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Advancing the capabilities of earthquake nowcasting, the real-time forecasting of seismic activities remains a crucial and enduring objective aimed at reducing casualties. This multifaceted challenge has recently gained attention within the deep learning domain, facilitated by the availability of extensive, long-term earthquake datasets. Despite significant advancements, existing literature on earthquake nowcasting lacks comprehensive evaluations of pre-trained foundation models and modern deep learning architectures. These architectures, such as transformers or graph neural networks, uniquely focus on different aspects of data, including spatial relationships, temporal patterns, and multi-scale dependencies. This paper addresses the mentioned gap by analyzing different architectures and introducing two innovation approaches called MultiFoundationQuake and GNNCoder. We formulate earthquake nowcasting as a time series forecasting problem for the next 14 days within 0.1-degree spatial bins in Southern California, spanning from 1986 to 2024. Earthquake time series is forecasted as a function of logarithm energy released by quakes. Our comprehensive evaluation employs several key performance metrics, notably Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency and Mean Squared Error, over time in each spatial region. The results demonstrate that our introduced models outperform other custom architectures by effectively capturing temporal-spatial relationships inherent in seismic data. The performance of existing foundation models varies significantly based on the pre-training datasets, emphasizing the need for careful dataset selection. However, we introduce a new general approach termed MultiFoundationPattern that combines a bespoke pattern with foundation model results handled as auxiliary streams. In the earthquake case, the resultant MultiFoundationQuake model achieves the best overall performance., Comment: 22 pages, 8 figures, 2 tables

Micro-mobility transport vehicles such as e-scooters are joining current sidewalk users and affect the safety and comfort of pedestrians as primary sidewalk users. The lack of agreed-upon metrics to quantify people's discomfort hinders shared public space safety research. We introduce perceived Time To Collision (TTC) as a potential metric of user discomfort performing controlled experiments using an e-scooter and a pedestrian moving in a hallway. The results strongly correlate the participant's reported discomfort and the perceived TTC. Therefore, TTC is a potential metric for public space users' discomfort. Since the metric only uses relative velocity and position information, it is a viable candidate for neighboring people's discomfort estimation in advanced driver assistance systems for e-scooters and PMVs. Our ongoing research extends the results to mobile robots., Comment: 6 pages, 7 figures, 1 table, IFAC 2023

Today, electric scooter is a trendy personal mobility vehicle. The rising demand and opportunities attract ride-share services. A common problem of such services is abandoned e-scooters. An autonomous e-scooter capable of moving to the charging station is a solution. This paper focuses on maintaining balance for these riderless e-scooters. The paper presents a nonlinear model for an e-scooter moving with simultaneously varying speed and steering. A PD and a feedback-linearized PD controller stabilize the model. The stability analysis shows that the controllers are ultimately bounded even with parameter uncertainties and measurement inaccuracy. Simulations on a realistic e-scooter with a general demanding path to follow verify the ultimate boundedness of the controllers. In addition, the feedback-linearized PD controller outperforms the PD controller because it has narrower ultimate bounds. Future work focuses on experiments using a self-balancing mechanism installed on an e-scooter., Comment: 7 pages, 4 figures, 1 table, In ACC2024

Market prediction plays a major role in supporting financial decisions. An emerging approach in this domain is to use graphical modeling and analysis to for prediction of next market index fluctuations. One important question in this domain is how to construct an appropriate graphical model of the data that can be effectively used by a semi-supervised GNN to predict index fluctuations. In this paper, we introduce a framework called NETpred that generates a novel heterogeneous graph representing multiple related indices and their stocks by using several stock-stock and stock-index relation measures. It then thoroughly selects a diverse set of representative nodes that cover different parts of the state space and whose price movements are accurately predictable. By assigning initial predicted labels to such a set of nodes, NETpred makes sure that the subsequent GCN model can be successfully trained using a semi-supervised learning process. The resulting model is then used to predict the stock labels which are finally aggregated to infer the labels for all the index nodes in the graph. Our comprehensive set of experiments shows that NETpred improves the performance of the state-of-the-art baselines by 3%-5% in terms of F-score measure on different well-known data sets.

The importance of considering related stocks data for the prediction of stock price movement has been shown in many studies, however, advanced graphical techniques for modeling, embedding and analyzing the behavior of interrelated stocks have not been widely exploited for the prediction of stocks price movements yet. The main challenges in this domain are to find a way for modeling the existing relations among an arbitrary set of stocks and to exploit such a model for improving the prediction performance for those stocks. The most of existing methods in this domain rely on basic graph-analysis techniques, with limited prediction power, and suffer from a lack of generality and flexibility. In this paper, we introduce a novel framework, called GCNET that models the relations among an arbitrary set of stocks as a graph structure called influence network and uses a set of history-based prediction models to infer plausible initial labels for a subset of the stock nodes in the graph. Finally, GCNET uses the Graph Convolutional Network algorithm to analyze this partially labeled graph and predicts the next price direction of movement for each stock in the graph. GCNET is a general prediction framework that can be applied for the prediction of the price fluctuations of interacting stocks based on their historical data. Our experiments and evaluations on a set of stocks from the NASDAQ index demonstrate that GCNET significantly improves the performance of SOTA in terms of accuracy and MCC measures.