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3. Archetype models upscale understanding of natural pest control response to land‐use change

Author

Alexandridis, Nikolaos, Marion, Glenn, Chaplin‐Kramer, Rebecca, Dainese, Matteo, Ekroos, Johan, Grab, Heather, Jonsson, Mattias, Karp, Daniel S, Meyer, Carsten, O'Rourke, Megan E, Pontarp, Mikael, Poveda, Katja, Seppelt, Ralf, Smith, Henrik G, Walters, Richard J, Clough, Yann, and Martin, Emily A

Subjects
Life on Land, Pest Control, Biological, Ecosystem, Pest Control, Agriculture, Crops, Agricultural, Natural Resources, archetype, conservation biological control, crop, ecological model, landscape, land use, natural enemy, natural pest control, pest, upscale, Environmental Sciences, Biological Sciences, Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences, Ecology
Abstract

Control of crop pests by shifting host plant availability and natural enemy activity at landscape scales has great potential to enhance the sustainability of agriculture. However, mainstreaming natural pest control requires improved understanding of how its benefits can be realized across a variety of agroecological contexts. Empirical studies suggest significant but highly variable responses of natural pest control to land-use change. Current ecological models are either too specific to provide insight across agroecosystems or too generic to guide management with actionable predictions. We suggest obtaining the full benefit of available empirical, theoretical, and methodological knowledge by combining trait-mediated understanding from correlative studies with the explicit representation of causal relationships achieved by mechanistic modeling. To link these frameworks, we adapt the concept of archetypes, or context-specific generalizations, from sustainability science. Similar responses of natural pest control to land-use gradients across cases that share key attributes, such as functional traits of focal organisms, indicate general processes that drive system behavior in a context-sensitive manner. Based on such observations of natural pest control, a systematic definition of archetypes can provide the basis for mechanistic models of intermediate generality that cover all major agroecosystems worldwide. Example applications demonstrate the potential for upscaling understanding and improving predictions of natural pest control, based on knowledge transfer and scientific synthesis. A broader application of this mechanistic archetype approach promises to enhance ecology's contribution to natural resource management across diverse regions and social-ecological contexts.

Published
2022

4. Increasing crop field size does not consistently exacerbate insect pest problems.

Author

Rosenheim, Jay A, Cluff, Emma, Lippey, Mia K, Cass, Bodil N, Paredes, Daniel, Parsa, Soroush, Karp, Daniel S, and Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca

Subjects
Animals, Crops, Agricultural, Ecosystem, Insect Control, Pest Control, Biological, Crop Protection, Insecta, agroecology, crop yield, field size, pest density, pesticide use
Abstract

Increasing diversity on farms can enhance many key ecosystem services to and from agriculture, and natural control of arthropod pests is often presumed to be among them. The expectation that increasing the size of monocultural crop plantings exacerbates the impact of pests is common throughout the agroecological literature. However, the theoretical basis for this expectation is uncertain; mechanistic mathematical models suggest instead that increasing field size can have positive, negative, neutral, or even nonlinear effects on arthropod pest densities. Here, we report a broad survey of crop field-size effects: across 14 pest species, 5 crops, and 20,000 field years of observations, we quantify the impact of field size on pest densities, pesticide applications, and crop yield. We find no evidence that larger fields cause consistently worse pest impacts. The most common outcome (9 of 14 species) was for pest severity to be independent of field size; larger fields resulted in less severe pest problems for four species, and only one species exhibited the expected trend of larger fields worsening pest severity. Importantly, pest responses to field size strongly correlated with their responses to the fraction of the surrounding landscape planted to the focal crop, suggesting that shared ecological processes produce parallel responses to crop simplification across spatial scales. We conclude that the idea that larger field sizes consistently disrupt natural pest control services is without foundation in either the theoretical or empirical record.

Published
2022

5. Integrated modeling of nature’s role in human well-being: A research agenda

Author

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Polasky, Stephen, Alkemade, Rob, Burgess, Neil D., Cheung, William W.L., Fetzer, Ingo, Harfoot, Mike, Hertel, Thomas W., Hill, Samantha L.L., Andrew Johnson, Justin, Janse, Jan H., José v. Jeetze, Patrick, Kim, HyeJin, Kuiper, Jan J., Lonsdorf, Eric, Leclère, David, Mulligan, Mark, Peterson, Garry D., Popp, Alexander, Roe, Stephanie, Schipper, Aafke M., Snäll, Tord, van Soesbergen, Arnout, Soterroni, Aline C., Stehfest, Elke, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Visconti, Piero, Wang-Erlandsson, Lan, Wells, Geoff, and Pereira, Henrique M.

Published
2024
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6. Diverse values of nature for sustainability

Author

Pascual, Unai, Balvanera, Patricia, Anderson, Christopher B., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Christie, Michael, González-Jiménez, David, Martin, Adrian, Raymond, Christopher M., Termansen, Mette, Vatn, Arild, Athayde, Simone, Baptiste, Brigitte, Barton, David N., Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O’Farrell, Patrick, Subramanian, Suneetha M., van Noordwijk, Meine, Ahn, SoEun, Amaruzaman, Sacha, Amin, Ariane M., Arias-Arévalo, Paola, Arroyo-Robles, Gabriela, Cantú-Fernández, Mariana, Castro, Antonio J., Contreras, Victoria, De Vos, Alta, Dendoncker, Nicolas, Engel, Stefanie, Eser, Uta, Faith, Daniel P., Filyushkina, Anna, Ghazi, Houda, Gómez-Baggethun, Erik, Gould, Rachelle K., Guibrunet, Louise, Gundimeda, Haripriya, Hahn, Thomas, Harmáčková, Zuzana V., Hernández-Blanco, Marcello, Horcea-Milcu, Andra-Ioana, Huambachano, Mariaelena, Wicher, Natalia Lutti Hummel, Aydın, Cem İskender, Islar, Mine, Koessler, Ann-Kathrin, Kenter, Jasper O., Kosmus, Marina, Lee, Heera, Leimona, Beria, Lele, Sharachchandra, Lenzi, Dominic, Lliso, Bosco, Mannetti, Lelani M., Merçon, Juliana, Monroy-Sais, Ana Sofía, Mukherjee, Nibedita, Muraca, Barbara, Muradian, Roldan, Murali, Ranjini, Nelson, Sara H., Nemogá-Soto, Gabriel R., Ngouhouo-Poufoun, Jonas, Niamir, Aidin, Nuesiri, Emmanuel, Nyumba, Tobias O., Özkaynak, Begüm, Palomo, Ignacio, Pandit, Ram, Pawłowska-Mainville, Agnieszka, Porter-Bolland, Luciana, Quaas, Martin, Rode, Julian, Rozzi, Ricardo, Sachdeva, Sonya, Samakov, Aibek, Schaafsma, Marije, Sitas, Nadia, Ungar, Paula, Yiu, Evonne, Yoshida, Yuki, and Zent, Eglee

Published
2023
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7. Landscape simplification increases vineyard pest outbreaks and insecticide use.

Author

Paredes, Daniel, Rosenheim, Jay A, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Winter, Silvia, and Karp, Daniel S

Subjects
Animals, Insecticides, Ecosystem, Disease Outbreaks, Pest Control, Biological, Farms, Lobesia botrana, Biological control, Spain, ecoinformatics, ecosystem services, integrated pest management, Life on Land, Lobesia botrana, Ecological Applications, Ecology, Evolutionary Biology
Abstract

Diversifying agricultural landscapes may mitigate biodiversity declines and improve pest management. Yet landscapes are rarely managed to suppress pests, in part because researchers seldom measure key variables related to pest outbreaks and insecticides that drive management decisions. We used a 13-year government database to analyse landscape effects on European grapevine moth (Lobesia botrana) outbreaks and insecticides across c. 400 Spanish vineyards. At harvest, we found pest outbreaks increased four-fold in simplified, vineyard-dominated landscapes compared to complex landscapes in which vineyards are surrounded by semi-natural habitats. Similarly, insecticide applications doubled in vineyard-dominated landscapes but declined in vineyards surrounded by shrubland. Importantly, pest population stochasticity would have masked these large effects if numbers of study sites and years were reduced to typical levels in landscape pest-control studies. Our results suggest increasing landscape complexity may mitigate pest populations and insecticide applications. Habitat conservation represents an economically and environmentally sound approach for achieving sustainable grape production.

Published
2021

8. Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: Modelling Nature Futures

Author

Kim, HyeJin, Peterson, Garry D., Cheung, William W.L., Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan J., Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura, Acosta, Lilibeth A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, den Belder, Eefje, Eddy, Tyler D., Johnson, Justin A, Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel T.J., Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld A., Shin, Yunne-Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, van Vuuren, Detlef, Wabnitz, Colette C.C., José Alava, Juan, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Davies, Kathryn K., Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Mike, Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian W., Ohashi, Haruka, Gabriela Palomo, Maria, Popp, Alexander, Paco Remme, Roy, Saito, Osamu, Rashid Sumalia, U., Willcock, Simon, and Pereira, Henrique M.

Published
2023
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9. Species traits elucidate crop pest response to landscape composition: a global analysis

Author

Tamburini, Giovanni, Santoiemma, Giacomo, O'Rourke, Megan E, Bommarco, Riccardo, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Dainese, Matteo, Karp, Daniel S, Kim, Tania N, Martin, Emily A, Petersen, Matt, and Marini, Lorenzo

Subjects
Agriculture, Animals, Crops, Agricultural, Ecosystem, Insecta, Pest Control, Biological, alien species, biological invasions, conservation biocontrol, invasive insects, global change, landscape simplification, Biological Sciences, Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences, Medical and Health Sciences
Abstract

Recent synthesis studies have shown inconsistent responses of crop pests to landscape composition, imposing a fundamental limit to our capacity to design sustainable crop protection strategies to reduce yield losses caused by insect pests. Using a global dataset composed of 5242 observations encompassing 48 agricultural pest species and 26 crop species, we tested the role of pest traits (exotic status, host breadth and habitat breadth) and environmental context (crop type, range in landscape gradient and climate) in modifying the pest response to increasing semi-natural habitats in the surrounding landscape. For natives, increasing semi-natural habitats decreased the abundance of pests that exploit only crop habitats or that are highly polyphagous. On the contrary, populations of exotic pests increased with an increasing cover of semi-natural habitats. These effects might be related to changes in host plants and other resources across the landscapes and/or to modified top-down control by natural enemies. The range of the landscape gradient explored and climate did not affect pests, while crop type modified the response of pests to landscape composition. Although species traits and environmental context helped in explaining some of the variability in pest response to landscape composition, the observed large interspecific differences suggest that a portfolio of strategies must be considered and implemented for the effective control of rapidly changing communities of crop pests in agroecosystems.

Published
2020

11. A global synthesis reveals biodiversity-mediated benefits for crop production.

Author

Dainese, Matteo, Martin, Emily A, Aizen, Marcelo A, Albrecht, Matthias, Bartomeus, Ignasi, Bommarco, Riccardo, Carvalheiro, Luisa G, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Gagic, Vesna, Garibaldi, Lucas A, Ghazoul, Jaboury, Grab, Heather, Jonsson, Mattias, Karp, Daniel S, Kennedy, Christina M, Kleijn, David, Kremen, Claire, Landis, Douglas A, Letourneau, Deborah K, Marini, Lorenzo, Poveda, Katja, Rader, Romina, Smith, Henrik G, Tscharntke, Teja, Andersson, Georg KS, Badenhausser, Isabelle, Baensch, Svenja, Bezerra, Antonio Diego M, Bianchi, Felix JJA, Boreux, Virginie, Bretagnolle, Vincent, Caballero-Lopez, Berta, Cavigliasso, Pablo, Ćetković, Aleksandar, Chacoff, Natacha P, Classen, Alice, Cusser, Sarah, da Silva E Silva, Felipe D, de Groot, G Arjen, Dudenhöffer, Jan H, Ekroos, Johan, Fijen, Thijs, Franck, Pierre, Freitas, Breno M, Garratt, Michael PD, Gratton, Claudio, Hipólito, Juliana, Holzschuh, Andrea, Hunt, Lauren, Iverson, Aaron L, Jha, Shalene, Keasar, Tamar, Kim, Tania N, Kishinevsky, Miriam, Klatt, Björn K, Klein, Alexandra-Maria, Krewenka, Kristin M, Krishnan, Smitha, Larsen, Ashley E, Lavigne, Claire, Liere, Heidi, Maas, Bea, Mallinger, Rachel E, Martinez Pachon, Eliana, Martínez-Salinas, Alejandra, Meehan, Timothy D, Mitchell, Matthew GE, Molina, Gonzalo AR, Nesper, Maike, Nilsson, Lovisa, O'Rourke, Megan E, Peters, Marcell K, Plećaš, Milan, Potts, Simon G, Ramos, Davi de L, Rosenheim, Jay A, Rundlöf, Maj, Rusch, Adrien, Sáez, Agustín, Scheper, Jeroen, Schleuning, Matthias, Schmack, Julia M, Sciligo, Amber R, Seymour, Colleen, Stanley, Dara A, Stewart, Rebecca, Stout, Jane C, Sutter, Louis, Takada, Mayura B, Taki, Hisatomo, Tamburini, Giovanni, Tschumi, Matthias, Viana, Blandina F, Westphal, Catrin, Willcox, Bryony K, Wratten, Stephen D, Yoshioka, Akira, Zaragoza-Trello, Carlos, Zhang, Wei, and Zou, Yi

Subjects
Humans, Crops, Agricultural, Ecosystem, Biodiversity, Pest Control, Biological, Agriculture, Pollination, Crop Production, Crops, Agricultural, Pest Control, Biological
Abstract

Human land use threatens global biodiversity and compromises multiple ecosystem functions critical to food production. Whether crop yield-related ecosystem services can be maintained by a few dominant species or rely on high richness remains unclear. Using a global database from 89 studies (with 1475 locations), we partition the relative importance of species richness, abundance, and dominance for pollination; biological pest control; and final yields in the context of ongoing land-use change. Pollinator and enemy richness directly supported ecosystem services in addition to and independent of abundance and dominance. Up to 50% of the negative effects of landscape simplification on ecosystem services was due to richness losses of service-providing organisms, with negative consequences for crop yields. Maintaining the biodiversity of ecosystem service providers is therefore vital to sustain the flow of key agroecosystem benefits to society.

Published
2019

12. Crop pests and predators exhibit inconsistent responses to surrounding landscape composition.

Author

Karp, Daniel S, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Meehan, Timothy D, Martin, Emily A, DeClerck, Fabrice, Grab, Heather, Gratton, Claudio, Hunt, Lauren, Larsen, Ashley E, Martínez-Salinas, Alejandra, O'Rourke, Megan E, Rusch, Adrien, Poveda, Katja, Jonsson, Mattias, Rosenheim, Jay A, Schellhorn, Nancy A, Tscharntke, Teja, Wratten, Stephen D, Zhang, Wei, Iverson, Aaron L, Adler, Lynn S, Albrecht, Matthias, Alignier, Audrey, Angelella, Gina M, Zubair Anjum, Muhammad, Avelino, Jacques, Batáry, Péter, Baveco, Johannes M, Bianchi, Felix JJA, Birkhofer, Klaus, Bohnenblust, Eric W, Bommarco, Riccardo, Brewer, Michael J, Caballero-López, Berta, Carrière, Yves, Carvalheiro, Luísa G, Cayuela, Luis, Centrella, Mary, Ćetković, Aleksandar, Henri, Dominic Charles, Chabert, Ariane, Costamagna, Alejandro C, De la Mora, Aldo, de Kraker, Joop, Desneux, Nicolas, Diehl, Eva, Diekötter, Tim, Dormann, Carsten F, Eckberg, James O, Entling, Martin H, Fiedler, Daniela, Franck, Pierre, Frank van Veen, FJ, Frank, Thomas, Gagic, Vesna, Garratt, Michael PD, Getachew, Awraris, Gonthier, David J, Goodell, Peter B, Graziosi, Ignazio, Groves, Russell L, Gurr, Geoff M, Hajian-Forooshani, Zachary, Heimpel, George E, Herrmann, John D, Huseth, Anders S, Inclán, Diego J, Ingrao, Adam J, Iv, Phirun, Jacot, Katja, Johnson, Gregg A, Jones, Laura, Kaiser, Marina, Kaser, Joe M, Keasar, Tamar, Kim, Tania N, Kishinevsky, Miriam, Landis, Douglas A, Lavandero, Blas, Lavigne, Claire, Le Ralec, Anne, Lemessa, Debissa, Letourneau, Deborah K, Liere, Heidi, Lu, Yanhui, Lubin, Yael, Luttermoser, Tim, Maas, Bea, Mace, Kevi, Madeira, Filipe, Mader, Viktoria, Cortesero, Anne Marie, Marini, Lorenzo, Martinez, Eliana, Martinson, Holly M, Menozzi, Philippe, Mitchell, Matthew GE, Miyashita, Tadashi, Molina, Gonzalo AR, and Molina-Montenegro, Marco A

Subjects
Animals, Crops, Agricultural, Ecosystem, Pest Control, Biological, Models, Biological, agroecology, biodiversity, biological control, ecosystem services, natural enemies, Crops, Agricultural, Pest Control, Biological, Models
Abstract

The idea that noncrop habitat enhances pest control and represents a win-win opportunity to conserve biodiversity and bolster yields has emerged as an agroecological paradigm. However, while noncrop habitat in landscapes surrounding farms sometimes benefits pest predators, natural enemy responses remain heterogeneous across studies and effects on pests are inconclusive. The observed heterogeneity in species responses to noncrop habitat may be biological in origin or could result from variation in how habitat and biocontrol are measured. Here, we use a pest-control database encompassing 132 studies and 6,759 sites worldwide to model natural enemy and pest abundances, predation rates, and crop damage as a function of landscape composition. Our results showed that although landscape composition explained significant variation within studies, pest and enemy abundances, predation rates, crop damage, and yields each exhibited different responses across studies, sometimes increasing and sometimes decreasing in landscapes with more noncrop habitat but overall showing no consistent trend. Thus, models that used landscape-composition variables to predict pest-control dynamics demonstrated little potential to explain variation across studies, though prediction did improve when comparing studies with similar crop and landscape features. Overall, our work shows that surrounding noncrop habitat does not consistently improve pest management, meaning habitat conservation may bolster production in some systems and depress yields in others. Future efforts to develop tools that inform farmers when habitat conservation truly represents a win-win would benefit from increased understanding of how landscape effects are modulated by local farm management and the biology of pests and their enemies.

Published
2018

13. Atmospheric water recycling an essential feature of critical natural asset stewardship

Author

Keys, Patrick W., Collins, Pamela M., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Wang-Erlandsson, Lan, Keys, Patrick W., Collins, Pamela M., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, and Wang-Erlandsson, Lan

Abstract

Non-technical summary. In this paper, we explore how critically important ecosystems on the land provide evaporation to the atmosphere, which will later fall as precipitation elsewhere. Using a model-based analysis that tracks water flowing through the atmosphere, we find that more than two-thirds of the precipitation over critically important ecosystem areas is supplied by evaporation from other land. Likewise, more than 40% of the evaporation from critically important ecosystems falls as precipitation on other land. We conclude our work by discussing the policy implications for how these critically important ecosystems connect spatially distant wild and working lands via the atmospheric water cycle.Technical summary. Global ecosystems are interconnected via atmospheric water vapor flows. Land use change can modify evaporation from land, altering atmospheric moisture recycling and potentially leading to significant changes in downwind precipitation and associated ecological impacts. We combine insights on global ecosystem-regulated moisture recycling with an analysis of critical natural assets (CNA, the 30% of global land providing most of nature's contributions to people) to reveal the sources and sinks of atmospheric water cycle regulation. We find that 65% of the precipitation over CNA is supplied by evaporation from other land areas. Likewise, CNA regions supply critical moisture as precipitation to terrestrial natural ecosystems and production systems worldwide, with 44% of CNA evaporation falling on terrestrial surfaces. Specifically, the Congo River basin emerges as a hotspot of overlap between local atmospheric water cycle maintenance and concentration of nature's contributions to people. Our results suggest global priority areas for conservation efforts beyond and in support of CNA, emphasizing the importance of sparsely populated managed forests and rangelands, along with wild forests, for fostering moisture recycling to and within CNA. This work also und

Published
2024
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14. Global trends and scenarios for terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050

Author

Environmental Sciences, Pereira, Henrique M., Martins, Inês S., Rosa, Isabel M.D., Kim, Hye Jin, Leadley, Paul, Popp, Alexander, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Hurtt, George, Quoss, Luise, Arneth, Almut, Baisero, Daniele, Bakkenes, Michel, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Chini, Louise, Di Marco, Moreno, Ferrier, Simon, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Guerra, Carlos A., Harfoot, Michael, Harwood, Thomas D., Hasegawa, Tomoko, Haverd, Vanessa, Havlík, Petr, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hilbers, Jelle P., Hill, Samantha L.L., Hirata, Akiko, Hoskins, Andrew J., Humpenöder, Florian, Janse, Jan H., Jetz, Walter, Johnson, Justin A., Krause, Andreas, Leclère, David, Matsui, Tetsuya, Meijer, Johan R., Merow, Cory, Obersteiner, Michael, Ohashi, Haruka, De Palma, Adriana, Poulter, Benjamin, Purvis, Andy, Quesada, Benjamin, Rondinini, Carlo, Schipper, Aafke M., Settele, Josef, Sharp, Richard, Stehfest, Elke, Strassburg, Bernardo B.N., Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Talluto, Matthew V., Thuiller, Wilfried, Titeux, Nicolas, Visconti, Piero, Ware, Christopher, Wolf, Florian, Alkemade, Rob, Environmental Sciences, Pereira, Henrique M., Martins, Inês S., Rosa, Isabel M.D., Kim, Hye Jin, Leadley, Paul, Popp, Alexander, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Hurtt, George, Quoss, Luise, Arneth, Almut, Baisero, Daniele, Bakkenes, Michel, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Chini, Louise, Di Marco, Moreno, Ferrier, Simon, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Guerra, Carlos A., Harfoot, Michael, Harwood, Thomas D., Hasegawa, Tomoko, Haverd, Vanessa, Havlík, Petr, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hilbers, Jelle P., Hill, Samantha L.L., Hirata, Akiko, Hoskins, Andrew J., Humpenöder, Florian, Janse, Jan H., Jetz, Walter, Johnson, Justin A., Krause, Andreas, Leclère, David, Matsui, Tetsuya, Meijer, Johan R., Merow, Cory, Obersteiner, Michael, Ohashi, Haruka, De Palma, Adriana, Poulter, Benjamin, Purvis, Andy, Quesada, Benjamin, Rondinini, Carlo, Schipper, Aafke M., Settele, Josef, Sharp, Richard, Stehfest, Elke, Strassburg, Bernardo B.N., Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Talluto, Matthew V., Thuiller, Wilfried, Titeux, Nicolas, Visconti, Piero, Ware, Christopher, Wolf, Florian, and Alkemade, Rob

Published
2024

15. Global trends and scenarios for terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050

Author

Pereira, Henrique M., Martins, Inês S., Rosa, Isabel M. D., Kim, HyeJin, Leadley, Paul, Popp, Alexander, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Hurtt, George, Quoss, Luise, Arneth, Almut, Baisero, Daniele, Bakkenes, Michel, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Chini, Louise, Di Marco, Moreno, Ferrier, Simon, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Guerra, Carlos A., Harfoot, Michael, Harwood, Thomas D., Hasegawa, Tomoko, Haverd, Vanessa, Havlík, Petr, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hilbers, Jelle P., Hill, Samantha L. L., Hirata, Akiko, Hoskins, Andrew J., Humpenöder, Florian, Janse, Jan H., Jetz, Walter, Johnson, Justin A., Krause, Andreas, Leclère, David, Matsui, Tetsuya, Meijer, Johan R., Merow, Cory, Obersteiner, Michael, Ohashi, Haruka, De Palma, Adriana, Poulter, Benjamin, Purvis, Andy, Quesada, Benjamin, Rondinini, Carlo, Schipper, Aafke M., Settele, Josef, Sharp, Richard, Stehfest, Elke, Strassburg, Bernardo B. N., Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Talluto, Matthew V., Thuiller, Wilfried, Titeux, Nicolas, Visconti, Piero, Ware, Christopher, Wolf, Florian, Alkemade, Rob, Pereira, Henrique M., Martins, Inês S., Rosa, Isabel M. D., Kim, HyeJin, Leadley, Paul, Popp, Alexander, van Vuuren, Detlef P., Hurtt, George, Quoss, Luise, Arneth, Almut, Baisero, Daniele, Bakkenes, Michel, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Chini, Louise, Di Marco, Moreno, Ferrier, Simon, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Guerra, Carlos A., Harfoot, Michael, Harwood, Thomas D., Hasegawa, Tomoko, Haverd, Vanessa, Havlík, Petr, Hellweg, Stefanie, Hilbers, Jelle P., Hill, Samantha L. L., Hirata, Akiko, Hoskins, Andrew J., Humpenöder, Florian, Janse, Jan H., Jetz, Walter, Johnson, Justin A., Krause, Andreas, Leclère, David, Matsui, Tetsuya, Meijer, Johan R., Merow, Cory, Obersteiner, Michael, Ohashi, Haruka, De Palma, Adriana, Poulter, Benjamin, Purvis, Andy, Quesada, Benjamin, Rondinini, Carlo, Schipper, Aafke M., Settele, Josef, Sharp, Richard, Stehfest, Elke, Strassburg, Bernardo B. N., Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Talluto, Matthew V., Thuiller, Wilfried, Titeux, Nicolas, Visconti, Piero, Ware, Christopher, Wolf, Florian, and Alkemade, Rob

Abstract

Based on an extensive model intercomparison, we assessed trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from historical reconstructions and future scenarios of land-use and climate change. During the 20th century, biodiversity declined globally by 2 to 11%, as estimated by a range of indicators. Provisioning ecosystem services increased several fold, and regulating services decreased moderately. Going forward, policies toward sustainability have the potential to slow biodiversity loss resulting from land-use change and the demand for provisioning services while reducing or reversing declines in regulating services. However, negative impacts on biodiversity due to climate change appear poised to increase, particularly in the higher-emissions scenarios. Our assessment identifies remaining modeling uncertainties but also robustly shows that renewed policy efforts are needed to meet the goals of the Convention on Biological Diversity.

Published
2024

16. Win-wins or trade-offs? Site and strategy determine carbon and local ecosystem service benefits for protection, restoration, and agroforestry.

Author

McDonald, Robert I., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Mulligan, Mark, Kropf, Chahan M., Hülsen, Sarah, Welker, Preston, Poor, Erin, Erbaugh, James T., and Masuda, Yuta J.

Subjects
ECOSYSTEM services, REFORESTATION, CLIMATE change mitigation, AGROFORESTRY, CLIMATE change, FOREST conversion, CLIMATE change models
Abstract

Nature-based solutions (NBS) can deliver many benefits to human wellbeing, including some crucial to climate adaptation. We quantitatively assess the global potential of NBS strategies of protection, restoration, and agroforestry by modeling global climate change mitigation and local ecosystem services (water availability, sediment retention, runoff, pollination, nitrogen retention, green water storage, and coastal protection). The strategies with the most potential to help people do not necessarily deliver the most climate change mitigation: per area of conservation action, agroforestry provides substantial benefits (>20% increase in at least one local ecosystem service) to three times more people on average than reforestation while providing less than one tenth the carbon sequestration per unit area. Each strategy delivers a different suite of ecosystem service benefits; for instance, avoided forest conversion provides a strong increase in nitrogen retention (100% increase to 72 million people if fully implemented globally) while agroforestry increases pollination services (100% increase to 3.0 billion people if fully implemented globally). One common disservice shared by all the NBS strategies modeled here is that increased woody biomass increases transpiration, reducing annual runoff and in some watersheds negatively impacting local water availability. In addition, the places with the greatest potential for climate change mitigation are not necessarily the ones with the most people. For instance, reforestation in Latin America has the greatest climate change mitigation potential, but the greatest ecosystem service benefits are in Africa. Focusing on nations with high climate mitigation potential as well as high local ecosystem service potential, such as Nigeria in the case of reforestation, India for agroforestry, and the Republic of Congo for avoided forest conversion, can help identify win-win sites for implementation. We find that concentrating implementation of these three conservation strategies in critical places, covering 5.8 million km2, could benefit 2.0 billion people with increased local ecosystem services provision. These critical places cover only 35% of the possible area of implementation but would provide 80% of the benefits that are possible globally for the selected set of ecosystem services under the NBS scenarios examined here. We conclude that targeting these critical places for protection, restoration, and agroforestry interventions will be key to achieving adaptation and human wellbeing goals while also increasing nature-based carbon mitigation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2024
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20. Ecosystem Services

Author

Balvanera, Patricia, Quijas, Sandra, Karp, Daniel S., Ash, Neville, Bennett, Elena M., Boumans, Roel, Brown, Claire, Chan, Kai M. A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Halpern, Benjamin S., Honey-Rosés, Jordi, Kim, Choong-Ki, Cramer, Wolfgang, Martínez-Harms, Maria José, Mooney, Harold, Mwampamba, Tuyeni, Nel, Jeanne, Polasky, Stephen, Reyers, Belinda, Roman, Joe, Turner, Woody, Scholes, Robert J., Tallis, Heather, Thonicke, Kirsten, Villa, Ferdinando, Walpole, Matt, Walz, Ariane, Walters, Michele, editor, and Scholes, Robert J., editor

Published
2017
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21. Detecting pest control services across spatial and temporal scales

Author

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, de Valpine, Perry, Mills, Nicholas J, and Kremen, Claire

Subjects
Biological control, Brevicoryne brassicae, Ecosystem services, Landscape complexity, Syrphidae, Trophic ecology, Environmental Sciences, Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences, Studies in Human Society, Agronomy & Agriculture
Abstract

Natural habitat may deliver ecosystem services to agriculture through the provision of natural enemies of agricultural pests. Natural or non-crop habitat has strongly positive effects on natural enemies in cropland, but the resulting impact on pests is not as well established. This study measured weekly natural enemy (syrphid fly larvae) and pest (cabbage aphid) abundances in Central California broccoli fields for three years. Abundance of syrphid fly larvae increased strongly with the proportion of natural habitat surrounding the farm. As the density of syrphid fly larvae increased, weekly aphid population growth rates slowed, such that aphid densities just prior to harvest were lowest in farms with natural habitat. These landscape-mediated impacts of syrphids on aphids were not evident when data were aggregated into annual averages, a common metric in research on pest control services. We suggest that higher temporal resolution of data for natural enemy and pest abundance can reveal top-down control that is otherwise masked by seasonal and interannual variation in environmental factors. © 2013 Elsevier B.V.

Published
2013

22. Climate Change and the Agricultural Sector in the San Francisco Bay Area: Changes in Viticulture and Rangeland Forage Production Due to Altered Temperature and Precipitation Patterns

Author

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca

Abstract

Climate change has the potential to alter the San Francisco Bay Area’s agricultural production, a $2 billion industry. Two of the top sectors, wine and ranching, are examined in this paper. Downscaled models suggest that forage production in Bay Area rangelands may be enhanced by future conditions in most years, at least in terms of peak standing crop. However, the timing of production is as important as its peak, and altered precipitation patterns could mean delayed germination and earlier senescence, resulting in shorter growing seasons. An increase in the frequency of extremely dry years also increases the uncertainty of forage availability. Similarly, wine grape yields are projected to increase throughout much of the Bay Area, but wine grape quality may decline substantially under future climate conditions, as the crop ripens earlier during hotter months. The implications for these shifts in wine grape and forage production are that the aspects of Bay Area agriculture most sensitive to climate change are not yields, but subtler nuances of production such as quality and timing. Adaptive measures will need to be taken to maintain the economic viability of these enterprises.

Published
2012

23. Centring justice in conceptualizing and improving access to urban nature

Author

Langhans, Kelley E., primary, Echeverri, Alejandra, additional, Daws, S. Caroline, additional, Moss, Sydney N., additional, Anderson, Christopher B., additional, Chaplin‐Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Hendershot, J. Nicholas, additional, Liu, Lingling, additional, Mandle, Lisa, additional, Nguyen, Oliver, additional, Ou, Suzanne X., additional, Remme, Roy P., additional, Schmitt, Rafael J. P., additional, Vogl, Adrian, additional, and Daily, Gretchen C., additional

Published
2023
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24. Model ensembles of ecosystem services fill global certainty and capacity gaps

Author

Willcock, Simon, primary, Hooftman, Danny A. P., additional, Neugarten, Rachel A., additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Barredo, José I., additional, Hickler, Thomas, additional, Kindermann, Georg, additional, Lewis, Amy R., additional, Lindeskog, Mats, additional, Martínez-López, Javier, additional, and Bullock, James M., additional

Published
2023
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25. Model ensembles of ecosystem services fill global certainty and capacity gaps

Author

Willcock, Simon, Hooftman, Danny A.P., Neugarten, Rachel A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Barredo, José I., Hickler, Thomas, Kindermann, Georg, Lewis, Amy R., Lindeskog, Mats, Martínez-López, Javier, Bullock, James M., Willcock, Simon, Hooftman, Danny A.P., Neugarten, Rachel A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Barredo, José I., Hickler, Thomas, Kindermann, Georg, Lewis, Amy R., Lindeskog, Mats, Martínez-López, Javier, and Bullock, James M.

Abstract

Sustaining ecosystem services (ES) critical to human well-being is hindered by many practitioners lacking access to ES models (“the capacity gap”) or knowledge of the accuracy of available models (“the certainty gap”), especially in the world’s poorer regions. We developed ensembles of multiple models at an unprecedented global scale for five ES of high policy relevance. Ensembles were 2 to 14% more accurate than individual models. Ensemble accuracy was not correlated with proxies for research capacity, indicating that accuracy is distributed equitably across the globe and that countries less able to research ES suffer no accuracy penalty. By making these ES ensembles and associated accuracy estimates freely available, we provide globally consistent ES information that can support policy and decision-making in regions with low data availability or low capacity for implementing complex ES models. Thus, we hope to reduce the capacity and certainty gaps impeding local- to global-scale movement toward ES sustainability.

Published
2023

26. Influences of Satellite Sensor and Scale on Derivation of Ecosystem Functional Types and Diversity

Author

Liu, Lingling, Smith, Jeffrey R., Armstrong, Amanda H., Alcaraz-Segura, Domingo, Epstein, Howard E., Echeverri, Alejandra, Langhans, Kelley E., Schmitt, Rafael J. P., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Liu, Lingling, Smith, Jeffrey R., Armstrong, Amanda H., Alcaraz-Segura, Domingo, Epstein, Howard E., Echeverri, Alejandra, Langhans, Kelley E., Schmitt, Rafael J. P., and Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca

Abstract

Satellite-derived Ecosystem Functional Types (EFTs) are increasingly used in ecology and conservation to characterize ecosystem heterogeneity. The diversity of EFTs, also known as Ecosystem Functional Diversity (EFD), has been suggested both as a potential metric of ecosystem-level biodiversity and as a predictor for ecosystem functioning, ecosystem services, and resilience. However, the impact of key methodological choices on patterns of EFTs and EFD have not been formally assessed. Using Costa Rica as a study system, we compared EFTs and EFD, derived from MODIS and Landsat data using different methodological assumptions, at both national and local extents. Our results showed that the regional spatial patterns of EFTs and EFD derived from 250 m MODIS and 30 m Landsat are notably different. The selection of sensors for deriving EFTs and EFD is dependent on the study area, data quality, and the research objective. Given its finer spatial resolution, Landsat has greater capacity to differentiate more EFTs than MODIS, though MODIS could be a better choice in frequently cloudy areas due to its shorter revisiting time. We also found that the selection of spatial extent used to derive EFD is critical, as smaller extents (e.g., at a local rather than a national scale) can show much higher diversity. However, diversity levels derived at smaller extents appear to be nested within the diversity levels derived at larger extents. As EFTs and EFD continue to develop as a tool for ecosystem ecology, we highlight the important methodological choices to ensure that these metrics best fit research objectives.

Published
2023

27. Towards a better future for biodiversity and people : Modelling Nature Futures

Author

Kim, Hye Jin, Peterson, Garry D., Cheung, William W.L., Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan J., Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura, Acosta, Lilibeth A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, den Belder, Eefje, Eddy, Tyler D., Johnson, Justin A., Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel T.J., Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld A., Shin, Yunne Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, van Vuuren, Detlef, Wabnitz, Colette C.C., José Alava, Juan, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Davies, Kathryn K., Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Mike, Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian W., Ohashi, Haruka, Gabriela Palomo, Maria, Popp, Alexander, Paco Remme, Roy, Saito, Osamu, Rashid Sumalia, U., Willcock, Simon, Pereira, Henrique M., Kim, Hye Jin, Peterson, Garry D., Cheung, William W.L., Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan J., Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura, Acosta, Lilibeth A., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, den Belder, Eefje, Eddy, Tyler D., Johnson, Justin A., Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel T.J., Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld A., Shin, Yunne Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, van Vuuren, Detlef, Wabnitz, Colette C.C., José Alava, Juan, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Davies, Kathryn K., Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Mike, Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian W., Ohashi, Haruka, Gabriela Palomo, Maria, Popp, Alexander, Paco Remme, Roy, Saito, Osamu, Rashid Sumalia, U., Willcock, Simon, and Pereira, Henrique M.

Abstract

The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, and Nature as Culture. This paper describes how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support decision-making. First, we describe key considerations for the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative scenarios: i) multiple value perspectives on nature as a state space where pathways improving nature toward a frontier can be represented, ii) mutually reinforcing key feedbacks of social-ecological systems that are important for nature conservation and human wellbeing, iii) indicators of multiple knowledge systems describing the evolution of complex social-ecological dynamics. We then present three approaches to modelling Nature Futures scenarios in the review, screening, and design phases of policy processes. This paper seeks to facilitate the integration of relational values of nature in models and strengthen modelled linkages across biodiversity, nature's contributions to people, and quality of life.

Published
2023

29. The future of ecosystem assessments is automation, collaboration, and artificial intelligence

Author

Galaz García, Carmen, primary, Bagstad, Kenneth J, additional, Brun, Julien, additional, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, additional, Dhu, Trevor, additional, Murray, Nicholas J, additional, Nolan, Connor J, additional, Ricketts, Taylor H, additional, Sosik, Heidi M, additional, Sousa, Daniel, additional, Willard, Geoff, additional, and Halpern, Benjamin S, additional

Published
2023
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31. Natural capital and ecosystem services informing decisions : From promise to practice

Author

Guerry, Anne D., Polasky, Stephen, Lubchenco, Jane, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Daily, Gretchen C., Griffin, Robert, Ruckelshaus, Mary, Bateman, Ian J., Duraiappah, Anantha, Elmqvist, Thomas, Feldman, Marcus W., Folke, Carl, Hoekstra, Jon, Kareiva, Peter M., Keeler, Bonnie L., Li, Shuzhuo, McKenzie, Emily, Ouyang, Zhiyun, Reyers, Belinda, Ricketts, Taylor H., Rockström, Johan, Tallis, Heather, and Vira, Bhaskar

Published
2015

34. Chapter 4. Value expression in decision-making

Author

Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Lazos Chavero, Elena, Van Noordwijk, Meine, Engel, Stefanie, Girvan, Alexander, Hahn, Thomas, Leimona, Beria, Lele, Sharachchandra, Muradian, Roldan, Niamir, Aidin, Özkaynak, Begüm, Pawlowska-Mainville, Agnieszka, Ungar, Paula, Nelson, Sara, Aydin, Cem Iskender, Iranah, Pricila, Cantú-Fernández, Mariana, González-Jiménez, David, Bravo-Monroy, Liliana, Andradi-Brown, Dominic A., Ahmadia, Gabby N., Andrianarimisa, Aristide, Asiyanbi, Adeniyi, Aslan, Beste Gün, Asquith, Nigel, Avci, Duygu, Aydemir, Ezelnur, Aydın, Begüm, Baird, Timothy D., Berenguer, Maria Eduarda, Borgerson, Cortni, Bremer, Leah, Cadiz, Emily, Cassidy, Lin, Crane, Nicole, Dadvar, Maral, De Nardo, Matheus, del Bene, Daniela, Delgoulet, Elise, Demongeot, Marilou, Dugrillon, Cloé, Echavarria, Marta, Edens, Bram, Eyter, Harold N., Ortiz-Riomalo, Juan Felipe, Fidler, Robert Y., Forbes, Hamish, Gerçek, Pinar, Gill, David A., Guimaraes, Ellen, Harris, Maureen, Hayashi, Takashi, He, Jun, Isciel, Emine, Isyaku, Usman, Izquierdo- Tort, Santiago, Jackson, Sue, Jayant, Dheeraj, Katz, Laure, Kumagai, Joy, Kenter, Jasper, Keske, Fabian, Kozmínová, Michaela, Kruse, Marion, Kurashima, Natalie, Lansing, David, Laurans, Yann, Lavaud, Sophie, Lecercle, Hortense, Lliso, Bosco, Llopis, Jorge, Marttunen, Mika, Mascia, Michael B., McCabe, J. Terrence, Millington, Alice, Monroy- Sais, Sofia, Moore, Deborah, Morales Lizarazo, Diana Paola, Mosquera-Palacios, Maryury, Neugarten, Rachel, Obst, Carl, Ouyang, Zhiyun, Ozdemiroglu, Ece, Pakiding, Fitry, Perozzi, Mariana, Ríos-Beltrán, Fernanda, Rives, Justine, Roa-Avendaño, Tatiana, Rode, Julian, Roy, Brototi, Rulmal, John, Sahu, Geetanjoy, Saunders, Fred, Scholte, Samantha, Shapiro-Garza, Elizabeth, Shrestha, Sushma, Sotelo, Laura, Springer, Hannah Kihalani, Termansen, Mette, Thomas, Fabian, Tinch, Rob, Turpie, Jane, Upton, Caroline, Vaughan, Mehana, Veverka, Laura, Waechter, Anouck, Wann, Lei, Winter, Kawika, Wongbusarakum, Supin, Woodhouse, Emily, Zent, Eglee, Cárdenas, Juan Camilo, Baker, Susan, Krause, Marion, and Öztürk, Öykü

Subjects
Value expression, IPBES, Values assessment, Chapter 4, Decision making
Abstract

These documents correspond to Chapter 4 of the IPBES methodological assessment of the diverse values and valuation of nature and its supplementary material., Suggested citation: Barton, D.N., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Lazos, E., Van Noordwijk, M., Engel, S., Girvan, A., Hahn, T., Leimona, B., Lele, S., Niamir, A., Özkaynak, B., Pawlowska-Mainville, A., Muradian, R., Ungar, P., Aydin, C., Iranah, P., Nelson, S., Cantú-Fernández M., and González-Jiménez, D. (2022). Chapter 4: Value expression in decision-making. In: Methodological Assessment Report on the Diverse Values and Valuation of Nature of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. Balvanera, P., Pascual, U., Christie, M., Baptiste, B., and González-Jiménez, D. (eds). IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6522261

Published
2022
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35. Chapter 1. The role of the values of nature and valuation for addressing the biodiversity crisis and navigating towards more just and sustainable futures

Author

Balvanera, Patricia, Pascual, Unai, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, Guibrunet, Louise, Lliso, Bosco, Monroy-Sais, Ana Sofía, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, Van Noordwijk, Meine, Vatn, Arild, Contreras, Victoria, González-Jiménez, David, Ahn, SoEun, Amaruzaman, Sacha, Amin, Ariane, Arias-Arévalo, Paola, Aydin, Cem Iskender, Castro Martínez, Antonio J., De Vos, Aletta, Dendoncker, Nicolas, Engel, Stefanie, Eser, Uta, Faith, Daniel, Filyushkina, Anna, Ghazi, Houda, Girvan, Alexander, Gomez-Baggethun, Erik, Gould, Rachelle K., Gundimeda, Haripriya, Hahn, Thomas, Harmackova, Zuzana, Hernández-Blanco, Marcello, Horcea-Milcu, Andra-Ioana, Huambachano, Mariaelena, Iranah, Pricila, Islar, Mine, Kenter, Jasper, Koessler, Ann-Kathrin, Kosmus, Marina, Lee, Heera, Leimona, Beria, Lele, Sharachchandra, Lenzi, Dominic, Lutti Hummel, Natalia, Mannetti, Lelani, Merçon, Juliana, Mukherjee, Nibedita, Muraca, Barbara, Muradian, Roldan, Murali, Ranjini, Nelson, Sara, Nemogá, Ricardo Gabriel, Nuesiri, Emmanuel, Ngouhouo Poufoun, Jonas, Niamir, Aidin, Ochieng Nyumba, Tobias, Özkaynak, Begüm, Palomo, Ignacio, Pandit, Ram, Pawlowska-Mainville, Agnieszka, Porter-Bolland, Luciana, Quaas, Martin, Rode, Julian, Rozzi, Ricardo, Sachdeva, Sonya, Samakov, Aibek, Schaafsma, Marije, Sitas, Nadia, Ungar, Paola, Yiu, Evonne, Yoshida, Yuki, Zent, Eglee, Choi, Andy, Vessuri, Hebe, Watson, Robert T., and Mace, Georgina

Subjects
Chapter 1, Diverse values, IPBES, Values assessment, Valuation
Abstract

These documents correspond to Chapter 1 of the IPBES methodological assessment of the diverse values and valuation of nature and its supplementary material., Suggested citation: Balvanera, P., Pascual, U., Christie, M., Baptiste, B., Lliso, B., Monroy, A.S., Guibrunet, L., Anderson, C.B., Athayde, S., Barton, D.N., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Jacobs, S., Kelemen, E., Kumar, R., Lazos, E., Martin, A., Mwampamba, T.H., Nakangu, B., O'Farrell, P., Raymond, C.M., Subramanian, S.M., Termansen, M., Van Noordwijk, M., Vatn, A., Contreras, V., and González-Jiménez, D. (2022). Chapter 1: The role of the values of nature and valuation for addressing the biodiversity crisis and navigating towards more just and sustainable futures. In: Methodological Assessment Report on the Diverse Values and Valuation of Nature of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. P. Balvanera, U. Pascual, C. Michael, B. Baptiste, and D. González-Jiménez (eds.). IPBES secretariat, Bonn, Germany. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6418971

Published
2022
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36. Value Expression in Decision-Making

Author

Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Lazos Chavero, Elena, van Noordwijk, Meine, Engel, Stefanie, Girvan, Alexander, Hahn, Thomas, Leimona, Beria, Lele, Sharachchandra, Muradian, Roldan, Niamir, Aidin, Özkaynak, Begüm, Pawlowska-Mainville, Agnieszka, Ungar, Paula, Cárdenas, Juan Camilo, Baker, Susan, Nelson, Sara, Aydin, Cem İskender, Iranah, Pricila, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Lazos Chavero, Elena, van Noordwijk, Meine, Engel, Stefanie, Girvan, Alexander, Hahn, Thomas, Leimona, Beria, Lele, Sharachchandra, Muradian, Roldan, Niamir, Aidin, Özkaynak, Begüm, Pawlowska-Mainville, Agnieszka, Ungar, Paula, Cárdenas, Juan Camilo, Baker, Susan, Nelson, Sara, Aydin, Cem İskender, and Iranah, Pricila

Abstract

This chapter links diverse values of nature as communicated through different value articulation (“valuing” and valuation) processes to decision-making and its outcomes. It reviews the underlying causes of treating impacts on nature as external to, and ignored in, decisions by current political, economic and socio-cultural actors and institutions (i.e., conventions, norms and rules), and describes how on-the-ground drivers of nature’s decline can be transformed towards recovery, focusing on land and sea use. The modalities and practice of explicit valuation of nature (preceding chapter) in support of decisions, and the decision-making processes themselves, may need to further evolve to achieve global sustainability goals, the CBD 2050 vision of living in harmony with nature and the recent Kunming Declaration of the CBD., IPBES

Published
2022
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37. Conservation needs to integrate knowledge across scales

Author

Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Brauman, Kate A., Cavender-Bares, Jeannine, Díaz, Sandra, Duarte, Gabriela Teixeira, Enquist, Brian J., Garibaldi, Lucas A., Geldmann, Jonas, Halpern, Benjamin S., Hertel, Thomas W., Khoury, Colin K., Krieger, Joana Madeira, Lavorel, Sandra, Mueller, Thomas, Neugarten, Rachel A., Pinto-Ledezma, Jesús, Polasky, Stephen, Purvis, Andy, Reyes-García, Victoria, Roehrdanz, Patrick R., Shannon, Lynne J., Shaw, M. Rebecca, Strassburg, Bernardo B.N., Tylianakis, Jason M., Verburg, Peter H., Visconti, Piero, Zafra-Calvo, Noelia, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Brauman, Kate A., Cavender-Bares, Jeannine, Díaz, Sandra, Duarte, Gabriela Teixeira, Enquist, Brian J., Garibaldi, Lucas A., Geldmann, Jonas, Halpern, Benjamin S., Hertel, Thomas W., Khoury, Colin K., Krieger, Joana Madeira, Lavorel, Sandra, Mueller, Thomas, Neugarten, Rachel A., Pinto-Ledezma, Jesús, Polasky, Stephen, Purvis, Andy, Reyes-García, Victoria, Roehrdanz, Patrick R., Shannon, Lynne J., Shaw, M. Rebecca, Strassburg, Bernardo B.N., Tylianakis, Jason M., Verburg, Peter H., Visconti, Piero, and Zafra-Calvo, Noelia

Published
2022
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38. Summary for Policymakers of the Methodological Assessment Report on the Diverse Values and Valuation of Nature of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services

Author

Pascual, Unai, Balvanera, Patricia, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, González-Jiménez, David, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, van Noordwijk, Meine, Vatn, Arild, Pascual, Unai, Balvanera, Patricia, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, González-Jiménez, David, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, van Noordwijk, Meine, and Vatn, Arild

Published
2022

39. The role of the values of nature and valuation for addressing the biodiversity crisis and navigating towards more just and sustainable futures

Author

Balvanera, Patricia, Pascual, Unai, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, González-Jiménez, David, Guibrunet, Louise, Lliso, Bosco, Monroy-Sais, Ana Sofia, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, van Noordwijk, Meine, Vatn, Arild, Contreras, Victoria, Balvanera, Patricia, Pascual, Unai, Christie, Michael, Baptiste, Brigitte, González-Jiménez, David, Guibrunet, Louise, Lliso, Bosco, Monroy-Sais, Ana Sofia, Anderson, Christopher B., Athayde, Simone, Barton, David N., Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Jacobs, Sander, Kelemen, Eszter, Kumar, Ritesh, Lazos, Elena, Martin, Adrian, Mwampamba, Tuyeni H., Nakangu, Barbara, O'Farrell, Patrick, Raymond, Christopher M., Subramanian, Suneetha M., Termansen, Mette, van Noordwijk, Meine, Vatn, Arild, and Contreras, Victoria

Published
2022

44. Models of natural pest control : Towards predictions across agricultural landscapes

Author

Alexandridis, Nikolaos, Marion, Glenn, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Dainese, Matteo, Ekroos, Johan, Grab, Heather, Jonsson, Mattias, Karp, Daniel S., Meyer, Carsten, O'Rourke, Megan E., Pontarp, Mikael, Poveda, Katja, Seppelt, Ralf, Smith, Henrik G., Martin, Emily A., Clough, Yann, Department of Agricultural Sciences, and Plant Production Sciences

Subjects
DYNAMICS, 11832 Microbiology and virology, COMPLEXITY, DIVERSITY, Pest, Crop, SERVICES, 4111 Agronomy, HABITATS, LINYPHIID SPIDERS, Land use, SIMULATION, 1181 Ecology, evolutionary biology, Natural control, PATTERNS, Landscape, BIODIVERSITY, PREDATORS, Ecological modelling
Abstract

Natural control of invertebrate crop pests has the potential to complement or replace conventional insecticide based practices, but its mainstream application is hampered by predictive unreliability across agroecosystems. Inconsistent responses of natural pest control to changes in landscape characteristics have been attributed to ecological complexity and system-specific conditions. Here, we review agroecological models and their potential to provide predictions of natural pest control across agricultural landscapes. Existing models have used a multitude of techniques to represent specific crop-pest-enemy systems at various spatiotemporal scales, but less wealthy regions of the world are underrepresented. A realistic representation of natural pest control across systems appears to be hindered by a practical trade-off between generality and realism. Nonetheless, observations of context-sensitive, trait-mediated responses of natural pest control to land-use gradients indicate the potential of ecological models that explicitly represent the underlying mechanisms. We conclude that modelling natural pest control across agroecosystems should exploit existing mechanistic techniques towards a framework of contextually bound generalizations. Observed similarities in causal relationships can inform the functional grouping of diverse agroecosystems worldwide and the development of the respective models based on general, but context-sensitive, ecological mechanisms. The combined use of qualitative and quantitative techniques should allow the flexible integration of empirical evidence and ecological theory for robust predictions of natural pest control across a wide range of agroecological contexts and levels of knowledge availability. We highlight challenges and promising directions towards developing such a general modelling framework.

Published
2021

45. Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: modelling Nature Futures

Author

Kim, HyeJin, Peterson, Garry, Cheung, William, Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan, Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura M., Acosta, Lilibeth A., chaplin-kramer, rebecca, Belder, Eefje den, Eddy, Tyler, Johnson, Justin, Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel, Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld, Shin, Yunne-Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, Vuuren, Detlef P. van, Wabnitz, Colette C., Alava, Juan José, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Michael B. J., Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian, Ohashi, Haruka, Palomo, Maria Gabriela, Popp, Alexander, Remme, Roy Paco, Saito, Osamu, Sumaila, Rashid, Willcock, Simon, Pereira, Henrique, Kim, HyeJin, Peterson, Garry, Cheung, William, Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan, Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura M., Acosta, Lilibeth A., chaplin-kramer, rebecca, Belder, Eefje den, Eddy, Tyler, Johnson, Justin, Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel, Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld, Shin, Yunne-Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, Vuuren, Detlef P. van, Wabnitz, Colette C., Alava, Juan José, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Michael B. J., Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian, Ohashi, Haruka, Palomo, Maria Gabriela, Popp, Alexander, Remme, Roy Paco, Saito, Osamu, Sumaila, Rashid, Willcock, Simon, and Pereira, Henrique

Abstract

The expert group on scenarios and models of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services initiated the development of the Nature Futures Framework for developing scenarios of positive futures for nature, to help inform assessments of policy options. This new scenarios and modelling Framework seeks to open up diversity and plurality of perspectives by differentiating three main value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature (intrinsic values of nature), Nature for Society (instrumental values) and Nature as Culture (relational values). This paper describes how the Nature Futures Framework can be applied in modelling to support policy processes by identifying key interventions for change in realizing a diversity of desirable futures. First, the paper introduces and elaborates on key building blocks of the framework for developing qualitative scenarios and translating them into quantitative scenarios: i) multiple value perspectives on nature and the Nature Futures frontier representing diverse preferences, ii) incorporating mutual and key feedbacks of social-ecological systems in Nature Futures scenarios, and iii) indicators describing the evolution of social-ecological systems with complementary knowledge and data. This paper then presents three possible application approaches to modelling Nature Futures scenarios to support the i) review, ii) implementation and iii) design phases of policy processes. The main objective of this paper is to facilitate the integration of the relational values of nature in models, through improved indicators and other forms of evidence, and to strengthen modelled linkages across biodiversity, ecosystems, nature’s contributions to people, and quality of life to identify science- and knowledge-based interventions and to enhance ecological understanding for achieving sustainable futures. The paper aims at stimulating the development of new scenarios and models based on this new framework by a wide c

Published
2021

46. Towards a better future for biodiversity and people: modelling Nature Futures

Author

Environmental Governance, Environmental Sciences, Kim, HyeJin, Peterson, Garry, Cheung, William, Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan, Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura M., Acosta, Lilibeth A., chaplin-kramer, rebecca, Belder, Eefje den, Eddy, Tyler, Johnson, Justin, Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel, Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld, Shin, Yunne-Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, Vuuren, Detlef P. van, Wabnitz, Colette C., Alava, Juan José, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Michael B. J., Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian, Ohashi, Haruka, Palomo, Maria Gabriela, Popp, Alexander, Remme, Roy Paco, Saito, Osamu, Sumaila, Rashid, Willcock, Simon, Pereira, Henrique, Environmental Governance, Environmental Sciences, Kim, HyeJin, Peterson, Garry, Cheung, William, Ferrier, Simon, Alkemade, Rob, Arneth, Almut, Kuiper, Jan, Okayasu, Sana, Pereira, Laura M., Acosta, Lilibeth A., chaplin-kramer, rebecca, Belder, Eefje den, Eddy, Tyler, Johnson, Justin, Karlsson-Vinkhuysen, Sylvia, Kok, Marcel, Leadley, Paul, Leclère, David, Lundquist, Carolyn J., Rondinini, Carlo, Scholes, Robert J., Schoolenberg, Machteld, Shin, Yunne-Jai, Stehfest, Elke, Stephenson, Fabrice, Visconti, Piero, Vuuren, Detlef P. van, Wabnitz, Colette C., Alava, Juan José, Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon, Gasalla, Maria A., Halouani, Ghassen, Harfoot, Michael B. J., Hashimoto, Shizuka, Hickler, Thomas, Hirsch, Tim, Kolomytsev, Grigory, Miller, Brian, Ohashi, Haruka, Palomo, Maria Gabriela, Popp, Alexander, Remme, Roy Paco, Saito, Osamu, Sumaila, Rashid, Willcock, Simon, and Pereira, Henrique

Published
2021

48. Synthesizing the scientific evidence to inform the development of the post-2020 Global Framework on Biodiversity

Author

Díaz, Sandra, Broadgate, Wendy, Declerck, Fabrice, Dobrota, Susanna, Krug, Cornelia, Moersberg, Hannah, Obura, David, Spehn, Eva, Tewksbury, Joshua, Verburg, Peter, Zafra Calvo, Noelia, Bellon, Mauricio, Cariño, Joji, Castañeda Alvarez, Nora, Chaplin Kramer, Rebecca, De Meester, Luc, Dulloo, Ehsan, Fernández-Palacios, José María, Garibaldi, Lucas Alejandro, Hill, Samantha, Isbell, Forest, Leadley, Paul, Liu, Jianguo, Mace, Georgina M., Maron, Martine, Martín López, Berta, McGowan, Philip, Pereira, Henrique, Purvis, Andy, Reyes García, Victoria, Rocha, Juan, Rondinini, Carlo, Shannon, Lynne, Shaw, Rebecca, Shin, Yunne-Jai, Snelgrove, Paul, Strassburg, Bernardo, Subramanian, Suneetha, Visconti, Piero, Watson, James, Zanne, Amy, Bruford, Michael W., Colli, Licia, Azeredo de Dornelas, Maria, Bascompte, Jordi, Forest, Felix, Hoban, Sean, Jones, Sarah, Jordano, Pedro, Kassen, Rees, Khoury, Colin, Laikre, Linda, Maxted, Nigel, Miloslavich, Patricia, Moreno Mateos, David, Ogden, Rob, Segelbacher, Gernot, Souffreau, Caroline, Svenning, Jens Christian, and Vázquez, Ella

Subjects
Post-pandemia, Biodiversidad y Conservación, Ecología, Covid-19, Informe Técnico
Abstract

Fil: Díaz, Sandra. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba; Argentina. Fil: Broadgate, Wendy. Future Earth; Suecia. Fil: Declerck, Fabrice. Bioversity International; Italia. Fil: Dobrota, Susanna. Future Earth; Suecia. Fil: Krug, Cornelia. bioDISCOVERY; Suecia. Fil: Moersberg, Hannah. Future Earth; Francia. Fil: Obura, David. Coastal Oceans Research and Development – Indian Ocean; Kenya. Fil: Spehn, Eva. Forum Biodiversity; Suiza. Fil: Tewksbury, Joshua. Future Earth; Estados Unidos. Fil: Verburg, Peter. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Países Bajos. Fil: Zafra Calvo, Noelia. Future Earth; Suecia. Fil: Bellon, Mauricio. Comisión Nacional para el Conocimiento y Uso de la Biodiversidad; México. Fil: Burgess, Neil. United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre; Reino Unido. Fil: Cariño, Joji. Forest Peoples Programme; Reino Unido. Fil: Castañeda Alvarez, Nora. Global Crop Diversity Trust; Alemania. Fil: Cavender-Bares, Jeannine. University of Minnesota; Estados Unidos. Fil: Chaplin Kramer, Rebecca. Stanford University; Estados Unidos. Fil: De Meester, Luc. Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Bélgica. Fil: Dulloo, Ehsan. Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research; Francia. Fil: Fernández-Palacios, José María. Universidad de La Laguna; España. Fil: Garibaldi, Lucas A. Universidad Nacional de Río Negro. Instituto de Investigaciones en Recursos Naturales, Agroecología y Desarrollo Rural; Argentina. Fil: Garibaldi, Lucas A. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Instituto de Investigaciones en Recursos Naturales, Agroecología y Desarrollo Rural; Argentina. Fil: Hill, Samantha. United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre; Reino Unido. Fil: Isbell, Forest. University of Minnesota; Estados Unidos. Fil: Leadley, Paul. Université Paris-Saclay; Francia. Fil: Liu, Jianguo. Michigan State University; Estados Unidos. Fil: Mace, Georgina M. University College London; Reino Unido. Fil: Maron, Martine. The University of Queensland; Australia. Fil: Martín-López, Berta. Leuphana University Lüneburg; Alemania. Fil: McGowan, Philip. University of Newcastle; Australia. Fil: Pereira, Henrique. German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research; Alemania. Fil: Purvis, Andy. Imperial College London. Grand Challenges in Ecosystems and the Environment; Reino Unido. Fil: Reyes-García, Victoria. Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona; España. Fil: Rocha, Juan. Future Earth; Suecia. Fil: Rondinini, Carlo. Sapienza-Università di Roma; Italia. Fil: Shannon, Lynne. University of Cape Town; Sudáfrica. Fil: Shaw, Rebecca. World Wildlife Fund; Estados Unidos. Fil: Shin, Yunne Jai. University of Cape Town. Marine Research Institute. Department of Biological Sciences; Sudáfrica. Fil: Snelgrove, Paul. Memorial University of Newfoundland; Canadá. Fil: Strassburg, Bernardo. International Institute for Sustainability; Brasil. Fil: Subramanian, Suneetha.United Nations University; Japón. Fil: Visconti, Piero. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis; Austria. Fil: Watson, James. Wildlife Conservation Society; Estados Unidos. Fil: Zanne, Amy. The George Washington University; Estados Unidos. Fil: Bruford, Michael. Cardiff University; Gales. Fil: Colli, Licia. Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore; Italia. Fil: Azeredo de Dornelas, Maria. University of St Andrews; Escocia. Fil: Bascompte, Jordi. Universität Zürich; Suiza. Fil: Forest, Felix. Royal Botanic Gardens; Reino Unido. Fil: Hoban, Sean. The Morton Arboretum; Estados Unidos. Fil: Jones, Sarah. Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research; Francia. Fil: Jordano, Pedro. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas; España. Fil: Kassen, Rees. University of Ottawa; Canadá. Fil: Khoury, Colin. Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research; Francia. Fil: Laikre, Linda. Stockholms Universitet; Suecia. Fil: Maxted, Nigel. University of Birmingham; Reino Unido. Fil: Miloslavich, Patricia. Universidad Simón Bolívar; Venezuela. Fil: Moreno Mateos, David. Basque Centre for Climate Change; España. Fil: Ogden, Rob. The University of Edinburgh; Reino Unido. Fil: Segelbacher, Gernot. Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg; Alemania. Fil: Souffreau, Caroline. Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Bélgica. Fil: Svenning, Jens Christian. Aarhus University; Dinamarca. Fil: Vázquez, Ella. Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México; México. This report is the result of a meeting which aimed to offer scientific guidance to the development under the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) of the post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework focussing on its contribution to the 2030 Mission and 2050 Vision. We provide a synthesis of the scientific and technical justification, evidence base and feasibility for outcome-oriented goals on nature and its contributions to people, including biodiversity at different levels from genes to biomes. The report is structured to respond to the Zero Draft of the post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework.

Published
2020

49. Reducing ecological complexity using the archetype approach – an application to natural pest control

Author

Alexandridis, Nikolaos, Martin, Emily A., Marion, Glenn, Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca, Dainese, Matteo, Ekroos, Johan, Grab, Heather, Jonsson, Mattias, Karp, Daniel S., Meyer, Carsten, O’Rourke, Megan E., Pontarp, Mikael, Poveda, Katja, Seppelt, Ralf, Smith, Henrik G., and Clough, Yann

Abstract

Complexity and context-dependence in ecological and socioecological phenomena often cause inconsistent or seemingly idiosyncratic responses. This apparent lack of generality presents a challenge to the implementation of ecological principles in environmental management. We mostly rely for prediction on data-hungry correlative models that offer little mechanistic understanding. The alternative of process-based modelling is knowledge-intensive and has limited applicability across systems, due to a trade-off between generality and realism. Here, we present an archetype approach, combining trait-mediated mechanistic understanding into ecological models of intermediate generality, as a way to overcome these limitations. We demonstrate its potential in the case of natural pest control across crop-pest-enemy systems. After reviewing the current modelling approaches and their shortcomings, we show that similar responses of natural pest control in cases that share key characteristics indicate the potential for context-sensitive generalizations. Example archetypes show great promise for improved understanding and prediction. We outline how statistical analysis of available data and rule sets for model development will allow systematic definition of archetypes representing the key processes of all major crop-pest-enemy systems of the world. In this and other applied cases, the use of archetype approaches is a major step forward in facilitating both scientific synthesis and uptake of ecological knowledge in environmental management. Archetype approaches can enhance the application of ecological principles not only to crop pest control, but also to the management of a wide range of natural resources that have been affected by fragmentation of ecological research.

Published
2020
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