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Background Relatively little is known of the use of systematic review and synthesis methods of non-randomised psychiatric epidemiological studies, which play a vital role in aetiological research, planning and policy-making. Aims To evaluate reviews of psychiatric epidemiological studies of functional mental disorders that employed synthesis methods such as systematic review or meta-analysis, or other forms of quantitative review. Method We searched the literature to identify appropriate reviews published during the period 1996 to April 2009. Selected reviews were evaluated using published review guidelines. Results we found 106 reviews in total, of which 38 (36%) did not mention method of data abstraction from primary studies at all. Many failed to mention study quality, publication bias, bias and confounding. In 73 studies that performed a metaanalysis, 58 (79%) tested for heterogeneity and of these, 47 found significant heterogeneity. Studies that detected heterogeneity made some allowance for this. A major obstacle facing reviewers is the wide variation between primary studies in the use of instruments to measure outcomes and in sampling methods used. Conclusions Many deficiencies found in systematic reviews are potentially remediable, although synthesis of primary study findings in a field characterised by so many sources of heterogeneity will remain challenging. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: the numbers with dementia are projected to double between 2001 and 2040, in line with continued increases in life expectancy. Projections have failed to account for the impact of changing risk factors on future numbers with dementia or disability. Objective: to estimate the size of the disabled population over the next 20 years and explore the impact of treatments that delay onset of cognitive impairment and associated disability. Methods: a dynamic macro-simulation projection model was used to calculate the numbers of older people with disability to 2026. Transition rates to disability and death conditional on a range of conditions, calculated from the MRC Cognitive Function and Ageing Study, were applied to the 1992 England and Wales population. Scenarios for trends in dementia incidence, risk factors and treatment: were devised from a systematic review and applied. Findings: population ageing alone resulted in 39% more older people between 2006 and 2026 and 82% more with disability. A combination of reduced incidence of cognitive impairment and disabling consequences alongside improved survival provided the largest reductions in the disabled population (15,000) and the numbers cognitively impaired (302,000) compared with ageing of the population alone. Interpretation: population ageing alone will increase the disabled older population by over 80% and the numbers cognitively impaired by almost 50% over the next 20 years with serious implications for the provision of care. Research priorities should focus on earlier detection of dementia and its risk factors, thereby allowing earlier and more targeted treatment to alleviate its associated disability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: This study aims to establish the extent of educational differences in the disability transitions of incidence, recovery and mortality in people aged 65 years and over, whether these can be explained by differentials in disease burden and their relative contribution to educational differences in prevalence and disability-free life expectancy (DFLE).Methods: A stratified random sample of 13 004 participants in five areas in England and Wales were interviewed in 1991-94 and followed up at 2, 6 (one centre only) and 10 years. Two levels of disability were analysed: mobility difficulty and activities of daily living (ADL) disability. We fitted logistic regression models to model educational differences in disability prevalence, incidence, recovery and mortality transitions. DFLE was calculated to assess the combined effect of the dynamic transitions.Results: Those with < or =9 years education had higher ADL and mobility disability prevalence and higher incidence and lower recovery of mobility disability. Differences in disability incidence remained after adjustment for comorbidity. Women with the lowest education had shorter life expectancies (1.7 years less at the age of 65 years) than the most educated and had even shorter DFLE (1.9 years free of ADL disability and 2.8 years free of mobility difficulty at the age of 65 years).Conclusions: Differentials in education continue to contribute to prevalence of disability at ages beyond 65 years in both men and women and independently of diseases. These appear to be driven predominantly by differentials in disability incidence that also compound to produce greater differentials in DFLE between education groups than in total years lived. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: to identify predictive morbidities for urinary storage syndromes including indicators for neurological, musculoskeletal, cardiovascular, immune, lower bowel and psychological systems. This is the first study to test prior hypotheses, based on a literature review. Design: this was a prospective cohort study involving 12,570 female respondents aged 40 or more registered with general practitioners and living at home in Leicestershire. Postal questionnaires were used at baseline and 1-year follow-up (response rates 65 and 79%, respectively). Measures: pure stress urinary incontinence (SUI) and overactive bladder syndrome (OAB) were defined using standardised symptom indicators. Specific morbidities included reported medical diagnoses, standardised symptoms and general health indicators. Associations were identified using logistic regression, adjusting for age and physical impairment, with separate models for general and specific morbidities. Results: multivariate morbidities consistently associated (i.e. both longitudinally and cross-sectionally) were SUI--cystitis and obesity; and OAB--bowel urgency, osteoporosis, imbalance, ankle swelling, cystitis, poor health and old age. Other independent predictors were SUI--multiple sclerosis and joint pain; and OAB--deep vein thrombosis and diabetes. Consistent univariate indicators supported neurological, musculoskeletal, cardiovascular, immunological and psychological connections with both types of storage disorder plus an association with lower bowel problems for OAB. Conclusions: abnormal urinary storage symptoms were predicted by obesity and poor general health, involving a range of systems of the body. OAB showed more extensive links than SUI with specific morbidities, including more medically diagnosed as opposed to symptom-based conditions. These findings were independent of problems with physical impairment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]