131 results on '"Achebak, Hicham"'
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2. Heat Exposure and Cause-Specific Hospital Admissions in Spain: A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Study
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Achebak, Hicham, Rey, Gregoire, Chen, Zhao-yue, Lloyd, Simon J., Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Mendez-Turrubiates, Raul Fernando, and Ballester, Joan
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Urinary tract infections -- Health aspects -- Analysis ,Hospitals -- Admission and discharge ,Humidity -- Health aspects -- Analysis ,Air pollution -- Analysis -- Health aspects ,Environmental issues ,Health ,Analysis ,Health aspects - Abstract
BACKGROUND: More frequent and intense exposure to extreme heat conditions poses a serious threat to public health. However, evidence on the association between heat and specific diagnoses of morbidity is still limited. We aimed to comprehensively assess the short-term association between cause-specific hospital admissions and high temperature, including the added effect of temperature variability and heat waves and the effect modification by humidity and air pollution. METHODS: We used data on cause-specific hospital admissions, weather (i.e., temperature and relative humidity), and air pollution [i.e., fine particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter [less than or equal to]2.5 [micro]m ([PM.sub.2.5]), fine particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter [less than or equal to]10 [micro]m ([PM.sub.10]), N[O.sub.2], and ozone ([O.sub.3])] for 48 provinces in mainland Spain and the Balearic Islands between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2019. The statistical analysis was performed for the summer season (June-September) and consisted of two steps. We first applied quasi-Poisson generalized linear regression models in combination with distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) to estimate province-specific temperature--morbidity associations, which were then pooled through multilevel univariate/multivariate random-effect meta-analysis. RESULTS: High temperature had a generalized impact on cause-specific hospitalizations, while the added effect of temperature variability [i.e., diurnal temperature range (DTR)] and heat waves was limited to a reduced number of diagnoses. The strongest impact of heat was observed for metabolic disorders and obesity [relative risk (RR) = 1.978; 95% empirical confidence interval (eCI): 1.772, 2.208], followed by renal failure (1.777; 95% eCI: 1.629, 1.939), urinary tract infection (1.746; 95% eCI: 1.578, 1.933), sepsis (1.543; 95% eCI: 1.387, 1.718), urolithiasis (1.490; 95% eCI: 1.338, 1.658), and poisoning by drugs and nonmedicinal substances (1.470; 95% eCI: 1.298, 1.665). We also found differences by sex (depending on the diagnosis of hospitalization) and age (very young children and the elderly were more at risk). Humidity played a role in the association of heat with hospitalizations from acute bronchitis and bronchiolitis and diseases of the muscular system and connective tissue, which were higher in dry days. Moreover, heat-related effects were exacerbated on high pollution days for metabolic disorders and obesity ([PM.sub.2.5]) and diabetes ([PM.sub.10], [O.sub.3]). DISCUSSION: Short-term exposure to heat was found to be associated with new diagnoses (e.g., metabolic diseases and obesity, blood diseases, acute bronchitis and bronchiolitis, muscular and connective tissue diseases, poisoning by drugs and nonmedicinal substances, complications of surgical and medical care, and symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions) and previously identified diagnoses of hospital admissions. The characterization of the vulnerability to heat can help improve clinical and public health practices to reduce the health risks posed by a warming planet. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13254, Introduction Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of exposure to extreme heat conditions, which poses a serious threat to public health globally. (1) In some high-income regions such [...]
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- 2024
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3. Mortality burden attributed to anthropogenic warming during Europe’s 2022 record-breaking summer
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Beck, Thessa M., Schumacher, Dominik L., Achebak, Hicham, Vicedo–Cabrera, Ana M., Seneviratne, Sonia I., and Ballester, Joan
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- 2024
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4. National and transboundary contributions to surface ozone concentration across European countries
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Garatachea, Roger, Pay, María Teresa, Achebak, Hicham, Jorba, Oriol, Bowdalo, Dene, Guevara, Marc, Petetin, Herve, Ballester, Joan, and Pérez García-Pando, Carlos
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- 2024
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5. Population exposure to multiple air pollutants and its compound episodes in Europe
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Chen, Zhao-Yue, Petetin, Hervé, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando, Achebak, Hicham, Pérez García-Pando, Carlos, and Ballester, Joan
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- 2024
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6. The reciprocal relation between rising longevity and temperature-related mortality risk in older people, Spain 1980–2018
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LLOYD, Simon J, STRIESSNIG, Erich, ABURTO, José Manuel, ACHEBAK, Hicham, HAJAT, Shakoor, MUTTARAK, Raya, QUIJAL-ZAMORANO, Marcos, VIELMA, Constanza, and BALLESTER, Joan
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- 2024
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7. Association between temperature and occupational injuries in Spain: The role of contextual factors in workers’ adaptation
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Vielma, Constanza, Achebak, Hicham, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Lloyd, Simon J, Chevance, Guillaume, and Ballester, Joan
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- 2024
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8. The 2024 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: unprecedented warming demands unprecedented action
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van Daalen, Kim R, Tonne, Cathryn, Semenza, Jan C, Rocklöv, Joacim, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Beck, Thessa M, Callaghan, Max W, Carvalho, Bruno M, Chambers, Jonathan, Pradas, Marta Cirah, Courtenay, Orin, Dasgupta, Shouro, Eckelman, Matthew J, Farooq, Zia, Fransson, Peter, Gallo, Elisa, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Hatfield, Charles, He, Kehan, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Kouznetsov, Rostislav, Kriit, Hedi Katre, Llabrés-Brustenga, Alba, Lloyd, Simon J, Batista, Martín Lotto, Maia, Carla, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Mi, Zhifu, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan C, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Pantera, Dafni Kalatzi, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Rafaj, Peter, Robinson, Elizabeth J Z, Sánchez-Valdivia, Nacho, Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sherman, Jodi D, Singh, Pratik, Sirotkina, Elena, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Treskova, Marina, Triñanes, Joaquin, Vanuytrecht, Eline, Wagner, Fabian, Walawender, Maria, Warnecke, Laura, Zhang, Ran, Romanello, Marina, Antó, Josep M, Nilsson, Maria, and Lowe, Rachel
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- 2024
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9. Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022
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Ballester, Joan, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando, Pegenaute, Ferran, Herrmann, François R., Robine, Jean Marie, Basagaña, Xavier, Tonne, Cathryn, Antó, Josep M., and Achebak, Hicham
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- 2023
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10. Remeasuring the influence of ageing on heat-related mortality in Spain, 1980 to 2018
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Lloyd, Simon J., Striessnig, Erich, Achebak, Hicham, Hajat, Shakoor, Muttarak, Raya, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Rizzi, Silvia, Vielma, Constanza, and Ballester, Joan
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- 2024
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11. The effect of temporal data aggregation to assess the impact of changing temperatures in Europe: an epidemiological modelling study
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Ballester, Joan, van Daalen, Kim Robin, Chen, Zhao-Yue, Achebak, Hicham, Antó, Josep M., Basagaña, Xavier, Robine, Jean-Marie, Herrmann, François R., Tonne, Cathryn, Semenza, Jan C., and Lowe, Rachel
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- 2024
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12. Drivers of the time-varying heat-cold-mortality association in Spain: A longitudinal observational study
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Achebak, Hicham, Rey, Grégoire, Lloyd, Simon J, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Fernando Méndez-Turrubiates, Raúl, and Ballester, Joan
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- 2023
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13. Author Correction: Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022
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Ballester, Joan, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando, Pegenaute, Ferran, Herrmann, François R., Robine, Jean Marie, Basagaña, Xavier, Tonne, Cathryn, Antó, Josep M., and Achebak, Hicham
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- 2024
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14. Ambient temperature and seasonal variation in inpatient mortality from respiratory diseases: a retrospective observational study
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Achebak, Hicham, Garcia-Aymerich, Judith, Rey, Grégoire, Chen, Zhaoyue, Méndez-Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando, and Ballester, Joan
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- 2023
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15. The 2022 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: towards a climate resilient future
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van Daalen, Kim R, Romanello, Marina, Rocklöv, Joacim, Semenza, Jan C, Tonne, Cathryn, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Callaghan, Max W, Chambers, Jonathan, Dasgupta, Shouro, Drummond, Paul, Farooq, Zia, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Lloyd, Simon J, Lotto Batista, Martin, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan C, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Robinson, Elizabeth J Z, Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Triñanes, Joaquin, Anto, Josep M, Nilsson, Maria, and Lowe, Rachel
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- 2022
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16. Daylight saving time affects European mortality patterns
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Lévy, Laurent, Robine, Jean-Marie, Rey, Grégoire, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Rodó, Xavier, and Herrmann, François R.
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- 2022
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17. Projections of temperature-attributable mortality in Europe: a time series analysis of 147 contiguous regions in 16 countries
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Martínez-Solanas, Èrica, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Achebak, Hicham, Petrova, Desislava, Robine, Jean-Marie, Herrmann, François R, Rodó, Xavier, and Ballester, Joan
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- 2021
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18. Geographic sources of ozone air pollution and mortality burden in Europe
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Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Doctorat en Enginyeria Ambiental, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament d'Enginyeria de Projectes i de la Construcció, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Achebak, Hicham, Garatachea Solé, Roger, Pay, María Teresa, Jorba, Oriol, Guevara Vilardell, Marc, García Pando, Carlos Pérez, Ballester, Joan, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Doctorat en Enginyeria Ambiental, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament d'Enginyeria de Projectes i de la Construcció, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Achebak, Hicham, Garatachea Solé, Roger, Pay, María Teresa, Jorba, Oriol, Guevara Vilardell, Marc, García Pando, Carlos Pérez, and Ballester, Joan
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Ground-level ozone (O3) is a harmful air pollutant formed in the atmosphere by the interaction between sunlight and precursor gases. Exposure to current O3 levels in Europe is a major source of premature mortality from air pollution. However, mitigation actions have been mainly designed and implemented at the national and regional scales, lacking a comprehensive assessment of the geographic sources of O3 pollution and its associated health impacts. Here we quantify both national and imported contributions to O3 and their related mortality burden across 813 contiguous regions in 35 European countries, representing about 530 million people. Imported O3 contributed to 88.3% of all O3-attributable deaths (intercountry range 83–100%). The greatest share of imported O3 had its origins outside the study domain (that is, hemispheric sources), which was responsible for 56.7% of total O3-attributable mortality (range 42.5–87.2%). It was concluded that achieving the air-quality guidelines set out by the World Health Organization and avoiding the health impacts of O3 require not only the implementation of national or coordinated pan-European actions but also global strategies., H.A. and J.B. acknowledge funding from the EU’s Horizon 2020 and Horizon Europe research and innovation programs under grant agreement nos. 865564 (European Research Council Consolidator Grant EARLY-ADAPT, https://early-adapt.eu/), 101069213 (European Research Council Proof-of-Concept HHS-EWS, https://forecaster. health) and 101123382 (European Research Council Proof-of-Concept FORECAST-AIR), as well as support from grant no. CEX2018-000806-S funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 and support from Generalitat de Catalunya through the CERCA Program. H.A. also acknowledges funding from the EU’s Horizon Europe research and innovation program under grant agreement no. 101065876 (MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowship TEMP-MOMO). J.B. also acknowledges funding from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation under grant agreement no. RYC2018-025446-I (program Ramón y Cajal). M.T.P. acknowledges Universitat de Barcelona for a postdoctoral grant in regard to the requalification of teaching staff of the Spanish University System (DOGC, 8448, 2.7.2021). BSC coauthors acknowledge support by Ministerio para la Transición Ecológica y el Reto Demográfico as part of Plan Nacional del Ozono project BOE-A-2021-20183, as well as through the VITALISE project (PID2019- 108086RA-I00, MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033) funded by Agencia Estatal de Investigacion. The BSC coauthors also acknowledge the AXA Research Fund and Red Temática ACTRIS España (CGL2017- 90884-REDT), and H2020 ACTRIS IMP (no. 871115), the Department of Research and Universities of the Government of Catalonia through the Atmospheric Composition Research Group (code 2021 SGR 01550), as well as computer resources of MareNostrum and technical support provided by BSC through the RES (nos. AECT-2022-1-0008 and AECT- 2022-2-0003). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript., Peer Reviewed, Objectius de Desenvolupament Sostenible::11 - Ciutats i Comunitats Sostenibles, Objectius de Desenvolupament Sostenible::3 - Salut i Benestar, Postprint (published version)
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- 2024
19. The 2024 Europe report of the lancet countdown on health and climate change : unprecedented warming demands unprecedented action
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van Daalen, Kim R., Tonne, Cathryn, Semenza, Jan C., Rocklöv, Joacim, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Beck, Thessa M., Callaghan, Max W., Carvalho, Bruno M., Chambers, Jonathan, Pradas, Marta Cirah, Courtenay, Orin, Dasgupta, Shouro, Eckelman, Matthew J., Farooq, Zia, Fransson, Peter, Gallo, Elisa, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Hatfield, Charles, He, Kehan, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Kouznetsov, Rostislav, Kriit, Hedi Katre, Llabrés-Brustenga, Alba, Lloyd, Simon J., Batista, Martín Lotto, Maia, Carla, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Mi, Zhifu, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan C., Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Pantera, Dafni Kalatzi, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Rafaj, Peter, Robinson, Elizabeth J. Z., Sánchez-Valdivia, Nacho, Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sherman, Jodi D., Singh, Pratik, Sirotkina, Elena, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Treskova, Marina, Triñanes, Joaquin, Vanuytrecht, Eline, Wagner, Fabian, Walawender, Maria, Warnecke, Laura, Zhang, Ran, Romanello, Marina, Antò, Josep M., Nilsson, Maria, Lowe, Rachel, van Daalen, Kim R., Tonne, Cathryn, Semenza, Jan C., Rocklöv, Joacim, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Beck, Thessa M., Callaghan, Max W., Carvalho, Bruno M., Chambers, Jonathan, Pradas, Marta Cirah, Courtenay, Orin, Dasgupta, Shouro, Eckelman, Matthew J., Farooq, Zia, Fransson, Peter, Gallo, Elisa, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Hatfield, Charles, He, Kehan, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Kouznetsov, Rostislav, Kriit, Hedi Katre, Llabrés-Brustenga, Alba, Lloyd, Simon J., Batista, Martín Lotto, Maia, Carla, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Mi, Zhifu, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan C., Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Pantera, Dafni Kalatzi, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Rafaj, Peter, Robinson, Elizabeth J. Z., Sánchez-Valdivia, Nacho, Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sherman, Jodi D., Singh, Pratik, Sirotkina, Elena, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Treskova, Marina, Triñanes, Joaquin, Vanuytrecht, Eline, Wagner, Fabian, Walawender, Maria, Warnecke, Laura, Zhang, Ran, Romanello, Marina, Antò, Josep M., Nilsson, Maria, and Lowe, Rachel
- Abstract
Record-breaking temperatures were recorded across the globe in 2023. Without climate action, adverse climate-related health impacts are expected to worsen worldwide, affecting billions of people. Temperatures in Europe are warming at twice the rate of the global average, threatening the health of populations across the continent and leading to unnecessary loss of life. The Lancet Countdown in Europe was established in 2021, to assess the health profile of climate change aiming to stimulate European social and political will to implement rapid health-responsive climate mitigation and adaptation actions. In 2022, the collaboration published its indicator report, tracking progress on health and climate change via 33 indicators and across five domains. This new report tracks 42 indicators highlighting the negative impacts of climate change on human health, the delayed climate action of European countries, and the missed opportunities to protect or improve health with health-responsive climate action. The methods behind indicators presented in the 2022 report have been improved, and nine new indicators have been added, covering leishmaniasis, ticks, food security, health-care emissions, production and consumption-based emissions, clean energy investment, and scientific, political, and media engagement with climate and health. Considering that negative climate-related health impacts and the responsibility for climate change are not equal at the regional and global levels, this report also endeavours to reflect on aspects of inequality and justice by highlighting at-risk groups within Europe and Europe's responsibility for the climate crisis., This online publication has been corrected.Errata: Correction to Lancet Public Health 2024; 9: e495–522. The Lancet Public Health, 2024;9(7): e420. DOI: 10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00129-4
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- 2024
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20. Trends in temperature-related age-specific and sex-specific mortality from cardiovascular diseases in Spain: a national time-series analysis
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Achebak, Hicham, Devolder, Daniel, and Ballester, Joan
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- 2019
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21. The effect of temporal data aggregation to assess the impact of changing temperatures in Europe: an epidemiological modelling study
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Ballester, Joan, primary, van Daalen, Kim Robin, additional, Chen, Zhao-Yue, additional, Achebak, Hicham, additional, Antó, Josep M., additional, Basagaña, Xavier, additional, Robine, Jean-Marie, additional, Herrmann, François R., additional, Tonne, Cathryn, additional, Semenza, Jan C., additional, and Lowe, Rachel, additional
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- 2023
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22. Author Correction: Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022
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Ballester, Joan, primary, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, additional, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando, additional, Pegenaute, Ferran, additional, Herrmann, François R., additional, Robine, Jean Marie, additional, Basagaña, Xavier, additional, Tonne, Cathryn, additional, Antó, Josep M., additional, and Achebak, Hicham, additional
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- 2023
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23. Countrywide analysis of heat- and cold-related mortality trends in the Czech Republic: growing inequalities under recent climate warming
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Janoš, Tomáš, primary, Ballester, Joan, additional, Čupr, Pavel, additional, and Achebak, Hicham, additional
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- 2023
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24. The Direct and Indirect Influences of Interrelated Regional-Level Sociodemographic Factors on Heat-Attributable Mortality in Europe: Insights for Adaptation Strategies
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Lloyd, Simon J., primary, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, additional, Achebak, Hicham, additional, Hajat, Shakoor, additional, Muttarak, Raya, additional, Striessnig, Erich, additional, and Ballester, Joan, additional
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- 2023
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25. Reversal of the seasonality of temperature-attributable mortality from respiratory diseases in Spain
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Achebak, Hicham, Devolder, Daniel, Ingole, Vijendra, and Ballester, Joan
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- 2020
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26. Long-term evaluation of surface air pollution in CAMSRA and MERRA-2 global reanalyses over Europe (2003–2020)
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Lacima, Aleksander, primary, Petetin, Hervé, additional, Soret, Albert, additional, Bowdalo, Dene, additional, Jorba, Oriol, additional, Chen, Zhaoyue, additional, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl F., additional, Achebak, Hicham, additional, Ballester, Joan, additional, and Pérez García-Pando, Carlos, additional
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- 2023
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27. Long-term evaluation of surface air pollution in CAMSRA and MERRA-2 global reanalyses over Europe (2003–2020)
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Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Lacima, Aleksander, Petetin, Hervé, Soret, Albert, Bowdalo, Dene, Jorba Casellas, Oriol, Chen, Zhaoyue, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl F., Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Pérez García-Pando, Carlos, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Lacima, Aleksander, Petetin, Hervé, Soret, Albert, Bowdalo, Dene, Jorba Casellas, Oriol, Chen, Zhaoyue, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl F., Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, and Pérez García-Pando, Carlos
- Abstract
Over the last century, our societies have experienced a sharp increase in urban population and fossil-fuelled transportation, turning air pollution into a critical issue. It is therefore key to accurately characterize the spatiotemporal variability of surface air pollution in order to understand its effects upon the environment, knowledge that can then be used to design effective pollution reduction policies. Global atmospheric composition reanalyses offer great capabilities towards this characterization through assimilation of satellite measurements. However, they generally do not integrate surface measurements and thus remain affected by significant biases at ground level. In this study, we thoroughly evaluate two global atmospheric composition reanalyses, the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMSRA) and the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications v2 (MERRA-2), between 2003 and 2020, against independent surface measurements of O3, NO2, CO, SO2 and particulate matter (PM; both PM10 and PM2.5) over the European continent. Overall, both reanalyses present significant and persistent biases for almost all examined pollutants. CAMSRA clearly outperforms MERRA-2 in capturing the spatiotemporal variability of most pollutants, as shown by generally lower biases (all pollutants except for PM2.5), lower errors (all pollutants) and higher correlations (all pollutants except SO2). CAMSRA also outperforms MERRA-2 in capturing the annual trends found in all pollutants (except for SO2). Overall, CAMSRA tends to perform best for O3 and CO, followed by NO2 and PM10, while poorer results are typically found for SO2 and PM2.5. Higher correlations are generally found in autumn and/or winter for reactive gases. Compared to MERRA-2, CAMSRA assimilates a wider range of satellite products which, while enhancing the performance of the reanalysis in the troposphere (as shown by other studies), has a limited impact on the surface. The biases found in both rea, This research has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC), in the frame of the EARLY-ADAPT project (https://early-adapt.eu/, last access: 15 December 2022), under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant no. 865564), as well as the MITIGATE project (project no. PID2020-113840RA- I00/AEI/10.13039/501100011033) from the Agencia Estatal de Investigación (AEI). We also acknowledge support by the AXA Research Fund., Peer Reviewed, Postprint (published version)
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- 2023
28. Correction: Heat-related mortality trends under recent climate warming in Spain: A 36-year observational study
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Achebak, Hicham, Devolder, Daniel, and Ballester, Joan
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Biological sciences - Abstract
Author(s): Hicham Achebak, Daniel Devolder, Joan Ballester The following information is missing from the Funding statement: DD acknowledges financial support from the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness through [...]
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- 2021
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29. Heat-related mortality in Europe during 2023 and the role of adaptation in protecting health
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Gallo, Elisa, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando, Tonne, Cathryn, Basagaña, Xavier, Achebak, Hicham, and Ballester, Joan
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The year of 2023 was the warmest on record globally and the second warmest in Europe. Here we applied epidemiological models to temperature and mortality records in 823 contiguous regions from 35 countries to estimate sex- and age-specific heat-related mortality in Europe during 2023 and to quantify the mortality burden avoided by societal adaptation to rising temperatures since the year 2000. We estimated 47,690 (95% confidence interval 28,853 to 66,525) heat-related deaths in 2023, the second highest mortality burden during the study period 2015–2023, only surpassed by 2022. We also estimated that the heat-related mortality burden would have been +80.0% higher in absence of present-century adaptation, especially in the elderly (+100.7% in people aged 80+ years). Our results highlight the importance of historical and ongoing adaptations in saving lives during recent summers and the urgency for more effective strategies to further reduce the mortality burden of forthcoming hotter summers.
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- 2024
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30. Code of the 'Indicator 1.1.4: Heat Related Mortality' in 'The 2022 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change'
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Ballester, Joan and Achebak, Hicham
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Code of the "Indicator 1.1.4: Heat Related Mortality" in "The 2022 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change"  
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- 2023
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31. Evolution of temperature-attributable mortality trends looking at social inequalities: An observational case study of urban maladaptation to cold and heat
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Ellena, Marta, primary, Ballester, Joan, additional, Costa, Giuseppe, additional, and Achebak, Hicham, additional
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- 2022
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32. Influences of area-level sociodemographic factors on heat-related mortality in Europe: insights to guide adaptation strategies
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Lloyd, Simon J, primary, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, additional, Achebak, Hicham, additional, Hajat, Shakoor, additional, Muttarak, Raya, additional, Striessnig, Erich, additional, and Ballester, Joan, additional
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- 2022
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33. The 2022 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change : towards a climate resilient future
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van Daalen, Kim R., Romanello, Marina, Rocklöv, Joacim, Semenza, Jan C., Tonne, Cathryn, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Callaghan, Max W., Chambers, Jonathan, Dasgupta, Shouro, Drummond, Paul, Farooq, Zia, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Lloyd, Simon J., Lotto Batista, Martin, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan C., Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Robinson, Elizabeth J. Z., Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Triñanes, Joaquin, Anto, Josep M., Nilsson, Maria, Lowe, Rachel, van Daalen, Kim R., Romanello, Marina, Rocklöv, Joacim, Semenza, Jan C., Tonne, Cathryn, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Callaghan, Max W., Chambers, Jonathan, Dasgupta, Shouro, Drummond, Paul, Farooq, Zia, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Lloyd, Simon J., Lotto Batista, Martin, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan C., Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Robinson, Elizabeth J. Z., Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Triñanes, Joaquin, Anto, Josep M., Nilsson, Maria, and Lowe, Rachel
- Abstract
Correction: The Lancet Public Health, Volume 7, Issue 12, 2022, Page e993, ISSN 2468-2667, DOI:10.1016/S2468-2667(22)00287-0.
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- 2022
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34. Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature in Pune city, India: A time series analysis from 2004 to 2012
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Ingole, Vijendra, primary, Sheridan, Scott C., additional, Juvekar, Sanjay, additional, Achebak, Hicham, additional, and Moraga, Paula, additional
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- 2022
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35. Seasonality reversal of temperature attributable mortality projections due to previously unobserved extreme heat in Europe
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Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Martínez-Solanas, Èrica, Achebak, Hicham, Petrova, Desislava, Robine, Jean-Marie, Herrmann, François R, Rodó, Xavier, and Ballester, Joan
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- 2021
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36. Trade-offs between short-term mortality attributable to NO2 and O3 changes during the COVID-19 lockdown across major Spanish cities
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Achebak, Hicham, primary, Petetin, Hervé, additional, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, additional, Bowdalo, Dene, additional, Pérez García-Pando, Carlos, additional, and Ballester, Joan, additional
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- 2021
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37. Heat-related mortality trends under recent climate warming in Spain: A 36-year observational study
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Achebak, Hicham, Devolder, Daniel, and Ballester, Joan
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Mortality -- Analysis -- Forecasts and trends -- Environmental aspects -- Spain ,Global warming -- Influence -- Health aspects -- Environmental aspects ,Climate change -- Influence -- Health aspects ,Market trend/market analysis ,Biological sciences - Abstract
Background Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions have increased summer temperatures in Spain by nearly one degree Celsius on average between 1980 and 2015. However, little is known about the extent to which the association between heat and human mortality has been modified. We here investigate whether the observed warming has been associated with an upward trend in excess mortality attributable to heat or, on the contrary, a decrease in the vulnerability to heat has contributed to a reduction of the mortality burden. Methods and findings We analysed a dataset from 47 major cities in Spain for the summer months between 1980 and 2015, which included daily temperatures and 554,491 deaths from circulatory and respiratory causes, by sex. We applied standard quasi-Poisson regression models, controlling for seasonality and long-term trends, and estimated the temporal variation in heat-related mortality with time-varying distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNMs). Results pointed to a reduction in the relative risks of cause-specific and cause-sex mortality across the whole range of summer temperatures. These reductions in turn explained the observed downward trends in heat-attributable deaths, with the only exceptions of respiratory diseases for women and both sexes together. The heat-attributable deaths were consistently higher in women than in men for both circulatory and respiratory causes. The main limitation of our study is that we were not able to account for air pollution in the models because of data unavailability. Conclusions Despite the summer warming observed in Spain between 1980 and 2015, the decline in the vulnerability of the population has contributed to a general downward trend in overall heat-attributable mortality. This reduction occurred in parallel with a decline in the vulnerability difference between men and women for circulatory and cardiorespiratory mortality. Despite these advances, the risk of death remained high for respiratory diseases, and particularly in women., Author(s): Hicham Achebak 1,2, Daniel Devolder 1, Joan Ballester 2,* Introduction Anthropogenic climate change represents a major threat for human health and a challenge for public health services [1]. One [...]
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- 2018
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38. Long-term evaluation of surface air pollution in CAMSRA and MERRA-2 global reanalyses over Europe (2003-2020).
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Lacima, Aleks, Petetin, Hervé, Soret, Albert, Bowdalo, Dene, Jorba, Oriol, Zhaoyue Chen, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, and Pérez García-Pando, Carlos
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ENVIRONMENTAL impact analysis ,ATMOSPHERIC composition ,AIR pollution ,EMISSION inventories ,CITY dwellers ,POLLUTANTS - Abstract
Over the last century, our societies have experienced a sharp increase in urban population and fossil-fueled transportation, turning air pollution into one of the most critical issues of our time. It is therefore fundamental to accurately characterize the spatiotemporal variability of surface air pollution, in order to understand its effects upon human health and the environment, knowledge that can then be used to design effective pollution reduction policies. Global atmospheric composition reanalyses offer great capabilities towards this characterization through assimilation of satellite measurements. However, they do not integrate surface measurements and thus remain affected by significant biases at ground-level. In this study, we thoroughly evaluate two global atmospheric composition reanalyses, CAMSRA and MERRA-2, between 2003 and 2020, against independent surface measurements of O
3 , NO2 , CO, SO2 , PM10 and PM2.5 over the European continent. Overall, both reanalyses present significant and persistent biases for almost all examined pollutants. CAMSRA clearly outperforms MERRA-2 in capturing the spatiotemporal variability of O3 , CO, PM10 and PM2.5 surface concentrations. Despite its higher spatial resolution and focus on aerosol representation, MERRA-2 only performs better than CAMSRA for SO2 . CAMSRA also outperforms MERRA-2 in capturing the annual trends found in all pollutants. Both reanalyses show a better performance in summer (JJA), in terms of biases and errors, than in winter (DJF), when pollutant concentrations peak, with the exception of O3 . Higher correlations are not necessarily found in JJA, particularly for reactive gases, which show greater correlation values in autumn (SON) and winter. Compared to MERRA-2, CAMSRA assimilates a wider range of satellite products which, while enhancing the performance of the reanalysis in the troposphere (as shown by other studies), has a limited impact on the surface. The biases found in both reanalyses are likely explained by a combination of factors, including errors in emission inventories and/or sinks, a lack of surface data assimilation and their relatively coarse resolution. Our results highlight the current limitations of reanalyses to represent surface pollution, which limits their applicability for health and environmental impact studies. When applied to reanalysis data, bias-correction methodologies based on surface observations should help constraining the spatiotemporal variability of surface pollution and its associated impacts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2022
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39. Reduction in air pollution and attributable mortality due to COVID-19 lockdown
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Achebak, Hicham, primary, Petetin, Hervé, additional, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, additional, Bowdalo, Dene, additional, García-Pando, Carlos Pérez, additional, and Ballester, Joan, additional
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- 2020
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40. Spatial Variability of Heat-Related Mortality in Barcelona from 1992–2015: A Case Crossover Study Design
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Ingole, Vijendra, primary, Marí-Dell’Olmo, Marc, additional, Deluca, Anna, additional, Quijal, Marcos, additional, Borrell, Carme, additional, Rodríguez-Sanz, Maica, additional, Achebak, Hicham, additional, Lauwaet, Dirk, additional, Gilabert, Joan, additional, Murage, Peninah, additional, Hajat, Shakoor, additional, Basagaña, Xavier, additional, and Ballester, Joan, additional
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- 2020
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41. Evolución y pautas geográficas de la segregación residencial de los marroquíes en España
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Achebak, Hicham, primary, Bayona-i-Carrasco, Jordi, additional, and Domingo i Valls, Andreu, additional
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- 2018
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42. Marroquins a Tarragona i Reus: pautes d'assentament i segregació residencial. Hi ha enclavaments ètnics?
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Achebak, Hicham
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Segregación residencial ,Segregació residencial ,Enclaves étnicos ,Reus ,Enclavaments ètnics ,Residential segregation ,Ethnic enclaves ,Tarragona ,Población marroquí ,Població marroquina ,Moroccan population - Abstract
Els municipis de Tarragona i Reus es perfilen com dos dels principals pols d'assentament de la població marroquina a Catalunya. El present article té com a objectiu principal analitzar l'evolució de les pautes d'assentament i la segregació residencial d'aquesta comunitat en ambdós municipis, i determinar si el mencionat fenomen ha donat lloc a la formació d'enclavaments ètnics, entesos com a espais residencials amb una presència significativa d'una o més poblacions estrangeres. Per a això, s'ha utilitzat la nacionalitat de la població resident a les seccions censals que conformen la divisió administrativa inframunicipal de totes dues ciutats (2004-2013) i s'han aplicat diversos índexs de segregació. Els principals resultats mostren que tant la concentració com la segregació en l'espai s'han intensificat i tan sols una secció censal podria considerar-se enclavament ètnic., Tarragona and Reus are two of the main poles of Moroccan population settlements in Catalonia. The main objective of this research is to analyse the evolution of settlement and residential segregation patterns of this community in both municipalities, and to determine if the mentioned phenomenon has led to the formation of ethnic enclaves, defined as residential areas with a significant representation of one or more foreign populations. For this purpose, we use different measures of residential segregation and population data in all census tracts for the 2004-2013 period. The main results highlight that the concentration and segregation levels have intensified and only one census tract could be considered an ethnic enclave., Los municipios de Tarragona y Reus se perfilan como dos de los principales polos de asentamiento de la población marroquí en Cataluña. El presente artículo tiene como objetivo principal analizar la evolución de las pautas de asentamiento y la segregación residencial de esta comunidad en ambos municipios y determinar si el mencionado fenómeno ha dado lugar a la formación de enclaves étnicos, entendidos como espacios residenciales con una presencia significativa de una o más poblaciones extranjeras. Para ello se ha utilizado la nacionalidad de la población residente en las secciones censales que conforman la división administrativa inframunicipal de las dos ciudades (2004-2013) y se han aplicado varios índices de segregación. Los principales resultados desvelan que tanto la concentración como la segregación en el espacio se han intensificado y tan sólo una sección censal podría considerarse enclave étnico.
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- 2015
43. Agrupació i segregació espacial de la població de nacionalitat marroquina a Tarragona, 2004-2012
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Achebak, Hicham, Alberich González, Joan, Achebak, Hicham, and Alberich González, Joan
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La ciutat de Tarragona es caracteritza per ser un dels principals pols d’assentament de la població de nacionalitat marroquina a Catalunya. Des d’inicis del segle xxi, aquesta població ha protagonitzat un important creixement que la situa a la capçalera del rànquing de nacionalitats estrangeres del municipi. Paral·lelament a l’augment del nombre d’efectius, el col·lectiu ha experimentat canvis substancials en la seva distribució espacial. L’objectiu d’aquest treball és precisament analitzar l’evolució de les pautes d’assentament i els nivells de segregació residencial de la comunitat marroquina a l’interior de l’espai urbà tarragoní corresponents al període temporal 2004-2012 a partir de les dades del Padró Municipal d’habitants., La ciudad de Tarragona se caracteriza por ser uno de los principales polos de asentamiento de la población de nacionalidad marroquí en Cataluña. Desde inicios del siglo xxi, esta población ha protagonizado un importante crecimiento que la sitúa en la cabecera del ranking de nacionalidades extranjeras del municipio. De forma paralela al aumento del nombre de efectivos, el colectivo ha experimentado cambios sustanciales en su distribución espacial. El objetivo de este trabajo es precisamente analizar la evolución de las pautas de asentamiento y los niveles segregación residencial de la comunidad marroquí en el interior del espacio urbano tarraconense correspondientes al período temporal 2004-2012 a partir del los datos del Padrón Municipal de habitantes., La ville de Tarragone est caractérisée par l’existence d’un des principaux pôles d’établissement de la population de nationalité marocaine en Catalogne. Dès le début du xxième siècle, on a pu observer une croissance exponentielle de cette population à Tarragone, ce qui la place aujourd’hui en tête du classement des nationalités étrangères dans cette ville. Parallèlement à la croissance de cet effectif, l’ensemble a connu des changements substantiels dans sa distribution spatiale. Le principal but de cette recherche est précisément d’analyser l’évolution des règles d’établissement ainsi que les niveaux de ségrégation résidentielle de la communauté marocaine dans l’espace urbain de la ville de Tarragone, faits correspondant à la période 2004-2012 a partir des données du Recensement Municipal des habitants., The city of Tarragona is one of the main poles for the settlement of Moroccan nationals in Catalonia. Since the beginning of the 21st century, there has been a significant increase in this population, with Moroccans now making up the largest group in the ranking of foreign nationalities. At the same time, there have been substantial changes in the spatial distribution of this group. The main goal of this research is to analyse the evolution of the settlement patterns and the levels in residential segregation of the Moroccan community in the Tarragona urban area for the 2004-2012 period using data from Municipal Register.
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- 2015
44. Agrupació i segregació espacial de la població de nacionalitat marroquina a Tarragona, 2004-2012
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Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Achebak, Hicham Alberich Gonzalez, Joan, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, and Achebak, Hicham Alberich Gonzalez, Joan
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La ciutat de Tarragona es caracteritza per ser un dels principals pols d'assentament de la població de nacionalitat marroquina a Catalunya. Des d'inicis del segle XXI, aquesta població ha protagonitzat un important creixement que la situa a la capçalera del rànquing de nacionalitats estrangeres del municipi. Paral·lelament a l'augment del nombre d'efectius, el col·lectiu ha experimentat canvis substancials en la seva distribució espacial. L'objectiu d'aquest treball és precisament analitzar l'evolució de les pautes d'assentament i els nivells de segregació residencial de la comunitat marroquina a l'interior de l'espai urbà tarragoní corresponents al període temporal 2004-2012 a partir de les dades del Padró Municipal d'habitants.
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- 2015
45. Agrupació i segregació espacial de la població de nacionalitat marroquina a Tarragona, 2004-2012
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Achebak, Hicham, primary and Alberich González, Joan, additional
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- 2015
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46. The 2022 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: towards a climate resilient future
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van Daalen, Kim R, Romanello, Marina, Rocklöv, Joacim, Semenza, Jan, C., Tonne, Cathryn, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Callaghan, Max W., Chambers, Jonathan, Dasgupta, Shouro, Drummond, Paul, Farooq, Zia, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Lloyd, Simon J., Lotto Batista, Martin, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan C., Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Robinson, Elizabeth, Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Trinanes, Joaquin, Anto, Josep M, Nilsson, Maria, Lowe, Rachel, van Daalen, Kim R, Romanello, Marina, Rocklöv, Joacim, Semenza, Jan, C., Tonne, Cathryn, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Callaghan, Max W., Chambers, Jonathan, Dasgupta, Shouro, Drummond, Paul, Farooq, Zia, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Lloyd, Simon J., Lotto Batista, Martin, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan C., Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Robinson, Elizabeth, Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Trinanes, Joaquin, Anto, Josep M, Nilsson, Maria, and Lowe, Rachel
- Abstract
In the past few decades, major public health advances have happened in Europe, with drastic decreases in premature mortality and a life expectancy increase of almost 9 years since 1980. European countries have some of the best health-care systems in the world. However, Europe is challenged with unprecedented and overlapping crises that are detrimental to human health and livelihoods and threaten adaptive capacity, including the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the fastest-growing migrant crisis since World War 2, population displacement, environmental degradation, and deepening inequalities. Compared with pre-industrial times, the mean average European surface air temperature increase has been almost 1°C higher than the average global temperature increase, and 2022 was the hottest European summer on record. As the world's third largest economy and a major contributor to global cumulative greenhouse gas emissions, Europe is a key stakeholder in the world's response to climate change and has a global responsibility and opportunity to lead the transition to becoming a low-carbon economy and a healthier, more resilient society.
47. The 2024 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: unprecedented warming demands unprecedented action
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van Daalen, Kim R., Tonne, Cathryn, Semenza, Jan C., Rocklöv, Joacim, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Beck, Thessa M., Callaghan, Max w, Carvalho, Bruno M., Chambers, Jonathan, Pradas, Marta Cirah, Courtenay, Orin, Dasgupta, Shouro, Eckelman, Matthew J., Farooq, Zia, Fransson, Peter, Gallo, Elisa, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Hatfield, Charles, He, Kehan, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Kouznetsov, Rostislav, Kriit, Hedi katre, Llabrés-Brustenga, Alba, Lloyd, Simon j, Batista, Martín Lotto, Maia, Carla, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Mi, Zhifu, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan c, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Pantera, Dafni Kalatzi, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Rafaj, Peter, Robinson, Elizabeth J. Z., Sánchez-Valdivia, Nacho, Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sherman, Jodi D., Singh, Pratik, Sirotkina, Elena, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Treskova, Marina, Triñanes, Joaquin, Vanuytrecht, Eline, Wagner, Fabian, Walawender, Maria, Warnecke, Laura, Zhang, Ran, Romanello, Marina, Antò, Josep M., Nilsson, Maria, Lowe, Rachel, van Daalen, Kim R., Tonne, Cathryn, Semenza, Jan C., Rocklöv, Joacim, Markandya, Anil, Dasandi, Niheer, Jankin, Slava, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Bechara, Hannah, Beck, Thessa M., Callaghan, Max w, Carvalho, Bruno M., Chambers, Jonathan, Pradas, Marta Cirah, Courtenay, Orin, Dasgupta, Shouro, Eckelman, Matthew J., Farooq, Zia, Fransson, Peter, Gallo, Elisa, Gasparyan, Olga, Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube, Hamilton, Ian, Hänninen, Risto, Hatfield, Charles, He, Kehan, Kazmierczak, Aleksandra, Kendrovski, Vladimir, Kennard, Harry, Kiesewetter, Gregor, Kouznetsov, Rostislav, Kriit, Hedi katre, Llabrés-Brustenga, Alba, Lloyd, Simon j, Batista, Martín Lotto, Maia, Carla, Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Mi, Zhifu, Milà, Carles, Minx, Jan c, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Palamarchuk, Julia, Pantera, Dafni Kalatzi, Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Rafaj, Peter, Robinson, Elizabeth J. Z., Sánchez-Valdivia, Nacho, Scamman, Daniel, Schmoll, Oliver, Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo, Sherman, Jodi D., Singh, Pratik, Sirotkina, Elena, Sjödin, Henrik, Sofiev, Mikhail, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Springmann, Marco, Treskova, Marina, Triñanes, Joaquin, Vanuytrecht, Eline, Wagner, Fabian, Walawender, Maria, Warnecke, Laura, Zhang, Ran, Romanello, Marina, Antò, Josep M., Nilsson, Maria, and Lowe, Rachel
48. The 2022 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change : towards a climate resilient future
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Kim R van Daalen, Marina Romanello, Joacim Rocklöv, Jan C Semenza, Cathryn Tonne, Anil Markandya, Niheer Dasandi, Slava Jankin, Hicham Achebak, Joan Ballester, Hannah Bechara, Max W Callaghan, Jonathan Chambers, Shouro Dasgupta, Paul Drummond, Zia Farooq, Olga Gasparyan, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Ian Hamilton, Risto Hänninen, Aleksandra Kazmierczak, Vladimir Kendrovski, Harry Kennard, Gregor Kiesewetter, Simon J Lloyd, Martin Lotto Batista, Jaime Martinez-Urtaza, Carles Milà, Jan C Minx, Mark Nieuwenhuijsen, Julia Palamarchuk, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Elizabeth J Z Robinson, Daniel Scamman, Oliver Schmoll, Maquins Odhiambo Sewe, Henrik Sjödin, Mikhail Sofiev, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Marco Springmann, Joaquin Triñanes, Josep M Anto, Maria Nilsson, Rachel Lowe, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Departament de Física, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Doctorat en Enginyeria Ambiental, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Daalen, Kim van, Tonne, Cathryn, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, Lloyd, Simon J., Minx, Jan C., Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark J., Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos, Antó i Boqué, Josep Maria, Lowe, Rachel, European Commission, Rocklöv, Joacim [0000-0003-4030-0449], Achebak, Hicham [0000-0002-7705-3659], Lloyd, Simon J [0000-0002-9728-8674], Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime [0000-0001-6219-0418], Minx, Jan C [0000-0002-2862-0178], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, Ilmatieteen laitos, and Finnish Meteorological Institute
- Subjects
kuolleisuus ,climate changes ,terveyspolitiikka ,Climate Change ,environmental health ,Global Health ,health effects ,kansanterveys ,terveysvaikutukset ,Humans ,Eurooppa ,Física [Àrees temàtiques de la UPC] ,Health Policy ,public health ,emissions ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,health ,ennusteet ,Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology ,morality ,ilmastonmuutokset ,Climatic changes ,Europe ,Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi ,forecasts ,RA Public aspects of medicine ,päästöt ,Europa ,terveys ,ympäristöterveys ,GE Environmental Sciences ,Canvis climàtics - Abstract
In the past few decades, major public health advances have happened in Europe, with drastic decreases in premature mortality and a life expectancy increase of almost 9 years since 1980. European countries have some of the best health-care systems in the world. However, Europe is challenged with unprecedented and overlapping crises that are detrimental to human health and livelihoods and threaten adaptive capacity, including the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the fastest-growing migrant crisis since World War 2, population displacement, environmental degradation, and deepening inequalities. Compared with pre-industrial times, the mean average European surface air temperature increase has been almost 1°C higher than the average global temperature increase, and 2022 was the hottest European summer on record. As the world's third largest economy and a major contributor to global cumulative greenhouse gas emissions, Europe is a key stakeholder in the world's response to climate change and has a global responsibility and opportunity to lead the transition to becoming a low-carbon economy and a healthier, more resilient society. Peer Reviewed Article signat per 44 autors/autores: Institute for Global Health (K R van Daalen MPhil, M Romanello PhD), Institute for Sustainable Resources (P Drummond MSc, D Scamman EngD), and Energy Institute (Prof I Hamilton PhD, H Kennard PhD), University College London, London, UK; Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Cambridge University, Cambridge, UK (K R van Daalen); Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany (Prof J Rocklöv PhD, Prof J C Semenza PhD); Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine (Prof J Rocklöv, Z Farooq MSc, M O Sewe PhD, H Sjödin PhD) and Department of Epidemiology and Global Health (Prof M Nilsson PhD), Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden; Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Barcelona, Spain (C Tonne ScD, H Achebak PhD, J Ballester PhD, S J Lloyd PhD, C Milà MSc, Prof J C Minx PhD, Prof M Nieuwenhuijsen PhD, M Quijal-Zamorano MSc, Prof J M Anto MD); Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF), Barcelona, Spain (C Tonne, C Milà, M Nieuwenhuijsen, M Quijal-Zamorano, J M Anto); CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Barcelona, Spain (C Tonne, C Milà, J C Minx, M Nieuwenhuijsen, J M Anto); BC3 Basque Centre for Climate Change, Bilbao, Spain (Prof A Markandya PhD); School of Government, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK (N Dasandi PhD); Data Science Lab, Hertie School, Berlin, Germany (Prof S Jankin PhD, H Bechara PhD, O Gasparyan PhD); Priestley International Centre for Climate, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK (M W Callaghan MPP); Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany (M W Callaghan); Energy Efficiency Group, Institute for Environmental Sciences (ISE), University of Geneva, Switzerland (J Chambers PhD); Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Venice, Italy (S Dasgupta PhD); Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Sciences (LSE), UK (S Dasgupta, Prof E J Z Robinson PhD); Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain (N Gonzalez-Reviriego PhD, B Solaraju-Murali MSc, Prof R Lowe PhD, M Lotto Batista MSc); Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, Finland (R Hänninen DSci, J Palamarchuk PhD, M Sofiev PhD); European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark (A Kazmierczak PhD); European Centre for Environment and Health, WHO Regional Office for Europe, Bonn, Germany (V Kendrovski PhD, O Schmoll Dipl Ing); Air Quality and Greenhouse Gases Programme, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria (G Kiesewetter PhD); Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Department of Epidemiology, Brunswick, Germany (M Lotto Batista); Department of Genetics and Microbiology, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain (Prof J Martinez-Urtaza PhD); Oxford Martin Programme on the Future of Food and Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK (M Springmann PhD); Department of Electronics and Computer Science, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago, Spain (J Triñanes PhD); Centre for Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, UK (Prof R Lowe); Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies (ICREA), Barcelona, Spain (Prod R Lowe)
- Published
- 2022
49. Long-term evaluation of surface air pollution in CAMSRA and MERRA-2 global reanalyses over Europe (2003–2020)
- Author
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Aleksander Lacima, Hervé Petetin, Albert Soret, Dene Bowdalo, Oriol Jorba, Zhaoyue Chen, Raúl F. Méndez Turrubiates, Hicham Achebak, Joan Ballester, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Lacima, Aleksander, Petetin, Hervé, Soret, Albert, Bowdalo, Dene, Jorba, Oriol, Chen, Zhaoyue, Méndez Turrubiates, Raúl Fernando, Achebak, Hicham, Ballester, Joan, and Pérez García-Pando, Carlos
- Subjects
General Medicine - Abstract
Over the last century, our societies have experienced a sharp increase in urban population and fossil-fuelled transportation, turning air pollution into a critical issue. It is therefore key to accurately characterize the spatiotemporal variability of surface air pollution in order to understand its effects upon the environment, knowledge that can then be used to design effective pollution reduction policies. Global atmospheric composition reanalyses offer great capabilities towards this characterization through assimilation of satellite measurements. However, they generally do not integrate surface measurements and thus remain affected by significant biases at ground level. In this study, we thoroughly evaluate two global atmospheric composition reanalyses, the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMSRA) and the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications v2 (MERRA-2), between 2003 and 2020, against independent surface measurements of O3, NO2, CO, SO2 and particulate matter (PM; both PM10 and PM2.5) over the European continent. Overall, both reanalyses present significant and persistent biases for almost all examined pollutants. CAMSRA clearly outperforms MERRA-2 in capturing the spatiotemporal variability of most pollutants, as shown by generally lower biases (all pollutants except for PM2.5), lower errors (all pollutants) and higher correlations (all pollutants except SO2). CAMSRA also outperforms MERRA-2 in capturing the annual trends found in all pollutants (except for SO2). Overall, CAMSRA tends to perform best for O3 and CO, followed by NO2 and PM10, while poorer results are typically found for SO2 and PM2.5. Higher correlations are generally found in autumn and/or winter for reactive gases. Compared to MERRA-2, CAMSRA assimilates a wider range of satellite products which, while enhancing the performance of the reanalysis in the troposphere (as shown by other studies), has a limited impact on the surface. The biases found in both reanalyses are likely explained by a combination of factors, including errors in emission inventories and/or sinks, a lack of surface data assimilation, and their relatively coarse resolution. Our results highlight the current limitations of reanalyses to represent surface pollution, which limits their applicability for health and environmental impact studies. When applied to reanalysis data, bias-correction methodologies based on surface observations should help to constrain the spatiotemporal variability of surface pollution and its associated impacts.
- Published
- 2022
50. The effect of temporal data aggregation to assess the impact of changing temperatures in Europe: an epidemiological modelling study.
- Author
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Ballester J, van Daalen KR, Chen ZY, Achebak H, Antó JM, Basagaña X, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Tonne C, Semenza JC, and Lowe R
- Abstract
Background: Daily time-series regression models are commonly used to estimate the lagged nonlinear relation between temperature and mortality. A major impediment to this type of analysis is the restricted access to daily health records. The use of weekly and monthly data represents a possible solution unexplored to date., Methods: We temporally aggregated daily temperatures and mortality records from 147 contiguous regions in 16 European countries, representing their entire population of over 400 million people. We estimated temperature-lag-mortality relationships by using standard time-series quasi-Poisson regression models applied to daily data, and compared the results with those obtained with different degrees of temporal aggregation., Findings: We observed progressively larger differences in the epidemiological estimates with the degree of temporal data aggregation. The daily data model estimated an annual cold and heat-related mortality of 290,104 (213,745-359,636) and 39,434 (30,782-47,084) deaths, respectively, and the weekly model underestimated these numbers by 8.56% and 21.56%. Importantly, differences were systematically smaller during extreme cold and heat periods, such as the summer of 2003, with an underestimation of only 4.62% in the weekly data model. We applied this framework to infer that the heat-related mortality burden during the year 2022 in Europe may have exceeded the 70,000 deaths., Interpretation: The present work represents a first reference study validating the use of weekly time series as an approximation to the short-term effects of cold and heat on human mortality. This approach can be adopted to complement access-restricted data networks, and facilitate data access for research, translation and policy-making., Funding: The study was supported by the ERC Consolidator Grant EARLY-ADAPT (https://www.early-adapt.eu/), and the ERC Proof-of-Concept Grants HHS-EWS and FORECAST-AIR., Competing Interests: We declare no competing interests., (© 2023 The Author(s).)
- Published
- 2023
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