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In Japan, a range of patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) has been recorded in a nationwide database (Japan Neurotrauma Data Bank; JNTDB). This study aimed to externally validate three international prediction models using JNTDB data: Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS), Corticosteroid Randomization After Significant Head Injury (CRASH), and International Mission for Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials in TBI (IMPACT). We also aimed to validate the applicability of these models in the Japanese population. Of 1,091 patients registered in the JNTDB from July 2009 to June 2011, we analyzed data for 635 patients. We examined factors associated with mortality in-hospital and unfavorable outcomes 6 months after TBI by applying the TRISS, CRASH, and IMPACT models. We also conducted an external validation of these models based on these data. The patients’ mean age was 60.1 ±21.1 years, and 342 were alive at the time of discharge (53.9%). Univariate analysis revealed eight major risk factors for mortality in-hospital: age, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Injury Severity Score (ISS), systolic blood pressure, heart rate, mydriasis, acute epidural hematoma (AEDH), and traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage. A similar analysis identified five risk factors for unfavorable outcomes at 6 months: age, GCS, ISS, mydriasis, and AEDH. For mortality in-hospital, the TRISS had a satisfactory area under the curve value (0.75). For unfavorable outcomes at 6 months, the CRASH (basic and computed tomography) and IMPACT (core and core extended) models had satisfactory area under the curve values (0.86, 0.86, 0.81, and 0.85, respectively). The TRISS, CRASH, and IMPACT models were suitable for application to the JNTDB population, indicating these models had high value in Japanese patients with neurotrauma. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Various studies have determined that the Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE) caused mental distress among residents in affected areas. However, previous studies had not considered the prevalence of mental distress before the GEJE, and ignored the impact of an aged society on mental distress. Therefore, we aimed to describe the prevalence of mental distress before the GEJE in Miyagi Prefecture, Japan and elucidate the effect of an aged society on mental distress. We conducted an ecological study, using municipality in Miyagi Prefecture as the study unit. We used the cross-sectional mail survey data conducted in February 2011. We performed a correlation analysis in each of the 39 municipalities in Miyagi Prefecture. The prevalence of serious mental distress was 9.1%. The proportion of the population aged 65 years or older was related to the prevalence of serious mental distress in municipalities with a low proportion of all workers engaged in primary industry and with a high estimated number of inpatients with mental illness. We found that residents in Miyagi Prefecture suffered from poor mental health before the GEJE. Aged society was related to serious mental distress in the areas with advanced industrial structure and more patients with mental illness. We should approach mental health problems in the context of social structure, particularly in an aged society, based on facts about mental distress before the GEJE. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]