46 results on '"Mora Aguilera, Gustavo"'
Search Results
2. Epidemiological etiology of Erysiphe sp. and putative viral and phytoplasma-like symptoms in Ayocote bean (Phaseolus coccineus)
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Armenta-Cárdenas, María José, primary, Ávila-Alistac, Norma, additional, Zúñiga-Romano, María del Carmen, additional, Acevedo- Sánchez, Gerardo, additional, Muñoz-Alcalá, Alfonso, additional, Gómez-Mercado, Rene, additional, Coria-Contreras, Juan José, additional, Gutiérrez-Esquivel, Diana, additional, Cruz-Izquierdo, Serafín, additional, García-González, Ivonne, additional, Bibiano-Nava, Oscar, additional, and Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional
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- 2024
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3. Were metabolic and other chronic diseases the driven onset epidemic forces of COVID-19 in Mexico?
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Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, primary, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, Coria-Contreras, Juan J., additional, and Álvarez-Maya, Ikuri, additional
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- 2023
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4. Climate, fruiting and frosty pod rot influence the epidemic intensity of Phytophthora capsici in cacao plantations in Mexico
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Torres-de la Cruz, Magdiel, primary, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, Ortiz-García, Carlos F., additional, Gaspar-Génico, José Á., additional, Pérez-de la Cruz, Manuel, additional, and Acencio-Castillo, Nitzarindany, additional
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- 2022
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5. App-ExploraCítricos, a digital development for integrate pest surveillance in citrus crops
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Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, primary, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional, Flores-Colorado, Oscar Eder, additional, Coria-Contreras, Juan José, additional, Guzmán-Hernández, Eduardo, additional, and Robles-García, Pedro, additional
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- 2022
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6. Epidemiology of Bean common mosaic virus and Alternaria alternata in 12 Phaseolus vulgaris genotypes
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Gonzalez-Cruces, Agustín, primary, Arista-Carmona, Esly, additional, Díaz-Arias, Karen Vianey, additional, Ramírez-Razo, Karina, additional, Hernández-Livera, Adrián, additional, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional, Mendoza-Ramos, Coral, additional, and Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional
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- 2022
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7. Surveillance Web System and Mouthwash-Saliva qPCR for Labor Ambulatory SARS-CoV-2 Detection and Prevention
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Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, primary, Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica, additional, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional, Coria-Contreras, Juan J., additional, Guzmán-Hernández, Eduardo, additional, Flores-Colorado, Oscar E., additional, Mendoza-Ramos, Coral, additional, Hernández-Nava, Gabriel, additional, Álvarez-Maya, Ikuri, additional, Gutiérrez-Espinosa, M. Alejandra, additional, Gómez-Linton, Raael, additional, Robles-Bustamante, Ana Carolina, additional, and Gallardo-Hernández, Alberto, additional
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- 2022
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8. COVID-19 Pandemic: A plant health vision of a multidimensional problem
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Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, primary, Ávila-Alistac, Norma, additional, and Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional
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- 2021
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9. Can food be a risk factor in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2?
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Vargas-Arispuro, Irasema, primary, Martínez-Téllez, Miguel Ángel, additional, Sáenz-Hidalgo, Hilda Karina, additional, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, Orduño-Cruz, Nuvia, additional, and Avila-Quezada, Graciela Dolores, additional
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- 2021
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10. Perspectives of integrated pest management in CDMX urban agriculture and impacts of SARS-CoV-2 health emergency
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Cuevas-Castilleja, Jessica, primary, Martínez-Luz, Armando, additional, López-Arzate, Marcelo Adán, additional, Ramírez-García, Itzel Arlette, additional, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, and Ávila-Alistac, Norma, additional
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- 2021
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11. A retrospective analysis of plant and human epidemics for COVID-19 comprehension
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Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, primary and Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional
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- 2021
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12. Analysis of chronic diseases associated to SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and young people in Mexico
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Álvarez-Maya, Ikuri, primary, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, and Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional
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- 2021
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13. App-ExploraCítricos, a digital development for integrate pest surveillance in citrus crops.
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Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, Flores-Colorado, Oscar Eder, Contreras, Juan José Coria, Guzmán-Hernández, Eduardo, and Robles-García, Pedro
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MULTIUSER computer systems , *WEB databases , *CITRUS , *RISK assessment , *CROPS , *MOBILE apps , *PESTS , *FARM management , *PHYTOSANITATION - Abstract
App-ExploraCítricos v2.0 is an application for measuring epidemiological variables with a spatio-temporal, multi-crop, multispecies-variety, multivariate, multi-pest, multiuser, and multicriteria approach for risk analysis in the citrus production chain. The objective of this work was to develop, and field validate an application for mobile devices with Android® 6.0 or higher, which would allow n-assessments in situ associated with a regional epidemiological process through a flexible design customized to a sanitary objective. The process begins by entering access codes for user authentication. Before an assessment, the user must configure the n-pests and/or n-diseases of interest associated with the citrus crop(s)/species(s), including the common and scientific name, and type of organism (fungus, virus, bacterium, etc.). The settings are stored locally for the further assessment process. Subsequently, n-scales with n-independent, qualitative or quantitative classes are configured to assess occurrence, severity, or infestation per organism. In addition, the presence/absence or vector infestation level can be assessed. Once the assessment criteria have been customized for a regional scenario, sampling begins in n-plantations with individual characterization using 26-epidemiological-productive variables, e.g., agronomic condition, age, crop, cultivar, irrigation type, nutrition, management, etc. The assessment is performed in n-plants per plantation. Per plant, the n-pests and/or n-diseases previously configured are assessed with the respective scales. The user may take up to three georeferenced photographs of pest infestation or symptoms for eventual further sampling for etiological purposes. The assessment(s) is virtually submitted to a web database, exported, or shared via email, Bluetooth, social media, or other device tools. The App was successfully validated on citrus crops of San Luis Potosi, Veracruz, and Chiapas states for CTV, CLas, CiLV, and their respective vectors with a total of 58 plantations and 37700 metadata generated. The App-ExploraCítricos v2.0 is a phytosanitary innovation that may contribute to the integration of large volumes of relevant, standardized, and quality data for risk analysis and management in citrus farming. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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14. Climate, fruiting and frosty pod rot influence the epidemic intensity of Phytophthora capsici in cacao plantations in Mexico.
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Torres-de la Cruz, Magdiel, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, Ortiz-García, Carlos F., Gaspar-Génico, José Á., Pérez-de la Cruz, Manuel, and Acencio-Castillo, Nitzarindany
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PHYTOPHTHORA capsici , *CACAO , *HUMIDITY , *EPIDEMICS , *LOW temperatures , *FRUIT development , *PLANTATIONS , *CACAO beans - Abstract
In Mexico, Theobroma cacao is affected by the black pod rot (BPR) caused by Phytophthora capsici. Currently, an epidemiological study of this disease is lacking. The objective was to determine the influence of climate, fruit set and the incidence of cacao frosty pod rot (Moniliophthora roreri) on the epidemic intensity of BPR in five locations in southeastern Mexico. The temporal structure of BPR epidemics was analyzed and the correlation of absolute change of BPR incidence with temperature, relative humidity (RH), precipitation, and fruiting flows was studied. The possible competition between P. capcisi and M. roreri was also analyzed correlatively. The epidemics had a duration of 15 to 25 weeks restricted to September - February with 6 to 24% final incidence (Yf ). The curves were best fitted to the Gompertz model (r = 0.059 - 0.123, R2 0.97 - 0.99) with an exponential phase in October corresponding with the highest rainfall. BPR was positively associated with RH greater than 90%, precipitation, temperature periods lower than 19.9, and 20 - 26.9 °C, and with fruiting intensity. P. capcisi had less parasitic fitness than M. roreri, which induced earlier epidemics, with greater duration and intensity. The characterization of BPR as a polycyclic epidemic justifies management strategies aimed at reducing the secondary inoculum. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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15. Análisis geoespacial fitosanitario de la Fusariosis de las Musáceas a nivel global, con énfasis en América Pantropical
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Ibarra-Zapata, Enrique, primary, Aguirre-Salado, Carlos Arturo, primary, Escoto-Rodríguez, Martín, primary, Miranda-Aragón, Liliana, primary, Loredo-Ostí, Catarina, primary, Casiano-Domínguez, Marcos, primary, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, primary, Aguirre-Salado, Alejandro Iván, primary, Ramos-Méndez, César, primary, Villegas-Jiménez, Nancy, primary, Urías-Morales, Carlos Ramón, primary, and González-Gómez, Rigoberto, primary
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- 2021
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16. Web-based epidemiological surveillance systems and applications to coffee rust disease
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Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, primary, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional, Guzmán-Hernández, Eduardo, additional, Flores-Colorado, Oscar Eder, additional, Coria-Contreras, Juan José, additional, Mendoza-Ramos, Coral, additional, Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica Inés, additional, López-Buenfil, Abel, additional, González-Gómez, Rigoberto, additional, and Javier-López, Miguel Ángel, additional
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- 2021
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17. Housekeeping genes selection for gene expression on Citrus sinensis infected with CLas or CTV using RT-qPCR
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Triana-Gutiérrez, Rosa Isela, primary, Gutiérrez-Espinosa, María Alejandra, additional, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, Cano-Medrano, Raquel, additional, and Velázquez-Monreal, José Joaquín, additional
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- 2021
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18. Fusarium spp. and inoculum load estimation associated to commercial Agave tequilana offsets at different regional epidemic inductivity levels
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Mendoza-Ramos, Coral, primary, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, Coria-Contreras, Juan José, additional, Santana-Peñaloza, Baldemar, additional, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional, Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica, additional, Gutiérrez-Espinosa, María Alejandra, additional, and Rubio-Cortés, Ramón, additional
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- 2020
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19. The First exploratory spatial distribution analysis of tuberculosis and associated factors in Tonala, Mexico
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Escobar-Gutierrez, Alejandro, primary, Martinez-Guarneros, Armando, additional, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, Vazquez-Chacon, Carlos Arturo, additional, Acevedo-Sanchez, Gerardo, additional, Sandoval-Díaz, Manuel, additional, Villanueva-Arias, Juan Carlos, additional, Ayala-Chavira, Natividad, additional, Vargas-Amado, Maria Elena, additional, and Alvarez-Maya, Ikuri, additional
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- 2020
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20. Morphological and molecular characterization of Fusarium spp. associated to the regional occurrence of wilt and dry bud rot in Agave tequilana
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López-Bautista, Viridiana, primary, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, Gutiérrez-Espinosa, María Alejandra, additional, Mendoza-Ramos, Coral, additional, Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica Inés, additional, Coria-Contreras, Juan José, additional, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional, and Santana-Peñaloza, Baldemar, additional
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- 2019
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21. Identificación y clonación de tres genes endógenos que pueden conferir resistencia a patógenos en cítricos incluyendo CLas y CTV
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Ventura-Medina, Pedro Iván, primary, Gutiérrez-Espinosa, María Alejandra, additional, Febres, Vicente, additional, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, and Robledo-Paz, Alejandrina, additional
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- 2019
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22. Escenario de riesgo de introducción de la influenza tipo A en México estimado mediante geointeligencia
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Ibarra-Zapata, Enrique, primary, Gaytán-Hernández, Darío, additional, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, and González Castañeda, Miguel Ernesto, additional
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- 2019
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23. Fusarium spp. and inoculum load estimation associated to commercial Agave tequilana offsets at different regional epidemic inductivity levels.
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Mendoza-Ramos, Coral, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, José Coria-Contreras, Juan, Santana-Peñaloza, Baldemar, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica, Alejandra Gutiérrez-Espinosa, María, and Rubio-Cortés, Ramón
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AGAVES , *FUSARIUM , *FUNGAL colonies , *EPIDEMICS , *FUSARIUM oxysporum , *PLANTATIONS - Abstract
The research objective was to identify the Fusarium specie(s) associated with commercial offsets of Agave tequilana and to develop a methodology to quantify the inoculum load in offsets from Jalisco mother plantations with differential epidemic inductivity to wilt and dry bud rot syndrome (SMAP). The purpose was to provide criteria for the certification of mother plantations. The samples were collect between March and May in 2018 and 2019, from 21 commercial plantations of 14 municipalities of Los Altos, South, and Valley of Jalisco. The number of diseased plants (PE) and SMAP severity (S) were estimated in 63 and 200 plants/plantation using App-SIVEA for 2018 and 2019 respectively. The CIFUSAG method was developed and applied in 7055 offsets and 46656 fungal colonies obtained from 2364 basal 'piña' wash isolates, internal tissue sections, and offset total maceration. Colony Forming Units (CFU) of Fusarium spp. (Fsp) and total fungi (HT), purification, monosporic, morphological and cultural characterization was made with Komada, water-agar, Sabouraud, SNA, and Sabouraud media, respectively, selecting 557 contrasting isolates. The highest epidemic inductivity in Los Altos was associated to moderate Fusarium Index [(FI) = (ΣFsp) / (ΣHT)] (0.30 and 0.40) and Fsp (20 and 72 CFU) compared to South, which had higher values (0.69, 0.50; 23, 84 CFU, respectively) (Tukey p=0.05). The offset base-size had no influence on FI and Fsp (p=0.183). FI and Fsp of basal 'piña' washing were not correlated with S in mother plants (r2 = 0.036 and 0.13), while PE only was correlated with Fsp (r2 = 0.94). The inoculum load obtained by washing was higher than internal tissue with a total of 17,828 CFU (93%) and FI=0.42. Molecular analysis with the EF-1a gene showed an association of 23 isolates with four phylogenetic complexes: Fusarium oxysporum, F. fujikuroi, F. solani and F. incarnatum-equiseti with identity greater than 98%. Offsets of Agave tequilana constitutes a dispersal factor of at least four species of Fusarium spp. in the range of 3.3±3 y 6.83±4.2 CFU/offset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2021
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24. Epidemiología regional aplicada a la caracterización inductiva y pronóstico de la mancha gris del agave azul (Cercospora agavicola) en Jalisco, México
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Coria-Contreras, Juan José, primary, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, Yañez-Morales, María De Jesús, additional, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, additional, Santana-Peñaloza, Baldemar, additional, Mendoza-Ramos, Coral, additional, Jiménez-González, Laura, additional, Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica Inés, additional, García-Martínez, Dulce Cecilia, additional, and Rubio-Cortés, Ramón, additional
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- 2018
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25. El Brazilian Huanglongbing disease-associated phytoplasma está presente en Citrus spp en Hidalgo, México
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Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica Inés, primary, Hernández-Juárez, Camilo, additional, Hernández-Vázquez, Yuridia, additional, López-Buenfil, José Abel, additional, Blanco-Rodríguez, Edith, additional, Arroyo-Cruz, Edi, additional, and Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional
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- 2018
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26. Caracterización morfológica y molecular de Fusarium spp. asociados a la ocurrencia regional de marchitez y pudrición seca del cogollo en Agave tequilana.
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López-Bautista, Viridiana, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, Gutiérrez-Espinosa, María Alejandra, Mendoza-Ramos, Coral, Inés Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica, José Coria-Contreras, Juan, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, and Santana-Peñaloza, Baldemar
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FUSARIUM oxysporum , *FUSARIUM solani , *SOIL sampling , *FUSARIUM , *AGAVES - Abstract
Wilt and dry bud rot of the agave (Agave tequilana var. azul) are diseases of high economic impact for this crop. The implication of Fusarium spp. in both diseases at a regional context was determined in this research. Root and soil samples were collected from 40 commercial plantations located in 13 counties at Los Altos, Jalisco an important cultivation region of agave azul in Mexico; Inoculum charge, as a Fusarium Index was obtained base on colony units (Fusarium vs total fungi) and its relationship with pH and organic matter were estimated from each sampling plantation. A total of 109 isolates were morphologically characterized as Fusarium spp. of which 25 were selected for molecular identification with ITS and EF-1a. The selection considered symptomatology, macro and microscopic characters and prevalence of colony types observed in vitro in Komada, Sabouraud, SNA and CLA media. The cultural and morphological characters evaluated were mycelial coloration, size, shape and septation of macro and microconidia, and length and number of phialides. Five species were associated with wilt and/or dry bud rot within three phylogenetic complexes: F. oxysporum of the Fusarium oxysporum species complex (FOSC) with 56% (46.2% soil y 66.7% root) regional representation; F. solani, F. falciforme and Fusarium sp. of Fusarium solani complex (FSSC) (40%); and Fusarium sp. of Fusarium fujikuroi complex (FFSC) (4%). MO and pH correlated inversely with Fusarium Index (r2=0.68- 0.70). It is postulated that wilt and dry bud rot of blue agave constitute a syndrome in which several Fusarium species are associated and parasitically specialized. A single isolate per each species complex was found associated specifically to each or both symptoms. Most isolates were associated to wilting with prevalence of F.oxysporum. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
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27. Applied regional epidemiology to inductive characterization and forecasting of blue agave gray-spot (Cercospora agavicola) in Jalisco, Mexico.
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José Coria-Contreras, Juan, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, de Jesús Yáñez-Morales, María, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, Santana-Peñaloza, Baldemar, Mendoza-Ramos, Coral, Jiménez-González, Laura, Inés Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica, Cecilia García-Martínez, Dulce, and Rubio-Cortés, Ramón
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AGAVES , *EPIDEMIOLOGY , *GOODNESS-of-fit tests , *STOCHASTIC models , *TEQUILA , *PLANTATIONS - Abstract
Cercospora agavicola, causal agent of the gray spot of blue agave (Agave tequilana), is a regulated fungus under official control in states under the Denomination of Origin of Tequila (DOT). This work was carried out in Jalisco, Mexico, the main DOT region, to determine the spatial-temporal epidemic inductivity of the fungus and to develop stochastic models to forecast the gray spot in order to support regional preventive programs. Monthly, from October 2016 to December 2017 the severity, incidence and number of diseased plants were evaluated in 41 plots established in commercial agave plantations of 3-4 years of age selected with weighted risk criteria in Los Altos (20), Valleys (11) and South (10). The regional epidemic inductivity of C. agavicola was heterogeneous with a greater risk for at least nine counties of Los Altos. However, low epidemic rates (0.0008-0.006 units week-1), strong restriction spread (1-4 plants), reduced annual increment of incidence (0-32 plants / 0.5 ha) and no spore capture evidenced the low parasitic fitness and reduced fungus epidemic potential. Consequently, limited predictive capacity was found even with the best goodness of fit models (R2 adj 0.51-0.60). The favorable hours (HFav) of January-April, with respect to infection, was consistent among models, so it can be used as preventive algorithm in SIVEA (www.sivea.org.mx). The regional losses were estimated between 237 thousand US dollars and 98.01 MDD. Cercosporin, a toxin associated with Cercospora genus, may be involved in atypical linear temporal progress and should be integrated in future research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2019
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28. Condición de copa, indicador de salud en árboles urbanos del Bosque San Juan de Aragón, Ciudad de México
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Saavedra Romero, Luz de L., Alvarado Rosales, Dionicio, Hernández de la Rosa, Patricia, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, Martínez Trinidad, Tomás, Villa-Castillo, Jaime, Saavedra Romero, Luz de L., Alvarado Rosales, Dionicio, Hernández de la Rosa, Patricia, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, Martínez Trinidad, Tomás, and Villa-Castillo, Jaime
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Green urban areas provide several benefits to society and to the environment. San Juan de Aragon Park, located in the northeast of Mexico City, is one of the few green areas in that urban zone but the health of its trees is not known. In this survey, the crown condition indicator protocol was adapted and applied in 28 circular plots (0.1 ha) established randomly in this park. Normal diameter, total height, species identity, crown condition and tree density were evaluated for all of the trees within these plots. Six crown variables were measured: live crown ratio (Lcr), crown density (Cdn), crown transparency (Ctr), crown dieback (Cdie), crown position (Cpo) and light exposure (Lex). The first four variables were measured in 5% classes, and the latter two by using an ordinal scale. A total of 760 trees, grouped into 10 families, 11 genera and 12 species, were evaluated. The average values for the crown variables were 56.37% for Lcr, 44.38% for Cdn, 4.04% for Cdie and 38.4% for Ctr. Only Lcr reached the standards established in other studies, while Cdn was lower and Ctr and Cdie were both higher., Resumen: Las áreas verdes urbanas aportan diversos servicios a la sociedad y al ambiente. El Bosque San Juan de Aragón, es una de las pocas áreas verdes al noreste de la Ciudad de México y la condición actual de su arbolado en materia de salud no se conoce con precisión. En el presente estudio se implementó y adaptó el protocolo del indicador condición de copa en 28 parcelas circulares de 0.1 ha, establecidas aleatoriamente en el bosque mencionado. A todos los árboles dentro de cada parcela, se les midió el diámetro normal (DN) y altura total (At), se determinó su clasificación taxonómica, condición de copa y densidad de plantación. Para condición de copa, seis variables fueron medidas: proporción de copa viva (Pcv), densidad de copa (Dnc), transparencia de copa (Trc), muerte regresiva (Mrg), posición de copa (Pco) y exposición a la luz (Exl). Las primeras cuatro se midieron en clases de 5% y las dos restantes a través de una escala ordinal. Se evaluaron 760 árboles, agrupados en 10 familias, 11 géneros y 12 especies. Los valores promedio para las variables de copa fueron, 56.37% Pcv, 44.38% Dnc, 4.04% Mrg y 38.4% Trc. Solo la Pcv alcanzó los estándares establecidos de salud arbórea encontrados en otros estudios, mientras que las Dnc fueron bajas y los valores de TrC y Mrg altos.
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- 2016
29. Analysis of Genetic Variation in Brevipalpus yothersi (Acari: Tenuipalpidae) Populations from Four Species of Citrus Host Plants
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Salinas-Vargas, Delfina, primary, Santillán-Galicia, Ma. Teresa, additional, Guzmán-Franco, Ariel W., additional, Hernández-López, Antonio, additional, Ortega-Arenas, Laura D., additional, and Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional
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- 2016
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30. Inducción de deficiencias nutrimentales en nopal verdura Opuntia ficus indica (L.)
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Fernández Pavía, Yolanda Leticia, García Cué, José Luis, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, López Jiménez, Alfredo, Fernández Pavía, Yolanda Leticia, García Cué, José Luis, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, and López Jiménez, Alfredo
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- 2015
31. Áreas de abundancia potencial en México del vector del Huanglongbing, 'Diaphorina citri' (Hemiptera: Liviidae)
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Díaz Padilla, Gabriel, López Arroyo, José Isabel, Sánchez Cohen, Ignacio, Guajardo Panes, Rafael, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, Quijano Carranza, Juan Ángel, Díaz Padilla, Gabriel, López Arroyo, José Isabel, Sánchez Cohen, Ignacio, Guajardo Panes, Rafael, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, and Quijano Carranza, Juan Ángel
- Abstract
La presencia de Huanglongbing y su vector: Diaphorina citri Kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae) en México, aunado a la gran dispersión de la citricultura, dificultan su detección, control y manejo. Con el propósito de generar herramientas que faciliten la aplicación de estrategias para confrontar la problemática asociada al Huanglongbing y su vector, el presente estudio se desarrolló con el objetivo de implementar una metodología práctica y de uso sencillo para clasificar la presencia y abundancia potencial del vector y generar un mapa con la delimitación de las zonas potenciales de riesgo de desarrollo del insecto en el país. Se modelaron tres índices, dos basados en la temperatura (índice de generaciones potenciales, y días con condiciones favorables), y uno en la disponibilidad del hospedero (superficie plantada con cítricos). En el mapa final, cada índice fue ponderado respecto a su máximo, interpolado mediante el método de inverso de la distancia optimizado, y promediado con los demás para obtener el índice de riesgo promedio. Se encontró que los municipios con mayor índice de días con condiciones favorables fueron: Tuzantán, Chiapas, y Atoyac de Álvarez, Guerrero. Referente al índice de generaciones potenciales, los municipios de Rosario, Sonora, y Pichucalco, Chiapas, resultaron con 34 y 28 generaciones potenciales anuales, respectivamente. El máximo riesgo, índice de riesgo promedio, se encontró en los municipios de Álamo Temapache, Martínez de la Torre, y Papantla, Veracruz, y Atoyac de Álvarez, Guerrero. El método propuesto es práctico, económico y sin cálculos complicados; para mejorarlo, sería necesario incorporar información de humedad relativa, precipitación, fenología y especie de cítricos. Su utilidad radica en que auxilia en la toma de decisiones relacionadas con acciones de detección, monitoreo, muestreo y control del vector., The presence of the citrus greening disease (HLB) and its vector: Diaphorina citri Kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae) in Mexico, coupled with the large spread of the citrus industry, impede the detection, control and management. In order to generate tools that facilitate the implementation of strategies to confront the problems associated with HLB and its vector, this study was developed with the goal of implementing a practical and easy way to use a methodology for classifying the presence and potential of vector abundance and generate a map, showing the delineation of potential risk areas within the country. Three indices were modeled, two temperature-based (index of potential generations, IGP, and days with favorable conditions, IDCF), and another one on the availability of the host (citrus plantings, ISPC). On the final map, each index was weighted with respect to its maximum, interpolated using the inverse distance optimized method and averaged with others for the Egalitarian Risk Index (IRPM). We found that, the municipalities with the highest IDCF were Tuzantán, Chiapas, and Atoyac de Álvarez,Guerrero. Concerning IGP, the municipalities of Rosario, Sonora, and Pichucalco, Chiapas, presented 34 and 28 potential generations per year respectively. The maximum risk, IRPM, was found in the municipalities of Alamo Temapache, Martínez de la Torre, and Papantla, Veracruz, and Atoyac de Álvarez, Guerrero. The proposed method is practical, cheap and without complicated calculations; for improving it, it would be necessary to incorporate information regarding relative humidity, rainfall, phenology and species of citrus. Its usefulness lies by helping for decision making about actions for detection, monitoring, sampling and vector control.
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- 2014
32. Evaluación de insecticidas sintéticos sobre adultos de Metamasius spinolae (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) procedentes de Tlalnepantla, Morelos
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Cerón González, Claudia, Rodríguez Leyva, Esteban, Lomeli Flores, J. Refugio, Hernández Olmos, Claudia E., Peña Martínez, Rebeca, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, Cerón González, Claudia, Rodríguez Leyva, Esteban, Lomeli Flores, J. Refugio, Hernández Olmos, Claudia E., Peña Martínez, Rebeca, and Mora Aguilera, Gustavo
- Abstract
The cactus weevil, Metamasius spinolae (Gyllenhal), is one of the most important pests in prickly pear (Opuntia ficus-indica (L.) Miller) in Mexico and especially in Tlalnepantla, Morelos, the second most important region in the production of this crop, with about 2 500 ha. Both adults and larvae cause damage to this crop; larvae make galleries in mature pads and adults damage young pads of the cactus. Although there are no authorized pesticides for its control in Mexico, this fact does not stop farmers from using synthetic insecticides without knowing their effectiveness. For this reason, this study evaluated the effectiveness of eight pesticides in two chemical groups, organophosphates and pyrethroids, on adults of this insect. The laboratory and field tests conducted in 2007 showed that malathion caused a mortality similar to other more toxic products in the same group (Methyl Parathion and Methidathion). On the other hand, only a pyrethroid insecticide (Permethrin) provided a mortality rate close to 86%, in comparison to the remaining three (Cypermethrin, Deltamethrin and Fenvalerate) which caused a mortality of under 20% mortality. There was a differential response of the sex of the insect to insecticides, in which females were less susceptible than males to some products, such as Diazinon, Permethrin and Cypermethrin. This is the first formal report of the evaluation of synthetic insecticides in this insect and we discuss some issues related to management, El picudo del nopal, Metamasius spinolae (Gyllenhal), es una de las plaga más importantes en nopal verdura (Opuntia ficus-indica (L.) Miller) en México y en especial en Tlalnepantla, Morelos, la segunda región de importancia en la producción de este cultivo con alrededor de 2 500 ha. Tanto adultos como larvas causan daño al cultivo, la larva realiza galerías en las pencas maduras y el adulto daña los márgenes de los nopalitos. A pesar de que no existen plaguicidas autorizados en México para su control, este hecho no limita a los productores para el uso de productos químicos sin conocer su efectividad. Por esta razón, en este trabajo se evaluó la efectividad de ocho insecticidas pertenecientes a dos grupos, organofosforados y piretroides, sobre adultos de este curculiónido. Las pruebas de laboratorio y campo realizadas durante 2007 mostraron que el Malatión causó una mortalidad similar a otros productos del mismo grupo que son más tóxicos (Paratión Metílico y Metidatión). Por otro lado, sólo un insecticida piretroide (Permetrina), proporcionó una mortalidad cercana a 86%, en comparación con los tres restantes (Cipermetrina, Deltametrina y Fenvalerato) que lograron mortalidades menores a 20%. Existió una respuesta diferencial del sexo del insecto a los insecticidas, las hembras mostraron menor susceptibilidad que los machos a algunos productos, tales como Diazinón, Permetrina y Cipermetrina. Este es el primer reporte formal de la evaluación de productos químicos en este insecto y se discuten algunos problemas relacionados con su manejo.
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- 2012
33. Análisis espacio-temporal de aislamientos del 'citrus tristeza virus' de Yucatán y Tamaulipas
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Rivas Valencia, Patricia, Loeza Kuk, Emiliano, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, Ruiz García, Noé, Ochoa Martínez, Daniel L., Gutiérrez Espinosa, María Alejandra, Febres, Vicente, Rivas Valencia, Patricia, Loeza Kuk, Emiliano, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, Ruiz García, Noé, Ochoa Martínez, Daniel L., Gutiérrez Espinosa, María Alejandra, and Febres, Vicente
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Citric (Citrus sinensis L.) commercial vegetable gardens were studied, located in the main producing regions of Yucatán from 2003 to 2006 and in Tamaulipas in 2004. In Yucatán it was carried out a space-time study of dispersion of citric tristeza, caused by Citrus tristeza virus, in presence of Toxoptera citricida Kirkaldy. The initial incidence (X0) was of 4.41% and the final (Xf) was of 39.33%. The aggregation indexes of Morisita and Lloyd dependent of the optimum size of quadrant showed an added pattern with values between 1.41 and 2.39. Also, isolations of Citrus tristeza virus were molecularly characterized to examine the diversity of current virus. Virus isolations were analyzed with singlestrand conformation polymorphism, being observed up to two haplotypes by isolation and three types of patterns in Yucatán. In Tamaulipas, with the molecular characterization, three haplotypes were identified by isolation and seven patterns. The similarity coefficient calculated for these two populations of isolations was of 0.7, being assumed a common origin for both populations. The analysis of molecular variance indicated bigger variability inside the populations (69%) and between them (31%), proving that both citric regions share variants characterized as ofmoderate type, which can justify the absence of symptoms attributable to tristeza. The analyses carried out to identify dispersion pattern of the isolations in field didn't evidence the dispersion between trees and rows., Se estudiaron huertas comerciales de cítricos (Citrus sinensis L.), ubicadas en las principales regiones productoras de Yucatán de 2003 a 2006 y en Tamaulipas en 2004. En Yucatán se realizó un estudio espacio-temporal de la dispersión de la tristeza de los cítricos, ocasionada por el Citrus tristeza virus, en presencia de Toxoptera citricida Kirkaldy. La incidencia inicial (X0) fue de 4.41% y la final (Xf) de 39.33%. Los índices de agregación de Morisita y Lloyd dependientes del tamaño óptimo de cuadrante, mostraron un patrón agregado con valores entre 1.41 y 2.39. Además, se caracterizaron molecularmente aislamientos del Citrus tristeza virus, para examinar la diversidad del virus presente. Se analizaron aislamientos del virus con single-strand conformation polymorphism, observándose hasta dos haplotipos por aislamiento y tres tipos de patrones en Yucatán. En Tamaulipas, con la caracterización molecular, se identificaron tres haplotipos por aislamiento y siete patrones. El coeficiente de similaridad calculado para estas dos poblaciones de aislamientos fue de 0.7, asumiéndose un origen común de ambas poblaciones. El análisis de varianza molecular, indicó mayor variabilidad dentro de las poblaciones (69%) y entre ellas (31%), comprobando que ambas regiones citrícolas, comparten variantes caracterizadas como de tipo moderado, mismo que puede justificar la ausencia de sintomatología atribuible a tristeza. Los análisis realizados para identificar el patrón de dispersión de los aislamientos en campo no evidenciaron la dispersión entre árboles e hileras.
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- 2010
34. Pérdidas en Producción inducidas por Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus en Limón Persa, en Yucatán México.
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Flores-Sánchez, Jorge Luis, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, Loeza-Kuk, Emiliano, López-Arroyo, J. Isabel, Domínguez-Monge, Santiago, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, and Robles-García, Pedro
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PHYTOPATHOGENIC microorganisms , *CANDIDATUS liberibacter asiaticus , *PERSIAN lime , *CROP yields , *POLYMERASE chain reaction - Abstract
The aim of this study was to estimate yield losses induced by the agent associated with Huanglongbing, Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus (CLas) in Persian lime (Citrus latifolia Tanaka) in Mexico, by evaluating morphological and organoleptic fruit variables. A four-year old Persian lime orchard in the state of Yucatán, Mexico, was selected; the trees were under same disease management and infection; this feature was verified by qPCR. The study was conducted under four severity levels (0=healthy, 1=25, 2=50, 3=75, 4=100, percentage of canopy with HLB symptoms). Eight morphological and organoleptic variables were evaluated in a restricted random block design with healthy and CLas infected trees. The values of weight, size, skin thickness, juice volume (JV) and pH were statistically higher in fruits from healthy trees as well as in asymptomatic branches of positive trees, in comparison with symptomatic branches (Tukey, P=0.05). CLas induced reduction on weight (17.3%) and JV (18.6%), with more damage in trees showing 100% of canopy with HLB symptoms; the regression models were: Yweight = 217.2-4.2x+0.03x², R²= 0.86; Yvolume = 645.4-11.7x+0.09x², R²= 0.82. The weight reduction implicate a 2.4 tons/ha yield loss. The detrimental effect was associated with severity level and CLas concentration, we found that the intensity of the symptoms of HLB is a function of the bacterial concentration in the model Y[bacteria] = 1.174+0.8x-0.0067x², R² = 0.91. This is the first quantitative study of CLas effects on production of Persian lime. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2015
35. 001 Viruses Associated to Alstroemeria Varieties and Epidemiology of Tomato Spotted Wilt in cv. `Rosario'
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Gutierrez-Estrada, Arcenio, primary, Zavaleta-Mejl̀a, Emma, additional, and Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional
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- 2000
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36. 080 Genetic Transformation of Grapefruit (Citrus paradisi) and Sweet Orange (C. sinensis) With the Coat Protein Gene of CTV
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Palacios-Torres, Elvia C., primary, Gutièrrez-Espinosa, M. Alejandra, additional, Moore, Gloria A., additional, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional, Ochoa-Martínez, Daniel L., additional, and Villegas-Monter, Angel, additional
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- 2000
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37. 003 Viruses Associated to Alstroemeria Varieties and Epidemiology of Tomato Spotted Wilt in the Cultivar Rosario
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Gutièrrez-Estrada, Arcenio, primary, Zavaleta-Mejl̀a, Emma, additional, and Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, additional
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- 2000
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38. Aerial and terrestrial digital images for quantification of powdery mildew severity in Ayocote bean (Phaseolus coccineus).
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Muñoz-Alcalá, Alfonso, Acevedo-Sánchez, Gerardo, Gutiérrez-Esquivel, Diana, Bibiano-Nava, Oscar, García-González, Ivonne, Ávila-Alistac, Norma, Armenta-Cárdenas, María José, Zúñiga-Romano, María del Carmen, Gómez-Mercado, Rene, Coria-Contreras, Juan José, Cruz-Izquierdo, Serafín, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, and Márquez-Diego, José Jesús
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POWDERY mildew diseases , *IMAGE segmentation , *HIERARCHICAL clustering (Cluster analysis) , *STATISTICAL accuracy , *CLUSTER analysis (Statistics) , *COHEN'S kappa coefficient (Statistics) - Abstract
Objective/Background: Epidemiological research on Phaseolus coccineus is lacking. The aim was to develop and validate digital methods to quantify the severity associated with powdery mildew in ayocote bean. Materials and Methods: An ayocote bean plot with 65.3 % incidence and 22.7 % average powdery mildew foliar severity was selected. Based on 250 leaves collected in field with varying severity degrees, eight 7- and 8-class logarithmicdiagrammatic scales (ELD) were designed and validated in a controlled environment (CEV) and field (FV). In Rstudio®, accuracy (ß), precision (R2), reproducibility (r), and agreement level were determined with Cohen's kappa index (kw) and Lin's concordance coefficient (LCC). Additionally, a Hierarchical Cluster Analysis (HCA) was performed by scale and assessment environment for clustering by similarity evaluation. In ArcMap® v10.3, in a 15-quadrant block, an 'image segmentation' analysis was performed using supervised classification and maximum likelihood to estimate powdery mildew severity and an indicator of canopy coverage index (VCI). Results: In VEC-1, v1r2 (ELD-7c; ß=1.07, R2=0.93, r=0.87) and v1r1 (ELD-8c; ß=0.97, R2=0.85, r=0.87) scales were best evaluated. In VEC-2, comparing clusters conformed in the HCA, the ELD-7c was the best scored with perfect accuracy (ß>0.96), very high precision (R2>0.94), very high reproducibility (r=0.97-0.99) and very high agreement (kw>0.96; LCC>0.97); and in ELD-8c reproducibility and agreement decreased. In VCa, ELD-7c maintained optimal metrics, but ELD- 8c reached ideal parameters for preventive ELD in early stages of powdery mildew (ß>0.98, R2>0.98, r=0.99, kw=0.99-0.999, LCC=0.98-0.999). Image analysis estimated severity = 8.4 % (CI = 5.3 - 12.6 %) and ICV = 0.88 (CI = 0.76 - 0.99), contrasting with field assessment 47 % (CI = 38.8 - 55.3 %) and 0.46 (CI = 0.76 - 0.99), respectively, mainly with ICV > 0.94 due to less symptomatic leaf exposure. Suggests applicability for canopy estimation with restrictions for severity based on pathogen expression. Conclusion: A methodology for ELD development is proposed, comprising: image acquisition, processing and quantification; controlled validation and field validation. Validation statistics included precision (R2); accuracy (ß); reproducibility (Pearson's coefficient and Hierarchical Cluster Analysis); and agreement (Lin's Coefficient and Kappa Index), proposed in a comprehensive approach for first time. RGB-drone images are proposed to estimate a comprehensive vigor and severity coverage index. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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39. First exploratory spatial distribution analysis of tuberculosis and associated factors in Tonala, Mexico.
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Escobar-Gutierrez, Alejandro, Martinez-Guarneros, Armando, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, Arturo Vazquez-Chacon, Carlos, Acevedo-Sanchez, Gerardo, Sandoval-Díaz, Manuel, Carlos Villanueva-Arias, Juan, Ayala-Chavira, Natividad, Vargas-Amado, Maria Elena, and Alvarez-Maya, Ikuri
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GEOGRAPHIC spatial analysis , *TUBERCULOSIS , *INTESTINAL diseases , *DATABASES , *LYMPH nodes - Abstract
Introduction: The US-Mexico region is at high risk of elevated tuberculosis (TB) incidence due to mobility and migration. Knowledge of how socio-demographic factors varies geographically, provides clues to understanding the determinants of tuberculosis and may provide guidance for regional prevention and control strategies to improve public health in Mexico. The aim of the present study was to describe the epidemiologic characteristics and spatial patterns of the incidence of tuberculosis in Tonala, Jalisco (Mexico) from 2013-2015. Methodology: The Surveillance System Database from the Health Department, complemented by information from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography, was used to obtain data for a spatial-temporal analysis of TB cases. For the geographical analysis map creation and geoinformation storing, ArcGIS software was used. Results: This study sought to characterize problem areas and jurisdictional locations of TB via a spatial approach based on analyses of case distributions and individual patient variables. The study found that tuberculosis cases were dispersed throughout Tonala County and were mainly concentrated on the Guadalajara city border. The TB cases were mainly individuals between 31 and 45 years old. Most of the cases reported during the observation period were male patients, and most cases primarily had lung involvement; however, there were quite a few cases with lymph node and intestinal disease. Conclusion: Our findings show that TB cases are essentially located in areas close to the city of Guadalajara and that most TB cases were pulmonary cases spread throughout the whole jurisdiction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2020
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40. Identification and cloning of three endogenous genes that may confer resistance to pathogens in citrus including CLas and CTV.
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Ventura-Medina, Pedro Iván, Gutiérrez-Espinosa, María Alejandra, Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo, and Robledo-Paz, Alejandrina
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CANDIDATUS liberibacter asiaticus , *CITRUS tristeza virus , *AGROBACTERIUM tumefaciens , *CITRUS , *CITRUS greening disease , *MOLECULAR cloning , *AGROBACTERIUM , *PLANT genes - Abstract
Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus (CLas), causal agent of Huanglongbing disease (HLB), and the Citrus tristeza virus (CTV) constitute a serious threat to Mexican citriculture because its endemic status in limes in several regions of the Pacific coast and also for the recent detection of severe strains, respectively. The identification and cloning of some genes related to the Systemic Acquired Resistance (SAR) of the plant could help to confront the diseases as an integrated management strategy. This work had the objective of cloning specific genes inherent to the plant as a first step to obtain transgenic citrus plants putatively resistant to CLas. The genes were selected based on the response of citrus plants to a wide range of pathogens, they were; a regulating gene for salicylic acid signaling (SA) as the inducer gen Azelaic Acid Induced 1 (AZI-1), a Citrus Non- Race-Specific Disease Resistance 1 (CsNDR-1) and a pathogenesis related protein 1 gen (PR-1). These three genes (AZI-1, PR-1 and CsNDR-1) were independently inserted into pUC118-FMVPoly- 2-1, subsequently they were subcloned individually into the vector pCAMBIA 2301 while gene AZI-1 was only cloned into pCAMBIA 2201. The CsNDR-1 construct was cloned into Agrobacterium tumefaciens strains EHA5 and AgL1 while genes AZI-1 and PR-1 could not be inserted into these strains of Agrobacterium. These constructions are the first step to be able to generate transgenic citrus as an alternative to face the HLB. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2019
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41. The Brazilian Huanglongbing disease-associated phytoplasma is present in Citrus spp in Hidalgo state, Mexico.
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Inés Martínez-Bustamante, Verónica, Hernández-Juárez, Camilo, Hernández Vázquez, Yuridia, Abel López-Buenfil, José, Blanco-Rodríguez, Edith, Arroyo-Cruz, Edi, and Mora-Aguilera, Gustavo
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CITRUS greening disease , *PHYTOSANITATION , *CITRUS , *LEAFHOPPERS , *PHYTOPLASMAS , *WEEDS , *SPECIES - Abstract
This work had the purpose of detecting the presence of phytoplasmas associated to HLBlike symptoms, a disease caused by CLas, to improve the sampling and detection carryout in official phytosanitary actions in the Mexican citriculture. Base on alerts of negative results to CLas in citrus trees with putative symptoms of HLB, directed samplings were conducted in commercial orchards and country backyards in Hidalgo, Colima, Puebla and Veracruz in 2012, 2013 and 2018. The total DNA was analyzed by PCR with the primers P1 / P7 nested with R16F2 / R16R2 and D7f2 / D7r2. CLas infection was assessed with A2 / J5 primers. The presence of the Brazilian Huanglongbing disease-associated phytoplasma, member of the 16Sr IX group, associated with C. latifolia (NCBI, MK282760) and C. aurantifolia (NCBI, MK282761) was confirmed inducing similar but contrasting symptoms to those caused by CLas. These hosts are reported for the first time in addition to the original report on C. sinensis in Brazil. Bidens odorata and Cajanus cajan are also reported as probable alternate weed hosts as well as the presence of specimens of Graphocephala and Acinopterus (Cicadellidae), genera recognized with vector species of 16Sr III-A and Aster Yellow phytoplasma groups, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. Colonización de Trichoderma y Bacillus en Plántulas de Agave tequilana Weber, var. Azul y el Efecto Sobre la Fisiología de la Planta y Densidad de Fusarium.
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Tlapal Bolaños, Bertha, González Hernández, Héctor, Zavaleta Mejía, Emma, Sánchez García, Prometeo, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, Nava Díaz, Cristian, Del Real Laborde, José Ignacio, and Rubio Cortes, Ramón
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TEQUILA agave , *FUSARIUM , *THIELAVIOPSIS , *TRICHODERMA harzianum , *BACILLUS (Bacteria) - Abstract
One of the most important phytosanitary problems in two-year plantations of Agave tequilana var. Azul. is agave wilt, that is caused by several organisms, among those pathogens are reported several species of Fusarium and Thielaviopsis pradoxa. The main goal of this research was to introduce beneficial organisms in micropropagation plants as control measure. Inoculated treatments were T1 Trichoderma harzianum (Th), T2 T. virens (Tv), T3 T. aureoviride (Ta), T4 Bacillus subtilis (Bs), T5 Tv + B, Ta + B T6, T7 absolute control (Tabs) and T8 regional control (Treg). Treatments were established in a randomized block design with two replications, the experimental unit (EU) consisted of 122 plants; the minimum sample size was 26 plants. Evaluated variables were colony forming units (CFU) of Trichoderma, Fusarium spp. and Bacillus from roots and substrate and plant height, chlorophyll from plants. Variables were evaluated every 30 days from October 2008 to May 2009. Area under curve (AUC) was calculated for each variable. Our results show that microorganism in the treatments T1, T3, T4 and T6 colonized agave roots and maintain high levels, creating a balance to Fusarium spp. in soil and roots. Under this conditions Fusarium density ranged from 2 to 2.5 log (CFU/mL-1). Analysis of variance did not detect any significant difference among treatments. However, Fusarium spp. density on soil (AUC) was higher in treatments T8 Treg (120) and T7 Tabs (75.75) compared with the rest of treatments (50 or less). Fusarium density on roots was higher on treatments T6 Ta + B (375) and T7 Treg (262.5) compared to T3 Ta (105), T5 Tv + B (187.5), and T1 T4 Th B (210). No significant differences were found on chlorophylls and plant heights. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
43. Definición espacio temporal de unidades regionales de producción citrícola para el manejo del huanglongbing y diaphorina citro kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae) en Colima
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Raciel Hernandez Hernandez, Granados Ramírez, Guadalupe Rebeca, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, Aguirre Gómez, Raúl, León García, Imelda, Guadalupe Rebeca Granados Ramírez, Gustavo Mora Aguilera, Raul Aguirre Gomez, and Imelda Leon Garcia
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Ciencias Sociales ,4 [cti] - Abstract
Fuente TESIUNAM
- Published
- 2019
44. Estimación de escenarios en el potencial de introducción, establecimiento y dispersión del agente causal de la Influenza Tipo 'A'; como un riesgo a la Salud Publica en México; bajo la perspectiva de la Geointeligencia Sanitaria
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ENRIQUE IBARRA ZAPATA, 792916, Ibarra Zapata, Enrique, Mora Aguilera, Gustavo, González Castañeda, Miguel Ernesto, and Gaytán Hernández, Darío
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3 MEDICINA Y CIENCIAS DE LA SALUD ,Sistemas de Información Geográfica ,Epidemiología ,Influenza A ,Análisis de riesgo ,Salud Pública ,Mapa de riesgo - Abstract
El objetivo de la investigación fue estimar los escenarios de potencial probabilístico de introducción, establecimiento y dispersión del agente causal de la influenza tipo A, en México; tomado como fundamento las perspectivas de la Geointeligencia sanitaria e incorpora la epidemiologia (biología, mecanismos de dispersión, etc.), que favorecen este tipo de virus representado en un contexto espaciotemporal. Se realizó un estudio ecológico, trasversal a través del uso de bases de datos espaciales (BDE) de la variables que potencializan el riesgo de introducción, establecimiento y dispersión del agente causal de la influenza tipo A altamente patógena, e involucro como elemento detonante un total de 1973 detecciones de influenza altamente patógena en el mundo, avalados por laboratorios oficiales de la Organización Mundial de la Salud y la World Organisation for Animal Health. El potencial probabilístico de introducción involucro el concepto de contagio, el no. de eventos espaciales, el análisis de clusters asociados al riego para la salud pública; obteniendo las isócronas de riesgo sanitario y el modelo de similitud climática que permite estimar el escenario de riesgo de introducción, obteniendo que más de la mitad del territorio se encuentra en nivel alto de introducción de virus altamente patógenos con cerca del 70% de la población expuesta en escala nacional. Por su parte, el potencial probabilístico de establecimiento representado en escala regional involucro la combinación lineal ponderada (en la importancia de las variables); la membresía difusa (en los requerimientos óptimos para establecimiento de este tipo de virus) y la estimación de pesos ( a través del método Raitig); lo que permitió caracterizar el riesgo ambiental, natural y antrópico; lo que, evidencia que 18.47% del territorio nacional cuenta con un nivel de riesgo de establecimiento de medio, alto a muy alto; estimación respaldada con una r 2 de 0.84 y un índice de moran 0.787, lo que, refleja un modelado con alta agregación espacial del riesgo de establecimiento. Además, en escala local la estimación del potencial probabilístico de dispersión permite evidenciar las área que representan riesgo de dispersión en las modalidades natural y antrópica de virus altamente patógenos considerando la epidemiologia espacial de este tipo de virus, que mediante la interacción espacial se definen áreas puntuales de riesgo de dispersión en México en diez niveles de riesgo de dispersión de (0.0 a 0.9), resaltando que ante una detección es recomendable fortalecer las acciones de vigilancia epidemiológica en grupos vulnerables niños menores de 2 años y adultos mayores; además poner especial atención a personas que se encuentre habitualmente a sitios próximos a cuerpos de agua y granjas avícolas y aves traspatio. El modelado geoespacial constituye una herramienta para la priorización y planificación de acciones, para dar soporte en la toma de decisiones, debido a que representan epidemiológica, espacial y temporalmente el riesgo a la salud pública ante enfermedades remergente como el agente causal de los virus de influenza tipo A. Con esta metodología es posible identificar o caracterizar el riesgo de enfermedades remergentes definida en tres modalidades: el riesgo de introducción, el riesgo de establecimiento y el riesgo de dispersión conforme a las directrices del Reglamento Sanitario Internacional ante riesgo para la salud poblacional. Es pertinente señalar que este tipo de estudios se puede presentar como un investigación transdiciplinar; debido a que puede aplicarse ante problemas de salud pública, salud animal, salud forestal e incluso sanidad vegetal. Público en general
- Published
- 2018
45. Árvore de decisão aplicada à análise de risco da severidade da ferrugem do cafeeiro na Guatemala
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ESTRADA, Gabriela del Carmen Calderón, MICHEREFF, Sami Jorge, MORA-AGUILERA, Gustavo, RODRÍGUEZ, Francisco Anzueto, DEL PONTE, Emerson Medeiros, GAMA, Marco Aurélio Siqueira da, and LIMA, Nelson Bernardi
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Rust ,Epidemiology ,Algoritmo CHAID ,CHAID algorithm ,FITOPATOLOGIA [FITOSSANIDADE] ,Coffea arabica ,Epidemiologia ,Ferrugem do cafeeiro - Abstract
Submitted by Mario BC (mario@bc.ufrpe.br) on 2016-12-02T13:12:59Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Gabriela del Carmen Calderon Estrada.pdf: 1790318 bytes, checksum: 59a9ef3279b882660365d852f8a0f3a1 (MD5) Made available in DSpace on 2016-12-02T13:12:59Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Gabriela del Carmen Calderon Estrada.pdf: 1790318 bytes, checksum: 59a9ef3279b882660365d852f8a0f3a1 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-12-11 Conselho Nacional de Pesquisa e Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico - CNPq The rust, caused by the fungus Hemileia vastatrix Berk & Br., is the main disease of coffee (Coffea arabica L.) in Latin America. The principal damage caused is defoliation and death of lateral branches, which causes premature fruit losses. Guatemala produces coffee in 270,000 hectares, and near of the 82% is cultivated with susceptible varieties to coffee rust races. Coffee rust epidemic is a complex process based on the relationships between the environment, plant growth, and crop practices. The objective of this study was to develop models for risk analysis based on decision trees in order to understand how cropping patterns determine the progress of the disease in Guatemala to identify and prioritize the important factors. For this work were used 1215 observations, obtained in 35 coffee plots from April 2013 to December 2014. The modeled variable was the leaf severity. Using the CHAID (Chi-Square Automatic Interaction Detection) algorithm were developed two decision trees. The first predicts leaf severity in plots where the producer does not follow the disease, while the second requires rust monitoring 28 days before the date of the severity risk analysis. In the trees, the main predictor was the fungicide spraying per year. The following predictor variables on the tree were related with the tissue availability for new infections, which also stimulates microenvironments with high relative humidity, warm temperatures, and foliar wetness prevalence. Only for non-monitoring tree was included the average rainfall, which suggests that climate relationship with the epidemic, is at microclimate level. The tree for plots with disease monitoring includes in all levels the 28 before severity and replaced management or climate variables getting similar predicted values. The accuracy of the tree for monitored plots was 65.85% with an estimated accuracy by cross validation of 73.34%, and for the monitored plots, the accuracy was 62.53% and 68.54%, respectively. Risk analysis models prove to be tools of support in making management decisions to implement the control of coffee rust and allow list in order of importance, management practices, and climatic factors that influence disease severity in different crop patterns. A ferrugem do cafeeiro, causada pelo fungo Hemileia vastatrix Berk & Br., é a principal doença do cafeeiro (Coffea arabica L.) na América Latina. O principal dano é desfolha e morte de ramos laterais, que provocam perdas prematuras de frutos. A Guatemala produz café em 270.000 hectares, sendo que cerca de 82% é cultivado com variedades suscetíveis às raças de ferrugem. A epidemia da ferrugem é um processo complexo baseado nas relações entre ambiente, crescimento da planta, e práticas de manejo. O objetivo deste estudo foi desenvolver modelos para análise de risco baseados em árvores de decisão, a fim de entender como os padrões de cultivo determinam o progresso da doença na Guatemala para identificae e priorizar os fatores importantes. Para este trabalho foram utilizadas 1215 observações, obtidas de 35 lavouras de abril de 2013 a dezembro de 2014. A variável modelada foi a severidade da folha. Utilizando o algoritmo CHAID (Chi-Quadrado Detecção Automatic Interaction), foram desenvolvidas duas árvores de decisão. A primeira árvore permite prever a severidade na folha nas parcelas em que o produtor não realiza acompanhamento da doença, enquanto a segunda requer o monitoramento da ferrugem 28 dias antes da data da análise de risco da severidade. Nas árvores, o principal preditor foi o número de aplicações de fungicida por ano. As seguintes variáveis preditoras na árvore foram relacionadas com disponibilidade de tecido para novas infecções, que podem favorecem a formação de microambientes com alta umidade relativa, temperaturas amenas e prevalência da molhadura folhar. Apenas para a árvore de não monitoramento foi incluída a variável da precipitação média, o que sugere que a relação do clima é em nível microclimático. A árvore com monitoramento inclui em todos os níveis a severidade aos 28 dias antes e substitui variáveis de manejo ou clima, estimando valores semelhantes. A acurácia da árvore para lavouras não monitoradas foi de 65,85% com uma estimativa de acurácia por validação cruzada de 73,34%. Na árvore para lavouras monitoradas a acurácia foi de 62,53% e 68,54%, respectivamente. Os modelos de análise de risco demonstram ser ferramentas de apoio na tomada de decisões de manejo para implementar o controle da ferrugem do cafeeiro e possibilitam listar, em ordem de importância, as práticas de manejo e fatores climáticos que influenciam na severidade da doença em diferentes padrões do cultivo.
- Published
- 2015
46. [Using geo-intelligence to estimate risk of introduction of influenza type A in MexicoCenário de risco de introdução do vírus da influenza A no México estimado com o uso de inteligência geográfica].
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Ibarra-Zapata E, Gaytán-Hernández D, Mora Aguilera G, and González Castañeda ME
- Abstract
Objective: Estimate the probabilistic potential of introduction of the causative agent of influenza type A in Mexico, using geo-intelligence applied to health., Methods: Ecological study of 1,973 influenza outbreaks with a high degree of pathogenicity, worldwide during the period 2014-2016. Geospatial modeling was developed with geo-intelligence tools such as spatial representation, a relational model, spatial characterization of the inoculum source with the maximum entropy model and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, using multicriteria spatial analysis. This was validated with the Moran index and geographically weighted regression., Results: Isochrones (at an initial distance of 548 km) were estimated for health risks and their exponential growth; at the fourth isochrone, the east and west coasts of the United States of America and a part of Central America were identified as possible areas that favor the introduction of the pathogen. Also, a COR curve = 0.923 was obtained; two risk periods for introduction were identified (September-March and April-August, with north-south and south-north trajectories, respectively) with high positive autocorrelation for geospatial modeling; and in one scenario, more than half of Mexico was found to be at high risk of introduction, with an estimated 78 million people exposed. A positive association was identified between significant risk areas ( p < 0.001)., Conclusion: More than 50% of Mexican territory was found to be at risk of introduction of the causative agent of influenza type A, with approximately 70% of the population exposed., Competing Interests: Conflicto de intereses. Ninguno declarado por los autores.
- Published
- 2019
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