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The vast majority of research on explainability focuses on post-explainability rather than explainable modeling. Namely, an explanation model is derived to explain a complex black box model built with the sole purpose of achieving the highest performance possible. In part, this trend might be driven by the misconception that there is a trade-off between explainability and accuracy. Furthermore, the consequential work on Shapely values, grounded in game theory, has also contributed to a new wave of post-explainability research on better approximations for various machine learning models, including deep learning models. We propose a new architecture that inherently produces explainable predictions in the form of additive feature attributions. Our approach learns a graph representation for each record in the dataset. Attribute centric features are then derived from the graph and fed into a contribution deep set model to produce the final predictions. We show that our explainable model attains the same level of performance as black box models. Finally, we provide an augmented model training approach that leverages the missingness property and yields high levels of consistency (as required for the Shapely values) without loss of accuracy.

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have a drawback when working with a target distribution or likelihood function that is computationally expensive to evaluate, specially when working with big data. This paper focuses on Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm for unimodal distributions. Here, an enhanced MH algorithm is proposed that requires less number of expensive function evaluations, has shorter burn-in period, and uses a better proposal distribution. The main innovations include the use of Bayesian optimization to reach the high probability region quickly, emulating the target distribution using Gaussian processes (GP), and using Laplace approximation of the GP to build a proposal distribution that captures the underlying correlation better. The experiments show significant improvement over the regular MH. Statistical comparison between the results from two algorithms is presented.

Computational catalyst discovery involves the development of microkinetic reactor models based on estimated parameters determined from density functional theory (DFT). For complex surface chemistries, the cost of calculating the adsorption energies by DFT for a large number of reaction intermediates can become prohibitive. Here, we have identified appropriate descriptors and machine learning models that can be used to predict part of these adsorption energies given data on the rest of them. Our investigations also included the case when the species data used to train the predictive model is of different size relative to the species the model tries to predict - an extrapolation in the data space which is typically difficult with regular machine learning models. We have developed a neural network based predictive model that combines an established model with the concepts of a convolutional neural network that, when extrapolating, achieves significant improvement over the previous models.

Since the cost of installing and maintaining sensors is usually high, sensor locations are always strategically selected. For those aiming at inferring certain quantities of interest (QoI), it is desirable to explore the dependency between sensor measurements and QoI. One of the most popular metric for the dependency is mutual information which naturally measures how much information about one variable can be obtained given the other. However, computing mutual information is always challenging, and the result is unreliable in high dimension. In this paper, we propose an approach to find an approximate lower bound of mutual information and compute it in a lower dimension. Then, sensors are placed where highest mutual information (lower bound) is achieved and QoI is inferred via Bayes rule given sensor measurements. In addition, Bayesian optimization is introduced to provide a continuous mutual information surface over the domain and thus reduce the number of evaluations. A chemical release accident is simulated where multiple sensors are placed to locate the source of the release. The result shows that the proposed approach is both effective and efficient in inferring QoI.