77 results on '"Gómez-Barroso D"'
Search Results
2. Geographical spread of influenza incidence in Spain during the 2009 A(H1N1) pandemic wave and the two succeeding influenza seasons
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GOMEZ-BARROSO, D., MARTINEZ-BENEITO, M. A., FLORES, V., AMORÓS, R., DELGADO, C., BOTELLA, P., ZURRIAGA, O., and LARRAURI, A.
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- 2014
3. Space-time pattern of hepatitis A in Spain, 1997–2007
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GOMEZ-BARROSO, D., VÁRELA, C., RAMIS, R., DEL BARRIO, J. L., and SIMÓN, F.
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- 2012
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4. Concentrations of nitrogen compounds are related to severe rhinovirus infection in infants. A time-series analysis from the reference area of a pediatric university hospital in Barcelona
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Armero-Campos G, Penela-Sánchez D, Belmonte J, Gómez-Barroso D, Larrauri A, Henares-Bonilla D, Violeta Vallejo Matavera, Jordán-García I, Munoz-Almagro C, Brotons-de los Reyes P, and Launes-Montana C
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rhinovirus ,intensive care units ,air pollutants ,virus infections ,respiratory tract disease - Abstract
Background There is scarce information focused on the effect of weather conditions and air pollution on specific acute viral respiratory infections, such as rhinovirus (RV), with a wide clinical spectrum of severity. Objective The aim of this study was to analyze the association between episodes of severe respiratory tract infection by RV and air pollutant concentrations (NOx and SO2) in the reference area of a pediatric university hospital. Methods An analysis of temporal series of daily values of NOx and SO2, weather variables, circulating pollen and mold spores, and daily number of admissions in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) with severe respiratory RV infection (RVi) in children between 6 months and 18 years was performed. Lagged variables for 0-5 days were considered. The study spanned from 2010 to 2018. Patients with comorbidities were excluded. Results One hundred and fifty patients were admitted to the PICU. Median age was 19 months old (interquartile range [IQR]: 11-47). No relationship between RV-PICU admissions and temperature, relative humidity, cumulative rainfall, or wind speed was found. Several logistic regression models with one pollutant and two pollutants were constructed but the best model was that which included average daily NOx concentrations. Average daily NOx concentrations were related with the presence of PICU admissions 3 days later (odds ratio per IQR-unit increase: 1.64, 95% confidence interval: 1.20-2.25)). Conclusions This study has shown a positive correlation between NOx concentrations at Lag 3 and children's PICU admissions with severe RV respiratory infection. Air pollutant data should be taken into consideration when we try to understand the severity of RVis.
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- 2022
5. Lockdown measures and relative changes in the age-specific incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain
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Martínez de Salazar, Pablo, Gómez-Barroso, D., Pampaka, D., Gil, J. M., Peñalver, B., Fernández-Escobar, C., Lipsitch, M., Larrauri, A., Goldstein, E., Hernán, M. A., Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Fundación Ramón Areces, National Institute of General Medical Sciences (United States), Morris-Singer Fund, Andrew and Corey Morris-Singer Foundation, and NIH - National Institute of General Medical Sciences (NIGMS) (Estados Unidos)
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Adult ,0301 basic medicine ,Adolescent ,Epidemiology ,Relative incidence ,Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) ,Pneumonia, Viral ,Article ,lockdown ,Betacoronavirus ,Young Adult ,03 medical and health sciences ,Age Distribution ,0302 clinical medicine ,Age groups ,Lockdown ,Humans ,Medicine ,Cumulative incidence ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Symptom onset ,Young adult ,Pandemics ,Age specific incidence ,Aged ,Original Paper ,Pneumonia, Viral / epidemiology ,Spain / epidemiology ,business.industry ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Coronavirus Infections / epidemiology ,Incidence ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,COVID-19 ,Middle Aged ,030104 developmental biology ,Infectious Diseases ,Social Isolation ,Younger adults ,Spain ,Quarantine ,High incidence ,Outbreak control ,Coronavirus Infections ,business ,Demography - Abstract
During the first months of the severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) epidemic in 2020, Spain implemented an initial lockdown period on 15 March followed by a strengthened lockdown period on 30 March when only essential workers continued to commute to work. However, little is known about the epidemic dynamics in different age groups during these periods.We used the daily number of coronavirus 2019 cases (by date of symptom onset) reported to the National Epidemiological Surveillance Network among individuals aged 15–19 years through 65–69 years. For each age groupg, we computed the proportion PrE(g) of individuals in age groupgamong all reported cases aged 15–69 years during the pre-lockdown period (1−10 March 2020) and the corresponding proportion PrL(g) during two lockdown periods (initial: 25 March−3 April; strengthened: 8–17 April 2020). For each lockdown period, we computed the proportion ratios PR(g) = PrL(g)/PrE(g). For each pair of age groupsg1,g2, PR(g1)>PR(g2) implies a relative increase in the incidence of detected SARS-CoV-2 infection in the age groupg1compared withg2for the lockdown periodvs.the pre-lockdown period.For the initial lockdown period, the highest PR values were in age groups 50–54 years (PR = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.12,1.30) and 55–59 years (PR = 1.19; 1.11,1.27). For the second lockdown period, the highest PR values were in age groups 15–19 years (PR = 1.26; 0.95,1.68) and 50–54 years (PR = 1.20; 1.09,1.31).Our results suggest that different outbreak control measures led to different changes in the relative incidence by age group. During the initial lockdown period, when non-essential work was allowed, individuals aged 40–64 years, particularly those aged 50–59 years, had a higher relative incidence compared with the pre-lockdown period. Younger adults/older adolescents had an increased relative incidence during the later, strengthened lockdown. The role of different age groups during the epidemic should be considered when implementing future mitigation efforts.
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- 2020
6. Near real-time surveillance of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic with incomplete data
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De Salazar, PM, primary, Lu, F, additional, Hay, JA, additional, Gómez-Barroso, D, additional, Fernández-Navarro, P, additional, Martínez, E, additional, Astray-Mochales, J, additional, Amillategui, R, additional, García-Fulgueiras, A, additional, Chirlaque, MD, additional, Sánchez-Migallón, A, additional, Larrauri, A, additional, Sierra, MJ, additional, Lipsitch, M, additional, Simón, F, additional, Santillana, M, additional, and Hernán, MA, additional
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- 2021
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7. Determinants of the current and future distribution of the West Nile virus mosquito vector Culex pipiens in Spain
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Gangoso, L., primary, Aragonés, D., additional, Martínez-de la Puente, J., additional, Lucientes, J., additional, Delacour-Estrella, S., additional, Estrada Peña, R., additional, Montalvo, T., additional, Bueno-Marí, R., additional, Bravo-Barriga, D., additional, Frontera, E., additional, Marqués, E., additional, Ruiz-Arrondo, I., additional, Muñoz, A., additional, Oteo, J.A., additional, Miranda, M.A., additional, Barceló, C., additional, Arias Vázquez, M.S., additional, Silva-Torres, M.I., additional, Ferraguti, M., additional, Magallanes, S., additional, Muriel, J., additional, Marzal, A., additional, Aranda, C., additional, Ruiz, S., additional, González, M.A., additional, Morchón, R., additional, Gómez-Barroso, D., additional, and Figuerola, J., additional
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- 2020
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8. Lockdown measures and relative changes in the age-specific incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain
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De Salazar, PM, primary, Gómez-Barroso, D, additional, Pampaka, D, additional, Gil, JM, additional, Peñalver, B, additional, Fernández-Escobar, C, additional, Lipsitch, M, additional, Larrauri, A, additional, Goldstein, E, additional, and Hernán, MA, additional
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- 2020
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9. Lockdown measures and relative changes in the age-specific incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain
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De Salazar, P.M., primary, Gómez-Barroso, D., additional, Pampaka, D., additional, Gil, J.M., additional, Peñalver, B., additional, Fernández-Escobar, C., additional, Lipsitch, M., additional, Larrauri, A., additional, Goldstein, E., additional, and Hernán, M.A., additional
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- 2020
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10. Climate change, environmental factors and dengue in Africa
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Giesen, C., Herrador, Z., and Gomez-Barroso, D.
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- 2022
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11. Evaluation of the role of environmental factors on the transmission of West Nile Virus in the European Union and Mediterranean countries
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Giesen, C., Herrador, Z., Gomez-Barroso, D., Fernandez-Martinez, B., Figuerola, J., and Gangoso, L.
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- 2022
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12. Detección de riesgos biológicos del aire y su relación con la legionelosis
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Gómez-Barroso, D., Nuñez Hernández, Andrés, Martín, C., Larrauri, A., Martínez, E. V., García Ruiz, Ana María, Moreno Gómez, Diego Alejandro, Pelaz, C., Cano, R., Gómez-Barroso, D., Nuñez Hernández, Andrés, Martín, C., Larrauri, A., Martínez, E. V., García Ruiz, Ana María, Moreno Gómez, Diego Alejandro, Pelaz, C., and Cano, R.
- Abstract
La calidad biológica del aire urbano estudia los microorganismos de la atmosfera. El aire transporta elementos biológicos procedentes del suelo y agua, como bacterias, virus, hongos y granos de polen, y constituye un ecosistema natural único. El estudio de esta diversidad microbiana y posibles patógenos presentes en el aire urbano se enmarca dentro del Programa AIRBIOTA-CM de la Comunidad de Madrid, que emplea técnicas de secuenciación masiva del ADN para la detección y caracterización de la aerobiota. El Centro Nacional de Epidemiologia ha iniciado con dicho Programa una propuesta de investigación relacionada con legionelosis. El objetivo de este estudio es caracterizar aspectos relacionados con la persistencia y eficacia de la transmisión aérea de Legionella en el ambiente que permitan la aparición de casos.
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- 2017
13. Perimeter confinements of basic health zones and COVID-19 incidence in Madrid, Spain
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García-García David, Herranz-Hernandez Rafael, Rojas-Benedicto Ayelén, León-Gómez Inmaculada, Larrauri Amparo, Peñuelas Marina, Guerrero-Vadillo María, Ramis Rebeca, and Gómez-Barroso Diana
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Covid-19 ,Madrid ,Spain ,Perimeter closures ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Background A unique policy of perimeter closures of Basic Health Zones (small administrative health units) was implemented in the Autonomous Community of Madrid from September 21st 2020 to May 23rd 2021 to face the COVID-19 pandemic. Aim To assess the impact of local perimeter confinements on the 14-days cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave of the pandemic in Madrid, Spain. Methods We compare the errors in estimation of two families of mathematical models: ones that include the perimeter closures as explanatory covariables and ones that do not, in search of a significant improvement in estimation of one family over the other. We incorporate leave-one-out cross-validation, and at each step of this process we select the best model in AIC score from a family of 15 differently tuned ones. Results The two families of models provided very similar estimations, for a 1- to 3-weeks delay in observed cumulative incidence, and also when restricting the analysis to only those Basic Health Zones that were subject to at least one closure during the time under study. In all cases the correlation between the errors yielded by both families of models was higher than 0.98 (±10− 3 95% CI), and the average difference of estimated 14-days cumulative incidence was smaller than 1.49 (±0.33 95% CI). Conclusion Our analysis suggests that the perimeter closures by Basic Health Zone did not have a significant effect on the epidemic curve in Madrid.
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- 2022
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14. Spatio-temporal analysis of tuberculosis in Spain, 2008–2010
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Gómez-Barroso, D., primary, Rodriguez-Valín, E., additional, Ramis, R., additional, and Cano, R., additional
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- 2013
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15. Municipal distribution of ovarian cancer mortality in Spain
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Vidal Enrique, Aragonés Nuria, Pérez-Gómez Beatriz, Pollán Marina, Lope Virginia, Gómez-Barroso Diana, Ramis Rebeca, García-Pérez Javier, Cabanes Anna, and López-Abente Gonzalo
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Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens ,RC254-282 - Abstract
Abstract Background Spain was the country that registered the greatest increases in ovarian cancer mortality in Europe. This study describes the municipal distribution of ovarian cancer mortality in Spain using spatial models for small-area analysis. Methods Smoothed relative risks of ovarian cancer mortality were obtained, using the Besag, York and Molliè autoregressive spatial model. Standardised mortality ratios, smoothed relative risks, and distribution of the posterior probability of relative risks being greater than 1 were depicted on municipal maps. Results During the study period (1989–1998), 13,869 ovarian cancer deaths were registered in 2,718 Spanish towns, accounting for 4% of all cancer-related deaths among women. The highest relative risks were mainly concentrated in three areas, i.e., the interior of Barcelona and Gerona (north-east Spain), the north of Lugo and Asturias (north-west Spain) and along the Seville-Huelva boundary (in the south-west). Eivissa (Balearic Islands) and El Hierro (Canary Islands) also registered increased risks. Conclusion Well established ovarian cancer risk factors might not contribute significantly to the municipal distribution of ovarian cancer mortality. Environmental and occupational exposures possibly linked to this pattern and prevalent in specific regions, are discussed in this paper. Small-area geographical studies are effective instruments for detecting risk areas that may otherwise remain concealed on a more reduced scale.
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- 2008
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16. Oesophageal cancer mortality in Spain: a spatial analysis
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García-Pérez Javier, Boldo Elena, Lope Virginia, Gómez-Barroso Diana, Pérez-Gómez Beatriz, Pollán Marina, Ramis Rebeca, Aragonés Nuria, and López-Abente Gonzalo
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Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens ,RC254-282 - Abstract
Abstract Background Oesophageal carcinoma is one of the most common cancers worldwide. Its incidence and mortality rates show a wide geographical variation at a world and regional level. Geographic mapping of age-standardized, cause-specific death rates at a municipal level could be a helpful and powerful tool for providing clues leading to a better understanding of its aetiology. Methods This study sought to describe the geographic distribution of oesophageal cancer mortality for Spain's 8077 towns, using the autoregressive spatial model proposed by Besag, York and Mollié. Maps were plotted, depicting standardised mortality ratios, smoothed relative risk (RR) estimates, and the spatial pattern of the posterior probability of RR being greater than 1. Results Important differences associated with area of residence were observed in risk of dying from oesophageal cancer in Spain during the study period (1989–1998). Among men, excess risk appeared across the north of the country, along a band spanning the length of the Cantabrian coastline, Navarre, the north of Castile & León and the north-west of La Rioja. Excess risk was likewise observed in the provinces of Cadiz and part of Seville in Andalusia, the islands of Tenerife and Gran Canaria, and some towns in the Barcelona and Gerona areas. Among women, there was a noteworthy absence of risk along the mid-section of the Cantabrian seaboard, and increases in mortality, not observed for men, in the west of Extremadura and south-east of Andalusia. Conclusion These major gender- and area-related geographical differences in risk would seem to reflect differences in the prevalence of some well-established and modifiable risk factors, including smoking, alcohol consumption, obesity and diet. In addition, excess risks were in evidence for both sexes in some areas, possibly suggesting the implication of certain local environmental or socio-cultural factors. From a public health standpoint, small-area studies could be very useful for identifying locations where epidemiological research and intervention measures ought to receive priority, given the potential for reducing risk in certain places.
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- 2007
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17. Municipal mortality due to thyroid cancer in Spain
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Gómez-Barroso Diana, Ramis Rebeca, Aragonés Nuria, P��rez-Gómez Beatriz, Pollán Marina, Lope Virginia, and López-Abente Gonzalo
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Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Abstract Background Thyroid cancer is a tumor with a low but growing incidence in Spain. This study sought to depict its spatial municipal mortality pattern, using the classic model proposed by Besag, York and Mollié. Methods It was possible to compile and ascertain the posterior distribution of relative risk on the basis of a single Bayesian spatial model covering all of Spain's 8077 municipal areas. Maps were plotted depicting standardized mortality ratios, smoothed relative risk (RR) estimates, and the posterior probability that RR > 1. Results From 1989 to 1998 a total of 2,538 thyroid cancer deaths were registered in 1,041 municipalities. The highest relative risks were mostly situated in the Canary Islands, the province of Lugo, the east of La Coruña (Corunna) and western areas of Asturias and Orense. Conclusion The observed mortality pattern coincides with areas in Spain where goiter has been declared endemic. The higher frequency in these same areas of undifferentiated, more aggressive carcinomas could be reflected in the mortality figures. Other unknown genetic or environmental factors could also play a role in the etiology of this tumor.
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- 2006
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18. Municipal distribution of ovarian cancer mortality in Spain.
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Lope V, Pollán M, Pérez-Gómez B, Aragonés N, Vidal E, Gómez-Barroso D, Ramis R, García-Pérez J, Cabanes A, López-Abente G, Lope, Virginia, Pollán, Marina, Pérez-Gómez, Beatriz, Aragonés, Nuria, Vidal, Enrique, Gómez-Barroso, Diana, Ramis, Rebeca, García-Pérez, Javier, Cabanes, Anna, and López-Abente, Gonzalo
- Abstract
Background: Spain was the country that registered the greatest increases in ovarian cancer mortality in Europe. This study describes the municipal distribution of ovarian cancer mortality in Spain using spatial models for small-area analysis.Methods: Smoothed relative risks of ovarian cancer mortality were obtained, using the Besag, York and Molliè autoregressive spatial model. Standardised mortality ratios, smoothed relative risks, and distribution of the posterior probability of relative risks being greater than 1 were depicted on municipal maps.Results: During the study period (1989-1998), 13,869 ovarian cancer deaths were registered in 2,718 Spanish towns, accounting for 4% of all cancer-related deaths among women. The highest relative risks were mainly concentrated in three areas, i.e., the interior of Barcelona and Gerona (north-east Spain), the north of Lugo and Asturias (north-west Spain) and along the Seville-Huelva boundary (in the south-west). Eivissa (Balearic Islands) and El Hierro (Canary Islands) also registered increased risks.Conclusion: Well established ovarian cancer risk factors might not contribute significantly to the municipal distribution of ovarian cancer mortality. Environmental and occupational exposures possibly linked to this pattern and prevalent in specific regions, are discussed in this paper. Small-area geographical studies are effective instruments for detecting risk areas that may otherwise remain concealed on a more reduced scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2008
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19. Spatial analysis for risk assessment of dengue in Spain.
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Fernández-Martínez B, Pampaka D, Suárez-Sánchez P, Figuerola J, Sierra MJ, León-Gomez I, Del Aguila J, and Gómez-Barroso D
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- Spain epidemiology, Humans, Animals, Risk Assessment, Mosquito Vectors, Dengue epidemiology, Dengue transmission, Aedes virology, Spatial Analysis
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Introduction: The establishment of Aedes albopictus in new areas in Europe has changed the risk of local dengue transmission represented by imported human cases. The risk of transmission is determined by the distribution of travelers arriving from dengue-endemic areas and the distribution of Ae. albopictus as potential vectors of dengue in Spain., Methods: Environmental, entomological, epidemiological, demographic, tourism and travel data were analyzed to produce a series of maps to represent: the distribution of Ae. albopictus across municipalities; the risk of expansion of Ae. albopictus based on a species distribution model; the calculated index of travelers from dengue-endemic areas (IDVZE) per province; the percentage contribution of each municipality to the total number of cases in Spain. The maps were then added using map algebra, to profile the spatial risk of autochthonous dengue in Spain at a municipal level from 2016 to 2018., Results: Ae. albopictus was detected in 983 municipalities. The calculated IDVZE varied from 0.23 to 10.38, with the highest IDVZE observed in Madrid. The overall risk of autochthonous cases oscillated between 0.234 and 115, with the very high risk and high risk areas detected in the Mediterranean region, mainly in the Levantine coast and some parts of the Balearic Islands. Most of the interior of the peninsula was characterized as low risk., Conclusion: Prevention and control measures to mitigate the risk of autochthonous dengue should be prioritized for municipalities in the high risk areas integrating early detection of imported dengue cases and vector control., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier España, S.L.U. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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20. Modelling the spatial risk of malaria through probability distribution of Anopheles maculipennis s.l. and imported cases.
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Taheri S, González MA, Ruiz-López MJ, Magallanes S, Delacour-Estrella S, Lucientes J, Bueno-Marí R, Martínez-de la Puente J, Bravo-Barriga D, Frontera E, Polina A, Martinez-Barciela Y, Pereira JM, Garrido J, Aranda C, Marzal A, Ruiz-Arrondo I, Oteo JA, Ferraguti M, Gutíerrez-López R, Estrada R, Miranda MÁ, Barceló C, Morchón R, Montalvo T, Gangoso L, Goiri F, García-Pérez AL, Ruiz S, Fernandez-Martinez B, Gómez-Barroso D, and Figuerola J
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- Animals, Spain epidemiology, Humans, Communicable Diseases, Imported epidemiology, Communicable Diseases, Imported transmission, Incidence, Anopheles parasitology, Malaria epidemiology, Malaria transmission, Mosquito Vectors parasitology
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Malaria remains one of the most important infectious diseases globally due to its high incidence and mortality rates. The influx of infected cases from endemic to non-endemic malaria regions like Europe has resulted in a public health concern over sporadic local outbreaks. This is facilitated by the continued presence of competent Anopheles vectors in non-endemic countries.We modelled the potential distribution of the main malaria vector across Spain using the ensemble of eight modelling techniques based on environmental parameters and the Anopheles maculipennis s.l. presence/absence data collected from 2000 to 2020. We then combined this map with the number of imported malaria cases in each municipality to detect the geographic hot spots with a higher risk of local malaria transmission.The malaria vector occurred preferentially in irrigated lands characterized by warm climate conditions and moderate annual precipitation. Some areas surrounding irrigated lands in northern Spain (e.g. Zaragoza, Logroño), mainland areas (e.g. Madrid, Toledo) and in the South (e.g. Huelva), presented a significant likelihood of A. maculipennis s.l. occurrence, with a large overlap with the presence of imported cases of malaria.While the risk of malaria re-emergence in Spain is low, it is not evenly distributed throughout the country. The four recorded local cases of mosquito-borne transmission occurred in areas with a high overlap of imported cases and mosquito presence. Integrating mosquito distribution with human incidence cases provides an effective tool for the quantification of large-scale geographic variation in transmission risk and pinpointing priority areas for targeted surveillance and prevention.
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- 2024
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21. Epidemiology of Q fever in humans in four selected regions, Spain, 2016 to 2022.
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Cifo D, Estévez-Reboredo RM, González-Barrio D, Jado I, and Gómez-Barroso D
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- Humans, Spain epidemiology, Male, Incidence, Middle Aged, Animals, Adult, Female, Aged, Adolescent, Zoonoses epidemiology, Young Adult, Child, Population Surveillance, Seasons, Age Distribution, Child, Preschool, Goats, Sex Distribution, Q Fever epidemiology, Q Fever transmission, Coxiella burnetii isolation & purification, Disease Outbreaks
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BackgroundQ fever is a bacterial zoonosis caused by Coxiella burnetii. Spain has the highest number of notified human cases in Europe. Small ruminants are a key reservoir for the pathogen, transmission from animals to humans is usually airborne.AimWe aimed at exploring temporal and spatial epidemiological patterns of sporadic and outbreak cases of Q fever in four Spanish regions with the highest number of notified cases.MethodsWe extracted data on Q fever cases in the Canary Islands, Basque Country, La Rioja and Navarre between 2016 and 2022 from the Spanish National Epidemiological Surveillance Network. We calculated standardised incidence ratios (SIR), spatial relative risks (sRR) and posterior probabilities (PP) utilising Besag-York-Mollié models.ResultsThere were 1,059 notifications, with a predominance of males aged 30-60 years. In Basque Country, La Rioja and Navarre area, 11 outbreaks were reported, while no in the Canary Islands. A seasonal increase in incidence rates was observed between March and June. In the Canary Islands, elevated sRR was seen in La Palma, Gran Canaria, Lanzarote and Fuerteventura. In Basque Country, La Rioja and Navarre area, the highest sRR was identified in the south of Biscay province.ConclusionGoats were the main source for humans in outbreaks reported in the literature. Seasonal increase may be related to the parturition season of small ruminants and specific environmental conditions. Local variations in sRR within these regions likely result from diverse environmental factors. Future One Health-oriented studies are essential to deepen our understanding of Q fever epidemiology.
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- 2024
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22. Modeling the Regional Distribution of International Travelers in Spain to Estimate Imported Cases of Dengue and Malaria: Statistical Inference and Validation Study.
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García-García D, Fernández-Martínez B, Bartumeus F, and Gómez-Barroso D
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- Humans, Spain epidemiology, Communicable Diseases, Imported epidemiology, Communicable Diseases, Imported prevention & control, Models, Statistical, Dengue epidemiology, Malaria epidemiology, Malaria prevention & control, Travel statistics & numerical data
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Background: Understanding the patterns of disease importation through international travel is paramount for effective public health interventions and global disease surveillance. While global airline network data have been used to assist in outbreak prevention and effective preparedness, accurately estimating how these imported cases disseminate locally in receiving countries remains a challenge., Objective: This study aimed to describe and understand the regional distribution of imported cases of dengue and malaria upon arrival in Spain via air travel., Methods: We have proposed a method to describe the regional distribution of imported cases of dengue and malaria based on the computation of the "travelers' index" from readily available socioeconomic data. We combined indicators representing the main drivers for international travel, including tourism, economy, and visits to friends and relatives, to measure the relative appeal of each region in the importing country for travelers. We validated the resulting estimates by comparing them with the reported cases of malaria and dengue in Spain from 2015 to 2019. We also assessed which motivation provided more accurate estimates for imported cases of both diseases., Results: The estimates provided by the best fitted model showed high correlation with notified cases of malaria (0.94) and dengue (0.87), with economic motivation being the most relevant for imported cases of malaria and visits to friends and relatives being the most relevant for imported cases of dengue., Conclusions: Factual descriptions of the local movement of international travelers may substantially enhance the design of cost-effective prevention policies and control strategies, and essentially contribute to decision-support systems. Our approach contributes in this direction by providing a reliable estimate of the number of imported cases of nonendemic diseases, which could be generalized to other applications. Realistic risk assessments will be obtained by combining this regional predictor with the observed local distribution of vectors., (©David García-García, Beatriz Fernández-Martínez, Frederic Bartumeus, Diana Gómez-Barroso. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (https://publichealth.jmir.org), 27.05.2024.)
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- 2024
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23. The impact of meteorological factors on tuberculosis incidence in Spain: a spatiotemporal analysis.
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Díez Galán MDM, Redondo-Bravo L, Gómez-Barroso D, Herrera L, Amillategui R, Gómez-Castellá J, and Herrador Z
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- Humans, Incidence, Spain epidemiology, Spatio-Temporal Analysis, Meteorological Concepts, Tuberculosis epidemiology
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Tuberculosis (TB) remains a global leading cause of death, necessitating an investigation into its unequal distribution. Sun exposure, linked to vitamin D (VD) synthesis, has been proposed as a protective factor. This study aimed to analyse TB rates in Spain over time and space and explore their relationship with sunlight exposure. An ecological study examined the associations between rainfall, sunshine hours, and TB incidence in Spain. Data from the National Epidemiological Surveillance Network (RENAVE in Spanish) and the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET in Spanish) from 2012 to 2020 were utilized. Correlation and spatial regression analyses were conducted. Between 2012 and 2020, 43,419 non-imported TB cases were reported. A geographic pattern (north-south) and distinct seasonality (spring peaks and autumn troughs) were observed. Sunshine hours and rainfall displayed a strong negative correlation. Spatial regression and seasonal models identified a negative correlation between TB incidence and sunshine hours, with a four-month lag. A clear spatiotemporal association between TB incidence and sunshine hours emerged in Spain from 2012 to 2020. VD levels likely mediate this relationship, being influenced by sunlight exposure and TB development. Further research is warranted to elucidate the causal pathway and inform public health strategies for improved TB control.
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- 2024
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24. Acceptance and socioeconomic inequalities in meningococcal B vaccination in the community of Madrid prior to its inclusion in the immunization schedule.
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Ijalba Martínez M, Lasheras Carbajo MD, Santos Sanz S, and Gómez Barroso D
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- Child, Humans, Immunization Schedule, Vaccination, Socioeconomic Factors, Health Status Disparities, Meningococcal Vaccines
- Abstract
Introduction: The main preventive measure against invasive meningococcal disease is vaccination. The aim of our study was to evaluate the acceptability of the meningococcal B (MenB) vaccine and socioeconomic inequalities in the access to the vaccine in the Community of Madrid in the period prior to its introduction in the immunization schedule., Materials and Methods: We conducted an observational and ecological descriptive study in the cohort of children born between 2016 and 2019 using population-based electronic records. We calculated the vaccination coverage and analysed factors associated with vaccination status, determined the spatial distribution of vaccination coverage and the deprivation index (DI) and assessed the association between them by means of spatial regression., Results: We observed an increasing trend in primary vaccination coverage, from 44% in the cohort born in 2016 to 68% in the 2019 cohort. We found a statistically significant association between vaccination status and the DI (OR of primary vaccination in areas with DI5 compared to areas with DP1, 0.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.39-0.50; P<.001). The spatial analysis showed an inverse correlation between the DI and vaccination coverage., Conclusions: The rise in the coverages of the MenB vaccine shows acceptance by the population. The association between socioeconomic level and vaccination coverage confirms the existence of health inequality and underlines the importance including this vaccine in the immunization schedule., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier España, S.L.U.)
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- 2023
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25. Latitude and longitude as drivers of COVID-19 waves' behavior in Europe: A time-space perspective of the pandemic.
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Martínez-Portillo A, Garcia-Garcia D, Leon I, Ramis-Prieto R, and Gómez-Barroso D
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- Humans, Europe epidemiology, Pandemics, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control
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Background: Social restrictions and vaccination seem to have shaped the pandemic development in Europe, but the influence of geographical position is still debated. This study aims to verify whether the pandemic spread through Europe following a particular direction, during the period between the start of the pandemic and November 2021. The existence of a spatial gradient for epidemic intensity is also hypothesized., Methods: Daily COVID-19 epidemiological data were extracted from Our World in Data COVID-19 database, which also included vaccination and non-pharmacological interventions data. Latitude and longitude of each country's centroid were used as geographic variables. Epidemic periods were delimited from epidemic surge data. Multivariable linear and Cox's regression models were performed for each epidemic period to test if geographical variables influenced surge dates. Generalized additive models (GAM) were used to test the spatial gradient hypothesis with three epidemic intensity measures., Results: Linear models suggest a possible west-east shift in the first epidemic period and features a significant association of NPIs with epidemic surge delay. Neither latitude nor longitude had significant associations with epidemic surge timing in both second and third periods. Latitude displays strong negative associations with all epidemic intensity measures in GAM models. Vaccination was also negatively associated with intensity., Conclusions: A longitudinal spread of the pandemic in Europe seems plausible, particularly concerning the first wave. However, a recurrent trend was not observed. Southern Europe countries may have experienced increased transmissibility and incidence, despite climatic conditions apparently unfavourable to the virus., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2023 Martínez-Portillo et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2023
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26. West Nile virus emergence in humans in Extremadura, Spain 2020.
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Macias A, Martín P, Pérez-Olmeda M, Fernández-Martínez B, Gómez-Barroso D, Fernández E, Ramos JM, Herrero L, Rodríguez S, Delgado E, Sánchez-Seco MP, Galán M, Corbacho AJ, Jimenez M, Montero-Peña C, Valle A, and Vázquez A
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- Animals, Humans, Spain epidemiology, Antibodies, Viral, West Nile virus genetics, West Nile Fever diagnosis, West Nile Fever epidemiology, Flavivirus
- Abstract
In Spain, the largest human West Nile virus (WNV) outbreak among humans was reported in 2020, constituting the second most important outbreak in Europe that season. Extremadura (southwestern Spain) was one of the affected areas, reporting six human cases. The first autochthonous human case in Spain was reported in Extremadura in 2004, and no other human cases were reported until 2020. In this work, we describe the first WNV human outbreak registered in Extremadura, focusing on the most important clinical aspects, diagnostic results, and control actions which followed. In 2020, from September to October, human WNV infections were diagnosed using a combination of molecular and serological methods (an in-house specific qRT-PCR and a commercial ELISA for anti-WNV IgM and IgG antibodies) and by analysing serum, urine, and/or cerebrospinal fluid samples. Serological positive serum samples were further tested using commercial kits against related flaviviruses Usutu and Tick-borne encephalitis in order to analyse serological reactivity and to confirm the results by neutralisation assays. In total, six cases of WNV infection (five with neuroinvasive disease and one with fever) were identified. Clinical presentation and laboratory findings are described. No viral RNA was detected in any of the analysed samples, but serological cross-reactivity was detected against the other tested flaviviruses. Molecular and serological methods for WNV detection in various samples as well as differential diagnosis are recommended. The largest number of human cases of WNV infection ever registered in Extremadura, Spain, occurred in 2020 in areas where circulation of WNV and other flaviviruses has been previously reported in humans and animals. Therefore, it is necessary to enhance surveillance not only for the early detection and implementation of response measures for WNV but also for other emerging flaviviruses that could be endemic in this area., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Macias, Martín, Pérez-Olmeda, Fernández-Martínez, Gómez-Barroso, Fernández, Ramos, Herrero, Rodríguez, Delgado, Sánchez-Seco, Galán, Corbacho, Jimenez, Montero-Peña, Valle and Vázquez.)
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- 2023
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27. Estimates of mpox effective reproduction number in Spain, April-August 2022.
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García-García D, Gómez-Barroso D, Hernando V, Ruiz-Algueró M, Simón L, Sastre M, Sierra MJ, Godoy P, and Diaz A
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- Humans, Basic Reproduction Number, Spain epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks, Mpox (monkeypox)
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We analysed the transmission of the human mpox virus in Spain by estimating the effective reproduction number of the disease from official surveillance data. Our computations show that this decreased steadily after an initial burst phase, dropping below 1 on July 12, and thus the outbreak was expected to reduce in the following weeks. Differences in trends were found across geographical regions of the country and across MSM and heterosexual populations.
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- 2023
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28. Epidemic Diffusion Network of Spain: A Mobility Model to Characterize the Transmission Routes of Disease.
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Del-Águila-Mejía J, García-García D, Rojas-Benedicto A, Rosillo N, Guerrero-Vadillo M, Peñuelas M, Ramis R, Gómez-Barroso D, and Donado-Campos JM
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- Humans, Spain, Travel, COVID-19 epidemiology, Communicable Diseases epidemiology, Epidemics
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Human mobility drives the geographical diffusion of infectious diseases at different scales, but few studies focus on mobility itself. Using publicly available data from Spain, we define a Mobility Matrix that captures constant flows between provinces by using a distance-like measure of effective distance to build a network model with the 52 provinces and 135 relevant edges. Madrid, Valladolid and Araba/Álaba are the most relevant nodes in terms of degree and strength. The shortest routes (most likely path between two points) between all provinces are calculated. A total of 7 mobility communities were found with a modularity of 63%, and a relationship was established with a cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in 14 days (CI14) during the study period. In conclusion, mobility patterns in Spain are governed by a small number of high-flow connections that remain constant in time and seem unaffected by seasonality or restrictions. Most of the travels happen within communities that do not completely represent political borders, and a wave-like spreading pattern with occasional long-distance jumps (small-world properties) can be identified. This information can be incorporated into preparedness and response plans targeting locations that are at risk of contagion preventively, underscoring the importance of coordination between administrations when addressing health emergencies.
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- 2023
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29. Spatial and temporal analysis of invasive pneumococcal disease due to erythromycinresistant serotypes.
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Fernández Chávez AC, García Comas L, Gómez Barroso D, Ramis Prieto R, López Fresneña N, Bishofberguer Valdes C, and Aranaz Andrés JM
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- Adult, Humans, Middle Aged, Serogroup, Pneumococcal Vaccines, Heptavalent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine, Serotyping, Anti-Bacterial Agents pharmacology, Erythromycin pharmacology, Macrolides pharmacology, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Pneumococcal Infections epidemiology, Pneumococcal Infections prevention & control
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Objectives: To study the spatio-temporal distribution of cases of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) due to serotypes resistant to erythromycin and its relationship with community consumption of macrolides and childhood vaccination coverage., Methods: We selected IPD cases in adults over 59 years old, residents in the Community of Madrid (MC), notified in the period 2007-2016. The variables studied were obtained from the Vaccination Information Systems and the Pharmaceutical Service. The cut-off point (minimum inhibitory erythromycin concentration > 0.5 mg/L) of the EUCAST classification was used to define erythromycin resistant serotypes. We used JointPoint to estimate the incidence trends by erythromycin resistant serotypes included in the 13-valent vaccine (STPCV13) and not included in it (STnoPCV13). The association of these incidences with the community consumption of macrolides and vaccination coverage was made using Poisson models. Statistical scanning was used for the detection of temporal-spaces clusters of cases., Results: 1936 cases were identified, of which 427 erythromycin resistant serotypes were identified. The incidence of all cases due to resistant serotypes was decreasing (AAPC: -5,40%). During the period studied, the incidence of cases due to erythromycin resistant STPCV13 was decreasing with an annual percentage change (APC): -13.8 and was inversely associated with childhood vaccination coverage (IRR 0.641), while that of cases due to erythromycin resistant STnoPCV13 was ascending (APC): 4.5; and was not associated with coverage. 1 cluster was detected by STnoPCV13 and none by STPCV13 after the date of inclusion of the 13-valent in the childhood vaccination calendar., Conclusions: The decrease in IPD due to resistant STPCV13 was associated with an increase in childhood vaccination coverage. The presence of clusters due to STnoPCV13 after the date of inclusion of the 13-valent vaccine in the childhood vaccination calendar indicates serotypes replacement. The increase in cases of resistant STnoPCV13 could be related to the replacement of vaccine serotypes in nasopharyngeal colonization, facilitated by the consumption of macrolides still at high levels in MC., (Copyright © 2021 Sociedad Española de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología Clínica. Published by Elsevier España, S.L.U. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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30. Exploring Urban Green Spaces' Effect against Traffic Exposure on Childhood Leukaemia Incidence.
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Ojeda Sánchez C, García-Pérez J, Gómez-Barroso D, Domínguez-Castillo A, Pardo Romaguera E, Cañete A, Ortega-García JA, and Ramis R
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- Child, Infant, Female, Humans, Incidence, Case-Control Studies, Housing, Environmental Exposure, Parks, Recreational, Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute
- Abstract
Background: Several environmental factors seem to be involved in childhood leukaemia incidence. Traffic exposure could increase the risk while urban green spaces (UGS) exposure could reduce it. However, there is no evidence how these two factors interact on this infant pathology., Objectives: to evaluate how residential proximity to UGS could be an environmental protective factor against traffic exposure on childhood leukaemia incidence., Methods: A population-based case control study was conducted across thirty Spanish regions during the period 2000-2018. It included 2526 incident cases and 15,156, individually matched by sex, year-of-birth, and place-of-residence. Using the geographical coordinates of the participants' home residences, a 500 m proxy for exposure to UGS was built. Annual average daily traffic (AADT) was estimated for all types of roads 100 m near the children's residence. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), UGS, traffic exposure, and their possible interactions were calculated for overall childhood leukaemia, and the acute lymphoblastic (ALL) and acute myeloblastic leukaemia (AML) subtypes, with adjustment for socio-demographic covariates., Results: We found an increment of childhood leukaemia incidence related to traffic exposure, for every 100 AADT increase the incidence raised 1.1% (95% CI: 0.58-1.61%). UGS exposure showed an incidence reduction for the highest exposure level, Q5 (OR = 0.63; 95% CI = 0.54-0.72). Regression models with both traffic exposure and UGS exposure variables showed similar results but the interaction was not significant., Conclusions: Despite their opposite effects on childhood leukaemia incidence individually, our results do not suggest a possible interaction between both exposures. This is the first study about the interaction of these two environmental factors; consequently, it is necessary to continue taking into account more individualized data and other possible environmental risk factors involved.
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- 2023
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31. A systematic review of environmental factors related to WNV circulation in European and Mediterranean countries.
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Giesen C, Herrador Z, Fernandez-Martinez B, Figuerola J, Gangoso L, Vazquez A, and Gómez-Barroso D
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Introduction/objective: West Nile virus (WNV) is one of the most widely distributed flaviviruses worldwide. It is considered an endemic and emerging pathogen in different areas of the Europe and Mediterranean countries (MR). Mosquitoes of the genus Culex spp. are the main vectors, and birds its main vertebrate hosts. It can occasionally infect mammals, including humans. Different environmental factors can influence its distribution and transmission through its effects on vector or host populations. Our objective was to determine environmental factors associated with changes in vector distribution and WNV transmission in Europe and MR., Material & Methods: Systematic peer review of articles published between 2000 and 2020. We selected studies on WNV, and its vectors carried out in Europe and MR. The search included terms referring to climatic and environmental factors., Results: We included 65 studies, of which 21 (32%) were conducted in Italy. Culex spp. was studied in 26 papers (40%), humans in 19 papers (29%) and host animals (mainly horses) in 16 papers (25%), whereas bird reservoirs were addressed in 5 studies (8%). A significant positive relationship was observed between changes in temperature and precipitation patterns and the epidemiology of WNV, although contrasting results were found among studies. Other factors positively related to WNV dynamics were the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI] and expansion of anthropized habitats., Conclusion: The epidemiology of WNV seems to be related to climatic factors that are changing globally due to ongoing climate change. Unfortunately, the complete zoonotic cycle was not analyzed in most papers, making it difficult to determine the independent impact of environment on the different components of the transmission cycle. Given the current expansion and endemicity of WNV in the area, it is important to adopt holistic approaches to understand WNV epidemiology and to improve WNV surveillance and control., Competing Interests: None., (© 2022 Published by Elsevier B.V.)
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- 2023
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32. Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Hepatitis A in Spain in the Context of the 2016/2017 European Outbreak.
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Guerrero-Vadillo M, Peñuelas M, Domínguez Á, Godoy P, Gómez-Barroso D, Soldevila N, Izquierdo C, Martínez A, Torner N, Avellón A, Rius C, and Varela C
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- Adolescent, Adult, Female, Humans, Male, Young Adult, Disease Outbreaks, Homosexuality, Male, Spain epidemiology, Hepatitis A epidemiology
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The aim of our study was to describe the results of the epidemiological surveillance of hepatitis A infections in Spain in the context of the 2016/2017 European outbreak, particularly of hepatitis A outbreaks reported in the MSM population, incorporating the results of a spatio-temporal analysis of cases. Hepatitis A cases and outbreaks reported in 2016-2017 to the National Epidemiological Surveillance Network were reviewed: outbreaks in which some of the cases belonged to the MSM group were described, and clusters of hepatitis A cases in men and women were analysed using a space-time scan statistic. Twenty-six outbreaks were identified, with a median size of two cases per outbreak, with most of the outbreak-related cases belonging to the 15-44 years-old group. Nearly 85% occurred in a household setting, and in all outbreaks, the mode of transmission was direct person-to-person contact. Regarding space-time analysis, twenty statistically significant clusters were identified in the male population and eight in the female population; clusters in men presented a higher number of observed cases and affected municipalities, as well as a higher percentage of municipalities classified as large urban areas. The elevated number of cases detected in clusters of men indicates that the number of MSM-related outbreaks may be higher than reported, showing that spatio-temporal analysis is a complementary, useful tool which may improve the detection of outbreaks in settings where epidemiological investigation may be more challenging.
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- 2022
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33. Socioeconomic differences in COVID-19 infection, hospitalisation and mortality in urban areas in a region in the South of Europe.
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Fernández-Martínez NF, Ruiz-Montero R, Gómez-Barroso D, Rodríguez-Torronteras A, Lorusso N, Salcedo-Leal I, and Sordo L
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- Humans, Socioeconomic Factors, Bayes Theorem, Spain epidemiology, Cities epidemiology, COVID-19 epidemiology
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Background: To analyse differences in confirmed cases, hospitalisations and deaths due to COVID-19 related to census section socioeconomic variables. METHODS: Ecological study in the 12 largest municipalities in Andalusia (Spain) during the first three epidemic waves of the COVID-19 (02/26/20-03/31/21), covering 2,246 census sections (unit of analysis) and 3,027,000 inhabitants. Incidence was calculated, standardised by age and sex, for infection, hospitalisation and deaths based on average gross income per household (AGI) for the census tracts in each urban area. Association studied using a Poisson Bayesian regression model with random effects for spatial smoothing., Results: There were 140,743 cases of COVID-19, of which 12,585 were hospitalised and 2,255 died. 95.2% of cases were attributed to the second and third waves, which were jointly analysed. We observed a protective effect of income for infection in 3/12 cities. Almeria had the largest protective effect (smoothed relative risk (SRR) = 0.84 (0.75-0.94 CI 95%). This relationship reappeared with greater magnitude in 10/12 cities for hospitalisation, lowest risk in Algeciras SRR = 0.41 (0.29-0.56). The pattern was repeated for deaths in all urban areas and reached statistical significance in 8 cities. Lowest risk in Dos Hermanas SRR = 0.35 (0.15-0.81)., Conclusions: Income inequalities by geographical area were found in the incidence of COVID-19. The strengths of the association increased when analysing the severe outcomes of hospitalisations and, above all, deaths., (© 2022. The Author(s).)
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- 2022
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34. Meteorological conditions and Legionnaires' disease sporadic cases-a systematic review.
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Pampaka D, Gómez-Barroso D, López-Perea N, Carmona R, and Portero RC
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- Humans, Humidity, Meteorology, Temperature, Weather, Legionnaires' Disease epidemiology, Legionnaires' Disease etiology
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A number of studies suggest that meteorological conditions are related to the risk of Legionnaires' disease (LD) but the findings are not consistent. A systematic review was conducted to investigate the association of weather with sporadic LD and highlight the key meteorological conditions related to this outcome. PubMed, EMBASE, The Cochrane Library and OpenGrey were searched on 26-27 March 2020 without date, language or location restrictions. Key words included "legionellosis", "legionnaires' disease", combined with "meteorological conditions", "weather", "temperature", "humidity", "rain", "ultraviolet rays", "wind speed", etc. Studies were excluded if they did not examine the exposure of interest, the outcome of interest and their association or if they only reported LD outbreak cases. The study was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines and it was registered in PROSPERO (#CRD42020168869). There were 811 articles, of which 17 were included in the review. The studies investigated different meteorological variables and most of them examined the combined effect of several variables. The most commonly examined factors were precipitation and temperature, followed by relative humidity. The studies suggested that increased precipitation, temperature and relative humidity were positively associated with the incidence of LD. There was limited evidence that higher wind speed, pressure, visibility, UV radiation and longer sunshine duration were inversely linked with the occurrence of LD. A period of increased but not very high temperatures, followed by a period of increased precipitation, favour the occurrence of LD. Increased awareness of the association of temperature and precipitation and LD occurrence among clinicians and public health professionals can improve differential diagnosis for cases of sporadic community-acquired pneumonia and at the same time contribute to improving LD surveillance., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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35. Concentrations of nitrogen compounds are related to severe rhinovirus infection in infants. A time-series analysis from the reference area of a pediatric university hospital in Barcelona.
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Armero G, Penela-Sánchez D, Belmonte J, Gómez-Barroso D, Larrauri A, Henares D, Vallejo V, Jordan I, Muñoz-Almagro C, Brotons P, and Launes C
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- Child, Hospitals, Pediatric, Humans, Infant, Nitrogen Compounds analysis, Rhinovirus, Air Pollutants adverse effects, Air Pollutants analysis, Air Pollution adverse effects, Air Pollution analysis, Respiratory Tract Infections epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: There is scarce information focused on the effect of weather conditions and air pollution on specific acute viral respiratory infections, such as rhinovirus (RV), with a wide clinical spectrum of severity., Objective: The aim of this study was to analyze the association between episodes of severe respiratory tract infection by RV and air pollutant concentrations (NO
x and SO2 ) in the reference area of a pediatric university hospital., Methods: An analysis of temporal series of daily values of NOx and SO2 , weather variables, circulating pollen and mold spores, and daily number of admissions in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) with severe respiratory RV infection (RVi) in children between 6 months and 18 years was performed. Lagged variables for 0-5 days were considered. The study spanned from 2010 to 2018. Patients with comorbidities were excluded., Results: One hundred and fifty patients were admitted to the PICU. Median age was 19 months old (interquartile range [IQR]: 11-47). No relationship between RV-PICU admissions and temperature, relative humidity, cumulative rainfall, or wind speed was found. Several logistic regression models with one pollutant and two pollutants were constructed but the best model was that which included average daily NOx concentrations. Average daily NOx concentrations were related with the presence of PICU admissions 3 days later (odds ratio per IQR-unit increase: 1.64, 95% confidence interval: 1.20-2.25))., Conclusions: This study has shown a positive correlation between NOx concentrations at Lag 3 and children's PICU admissions with severe RV respiratory infection. Air pollutant data should be taken into consideration when we try to understand the severity of RVis., (© 2022 The Authors. Pediatric Pulmonology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.)- Published
- 2022
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36. Assessing the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 transmission in Spain, 30 August 2020 to 31 January 2021.
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García-García D, Herranz-Hernández R, Rojas-Benedicto A, León-Gómez I, Larrauri A, Peñuelas M, Guerrero-Vadillo M, Ramis R, and Gómez-Barroso D
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- Bayes Theorem, Communicable Disease Control, Humans, Pandemics prevention & control, SARS-CoV-2, Spain epidemiology, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control
- Abstract
BackgroundAfter a national lockdown during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Spain, regional governments implemented different non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) during the second wave.AimTo analyse which implemented NPIs significantly impacted effective reproduction number (R
t ) in seven Spanish provinces during 30 August 2020-31 January 2021.MethodsWe coded each NPI and levels of stringency with a 'severity index' (SI) and computed a global SI (mean of SIs per six included interventions). We performed a Bayesian change point analysis on the Rt curve of each province to identify possible associations with global SI variations. We fitted and compared several generalised additive models using multimodel inference, to quantify the statistical effect on Rt of the global SI (stringency) and the individual SIs (separate effect of NPIs).ResultsThe global SI had a significant lowering effect on the Rt (mean: 0.16 ± 0.05 units for full stringency). Mandatory closing times for non-essential businesses, limited gatherings, and restricted outdoors seating capacities (negative) as well as curfews (positive) were the only NPIs with a significant effect. Regional mobility restrictions and limited indoors seating capacity showed no effect. Our results were consistent with a 1- to 3-week-delayed Rt as a response variable.ConclusionWhile response measures implemented during the second COVID-19 wave contributed substantially to a decreased reproduction number, the effectiveness of measures varied considerably. Our findings should be considered for future interventions, as social and economic consequences could be minimised by considering only measures proven effective.- Published
- 2022
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37. Exploring Blue Spaces' Effects on Childhood Leukaemia Incidence: A Population-Based Case-Control Study in Spain.
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Ojeda Sánchez C, García-Pérez J, Gómez-Barroso D, Domínguez-Castillo A, Pardo Romaguera E, Cañete A, Ortega-García JA, and Ramis R
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- Case-Control Studies, Child, Female, Housing, Humans, Incidence, Odds Ratio, Risk Factors, Spain epidemiology, Leukemia epidemiology, Leukemia etiology
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Background: Blue spaces have been a key part of human evolution, providing resources and helping economies develop. To date, no studies have been carried out to explore how they may be linked to paediatric oncological diseases., Objectives: To explore the possible relationship of residential proximity to natural and urban blue spaces on childhood leukaemia., Methods: A population-based case-control study was conducted in four regions of Spain across the period 2000-2018. A total of 936 incident cases and 5616 controls were included, individually matched by sex, year of birth and place of residence. An exposure proxy with four distances (250 m, 500 m, 750 m, and 1 km) to blue spaces was built using the geographical coordinates of the participants' home residences. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for blue-space exposure were calculated for overall childhood leukaemia, and the acute lymphoblastic (ALL) and acute myeloblastic leukaemia (AML) subtypes, with adjustment for socio-demographic and environmental covariates., Results: A decrease in overall childhood leukaemia and ALL-subtype incidence was found as we came nearer to children's places of residence, showing, for the study as a whole, a reduced incidence at 250 m (odds ratio (OR) = 0.77; 95%CI = 0.60-0.97), 500 m (OR = 0.78; 95%CI = 0.65-0.93), 750 m (OR = 0.80; 95%CI = 0.69-0.93), and 1000 m (OR = 0.84; 95%CI = 0.72-0.97). AML model results showed an increasing incidence at closest to subjects' homes (OR at 250m = 1.06; 95%CI=0.63-1.71)., Conclusions: Our results suggest a possible association between lower childhood leukaemia incidence and blue-space proximity. This study is a first approach to blue spaces' possible effects on childhood leukaemia incidence; consequently, it is necessary to continue studying these spaces-while taking into account more individualised data and other possible environmental risk factors.
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- 2022
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38. Near real-time surveillance of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic with incomplete data.
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De Salazar PM, Lu F, Hay JA, Gómez-Barroso D, Fernández-Navarro P, Martínez EV, Astray-Mochales J, Amillategui R, García-Fulgueiras A, Chirlaque MD, Sánchez-Migallón A, Larrauri A, Sierra MJ, Lipsitch M, Simón F, Santillana M, and Hernán MA
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- Humans, Reproducibility of Results, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 epidemiology, Epidemics
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When responding to infectious disease outbreaks, rapid and accurate estimation of the epidemic trajectory is critical. However, two common data collection problems affect the reliability of the epidemiological data in real time: missing information on the time of first symptoms, and retrospective revision of historical information, including right censoring. Here, we propose an approach to construct epidemic curves in near real time that addresses these two challenges by 1) imputation of dates of symptom onset for reported cases using a dynamically-estimated "backward" reporting delay conditional distribution, and 2) adjustment for right censoring using the NobBS software package to nowcast cases by date of symptom onset. This process allows us to obtain an approximation of the time-varying reproduction number (Rt) in real time. We apply this approach to characterize the early SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in two Spanish regions between March and April 2020. We evaluate how these real-time estimates compare with more complete epidemiological data that became available later. We explore the impact of the different assumptions on the estimates, and compare our estimates with those obtained from commonly used surveillance approaches. Our framework can help improve accuracy, quantify uncertainty, and evaluate frequently unstated assumptions when recovering the epidemic curves from limited data obtained from public health systems in other locations., Competing Interests: I have read the journal’s policy and some of the co-authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: ML discloses honoraria/consulting from Merck, Affinivax, Sanofi-Pasteur, Bristol Myers-Squibb, and Antigen Discovery; research funding (institutional) from Pfizer, and an unpaid scientific advice to Janssen, Astra-Zeneca, One Day Sooner, and Covaxx (United Biomedical). MS discloses having received institutional research support from Johnson and Johnson.The rest of co-authors declare no competing interest.
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- 2022
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39. Scabies in Spain? A comprehensive epidemiological picture.
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Redondo-Bravo L, Fernandez-Martinez B, Gómez-Barroso D, Gherasim A, García-Gómez M, Benito A, and Herrador Z
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- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Databases as Topic, Disease Outbreaks, Female, Geography, HIV Infections complications, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Patient Admission, Regression Analysis, Spain epidemiology, Statistics, Nonparametric, Time Factors, Young Adult, Scabies epidemiology
- Abstract
Introduction: Scabies is a neglected disease stablished worldwide with a fairy well determined incidence. In high-income countries, it often causes outbreaks affecting the residents and staff of institutions and long-term facilities, usually hard to detect and control due to the difficult diagnosis and notification delay. This study aim at characterizing the affected population, geographical distribution, and evolution of scabies in Spain from 1997-2019 as well as to describe the main environments of transmission using different data sources., Methods: We carried out a nationwide retrospective study using four databases, which record data from different perspectives: hospital admissions, patients attended at primary healthcare services, outbreaks, and occupational diseases. We described the main characteristics from each database and calculated annual incidences in order to evaluate temporal and geographical patterns. We also analyzed outbreaks and occupational settings to characterize the main transmission foci and applied Joinpoint regression models to detect trend changes., Results: The elderly was the most frequent collective among the hospital admitted patients and notified cases in outbreaks, while children and young adults were the most affected according to primary care databases. The majority of the outbreaks occurred in homes and nursing homes; however, the facilities with more cases per outbreak were military barracks, healthcare settings and nursing homes. Most occupational cases occurred also in healthcare and social services settings, being healthcare workers the most common affected professional group. We detected a decreasing trend in scabies admissions from 1997 to 2014 (annual percentage change -APC- = -11.2%) and an increasing trend from 2014 to 2017 (APC = 23.6%). Wide geographical differences were observed depending on the database explored., Discussion: An increasing trend in scabies admissions was observed in Spain since 2014, probably due to cutbacks in social services and healthcare in addition to worsen of living conditions as a result of the 2008 economic crisis, among other reasons. The main transmission foci were healthcare and social settings. Measures including enhancing epidemic studies and national registries, reinforcing clinical diagnosis and early detection of cases, hygiene improvements and training of the staff and wide implementation of scabies treatment (considering mass drug administration in institutions outbreaks) should be considered to reduce the impact of scabies among most vulnerable groups in Spain., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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- 2021
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40. Spatial and temporal analysis of invasive pneumococcal disease due to erythromycinresistant serotypes.
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Fernández Chávez AC, García Comas L, Gómez Barroso D, Ramis Prieto R, López Fresneña N, Bishofberguer Valdes C, and Aranaz Andrés JM
- Abstract
Objectives: To study the spatio-temporal distribution of cases of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) due to serotypes resistant to erythromycin and its relationship with community consumption of macrolides and childhood vaccination coverage., Methods: We selected IPD cases in adults over 59 years old, residents in the Community of Madrid (MC), notified in the period 2007-2016. The variables studied were obtained from the Vaccination Information Systems and the Pharmaceutical Service. The cut-off point (minimum inhibitory erythromycin concentration > 0.5 mg/L) of the EUCAST classification was used to define erythromycin resistant serotypes. We used JointPoint to estimate the incidence trends by erythromycin resistant serotypes included in the 13-valent vaccine (STPCV13) and not included in it (STnoPCV13). The association of these incidences with the community consumption of macrolides and vaccination coverage was made using Poisson models. Statistical scanning was used for the detection of temporal-spaces clusters of cases., Results: 1936 cases were identified, of which 427 erythromycin resistant serotypes were identified. The incidence of all cases due to resistant serotypes was decreasing (AAPC: -5,40%). During the period studied, the incidence of cases due to erythromycin resistant STPCV13 was decreasing with an annual percentage change (APC): -13.8 and was inversely associated with childhood vaccination coverage (IRR 0.641), while that of cases due to erythromycin resistant STnoPCV13 was ascending (APC): 4.5; and was not associated with coverage. 1 cluster was detected by STnoPCV13 and none by STPCV13 after the date of inclusion of the 13-valent in the childhood vaccination calendar., Conclusions: The decrease in IPD due to resistant STPCV13 was associated with an increase in childhood vaccination coverage. The presence of clusters due to STnoPCV13 after the date of inclusion of the 13-valent vaccine in the childhood vaccination calendar indicates serotypes replacement. The increase in cases of resistant STnoPCV13 could be related to the replacement of vaccine serotypes in nasopharyngeal colonization, facilitated by the consumption of macrolides still at high levels in MC., (Copyright © 2021 Sociedad Española de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología Clínica. Publicado por Elsevier España, S.L.U. All rights reserved.)
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- 2021
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41. Real time surveillance of COVID-19 space and time clusters during the summer 2020 in Spain.
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Rosillo N, Del-Águila-Mejía J, Rojas-Benedicto A, Guerrero-Vadillo M, Peñuelas M, Mazagatos C, Segú-Tell J, Ramis R, and Gómez-Barroso D
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- Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Humans, Prospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, Spain epidemiology, COVID-19
- Abstract
Background: On June 21st de-escalation measures and state-of-alarm ended in Spain after the COVID-19 first wave. New surveillance and control strategy was set up to detect emerging outbreaks., Aim: To detect and describe the evolution of COVID-19 clusters and cases during the 2020 summer in Spain., Methods: A near-real time surveillance system to detect active clusters of COVID-19 was developed based on Kulldorf's prospective space-time scan statistic (STSS) to detect daily emerging active clusters., Results: Analyses were performed daily during the summer 2020 (June 21st - August 31st) in Spain, showing an increase of active clusters and municipalities affected. Spread happened in the study period from a few, low-cases, regional-located clusters in June to a nationwide distribution of bigger clusters encompassing a higher average number of municipalities and total cases by end-August., Conclusion: STSS-based surveillance of COVID-19 can be of utility in a low-incidence scenario to help tackle emerging outbreaks that could potentially drive a widespread transmission. If that happens, spatial trends and disease distribution can be followed with this method. Finally, cluster aggregation in space and time, as observed in our results, could suggest the occurrence of community transmission.
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- 2021
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42. Near real-time surveillance of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic with incomplete data.
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De Salazar PM, Lu F, Hay JA, Gómez-Barroso D, Fernández-Navarro P, Martínez E, Astray-Mochales J, Amillategui R, García-Fulgueiras A, Chirlaque MD, Sánchez-Migallón A, Larrauri A, Sierra MJ, Lipsitch M, Simón F, Santillana M, and Hernán MA
- Abstract
Designing public health responses to outbreaks requires close monitoring of population-level health indicators in real-time. Thus, an accurate estimation of the epidemic curve is critical. We propose an approach to reconstruct epidemic curves in near real time. We apply this approach to characterize the early SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in two Spanish regions between March and April 2020. We address two data collection problems that affected the reliability of the available real-time epidemiological data, namely, the frequent missing information documenting when a patient first experienced symptoms, and the frequent retrospective revision of historical information (including right censoring). This is done by using a novel back-calculating procedure based on imputing patients' dates of symptom onset from reported cases, according to a dynamically-estimated "backward" reporting delay conditional distribution, and adjusting for right censoring using an existing package, NobBS , to estimate in real time (nowcast) cases by date of symptom onset. This process allows us to obtain an approximation of the time-varying reproduction number ( R
t ) in real-time. At each step, we evaluate how different assumptions affect the recovered epidemiological events and compare the proposed approach to the alternative procedure of merely using curves of case counts, by report day, to characterize the time-evolution of the outbreak. Finally, we assess how these real-time estimates compare with subsequently documented epidemiological information that is considered more reliable and complete that became available later in time. Our approach may help improve accuracy, quantify uncertainty, and evaluate frequently unstated assumptions when recovering the epidemic curves from limited data obtained from public health surveillance systems in other locations.- Published
- 2021
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43. Environmental drivers, climate change and emergent diseases transmitted by mosquitoes and their vectors in southern Europe: A systematic review.
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Brugueras S, Fernández-Martínez B, Martínez-de la Puente J, Figuerola J, Porro TM, Rius C, Larrauri A, and Gómez-Barroso D
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- Animals, Climate Change, Croatia, Europe epidemiology, France, Greece, Humans, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Aedes, Culicidae, Zika Virus, Zika Virus Infection epidemiology
- Abstract
Mosquito borne diseases are a group of infections that affect humans. Emerging or reemerging diseases are those that (re)occur in regions, groups or hosts that were previously free from these diseases: dengue virus; chikungunya virus; Zika virus; West Nile fever and malaria. In Europe, these infections are mostly imported; however, due to the presence of competent mosquitoes and the number of trips both to and from endemic areas, these pathogens are potentially emergent or re-emergent. Present and future climatic conditions, as well as meteorological, environmental and demographic aspects are risk factors for the distribution of different vectors and/or diseases. This review aimed to identify and analyze the existing literature on the transmission of mosquito borne diseases and those factors potentially affecting their transmission risk of them in six southern European countries with similar environmental conditions: Croatia, France, Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain. In addition, we would identify those factors potentially affecting the (re)introduction or spread of mosquito vectors. This task has been undertaken with a focus on the environmental and climatic factors, including the effects of climate change. We undertook a systematic review of the vectors, diseases and their associations with climactic and environmental factors in European countries of the Mediterranean region. We followed the PRISMA guidelines and used explicit and systematic methods to identify, select and critically evaluate the studies which were relevant to the topic. We identified 1302 articles in the first search of the databases. Of those, 160 were selected for full-text review. The final data set included 61 articles published between 2000 and 2017.39.3% of the papers were related with dengue, chikungunya and Zika virus or their vectors. Temperature, precipitation and population density were key factors among others. 32.8% studied West Nile virus and its vectors, being temperature, precipitation and NDVI the most frequently used variables. Malaria have been studied in 23% of the articles, with temperature, precipitation and presence of water indexes as the most used variables. The number of publications focused on mosquito borne diseases is increasing in recent years, reflecting the increased interest in that diseases in southern European countries. Climatic and environmental variables are key factors on mosquitoes' distribution and to show the risk of emergence and/or spread of emergent diseases and to study the spatial changes in that distributions., (Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2020
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44. Autochthonous leprosy in Spain: Has the transmission of Mycobacterium leprae stopped?
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Suárez-García I, Gómez-Barroso D, and Fine PEM
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- Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Female, Geography, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Mycobacterium leprae isolation & purification, Sex Factors, Spain epidemiology, Travel, Leprosy epidemiology, Leprosy transmission
- Abstract
Background: The aim of this study is to explore whether transmission of M. leprae has ceased in Spain, based upon the patterns and trends of notified cases., Methodology: Data on new cases reported to the National Leprosy Registry between the years 2003-2018 were extracted. In absence of detailed travel history, cases were considered "autochthonous" or "imported" based on whether they were born within or outside of Spain. These data were analyzed by age, sex, clinical type, country of origin, and location of residence at time of notification., Principal Findings: Data were available on 61 autochthonous and 199 imported cases since 2003. There were clear declines in incidence in both groups, and more imported than autochthonous cases every year since 2006. Autochthonous cases were more frequently multibacillary and had older age at diagnosis compared to imported cases. All the autochthonous cases had been born before 1985 and were more than 25 years old at diagnosis. Male-to-female ratio increased with time for autochthonous cases (except for the last time period). The imported cases originated from 25 countries, half of them from Brasil and Paraguay. Autochthonous cases were mainly distributed in the traditionally endemic regions, especially Andalucía and the eastern Mediterranean coast., Conclusions: Autochthonous and imported cases have different epidemiologic patterns in Spain. There was a clear decline in incidence rates of autochthonous disease, and patterns consistent with those reported from other regions where transmission has ceased. Autochthonous transmission of M. leprae is likely to have now effectively stopped in Spain., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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- 2020
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45. Spatial and temporal trends of Mediterranean spotted fever in Spain, 2005-2015.
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Romaní Vidal A, Fernández-Martínez B, Herrador Z, León Gómez I, and Gómez Barroso D
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- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Animals, Boutonneuse Fever microbiology, Child, Child, Preschool, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Incidence, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Rhipicephalus sanguineus microbiology, Spain epidemiology, Young Adult, Boutonneuse Fever epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks, Rickettsia conorii physiology
- Abstract
Background: Mediterranean spotted fever (MSF) is a zoonotic disease caused by Rickettsia conorii and transmitted by Rhipicephalus sanguineus sensu lato. The aim of this study is to understand the epidemiology and trends regarding the disease in Spain, based on notifications to the Spanish National Epidemiology Surveillance Network (RENAVE) and the National Hospital Discharge Database (CMBD) between 2005 and 2015., Methods: We carried out a retrospective cross-sectional study of the cases and the outbreaks reported to the RENAVE and of those found in the CMBD between January 1
st , 2005 and December 31st , 2015. We studied the characteristics of the cases and analyzed their spatio-temporal distribution., Results: 1603 cases notified to the RENAVE and 1789 cases registered in the CMBD were analyzed. The most affected group were men between 45 and 64. There were 8 MSF outbreaks during the study period. RENAVE registered lower rates until 2012, when it was decided that MSF in Spain would become a notifiable disease. Across the temporal series we saw that there was seasonality with an increase in cases in summer, and an overall upward trend according to the RENAVE data and descending according to the CMBD. The geographic distribution was heterogeneous throughout the territory, with maximum rates in La Rioja at 1.87 cases and 2.01 cases per 100,000 inhabitants according to the RENAVE and the CMBD, respectively., Conclusions: It is of great importance to continue monitoring the disease since it appears to be endemic throughout Spain. There is a need for a common strategy on monitoring and reporting, which would facilitate a more accurate picture on the MSF epidemiological scenario. Entomological information will be of added value., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing Interest None., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2020
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46. Imported cases of malaria in Spain: observational study using nationally reported statistics and surveillance data, 2002-2015.
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Herrador Z, Fernández-Martinez B, Quesada-Cubo V, Diaz-Garcia O, Cano R, Benito A, and Gómez-Barroso D
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- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Chemoprevention statistics & numerical data, Communicable Diseases, Imported parasitology, Communicable Diseases, Imported prevention & control, Female, Humans, Incidence, Malaria, Falciparum parasitology, Malaria, Falciparum prevention & control, Malaria, Vivax parasitology, Malaria, Vivax prevention & control, Male, Middle Aged, Plasmodium falciparum physiology, Plasmodium vivax physiology, Prevalence, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Spain epidemiology, Travel statistics & numerical data, Young Adult, Antimalarials administration & dosage, Communicable Diseases, Imported epidemiology, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, Malaria, Falciparum epidemiology, Malaria, Vivax epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Malaria was eliminated in Spain in 1964. Since then, more than 10,000 cases of malaria have been reported, mostly in travellers and migrants, making it the most frequently imported disease into this country. In order to improve knowledge on imported malaria cases characteristics, the two main malaria data sources were assessed: the national surveillance system and the hospital discharge database (CMBD)., Methods: Observational study using prospectively gathered surveillance data and CMBD records between 2002 and 2015. The average number of hospitalizations per year was calculated to assess temporal patterns. Socio-demographic, clinical and travel background information were analysed. Bivariate and multivariable statistical methods were employed to evaluate hospitalization risk, fatal outcome, continent of infection and chemoprophylaxis failure and their association with different factors., Results: A total of 9513 malaria hospital discharges and 7421 reported malaria cases were identified. The number of reported cases was below the number of hospitalizations during the whole study period, with a steady increase trend in both databases since 2008. Males aged 25-44 were the most represented in both data sources. Most frequent related co-diagnoses were anaemia (20.2%) and thrombocytopaenia (15.4%). The risks of fatal outcome increased with age and were associated with the parasite species (Plasmodium falciparum). The main place of infection was Africa (88.9%), particularly Equatorial Guinea (33.2%). Most reported cases were visiting friends and relatives (VFRs) and immigrants (70.2%). A significant increased likelihood of hospitalization was observed for children under 10 years (aOR:2.7; 95% CI 1.9-3.9), those infected by Plasmodium vivax (4.3; 95% CI 2.1-8.7) and travellers VFRs (1.4; 95% CI 1.1-1.7). Only 4% of cases reported a correct regime of chemoprophylaxis. Being male, over 15 years, VFRs, migrant and born in an endemic country were associated to increased risk of failure in preventive chemotherapy., Conclusions: The joint analysis of two data sources allowed for better characterization of imported malaria profile in Spain. Despite the availability of highly effective preventive measures, the preventable burden from malaria is high in Spain. Pre-travel advice and appropriately delivered preventive messages needs to be improved, particularly in migrants and VFRs.
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- 2019
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47. Zika virus disease in Spain. Surveillance results and epidemiology on reported cases, 2015-2017.
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Fernández Martínez B, Martínez Sánchez EV, Díaz García O, Gómez Barroso D, Sierra Moros MJ, and Cano Portero R
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- Adolescent, Adult, Aedes virology, Animals, Female, Geography, Medical, Humans, Infant, Newborn, Insect Vectors virology, Male, Middle Aged, Population Surveillance, Pregnancy, Pregnancy Complications, Infectious epidemiology, Seroconversion, Spain epidemiology, Travel-Related Illness, Young Adult, Zika Virus isolation & purification, Zika Virus Infection congenital, Zika Virus Infection diagnosis, Zika Virus Infection transmission, Zika Virus Infection epidemiology
- Abstract
Introduction and Objective: Zika virus disease is a challenge for public health due to its rapid spread and potential foetal complications. Although it is imported in Spain, there is a risk of autochthonous transmission due to Aedes albopictus presence. Zika disease and congenital cases have been under surveillance since 2016. The objective of this study is to explore the epidemiology of disease and pregnancies result., Material and Methods: A descriptive study was carried out into cases reported to the National Surveillance Network (RENAVE) during the 30/11/2015 to 31/12/2017 period. The case definition and the survey are included in the RENAVE protocol. The variables were: date; notifying region (Autonomous Community (AC)); pregnancy and its evolution; case classification; mode of transmission; country or region of infection; socio-demographical, clinical and microbiological data. A descriptive analysis of the cases and their distribution according to the other variables was carried out., Results: A total of 512 cases were reported by 17 ACs. 507 were non-congenital, of which 327 (64.5%) were women (52.5% of childbearing age). 403 cases (79.5%) corresponded to 2016 and 193 (38.1%) resided in regions with A. albopictus presence between May and October. 96.1% of imported cases were infected in America (51.7% while visiting relatives). Three cases (3.9%) of congenital Zika virus infection were detected among 77 pregnant women., Conclusions: The evolution of reported cases was in accordance with that of the epidemic in America. The largest group of travellers was young women who travelled to Latin America on family visits. Pregnancy monitoring resulted in the identification of Zika related foetal complications., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier España, S.L.U. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2019
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48. Methodological approaches to the study of cancer risk in the vicinity of pollution sources: the experience of a population-based case-control study of childhood cancer.
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García-Pérez J, Gómez-Barroso D, Tamayo-Uria I, and Ramis R
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- Case-Control Studies, Child, Humans, Incidence, Risk Factors, Spain epidemiology, Environmental Pollution adverse effects, Neoplasms diagnosis, Neoplasms epidemiology, Population Surveillance methods
- Abstract
Background: Environmental exposures are related to the risk of some types of cancer, and children are the most vulnerable group of people. This study seeks to present the methodological approaches used in the papers of our group about risk of childhood cancers in the vicinity of pollution sources (industrial and urban sites). A population-based case-control study of incident childhood cancers in Spain and their relationship with residential proximity to industrial and urban areas was designed. Two methodological approaches using mixed multiple unconditional logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were developed: (a) "near vs. far" analysis, where possible excess risks of cancers in children living near ("near") versus those living far ("far") from industrial and urban areas were assessed; and (b) "risk gradient" analysis, where the risk gradient in the vicinity of industries was assessed. For each one of the two approaches, three strategies of analysis were implemented: "joint", "stratified", and "individualized" analysis. Incident cases were obtained from the Spanish Registry of Childhood Cancer (between 1996 and 2011)., Results: Applying this methodology, associations between proximity (≤ 2 km) to specific industrial and urban zones and risk (OR; 95% CI) of leukemias (1.31; 1.04-1.65 for industrial areas, and 1.28; 1.00-1.53 for urban areas), neuroblastoma (2.12; 1.18-3.83 for both industrial and urban areas), and renal (2.02; 1.16-3.52 for industrial areas) and bone (4.02; 1.73-9.34 for urban areas) tumors have been suggested., Conclusions: The two methodological approaches were used as a very useful and flexible tool to analyze the excess risk of childhood cancers in the vicinity of industrial and urban areas, which can be extrapolated and generalized to other cancers and chronic diseases, and adapted to other types of pollution sources.
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- 2019
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49. Childhood leukaemia risk and residential proximity to busy roads.
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Tamayo-Uria I, Boldo E, García-Pérez J, Gómez-Barroso D, Romaguera EP, Cirach M, and Ramis R
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- Adolescent, Case-Control Studies, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Incidence, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Leukemia epidemiology, Logistic Models, Male, Odds Ratio, Registries, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Spain epidemiology, Housing, Leukemia etiology, Motor Vehicles
- Abstract
Background: Current evidence suggests that childhood leukaemia can be associated with residential traffic exposure; nevertheless, more results are needed to support this conclusion., Objectives: To ascertain the possible effects of residential proximity to road traffic on childhood leukaemia, taking into account traffic density, road proximity and the type of leukaemia (acute lymphoid leukaemia or acute myeloid leukaemia)., Methods: We conducted a population-based case-control study of childhood leukaemia in Spain, covering the period 1990-2011. It included 1061 incidence cases gathered from the Spanish National Childhood Cancer Registry and those Autonomous Regions with 100% coverage, and 6447 controls, individually matched by year of birth, sex and autonomous region of residence. Distances were computed from the respective participant's residential locations to the different types of roads and four different buffers. Using logistic regression, odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs), were calculated for four different categories of distance to roads., Results: Cases of childhood leukaemia had more than three-fold increased odds of living at <50 m of the busiest motorways compared to controls (OR = 2.90; 95%CI = 1.30-6.49). The estimates for acute lymphoid leukaemia (ALL) were slightly higher (OR = 2.95; 95%CI = 1.22-7.14), while estimates for cases with the same address at birth and at diagnosis were lower (OR = 2.40; 95%CI = 0.70-8.30)., Conclusions: Our study agrees with the literature and furnishes some evidence that living near a busy motorway could be a risk factor for childhood leukaemia., (Copyright © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2018
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50. Spatial clustering of onchocerciasis in Bioko Island, Equatorial Guinea.
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Gómez-Barroso D, Moya L, Herrador Z, García B, Nguema J, Ncogo P, Aparicio P, and Benito A
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- Animals, Cluster Analysis, Cross-Sectional Studies, Equatorial Guinea epidemiology, Humans, Linear Models, Onchocerca volvulus, Onchocerciasis etiology, Onchocerciasis transmission, Rivers parasitology, Spatial Analysis, Surveys and Questionnaires, Onchocerciasis epidemiology, Water Supply
- Abstract
Introduction: Onchocerciasis is a chronic neglected tropical disease caused by the filarial nematode Onchocerca volvulus, which is endemic in Equatorial Guinea. The aim was to estimate the current spatial distribution of onchocerciasis, and its related factors, in Bioko Island after several years of mass drug administration and vector control activities, by using GIS technics., Methodology: The survey was carried out within the framework of a wider research project entitled "Strengthening the National Programme for Control of Onchocerciasis and other Filariasis in Equatorial Guinea". A structured questionnaire was designed to cover basic socio-demographic information and risk factors for onchocerciasis and the coordinates of household. the hydrographic network data to calculate the positive onchocerciasis rate was used. Poisson generalized linear model was used to explore the association between onchocerciasis and the following covariates: distance to the river, preventive practices, water source and household´s main source of income. Two different cluster analysis methods were used: Getis-Ord Gi statistic and SaTScan™ purely spatial statistic estimator., Results: The risk of onchocerciasis was higher for those who drank water from external sources (RR 25.3) than for those who drank home tap water (RR 8.0). The clusters with z-score higher were located at the east of the island. For 5 km and 1 km distances, one significant cluster in the east was detected (RR 5.91 and RR 7.15)., Conclusion: No environmental factors related with onchocerciasis were found, including proximity to rivers. This could be partially explained by the fact that the vector was eliminated in 2005., Competing Interests: No Conflict of Interest is declared, (Copyright (c) 2018 Diana Gómez-Barroso, Laura Moya, Zaida Herrador, Belén García, Justino Nguema, Policarpo Ncogo, Pilar Aparicio, Agustín Benito.)
- Published
- 2018
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