sensitivity analyses based on dexamethasone treatment, and investigated the correlation of C19-RS with systemic transcriptomic changes. FINDINGS: Patients with COVID-19 had higher C19-RS than those without (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2·97 [95% CI 1·43-6·27], p=0·0038), and those infected with the B.1.1.7 (alpha) SARS-CoV-2 variant had higher C19-RS values than those infected with the wild-type SARS-CoV-2 variant (adjusted OR 1·89 [95% CI 1·17-3·20] per SD, p=0·012). C19-RS had prognostic value for in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 in two testing cohorts (high [≥6·99] vs low [

Introduction: Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is a visceral fat deposit within the pericardial sac. The automated quantification of EAT volume is possible from routine CCTA scans via deep-learning. The use of automated EAT quantification for the assessment of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in addition to standard measures of obesity like BMI has not been fully explored. Purpose: To use deep-learning for automated segmentation of EAT from routine CCTA scans to assess the long-term CVD risk conveyed by EAT. Methods: A deep-learning automated EAT segmentation tool using a 3D Residual-U-Net neural network architecture for 3D volumetric segmentation of CCTA data was created and trained on over 2500 consecutive CCTAs from within the Oxford Risk Factors And Non Invasive Imaging (ORFAN) Study. External validation in 817 patients demonstrated excellent correlation between machine and human expert (CCC = 0.972). The prognostic value of deep-learning derived EAT volume was assessed against 5 years outcomes from the SCOTHEART trial (n=1588), with adjustment for CVD risk factors. An optimal cutoff was selected by identifying the EAT value that maximized the Youden’s J index (sum of sensitivity and specificity) for the three outcomes of interest - high risk was deemed to be EAT ≥ 170.5cm 3 . Results: There were 35 deaths (all-cause mortality), 35 non-fatal myocardial infarctions and 8 non-fatal strokes during the 5 years follow up period. By using multi-variable cox-regression, EAT volume was predictive of all-cause mortality (Figure 1A), non-fatal MI (Figure 1B), and non-fatal stroke (Figure 1C) independently from CVD risk factors. Conclusions: Automatically segmented EAT volume measured using a deep learning network, predicts 5-year all-cause mortality, heart attacks and stroke independently of BMI and clinical risk profile of the patients. This suggests that measures of visceral obesity will be of value in the interpretation of cardiovascular computed tomography.

INTRODUCTION: To investigate the combined performance of quantitative CT (qCT) following a computer algorithm analysis (IMBIO) and 18F-FDG PET/CT to assess survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). METHODS: A total of 113 IPF patients (age 70 ± 9 years) prospectively and consecutively underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT and high-resolution CT (HRCT) at our institution. During a mean follow-up of 29.6 ± 26 months, 44 (48%) patients died. As part of the qCT analysis, pattern evaluation of HRCT (using IMBIO software) included the total extent (percentage) of the following features: normal-appearing lung, hyperlucent lung, parenchymal damage (comprising ground-glass opacification, reticular pattern and honeycombing), and the pulmonary vessels. The maximum (SUVmax) and minimum (SUVmin) standardized uptake value (SUV) for 18F-FDG uptake in the lungs, and the target-to-background (SUVmax/SUVmin) ratio (TBR) were quantified using routine region-of-interest (ROI) analysis. Pulmonary functional tests (PFTs) were acquired within 14 days of the PET/CT/HRCT scan. Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis was used to identify associations with mortality. RESULTS: Data from 91 patients were available for comparative analysis. The average ± SD GAP [gender, age, physiology] score was 4.2 ± 1.7 (range 0-8). The average ± SD SUVmax, SUVmin, and TBR were 3.4 ± 1.4, 0.7 ± 0.2, and 5.6 ± 2.8, respectively. In all patients, qCT analysis demonstrated a predominantly reticular lung pattern (14.9 ± 12.4%). KM analysis showed that TBR (p = 0.018) and parenchymal damage assessed by qCT (p = 0.0002) were the best predictors of survival. Adding TBR and qCT to the GAP score significantly increased the ability to differentiate between high and low risk (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: 18F-FDG PET and qCT are independent and synergistic in predicting mortality in patients with IPF.

Background Coronary inflammation induces dynamic changes in the balance between water and lipid content in perivascular adipose tissue (PVAT), as captured by perivascular Fat Attenuation Index (FAI) in standard coronary CT angiography (CCTA). However, inflammation is not the only process involved in atherogenesis and we hypothesized that additional radiomic signatures of adverse fibrotic and microvascular PVAT remodelling, may further improve cardiac risk prediction. Methods and results We present a new artificial intelligence-powered method to predict cardiac risk by analysing the radiomic profile of coronary PVAT, developed and validated in patient cohorts acquired in three different studies. In Study 1, adipose tissue biopsies were obtained from 167 patients undergoing cardiac surgery, and the expression of genes representing inflammation, fibrosis and vascularity was linked with the radiomic features extracted from tissue CT images. Adipose tissue wavelet-transformed mean attenuation (captured by FAI) was the most sensitive radiomic feature in describing tissue inflammation (TNFA expression), while features of radiomic texture were related to adipose tissue fibrosis (COL1A1 expression) and vascularity (CD31 expression). In Study 2, we analysed 1391 coronary PVAT radiomic features in 101 patients who experienced major adverse cardiac events (MACE) within 5 years of having a CCTA and 101 matched controls, training and validating a machine learning (random forest) algorithm (fat radiomic profile, FRP) to discriminate cases from controls (C-statistic 0.77 [95%CI: 0.62–0.93] in the external validation set). The coronary FRP signature was then tested in 1575 consecutive eligible participants in the SCOT-HEART trial, where it significantly improved MACE prediction beyond traditional risk stratification that included risk factors, coronary calcium score, coronary stenosis, and high-risk plaque features on CCTA (Δ[C-statistic] = 0.126, P Conclusion The CCTA-based radiomic profiling of coronary artery PVAT detects perivascular structural remodelling associated with coronary artery disease, beyond inflammation. A new artificial intelligence (AI)-powered imaging biomarker (FRP) leads to a striking improvement of cardiac risk prediction over and above the current state-of-the-art.