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The world faces a forced displacement crisis. Tens of millions of individuals have been forced across international boundaries worldwide. Therefore, the causes and consequences of refugee flows are the subjects of significant social science inquiry. Unfortunately, the historical lack of reliable data on actual refugee flows, country-specific data reporting timelines, and more general pre-2000 data quality issues have significantly limited empirical inferences on these topics. We replicate 28 articles on these topics using data newly released after a multiyear collaboration with the United Nations on annual dyadic flows. We observe major inconsistencies between the newly released flow numbers and the stock-based flow estimates upon which decades of research are based; we also find widespread inappropriate treatment of missing historical values. When we replicate the existing literature using the newly introduced flow data, correcting the treatment of missing historical values, and temporally extending/restricting the study periods, we produce significantly different results.

BACKGROUND: Individuals diagnosed with an obesity-related cancer (ORC survivors) are at an elevated risk of incident diabetes compared with cancer-free individuals, but whether this confers survival disadvantage is unknown. METHODS: We assessed the rate of incident diabetes in ORC survivors and evaluated the association of incident diabetes with all-cause and cancer-specific mortality among females with ORC in the Womens Health Initiative cohort (N = 14,651). Cox proportional hazards regression models stratified by exposure-risk periods (0-1, >1-3, >3-5, >5-7, and >7-10 years) from ORC diagnosis and time-varying exposure (diabetes) analyses were performed. RESULTS: Among the ORC survivors, a total of 1.3% developed diabetes within ≤1 year of follow-up and 2.5%, 2.3%, 2.3%, and 3.6% at 1-3, 3-5, 5-7, and 7-10 years of follow-up, respectively, after an ORC diagnosis. The median survival for those diagnosed with diabetes within 1-year of cancer diagnosis and those with no diabetes diagnosis in that time frame was 8.8 [95% confidence interval (CI), 7.0-14.5) years and 16.6 (95% CI, 16.1-17.0) years, respectively. New-onset compared with no diabetes as a time-varying exposure was associated with higher risk of all-cause (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.16-1.40) and cancer-specific (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.99-1.38) mortality. When stratified by exposure-risk periods, incident diabetes in ≤1 year of follow-up was associated with higher all-cause (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.40-2.20) and cancer-specific (HR0-1, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.28-2.57) mortality, compared with no diabetes diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Incident diabetes was associated with worse cancer-specific and all-cause survival, particularly in the year after cancer diagnosis. IMPACT: These findings draw attention to the importance of diabetes prevention efforts among cancer survivors to improve survival outcomes.

Context Polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS) is a complex disorder in which metabolic abnormalities are associated with reproductive dysfunction. Women with PCOS have increased ceramide concentrations. Previous studies demonstrated that treating metabolic abnormalities of PCOS with metformin improved glucose effectiveness after 12 weeks. Objective We evaluated whether, in women with PCOS, lower baseline ceramide, diacylglycerol (DAG), and triacylglycerol (TAG) concentrations were associated with improved metabolic response to metformin. Methods Women (n = 29), aged 29 ± 5 years and diagnosed with PCOS by the NIH criteria underwent an intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT) before and after 12-week treatment with metformin (1500 mg per day). Metabolic responders were defined by improved glucose effectiveness, specifically, the ability of glucose to stimulate uptake and suppress production, after metformin treatment. Results Twelve weeks of metformin resulted in weight loss (−1.7 ± 2.6 kg, P  < 0.01) and a reduction in BMI (−0.6 ± 0.9 kg/m2, P  < 0.01) with no change in HbA1c. The concentrations of Cer(d18:1/22:0), Cer(d18:1/24:0), total ceramides, total Cer(d16:0), total Cer(d18:2), DAG, dihydrosphingomyelin (DHSM), and TAG decreased after metformin treatment (P  < 0.05). Baseline total Cer(d16:0) concentration <204.1 pmol/mL was 82% sensitive (AUC 0.72, P  = 0.03) and total DHSM concentration <32237 pmol/mL was 100% specific (AUC 0.73, P  = 0.03) in predicting improved metabolic response to metformin, as measured by IVGTT. Conclusion Lower total Cer(16:0) and DHSM concentrations are associated with a beneficial metabolic response to metformin in women with PCOS. Based on the known association between higher ceramide levels and type 2 diabetes, the data suggest that metformin improves metabolic parameters in women with mild metabolic derangements. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]