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Objective The early twenty first century witnessed a decrease in mortality from abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA), which was associated with variations in the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors. This study investigated whether these trends continued into the second decade of the twenty first century. Methods Information on AAA mortality (2001 − 2015) using International Classification of Diseases codes was extracted from the World Health Organization (WHO) mortality database. Data on risk factors were extracted from the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation and WHO InfoBase, and data on population from the World Development Indicators database. Regression analysis of temporal trends in cardiovascular risk factors was done independently for correlations with AAA mortality trends. Results Seventeen countries across four continents met the inclusion criteria (Australasia, two; Europe, 11; North America, two; Asia, two). Male AAA mortality decreased in 13 countries (population weighted average: −2.84%), while female AAA mortality decreased in 11 countries (population weighted average: −1.64%). The decrease in AAA mortality was seen in both younger ( 65 years) patients. The decrease in AAA mortality was more marked in the second decade of the twenty first century (2011 – 2015) compared with the first decade (2001 – 2005 and 2006 – 2010). Trends in AAA mortality positively correlated with smoking (males: p = .03X, females: p = .001) and hypertension (males: p = .001, females: p = .01X). Conversely, AAA mortality negatively correlated with obesity (males: p = .001, females: p = .001), while there was no significant correlation with diabetes. Conclusion AAA mortality has continued to decline and seems to have declined at an even faster rate in the second decade of the twenty first century, albeit with heterogeneity among countries. These variations are multifactorial in origin but further efforts targeting smoking cessation and blood pressure control will probably contribute to continued reductions in AAA mortality.

Introduction: Endovenous cyanoacrylate glue (CAG) ablation for the treatment of chronic venous insufficiency (CVI) and varicose veins has shown non-inferior outcomes with an excellent safety profile, high patient satisfaction rate, and excellent efficacy when compared to the gold standard of endothermal ablation. A review of the current literature for CAG use in CVI showed that most studies and longer-term data are from Caucasian-based populations, which are subject to different anatomical venous variations and socio-economical contexts. This review aimed to gather the current evidence for CAG use in Asian CVI patients. Methods: Asian studies for the use of CAG in CVI were included in this review. Successful ablation rates, quality of life improvement and novel complications such as glue hypersensitivity reactions are described, along with anatomical descriptions of superficial venous anatomy in study patients. Use of CAG in Singapore and Asia was addressed. Results: CAG has been gaining traction as an option for CVI treatment in Asians. In Singapore, it has been adopted with comparable low complication rates and significant improvement of quality of life after treatment. As we increase our understanding of the variations in venous anatomy in the Asian population, new techniques such as retrograde deployment of the device and use of CAG ablation for venous leg ulcers have been developed. Conclusion: Further robust evidence in terms of large randomised control trials along with costeffectiveness studies are needed to determine the true value of CAG ablation in the Asian setting.

Objective Patients with venous leg ulcers (VLUs) represent the worse spectrum of chronic venous insufficiency (CVI). The Early Venous Reflux Ablation (EVRA) landmark trial published in 2018 demonstrated that early endovenous intervention results in faster healing of VLUs. We describe our post-EVRA experience using endovenous cyanoacrylate glue ablation (ECGA) to treat superficial venous reflux on an early basis and assess its efficacy and safety in the setting of VLUs. Methods There were 37 patients (39 legs, 43 truncal veins) with 43 discrete venous ulcers who underwent ECGA for CVI symptoms and VLUs. They received compression therapy and regular dressings for the VLUs postoperatively and were reviewed at 1 week, 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months after the procedure. Postoperative healing time for VLUs and complications were recorded along with the patient's satisfaction and postprocedure pain scores. Results The venous ulcers were all Conclusions ECGA together with compression therapy for VLUs is both safe and effective in this population of Asian patients. ECGA for patients with VLUs has excellent patient acceptability, minimal morbidity, and low recanalization rates at 12 months. Larger extensive studies and longer follow-up periods are required to validate the preliminary outcomes of this paper, and if it is proven to significantly improve ulcer healing rates, this will change the way we approach chronic venous ulceration.

Summary: Background: The aim was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of a high pressure, non-compliant balloon in the treatment of infrapopliteal occlusive disease in Asian patients with chronic limb threatening ischaemia (CLTI) from Singapore. Patients and methods: Prospective, multi-centre, single arm, non-randomized study. Immediate technical success, 6-month primary vessel patency (determined by Duplex ultrasonography), limb salvage, one-year clinically driven target lesion re-intervention (TLR) and amputation free survival (AFS) were the efficacy endpoints of interest. Results: 86 patients (63% males, mean age 68.9 ± 9.9 years) were enrolled over a 15-month period. Diabetes mellitus (DM) and end-stage renal failure (ESRF) were present in 94% and 38% of patients respectively. All had some degree of tissue loss at baseline (Rutherford scale 5 and 6 = 91% and 9% respectively). Of the 86 legs, 72% had 3 crural vessel disease and 84% had moderate/severe vessel wall calcification. 90% had > = 1 TASC D tibial lesion. Acute technical success was 89%. One month mortality was 3.5% and one-year freedom from TLR was 91%. 6-month tibial patency was 73%. 54/66 (82%) patients had at least one target treated tibial artery open at 6 months. A lower baseline toe pressure (OR 1.03, 95%CI 1.00–1.05) and elastic recoil post angioplasty (OR 0.20, 95%CI 0.05–0.79) were associated with a worse 6 month tibial patency. One-year AFS was 67%. 47/66 (71%) patients had a clinical improvement of at least one Rutherford class at 6 months and 52/59 (88%) experienced complete wound healing at 12 months. Conclusions: Use of a high pressure non-compliant balloon is safe and efficacious in treating highly complex infra-popliteal atherosclerotic lesions in an otherwise challenging population of CLTI patients with a high incidence of DM and ESRF. It is associated with highly satisfactory acute technical success, 6-month target lesion patency and one-year limb salvage.

Dissecting splenic artery pseudoaneurysm due to segmental arterial mediolysis (SAM) is a rare condition. We describe a case of direct percutaneous transgastric–transpancreatic thrombin injection into a dissecting splenic artery pseudoaneurysm due to SAM. The direct thrombin injection resulted in successful thrombosis of the pseudoaneurysm. At 1-month follow-up, the patient remained well with persistent thrombosis of the pseudoaneurysm.

May-Thurner syndrome (MTS) is rare condition thought to occur due to an anatomical variation. In MTS, there is left iliac vein compression by the right iliac artery and lumbar spine resulting in left lower limb deep venous thrombosis. The authors report a rare cause of MTS postarterial intervention. They describe the unusual case of an Asian man who presented with acute left lower limb deep venous thrombosis 5 days following left common iliac artery angioplasty and stent insertion. Computed tomographic (CT) venogram demonstrated the left iliac vein compression by the left iliac artery stent. Successful recanalization of the thrombosed iliac vein was achieved with a combination of pulse spray thrombolysis and rheolytic mechanical thrombectomy, followed by angioplasty and stent placement in the iliac vein. There was rapid and complete resolution of symptoms. This report illustrates the use of complementary imaging modalities and a multidisciplinary team approach to achieve a successful technical and clinical outcome following an unusual case of MTS postarterial intervention and the subsequent successful endovascular management.

Peripheral artery mycotic aneurysms are rare occurrences. In this case, we review a 52-year-old lady with poorly controlled diabetes who developed a spontaneous left superficial artery mycotic aneurysm. She underwent excision and subsequent extra-anatomic bypass with a great saphenous vein graft. She had full functional recovery after a short period of rehabilitation.

INTRODUCTION Percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) is commonly used to treat patients with chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI). This study aimed to examine the mortality and functional outcomes of patients with CLTI who predominantly had diabetes mellitus in a multi-ethnic Asian population in Singapore. METHODS Patients with CLTI who underwent PTA between January 2015 and March 2017 at the Vascular Unit at Singapore General Hospital, Singapore, were studied. Primary outcome measures were 30-day unplanned readmission, two-year major lower extremity amputation (LEA), mortality rates, and ambulation status at one, six and 12 months. RESULTS A total of 221 procedures were performed on 207 patients, of whom 184 (88.9%) were diabetics. The one-, six- and 12-month mortality rate was 7.7%, 16.4% and 21.7%, respectively. The two-year LEA rate was 30.0%. At six and 12 months, only 96 (46.4%) and 93 (44.9%) patients were ambulant, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that preoperative ambulatory status, haemoglobin, Wound Ischaemia and foot Infection (WIfI) score, and end-stage renal failure (ESRF) were independent predictors of one-year ambulatory status. Predictors of mortality at one, six and 12 months were ESRF, preoperative albumin level, impaired functional status and employment status. CONCLUSION PTA for CLTI was associated with low one-year mortality and two-year LEA rates but did not significantly improve ambulation status. ESRF and hypoalbuminaemia were independent predictors of mortality. ESRF/CKD and WIfI score were independent predictors of loss of ambulation at six months and one year. We need better risk stratification for patients with CLTI to decide between initial revascularisation and an immediate LEA policy.

May–Thurner syndrome (MTS) is an underdiagnosed cause of lower limb deep vein thrombosis (DVT). The clinical prevalence of MTS-related DVT is likely underestimated, particularly in patients with other more recognisable risk factors. MTS is classically described in females between the age group of 20–50 years. In patients with acute iliofemoral thrombosis, medical treatment with anticoagulation alone has been associated with higher risk of postthrombotic syndrome (PTS) and lower iliofemoral patency rates, as compared to endovascular correction. We describe a case of MTS-related extensive iliofemoral DVT occurring in a middle age male who presented with acute onset of left lower limb swelling and pain, complicated by pulmonary embolism. Doppler compression ultrasonography of the left lower limb showed partial DVT extending from the left external iliac to the popliteal veins, and contrasted computed tomography (CT) of the thorax abdomen and pelvis established features of MTS, together with right pulmonary embolism. He was started on low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) and then underwent left lower limb AngioJet pharmacomechanical thrombolysis/thrombectomy, iliac vein stenting, and temporary inferior vena cava (IVC) filter insertion. After the procedure, the patient recovered and improved symptomatically with rapid resolution of this left lower limb swelling and pain. He was switched to an oral Factor Xa inhibitor and was subsequently discharged. After 1-month follow-up, he remained well with stent patency visualised on repeat ultrasound and underwent an uneventful elective IVC filter retrieval with subsequent plans for a 1-year follow-up.

Graphical Abstract This online structured survey has demonstrated the global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on vascular services. The majority of centres have documented marked reductions in operating and services provided to vascular patients. In the months during recovery from the resource restrictions imposed during the pandemic peaks, there will be a significant vascular disease burden awaiting surgeons. Graphical Abstract One of the most affected specialties

Objective/Background The aim was to investigate the expression of genes associated with carotid plaque instability and their protein products at a local and systemic level. Methods Carotid plaques from 24 patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA) were classified as stable or unstable using clinical, histological, ultrasound, and transcranial Doppler criteria, and compared using whole genome microarray chips. Initial results of differentially expressed genes were validated by quantitative reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction in an independent group of 96 patients undergoing CEA. The protein product of genes significantly differentially expressed between patients with stable and unstable plaques were analysed by plaque immunohistochemistry and serum protein quantification by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay on a further independent cohort. Results Expression of chemokine (c-c-motif) ligand 19 (CCL19) was significantly upregulated in plaques from patients with clinically unstable disease ( p p = .04). Serum concentration of CCL19 was significantly higher in patients with clinically unstable plaques ( p = .02). Immunohistochemical staining for CCL19 demonstrated positive staining in histologically and clinically unstable plaques ( p = .03). CCL19 also co-localised with CD3 + T-cell lymphocytes in the core region, around where CCL19 was expressed. Conclusions CCL19 is significantly overexpressed in patients with unstable carotid atherosclerotic plaques and may be a possible novel biomarker for identifying high-risk patients in whom more urgent intervention may be indicated.

Internal iliac aneurysms (IIAs) are a rare group of intra-abdominal aneurysms that, if not diagnosed and treated promptly, can lead to significant morbidity and mortality. We present a case of an elderly Chinese male who presented acutely with abdominal pain due to a leaking left IIA. Prompt diagnosis and expedient treatment with a hybrid approach, i.e. with endovascular balloon occlusion followed by surgical excision of the IIA, led to an excellent outcome. Case presentation is followed by a brief discussion of the current literature on the management of this elusive condition.

BackgroundThe aim of this pilot study was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of the MagicTouch™ sirolimus-coated balloon (SCB) catheter (Concept Medical Inc., Tampa, FL, US) on improving the patency of failing arterio-venous fistulas (AVF) with de novo and recurrent stenoses. MATILDA reports early outcomes at 3- and 6 months post intervention.MethodsSingle-centre, single-arm prospective pilot study of 33 (18 males; mean age 64.7±11.6 years) end-stage renal failure Asian patients with a dysfunctional AVF, who underwent SCB angioplasty between May 2019-January 2020. All procedures were performed under local anaesthetic without sedation and as day surgery. All patients were prescribed dual antiplatelet therapy for 3 months and followed up with Duplex ultrasound at 3 and 6 months.Results47 stenotic target lesions treated and 24/33 (72.7%) patients were for restenosis. Main indications for intervention was low/dropping access flow (21/33; 63.6%) and most common target lesion was in the juxta-anastomosis (19/47; 40.4%). There was 100% technical and procedural success. There were no peri-procedural complications related to the SCB. The target lesion primary patency rates at 3 and 6 months were 46/47 (97.9%) and 29/35 (82.9%) respectively. Circuit access patency rates at 3 and 6 months were 31/33 (93.9%) and 17/25 (68%) respectively. There was one (2.9%) death at 6 months and 4/33 (12.1%) overall to date, all from patients' underlying co-morbidities.ConclusionsSCB angioplasty for dysfunctional AVF circuits is a safe and efficacious modality in Asian haemodialysis patients at six months comparable if not better than the paclitaxel data reported to date in the literature.

Background Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) has reduced the rate of AAA rupture. However, cardiovascular disease is still a major cause of death in men with an AAA. The aim of this study was to assess cardiovascular risk in patients with a small AAA. Methods Standard PRISMA guidelines were followed. Analysis was performed of studies reporting cardiovascular outcomes in patients with a small AAA (30–54 mm). Weighted metaregression was performed for cardiovascular death in patients with a small AAA, and the prevalence of cardiovascular disease was reviewed. Results Twenty-one articles were identified describing patients with an AAA, and the prevalence of, and death from, cardiovascular disease. Ten of these reported cardiovascular death rates in patients with a small AAA. Some 2323 patients with a small AAA were identified; 335 cardiovascular deaths occurred, of which 37 were due to AAA rupture. Metaregression demonstrated that the risk of cardiovascular death was 3·0 (95 per cent c.i. 1·7 to 4·3) per cent per year in patients with a small AAA (R2 = 0·902, P < 0·001). The prevalence of ischaemic heart disease (44·9 per cent), myocardial infarction (26·8 per cent), heart failure (4·4 per cent) and stroke (14·0 per cent) was also high in these patients. Conclusion The risk of cardiovascular death in patients with a small AAA is high and increases by approximately 3 per cent each year after diagnosis. Patients with a small AAA have a high prevalence of cardiovascular disease. Patients a small AAA should be considered for lifestyle modifications and secondary cardiovascular protection.

Objectives: To report outcomes following ligation and bypass (LGB) surgery for popliteal artery aneurysm (PAA) and study factors influencing patient and graft survival. Materials and Methods: A retrospective review of patients undergoing LGB surgery for PAA between September 1999 and August 2012 at a tertiary referral vascular unit was performed. Primary graft patency (PGP), primary-assisted graft patency (PAGP), and secondary graft patency (SGP) rates were calculated using survival analyses. Patient, graft aneurysm-free survival (GAFS), aneurysm reperfusion-free survival (ARFS), and amputation-free survival (AFS) rates were also calculated. Log-rank testing and Cox proportional hazards modeling were used to perform univariate and multivariate analysis of influencing factors, respectively. Results: Eighty-four LGB repairs in 69 patients (mean age 71.3 years, 68 males) were available for study. The 5-year PGP, PAGP, SGP, and patient survival rates were 58.1%, 84.4%, 85.2%, and 81.1%, respectively. On multivariate analysis, the principal determinants of PGP were urgency of operation ( P = .009) and smoking status ( P = .019). The principal determinants of PAGP were hyperlipidemia status ( P = .048) and of SGP were hyperlipidemia ( P = .042) and cerebrovascular disease (CVD) status ( P = .045). The principal determinants of patient survival were previous myocardial infarction ( P = .004) and CVD ( P = .001). The 5-year GAFS, ARFS, and AFS rates were 87.9%, 91.6%, and 96.1%, respectively. Conclusion: This study has shown that traditional cardiovascular risk factors, such as a smoking and ischemic heart disease, are the most important predictors of early graft failure and patient death following LGB surgery for PAA.

Background Many studies have investigated the systemic and local expression of biomarkers in patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). The natural history of AAA varies between patients, and predictors of the presence and diameter of AAA have not been determined consistently. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression of studies comparing biomarkers in patients with and without AAA, with the aim of summarizing the association of identified markers with both AAA presence and size. Methods and results Literature review identified 106 studies suitable for inclusion. Meta-analysis demonstrated a significant difference between matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) 9, tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase 1, interleukin (IL) 6, C-reactive protein (CRP), α1-antitrypsin, triglycerides, lipoprotein(a), apolipoprotein A and high-density lipoprotein in patients with and without AAA. Although meta-analysis was not possible for MMP-2 in aortic tissue, tumour necrosis factor α, osteoprotegerin, osteopontin, interferon γ, intercellular cell adhesion molecule 1 and vascular cell adhesion molecule 1, systematic review suggested an increase in these biomarkers in patients with AAA. Meta-regression analysis identified a significant positive linear correlation between aortic diameter and CRP level. Conclusion A wide variety of biomarkers are dysregulated in patients with AAA, but their clinical value is yet to be established. Future research should focus on the most relevant biomarkers of AAA, and how they could be used clinically.

Background The National Vascular Registry Report on Surgical Outcomes (NVSRO) coincided with the update of the National Health Service Standard Contract for Specialized Vascular Services in Adults (NHSSCSVS). The latter promises patients minimum standards for vascular centres. The present study aimed to determine whether current data support the standards proposed in the NHSSCSVS. Methods Numbers of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repairs and carotid endarterectomies (CEAs) performed by hospital Trust and surgeon, and their outcomes were obtained from the NVRSO. These were assessed against NHSSCSVS recommendations that included: more than 60 AAA repairs per year per Trust, over 50 CEAs per year per Trust and at least six vascular surgeons per Trust. Results Based on NVRSO data, 107 hospital Trusts (92·2 per cent) would fail to meet the minimum standards required to achieve vascular centre status. Outcomes were poorer in these hospitals (overall mortality rate after AAA: 2·7 versus 1·3 per cent; P = 0·007). There were strong associations between number of AAA repairs or CEAs per Trust and better outcomes (AAA repair, P < 0·001; CEA, P = 0·004). These remained significant when analysed by individual surgeon (AAA repair, P < 0·001; CEA, P < 0·001). Trusts undertaking 60 or fewer elective AAA repairs per year had significantly higher elective AAA mortality rates (2·7 versus 1·7 per cent; P = 0·010). Trusts performing a minimum of 50 CEAs per year had significantly lower perioperative mortality/morbidity rates (1·9 versus 3·0 per cent; P = 0·032). Trusts with seven or more surgeons demonstrated lower AAA-related mortality rates (1·7 versus 2·7 per cent; P = 0·018). Conclusion Data from the NVRSO suggest that the majority of hospital Trusts presently fail to meet the standards for vascular centre status. NVRSO data support a standard of more than 60 elective AAA repairs and 50 CEAs per Trust per year. A minimum of seven vascular surgeons per unit was associated with better outcomes. These data support the ongoing remodelling of vascular services in the UK.

Lifelong surveillance is not cost-effective after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR), but is required to detect aortic complications which are fatal if untreated (type 1/3 endoleak, sac expansion, device migration). Aneurysm morphology determines the probability of aortic complications and therefore the need for surveillance, but existing analyses have proven incapable of identifying patients at sufficiently low risk to justify abandoning surveillance. This study aimed to improve the prediction of aortic complications, through the application of machine-learning techniques. Patients undergoing EVAR at 2 centres were studied from 2004–2010. Aneurysm morphology had previously been studied to derive the SGVI Score for predicting aortic complications. Bayesian Neural Networks were designed using the same data, to dichotomise patients into groups at low- or high-risk of aortic complications. Network training was performed only on patients treated at centre 1. External validation was performed by assessing network performance independently of network training, on patients treated at centre 2. Discrimination was assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis to compare aortic complications in predicted low-risk versus predicted high-risk patients. 761 patients aged 75 +/− 7 years underwent EVAR in 2 centres. Mean follow-up was 36+/− 20 months. Neural networks were created incorporating neck angu- lation/length/diameter/volume; AAA diameter/area/volume/length/tortuosity; and common iliac tortuosity/diameter. A 19-feature network predicted aor- tic complications with excellent discrimination and external validation (5-year freedom from aortic complications in predicted low-risk vs predicted high-risk patients: 97.9% vs. 63%; p < 0.0001). A Bayesian Neural-Network algorithm can identify patients in whom it may be safe to abandon surveillance after EVAR. This proposal requires prospective study.

Mortality after lower limb amputation is high, with UK 30-day mortality rates of 9-17%. We performed a retrospective analysis of factors affecting early and late outcome after lower limb amputation for peripheral vascular disease or diabetic complications at a UK tertiary referral vascular centre between 2003 and 2010. Three hundred and thirty-nine patients (233 male), of median (IQR [range]) age 73 (62-79 [26-92]) years underwent amputation. Thirty-day mortality was 12.4%. On regression modelling, the risk of 30-day mortality was increased in patients of ASA grade ≥ 4 (OR 4.23, 95% CI 2.07-8.63), p 79 years (HR 2.78, 95% CI 1.82-4.25), p

Background— Contemporary data from Western populations suggest steep declines in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) mortality; however, international trends are unclear. This study aimed to investigate global AAA mortality trends and to analyze any association with common cardiovascular risk factors. Methods and Results— AAA mortality (1994–2010) using International Classification of Diseases codes were extracted from the World Health Organization mortality database and age standardized. The World Health Organization InfoBase and International Mortality and Smoking Statistics provided risk factor data. Nineteen World Health Organization member states were included (Europe, 14; Australasia, 2; North America, 2; Asia, 1). Regression analysis of temporal trends in cardiovascular risk factors (1946–2010) was done independently for correlations to AAA mortality trends. Global AAA mortality trends show substantial heterogeneity, with the United States and United Kingdom recording the greatest national decline, whereas internationally, male individuals and those P ≤0.03), cholesterol ( P ≤0.03), and smoking prevalence ( P ≤0.02) in males and females. Body mass index demonstrated a negative linear association with AAA mortality ( P ≤0.007), whereas fasting blood glucose showed no association. Conclusions— AAA mortality has not declined globally, and this study reveals that differences between nations can be explained by variations in traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Declines in smoking prevalence correlate most closely with declines in AAA mortality, and a novel obesity paradox has been identified that requires further investigation. Public health measures could therefore further reduce global AAA mortality, with greatest benefits in the younger age group.

Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) has been shown to be effective at reducing AAA-related mortality and is cost-effective. There are, however, significant variations in AAA screening protocols between healthcare systems and numerous challenges to be overcome. Further evidence of cost- and clinical effectiveness is likely to be required before there is widespread international adoption of AAA screening.

Background Lifelong surveillance is standard after endovascular repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm (EVAR), but remains costly, heterogeneous and poorly calibrated. This study aimed to develop and validate a scoring system for aortic complications after EVAR, informing rationalized surveillance. Methods Patients undergoing EVAR at two centres were studied from 2004 to 2010. Preoperative morphology was quantified using three-dimensional computed tomography according to a validated protocol, by investigators blinded to outcomes. Proportional hazards modelling was used to identify factors predicting aortic complications at the first centre, and thereby derive a risk score. Sidak tests between risk quartiles dichotomized patients to low- or high-risk groups. Aortic complications were reported by Kaplan–Meier analysis and risk groups were compared by log rank test. External validation was by comparison of aortic complications between risk groups at the second centre. Results Some 761 patients, with a median age of 75 (interquartile range 70–80) years, underwent EVAR. Median follow-up was 36 (range 11–94) months. Physiological variables were not associated with aortic complications. A morphological risk score incorporating maximum aneurysm diameter (P < 0·001) and largest common iliac diameter (measured 10 mm from the internal iliac origin; P = 0·004) allocated 75 per cent of patients to a low-risk group, with excellent discrimination between 5-year rates of aortic complication in low- and high-risk groups at both centres (centre 1: 12 versus 31 per cent, P < 0·001; centre 2: 12 versus 45 per cent, P = 0·002). Conclusion The risk score uses commonly available morphological data to stratify the rate of complications after EVAR. The proposals for rationalized surveillance could provide clinical and economic benefits.

Objective Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a condition that mainly affects elderly men. At present, there is no effective medical therapy that can retard aneurysm growth or prevent aneurysm rupture. There is evidence that angiogenesis within the wall of an aortic aneurysm may play key roles in aneurysm progression as well as rupture. The use of anti-angiogenic therapy as potential medical therapy in AAA is a promising strategy but has never been studied in detail. Design This paper discusses the basic mechanisms of angiogenesis, the role played by angiogenesis in aortic aneurysms and the potential therapeutic role of anti-angiogenic drugs against aneurysm expansion or rupture. Results Angiogenesis is a multi-step process which is fundamental for growth and differentiation of various tissues within a multi-cellular organism. Hypoxia and inflammation are key stimuli for activation of neoangiogenesis. Investigations in both human tissues and animal models of AAA have shown that angiogenesis is a pathological hallmark of AAA and appears to play a role in the development and progression of the condition. Pre-clinical studies have shown that anti-angiogenic drugs can potentially be effective in reducing the intensity of aneurysm formation, suggesting that such drugs may potentially be useful as novel drug therapy for AAA in humans. Conclusion Current evidence suggests that angiogenesis contributes to the destructive processes within aneurysmal aortic wall. As novel drug therapy for aortic aneurysms (for use in humans) is still eluding researchers, anti-angiogenic pathway appears to be an attractive approach.

Objectives A recent GWAS demonstrated an association between low density lipoprotein receptor related protein 1 (LRP1) and Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA). This review aims to identify how LRP1 may be involved in the pathogenesis of abdominal aortic aneurysm. Design and materials A systematic review of the English language literature was undertaken in order to determine whether LRP1 and associated pathways were plausible candidates for contributing to the development and/or progression of AAA. Methods and results A comprehensive literature search of MEDLINE (since 1948), Embase (since 1980) and Health and Psychological Instruments (since 1985) was conducted in January 2012 identified 50 relevant articles. These studies demonstrate that LRP1 has a diverse range of biological functions and is a plausible candidate for playing a central role in aneurysmogenesis. Importantly, LRP1 downregulates MMP (matrix metalloproteinase) activity in vascular smooth muscle cells and regulates other key pathways involved in extracellular matrix remodelling and vascular smooth muscle migration and proliferation. Crucially animal studies have shown that LRP1 depletion leads to progressive destruction of the vascular architecture and aneurysm formation. Conclusions Published evidence suggests that LRP1 may play a key role in the development of AAA.

Background It is common for authors to introduce a paper by demonstrating the importance of the clinical condition being addressed, usually by quoting data such as mortality and prevalence rates. Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) epidemiology is changing, and therefore such figures for AAA are subject to error. The aim of this study was to analyse the accuracy of AAA prevalence and mortality citations in the contemporaneous literature. Methods Two separate literature searches were performed using PubMed to identify studies reporting either aneurysm prevalence or mortality. The first 40 articles or those published over the last 2 years were included in each search to provide a snapshot of current trends. For a prevalence citation to be appropriate, a paper had to cite an original article publishing its own prevalence of AAA or a national report. In addition, the cited prevalence should match that published within the referenced article. These reported statistics were compared with the most recent data on aneurysm-related mortality. Results The prevalence of AAA was reported to be as low as 1% and as high as 12.7% (mean 5.7%, median 5%). Only 47.5% of studies had referenced original articles, national reports or NICE, and only 32.4% of cited prevalences matched those from the referenced article. In total 5/40 studies were completely accurate. 80% of studies cited aneurysm mortality in the USA, with the majority stating 15,000 deaths per year (range 9,000 to 30,000). Current USA crude AAA mortality is 6,289 (2010). Conclusion References for AAA mortality and prevalence reported in the current literature are often inaccurate. This study highlights the importance of accurately reporting mortality and prevalence data and using up-to-date citations.

Background The role of matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) formation is well established. However the changes in plasma MMP levels with AAA rupture have not been reported. The aim of this study was to determine circulating levels of MMPs in non-ruptured and ruptured AAA immediately prior to open repair. Methods Concentrations of MMPs and their endogenous tissue inhibitors (TIMPs) were quantified using ELISA in pre-operative plasma samples from non-ruptured and ruptured AAA. Results MMP1 and MMP9 were elevated in the plasma of ruptured AAA versus non-ruptured AAA. A four-fold elevation in pre-operative plasma MMP9 was associated with non-survival at 30 days from rupture surgery compared with those surviving for greater than 30 days. Conclusion In conclusion, these findings support the role of MMPs in AAA pathogenesis. Elevation of MMP9 was associated with ruptured aneurysm related 30-day mortality and may represent a survival indicator in this group.

Objectives Patients with aortic aneurysms have significant comorbidities which influence outcome. Our practice includes comprehensive assessment to identify comorbidities, allowing subsequent medical optimisation prior to aneurysm repair. The aim of this study was to assess this process and to identify any factors predictive of outcome. Design Prospective observational study. Materials Medical case notes of 200 patients referred with aortic pathology. Methods Data analysed included preoperative, perioperative and postoperative factors. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of outcome. Results Following assessment 17 patients (8.5%) were found to be unfit for intervention and 165 patients (82.5%) proceeded to aneurysm repair. In this group assessment uncovered previously undiagnosed cardiac, respiratory and renal comorbidity in 19%, 57% and 29% of patients respectively. Multiple logistic regression analysis indicated that optimisation by a renal physician reduced post-operative renal impairment (OR 0.12, 95% CI 0.03–0.45, P = 0.002) while optimisation by a cardiologist reduced respiratory complications (OR 0.7, 95% CI 0.05–0.99, P = 0.049). An abnormal echocardiogram was associated with pneumonia (OR 6.9, 95% CI 1.6–29, P = 0.01) and death (OR 7.9, 95% CI 1.15–54, P = 0.036). Conclusion Pre-operative assessment identifies previously undiagnosed comorbidity in a significant proportion of patients. Subsequent medical optimisation may reduce post-operative morbidity and mortality.

BACKGROUND: Lifelong surveillance after endovascular repair (EVAR) of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) is considered mandatory to detect potentially life-threatening endograft complications. A minority of patients require reintervention but cannot be predictively identified by existing methods. This study aimed to improve the prediction of endograft complications and mortality, through the application of machine-learning techniques. METHODS: Patients undergoing EVAR at 2 centres were studied from 2004-2010. Pre-operative aneurysm morphology was quantified and endograft complications were recorded up to 5 years following surgery. An artificial neural networks (ANN) approach was used to predict whether patients would be at low- or high-risk of endograft complications (aortic/limb) or mortality. Centre 1 data were used for training and centre 2 data for validation. ANN performance was assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis to compare the incidence of aortic complications, limb complications, and mortality; in patients predicted to be low-risk, versus those predicted to be high-risk. RESULTS: 761 patients aged 75 +/- 7 years underwent EVAR. Mean follow-up was 36+/- 20 months. An ANN was created from morphological features including angulation/length/areas/diameters/volume/tortuosity of the aneurysm neck/sac/iliac segments. ANN models predicted endograft complications and mortality with excellent discrimination between a low-risk and high-risk group. In external validation, the 5-year rates of freedom from aortic complications, limb complications and mortality were 95.9% vs 67.9%; 99.3% vs 92.0%; and 87.9% vs 79.3% respectively (p

Aims To quantify the difference in long-term survival and cardiovascular morbidity between women and men undergoing elective abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair at National Health Service hospitals in England. Methods and results Patients having elective repair of AAA were reviewed using the Hospital Episode Statistics and Office for National Statistics (ONS) datasets. The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality and the secondary outcomes were 1-year, 5-year, and aortic-related mortality and post-operative complication rates. We used logistic regression and survival models to assess risk factors on the primary and secondary outcomes. Between 1 April 2002 and 31 March 2013, a total of 31 090 patients (4795 women and 26 295 men) underwent open AAA repair. Between 1 January 2006 and 31 March 2013, a total of 16 777 patients (2036 women and 14 741 men) underwent endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). All-cause and aortic-related mortalities at 30 days, 1 year, and 5 years were all higher in women, despite a lower prevalence of pre-operative cardiovascular risk factors. Female sex was a significant independent risk factor for 30-day mortality in both open repair [odds ratio (OR) 1.39; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25–1.56; P

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture is the 13th commonest cause of death in the Western World. Although considerable research has been applied to the aetiology and mechanism of aneurysm expansion, little is known about the mechanism of rupture. Aneurysm rupture was historically considered to be a simple physical process that occurred when the aortic wall could no longer contain the haemodynamic stress of the circulation. However, AAAs do not conform to the law of Laplace and there is growing evidence that aneurysm rupture involves a complex series of biological changes in the aortic wall. This paper reviews the available data on patient variables associated with aneurysm rupture and presents the evidence implicating biological factors in AAA rupture.