Shah P, Voice M, Calvo-Bado L, Rivero-Calle I, Morris S, Nijman R, Broderick C, De T, Eleftheriou I, Galassini R, Khanijau A, Kolberg L, Kolnik M, Rudzate A, Sagmeister MG, Schweintzger NA, Secka F, Thakker C, van der Velden F, Vermont C, Vincek K, Agyeman PKA, Cunnington AJ, De Groot R, Emonts M, Fidler K, Kuijpers TW, Mommert-Tripon M, Brengel-Pesce K, Mallet F, Moll H, Paulus S, Pokorn M, Pollard A, Schlapbach LJ, Shen CF, Tsolia M, Usuf E, van der Flier M, von Both U, Yeung S, Zavadska D, Zenz W, Wright V, Carrol ED, Kaforou M, Martinon-Torres F, Fink C, Levin M, and Herberg J
Background: The PERFORM study aimed to understand causes of febrile childhood illness by comparing molecular pathogen detection with current clinical practice., Methods: Febrile children and controls were recruited on presentation to hospital in 9 European countries 2016-2020. Each child was assigned a standardized diagnostic category based on retrospective review of local clinical and microbiological data. Subsequently, centralised molecular tests (CMTs) for 19 respiratory and 27 blood pathogens were performed., Findings: Of 4611 febrile children, 643 (14%) were classified as definite bacterial infection (DB), 491 (11%) as definite viral infection (DV), and 3477 (75%) had uncertain aetiology. 1061 controls without infection were recruited. CMTs detected blood bacteria more frequently in DB than DV cases for N. meningitidis (OR: 3.37, 95% CI: 1.92-5.99), S. pneumoniae (OR: 3.89, 95% CI: 2.07-7.59), Group A streptococcus (OR 2.73, 95% CI 1.13-6.09) and E. coli (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.02-6.71). Respiratory viruses were more common in febrile children than controls, but only influenza A (OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.11-0.46), influenza B (OR 0.12, 95% CI 0.02-0.37) and RSV (OR 0.16, 95% CI: 0.06-0.36) were less common in DB than DV cases. Of 16 blood viruses, enterovirus (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.23-0.72) and EBV (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.56-0.90) were detected less often in DB than DV cases. Combined local diagnostics and CMTs respectively detected blood viruses and respiratory viruses in 360 (56%) and 161 (25%) of DB cases, and virus detection ruled-out bacterial infection poorly, with predictive values of 0.64 and 0.68 respectively., Interpretation: Most febrile children cannot be conclusively defined as having bacterial or viral infection when molecular tests supplement conventional approaches. Viruses are detected in most patients with bacterial infections, and the clinical value of individual pathogen detection in determining treatment is low. New approaches are needed to help determine which febrile children require antibiotics., Funding: EU Horizon 2020 grant 668303., Competing Interests: AC received research funding from UK-NIHR and EPSRC. He has unpaid roles at ESPID, and the Excellence in Paediatrics Institute. He filed a patent for a new diagnostic method in children. AP received grant funding from Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, Cepi, UK-MRC and NIHR. He received consulting fees from Shionogi. He leads the UK Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation, and was a memeber of WHO-SAGE until 2022. Oxford University has entered into a partnership with AZ for development of COVID19 vaccines. CB received UK-NIHR research funding. FMT received funding from Consorcio Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias, Grupos de Referencia Competitiva, and Instituto de Salud Carlos III. MT has unpaid role at the National Committee on Immunization Practices, and at the Scientific Advisory Group of Experts for COVID-19. TK has unpaid roles at the National Working Party on Immunodeficiencies, and the National Advisory Committee on SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. UVB received funding from TeleKasper—Innovationsfonds, German G-BA, and has received funds for lectures at MSD—Workshop Pädiatrie. The other authors have no conflict of interests., (© 2023 The Authors.)