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Abstract Background Cervical and breast cancers are among the top 4 leading causes of cancer-related mortality in women. This study aimed to examine age-specific temporal trends in mortality for cervical and breast cancers in urban and rural areas of China from 2009 to 2021. Methods Age-specific mortality data for cervical and breast cancers among Chinese women aged 20–84 years were obtained from China’s National Disease Surveillance Points system spanning the years 2009 to 2021. Negative binomial regression models were utilized to assess urban–rural differences in mortality rate ratios, while Joinpoint models with estimated average annual percent changes (AAPC) and slopes were employed to compare temporal trends and the acceleration of mortality rates within different age groups. Results From 2009 to 2021, there was a relative increase in age-specific mortality associated with the two cancers observed in rural areas compared with urban areas. A rising trend in the screening age of 35–64 [AAPC: 4.0%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.5–7.6%, P = 0.026] for cervical cancer was noted in rural areas, while a stable trend (AAPC: − 0.7%, 95% CI − 5.8 to 4.6%, P = 0.78) was observed in urban areas. As for breast cancer, a stable trend (AAPC: 0.3%, 95% CI − 0.3 to 0.9%, P = 0.28) was observed in rural areas compared to a decreasing trend (AAPC: − 2.7%, 95% CI − 4.6 to − 0.7%, P = 0.007) in urban areas. Urban–rural differences in mortality rates increased over time for cervical cancer but decreased for breast cancer. Mortality trends for both cervical and breast cancers showed an increase with age across 4 segments, with the most significant surge in mortality observed among the 35–54 age group across urban and rural areas, periods, and regions in China. Conclusions Special attention should be given to women aged 35–54 years due to mortality trends and rural–urban disparities. Focusing on vulnerable age groups and addressing rural–urban differences in the delivery of cancer control programs can enhance resource efficiency and promote health equity.

Abstract Background Sepsis is a leading cause of preventable death around the world. Population-based estimation of sepsis incidence is lacking in China. In this study, we aimed to estimate the population-based incidence and geographic variation of hospitalized sepsis in China. Methods We retrospectively identified hospitalized sepsis from the nationwide National Data Center for Medical Service (NDCMS) and the National Mortality Surveillance System (NMSS) by ICD-10 codes for the period from 2017 to 2019. In-hospital sepsis case fatality and mortality rate were calculated to extrapolate the national incidence of hospitalized sepsis. The geographic distribution of hospitalized sepsis incidence was examined using Global Moran's Index. Results We identified 9,455,279 patients with 10,682,625 implicit-coded sepsis admissions in NDCMS and 806,728 sepsis-related deaths in NMSS. We estimated that the annual standardized incidence of hospitalized sepsis was 328.25 (95% CI 315.41–341.09), 359.26 (95% CI 345.4–373.12) and 421.85 (95% CI 406.65–437.05) cases per 100,000 in 2017, 2018 and 2019, respectively. We observed 8.7% of the incidences occurred among neonates less than 1 year old, 11.7% among children aged 1–9 years, and 57.5% among elderly older than 65 years. Significant spatial autocorrelation for incidence of hospitalized sepsis was observed across China (Moran's Index 0.42, p = 0.001; 0.45, p = 0.001; 0.26, p = 0.011 for 2017, 2018, 2019, respectively). Higher number of hospital bed supply and higher disposable income per capita were significantly associated with a higher incidence of hospitalized sepsis. Conclusion Our study showed a greater burden of sepsis hospitalizations than previous estimated. The geographical disparities suggested more efforts were needed in prevention of sepsis.

Summary: Background: The disease burden of gastrointestinal disease (GD) in China is high, with significant variation across provinces. A comprehensive agreed set of indicators could guide rational resource allocation to support better GD outcomes. Methods: This study collected data from multiple sources, including national surveillance, surveys, registration systems, and scientific research. Literature reviews and Delphi methods were used to obtain monitoring indicators; the analytic hierarchy process was used to determine indicator weights. Findings: The China Gastrointestinal Health Index (GHI) system consisted of four dimensions and 46 indicators. The weight of the four dimensions from high to low included the prevalence of gastrointestinal non-neoplastic diseases and gastrointestinal neoplasms (GN) (0.3246), clinical treatment of GD (0.2884), prevention and control of risk factors (0.2606), and exposure to risk factors (0.1264). The highest indicator weight of GHI rank was the successful smoking cessation rate (0.1253), followed by the 5-year survival rate of GN (0.0905), and the examination rate of diagnostic oesophagogastroduodenoscopy (0.0661). The overall GHI for China in 2019 was 49.89, varying from 39.19 to 76.13 across all sub-regions. The top five sub-regions in the total GHI score were in the eastern region. Interpretation: GHI is the first system designed to monitor gastrointestinal health systematically. In the future, data from sub-regions of China should be used to test and improve the GHI system for its impact. Funding: This research was supported by the National Health Commission of China, the First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University (2019YXK006), and the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (21Y31900100).

The distribution of temperature and temperature-health association varied largely across different regions in China, a region-specific definition for heatwave was therefore needed. We collected the data on daily mortality, meteorological factors and air pollution in 84 Chinese cities during 2013–2016, which was divided into seven regions. Based on the association between daily maximum temperature and mortality in each city in a threshold distributed lag non-linear model, where the threshold was defined as the temperature corresponding to the lowest mortality risk, we calculated the number of deaths that could be avoided for 1 °C decrease in maximum temperature under different thresholds, then a random-effect meta-analysis was used to generate regional results, in which the temperature with the highest avoidable mortality number for 1 °C decrease was considered as the most appropriate heatwave definition. We observed an immediate detrimental effect of high temperature within three lag days. Our analysis suggested to use 29.5 °C, 31.5 °C, 29.0 °C, 31.5 °C, 30.0 °C, and 28.5 °C as the heatwave standard for east, north, northeast, central, south, and southwest region, with the avoidable mortality number of 1.54 (95 % Confidence interval (CI): 0.88, 2.19), 0.55 (95 % CI: 0.16, 0.94), 0.59 (95 % CI: 0.32, 0.86), 1.14 (95 % CI: 0.68, 1.59), 1.22 (95 % CI: 0.54, 1.90), and 0.78 (95 % CI: 0.01, 1.55), respectively, while the estimated number 0.19 (95 % CI: −0.02, 0.40) in northwest region was not statistically significant. The concept of ‘avoidable mortality for 1 °C decrease’ was proposed to define the heatwave event, and varied maximum temperature between 28.5 and 31.5 °C was suggested for region-specific heatwave definition in China.

Abstract. Background:. Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the fourth cause of cancer death in China. We aimed to provide national and subnational estimates and changes of CRC premature mortality burden during 2005–2020. Methods:. Data from multi-source on the basis of the national surveillance mortality system were used to estimate mortality and years of life lost (YLL) of CRC in the Chinese population during 2005–2020. Estimates were generated and compared for 31 provincial-level administrative divisions in China. Results:. Estimated CRC deaths increased from 111.41 thousand in 2005 to 178.02 thousand in 2020; age-standardized mortality rate decreased from 10.01 per 100,000 in 2005 to 9.68 per 100,000 in 2020. Substantial reduction in CRC premature mortality burden, as measured by age-standardized YLL rate, was observed with a reduction of 10.20% nationwide. Marked differences were observed in the geographical patterns of provincial units, and they appeared to be obvious in areas with higher economic development. Population aging was the dominant driver which contributed to the increase in CRC deaths, followed by population growth and age-specific mortality change. Conclusions:. Substantial discrepancies were observed in the premature mortality burden of CRC across China. Targeted considerations were needed to promote a healthy lifestyle, expand cost-effective CRC early screening and diagnosis, and improve medical treatment to reduce CRC mortality among high-risk populations and regions with inadequate healthcare resources.

Abstract Background The aim of this study is to quantify the burden caused by viral hepatitis in China from 1990 to 2016. Methods Data from the GBD 2016 study were extracted to calculate incidence, prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Trends in DALYs were assessed in 33 provinces/regions. Results From 1990 to 2016, the total incidence of hepatitis decreased by 88.5%. However, the prevalence of hepatitis (counts in thousands), increased by 37.6% from 153,856 (95% UI: 136,047-172,319) in 1990 to 211,721 (95% UI: 179,776-240,981) in 2016, with age-standardized prevalence rates changing slightly. The number and age-standardized rates of prevalence increased by 35.9 and 1.6% for hepatitis B, respectively, and by 81.8 and 30.4% for hepatitis C. Guangxi, Guangdong and Hainan had the highest age-standardized prevalence rates (≥16,500 per 100,000). Tibet, Qinghai and Gansu had the highest age-standardized DALYs rates (≥40 per 100,000). The largest absolute number of DALYs was observed in the 15–49 year age group in 2016. The highest rate of DALYs occurred in males aged 50–69 years and in females aged ≧70 years. Conclusion The incidence and DALYs of viral hepatitis decreased dramatically from 1990 to 2016. However, the prevalence still remains at a high level, which may result in heavy burdens in the future.

Background: Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a chronic disease with growing prevalence and has become a global public health problem. However, little is known about the burden caused by AD in China. Objective: To access the prevalence and burden of AD in China. Methods: We estimated the prevalence and year lived with disability (YLD) of AD in China, by different age and sex groups. We also compared the burden of AD in China with other countries in the Group of Twenty (G20). We analyzed the changes in the number of AD patients and their YLDs by cause decomposition from 1990 to 2019. Results: AD was the twenty-fourth leading cause of the burden of 369 diseases in China in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized prevalence and YLD rate of AD in China increased by 1.04% and 1.43% respectively, which were the second and the largest increase among the G20 and both higher than the global average (−4.29% and −4.14%). The number of patients with AD increased by 25.65%, of which 20.16% was due to population growth, 3.85% due to population aging, and 1.64% due to age-specific prevalence. Both the prevalence and YLD rate of AD were higher in 1 to 4 year-olds and 95+ years age group. Before the age of 10, the prevalence and YLD rate of AD in males were higher than those in females, while there was a marked sex shift at the ages of 10 to 14. Conclusion: AD is a serious public health problem in China. Substantial variations exist in burden due to AD between male and female, and in age groups. Considering these findings will be important for developing preventive strategies and treatments to reduce the burden of AD.

Background Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading causes of death in China. Little is known about the CVD burden and risk factors in Henan Province, China. Objective To analyze the CVD burden and main risk factors between 1990 and 2017 in the Henan Province in China. Methods The methodological framework and analytical strategies adopted in the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 were used. Results (1) Age-standardized mortality rate attributed to CVDs increased from 355.0 per 100,000 persons in 1990 to 364.1 per 100,000 persons in 2017 in Henan. (2) Age-standardized disability adjusted life years (DALYs) rate fell by 3.9% from 1990 to 2017. However, the number of DALYs attributed to CVDs increased by 75.9% from 4.2 million person-years in 1990 to 7.3 million person-years in 2017. (3) The age-standardized years lived with disability (YLDs) rate increased by 27.5% from 1990 to 2017. However, years of life lost (YLLs) rate decreased by 6.7% from 1990 to 2017. The contribution of YLLs to the DALYs decreased from 91.4% in 1990 to 89.2% in 2017. (4) Stroke (52.3%) and ischemic heart diseases (38.8%) accounted for 91.1% of total CVDs DALYs among adults in 2017. (5) Dietary factors such as high intake of sodium, alcohol use and low intake of fruits, high systolic blood pressure, and tobacco use were the top risk factors for CVDs, and the estimated population attributable fraction in 2017 was 69.4%, 56.7% and 25.2%, respectively. Conclusions The absolute burden of CVDs in Henan is still high, although age-standardized DALYs declined between 1990 and 2017. The prevention and control of stroke and ischemic heart diseases should focus on a few modifiable risk factors which mainly contributed to the burden of CVDs, such as dietary factors, high systolic blood pressure, and tobacco use.

Objective To analyze the changes of mortality and disease burden of stroke in 1990 and 2015 in Tianjin. Methods The results of the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2015 (GBD 2015) for Chinese estimated by province were used to describe the disease burden of stroke in Tianjin. The analysis index included number of death, mortality rate, disability adjusted life year (DALY), years of life lost (YLL) and years lost due of disability (YLD). The change from 1990 to 2015 for all indexes was used to describe the transitions of disease burden of stroke in the past 25 years in Tianjin. Results In 2015, the mortality rate of stroke reached 101.53 per 100 000 people and the age-standardized mortality rate was 117.73 per 100 000 people. The DALY, YLL, and YLD reached 285 558.36, 265 627.77 and 19 930.60 person year, respectively, and the age - standardized DALY rate, YLL rate and YLD rate were 1870.55, 1746.63 and 123.92 per 100 000 people. Compared with the result in 1990, the number of death, DALY, YLL and YLD in 2015 were increased by 26.24%, 9.05%, 5.48% and 98.63%, respectively, while the age-standardized mortality rate, DALY rate, YLL rate and YLD rate in 2015 were decreased by 46.75%, 52.81%, 54.32% and 11.20%, respectively. In different types of stroke, DALY and YLL of hemorrhagic stroke were higher, while YLD was lower than ischemic stroke in 1990 and 2015. Compared with 1990, DALY was decreased by 11.77%, YLL was decreased by 14.75%, and YLD was increased by 96.87% in hemorrhagic stroke in 2015, while DALY was increased by 47.38%, YLL was increased by 44.04% and YLD was increased by 100.08% in ischemic stroke in 2015. Conclusions Disease burden of stroke became more and more serious in Tianjin, of which the ischemic stroke was most serious, and the disease burden of stroke in men was greater than that in women. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-6731.2018.07.009

Background: Many studies have investigated heat wave related mortality, but less attention has been given to the health effects of cold spells in the context of global warming. The 2008 cold spell in China provided a unique opportunity to estimate the effects of the 2008 cold spell on mortality in subtropical regions, spatial heterogeneity of the effects, stratification effect and added effects caused by sustained cold days. Methods: Thirty-six study communities were selected from 15 provinces in subtropical China. Daily mortality and meteorological data were collected for each community from 2006 to 2010. A distributed lag linear non-linear model (DLNM) with a lag structure of up to 27 days was used to analyze the association between the 2008 cold spell and mortality. Multivariate meta-analyses were used to combine the cold effects across each community. Results: The 2008 cold spell increased mortality by 43.8% (95% CI: 34.8% ~ 53.4%) compared to non-cold spell days with the highest effects in southern and central China. The effects were more pronounced for respiratory mortality (RESP) than for cardiovascular (CVD) or cerebrovascular mortality (CBD), for females more than for males, and for the elderly aged ≥75 years old more than for younger people. Overall, 148,279 excess deaths were attributable to the 2008 cold spell. The cold effect was mainly from extreme low temperatures rather than sustained cold days during this 2008 cold spell. Conclusions: The 2008 cold spell increased mortality in subtropical China, which was mainly attributable to the low temperature rather than the sustained duration of the cold spell. The cold effects were spatially heterogeneous and modified by individual-specific characteristics such as gender and age. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective To compare the characteristics of suicides in the four main demographic groups: urban males, urban females, rural males and rural females in order to help clarify the demographic pattern of suicides in China. Methods A detailed psychological autopsy survey instrument was independently administered to 895 suicide victims in family members and close associates from 23 geographically representative locations from around the country. Results Pesticide ingestion accounted for 58% (519) of all suicides and 61% (318/519) of deaths were due to unsuccessful medical resuscitation. A substantial proportion (37%) of suicide victims did not have a mental illness. Among the 563 victims with mental illness, only 13% (76/563) received psychiatric treatment. Compared to other demographic groups, young rural females who died from suicide had the highest rate of pesticide ingestion (79%), the lowest prevalence of mental illness (39%), and the highest acute stress from precipitating life events just prior to the suicide. Conclusion Many suicides in China are impulsive acts of deliberate self-harm following acute interpersonal crises. Prevention of suicides in China must focus on improving awareness of psychological problems, improving mental health services, providing alternative social support networks for managing acute interpersonal conflicts, limiting access to pesticides, and improving the resuscitation skills of primary care providers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]