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The mounting impacts of climate change on infrastructure demand proactive adaptation strategies to ensure long-term resilience. This study investigates the effects of predicted future global warming on asphalt binder performance grade (PG) selection in the United States using a time series method. Leveraging Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) data and Superpave protocol model, the research forecasts temperature changes for the period up to 2060 and calculates the corresponding PG values for different states. The results reveal significant temperature increases across the majority of states, necessitating adjustments in PG selection to accommodate changing climate conditions. The findings indicate significant increases in average 7-day maximum temperatures across the United States by 2060, with 38 out of 50 states likely to experience rising trends. Oregon, Utah, and Idaho are anticipated to face the largest temperature increases. Concurrently, the low air temperature has risen in 33 states, with notable increases in Maine, North Carolina, and Virginia. The widening gap predicted between required high and low PG poses challenges, as some necessary binders cannot be produced or substituted with other grades. The study highlights the challenge of meeting future PG requirements with available binders, emphasizing the need to consider energy consumption and CO2 emissions when using modifiers to achieve the desired PG properties. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The long-term aging of bitumens and its effect on low-temperature performance is a detrimental phenomenon. In order to investigate the effects of the aging phenomenon on the low-temperature performance of bitumens, it is very important to accurately simulate the behavior of bitumens in repeated aging cycles and to investigate related viscoelastic, chemical, and microstructural changes. In this research, three types of bitumen with penetration grades of 40/50 , 60/70 , and 85/100 were subjected to one to three cycles of pressure aging vessel (PAV) aging. Comprehensive data on the bitumen's behavior were obtained by conducting bending beam rheometer, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy, and atomic force microscopy tests. Using the results of the conducted tests, an attempt was made to find precise relationships between different indicators of bitumen aging in terms of chemistry and viscoelasticity. The results revealed a linear correlation between the aging index and the ΔTc and dissipated energy ratio (DER) values, as well as the aging index and the vertical shift factor of the stiffness-time curve. The fitting coefficients of these linear relationships were R2=0.8 and above, indicating a strong linear relationship between these parameters. Furthermore, the viscoelastic indices DER and the derivation of creep compliance (J′) exhibited a fairly good linear relationship. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]