27 results on '"AUFLIČ, Mateja JEMEC"'
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2. Preliminary Result of Real-Time Landslide Monitoring in the Case of the Hinterland of Koroška Bela, NW Slovenia
- Author
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Peternel, Tina, Šegina, Ela, Zupan, Matija, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Jež, Jernej, Sassa, Kyoji, Series Editor, Tiwari, Binod, editor, Bobrowsky, Peter T., editor, and Takara, Kaoru, editor
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Integration of landslide hazard into urban planning across Europe
- Author
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Mateos, Rosa María, López-Vinielles, Juan, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Tsagkas, Dimetrios, Sheehy, Michael, Hadjicharalambous, Kleopas, Liscák, Pavel, Podolski, Laszlo, Laskowicz, Izabela, Iadanza, Carla, Gauert, Christoph, Todorović, Saša, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Maftei, Raluca, Hermanns, Reginald L, Kociu, Arben, Sandić, Cvjetko, Mauter, Rike, Sarro, Roberto, Béjar, Marta, and Herrera, Gerardo
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. TXT-tool 2.386-2.1: SAR Interferometry as a Tool for Detection of Landslides in Early Phases
- Author
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Komac, Marko, Peternel, Tina, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Sassa, Kyoji, editor, Guzzetti, Fausto, editor, Yamagishi, Hiromitsu, editor, Arbanas, Željko, editor, Casagli, Nicola, editor, McSaveney, Mauri, editor, and Dang, Khang, editor
- Published
- 2018
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- View/download PDF
5. Preliminary Result of Real-Time Landslide Monitoring in the Case of the Hinterland of Koroška Bela, NW Slovenia
- Author
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Peternel, Tina, primary, Šegina, Ela, additional, Zupan, Matija, additional, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, additional, and Jež, Jernej, additional
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- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Modelling a Landslide Probability Through Time as a Basis for the Landslide Hazard Forecast System
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Komac, Marko, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Yamagishi, Hiromitsu, editor, and Bhandary, Netra Prakash, editor
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- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. Integration of Geohazards into Urban and Land-Use Planning. Towards a Landslide Directive. The EuroGeoSurveys Questionnaire
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Mateos, Rosa María, Herrera, Gerardo, García-Davalillo, Juan Carlos, Grandjean, Gilles, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Maftei, Raluca, Filipciuc, Tatiana-Constantina, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Jez, Jernej, Podolszki, Laszlo, Trigila, Alessandro, Comerci, Valerio, Raetzo, Hugo, Kociu, Arben, Przyłucka, Maria, Kułak, Marcin, Laskowicz, Izabela, Sheehy, Michael, Kopackova, Veronika, Frei, Michaela, Kuhn, Dirk, Dehls, John F., Hermanns, Reginald L., Koulermou, Niki, Smith, Colby A., Engdahl, Mats, Pagespetit, Pere Buxó, González, Marta, Banks, Vanessa, Dashwood, Claire, Reeves, Helen, Cigna, Francesca, Liščák, Pavel, Mikulėnas, Vidas, Demir, Vedad, Raha, Margus, Quental, Lidia, Oliveira, Daniel, Dias, Ruben, Sandić, Cvjetko, Mikos, Matjaz, editor, Tiwari, Binod, editor, Yin, Yueping, editor, and Sassa, Kyoji, editor
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- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. Increasing Fatal Landslides in Europe
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Haque, Ubydul, da Silva, Paula F., Lee, Juneseok, Benz, Susanne, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Blum, Philipp, Mikos, Matjaz, editor, Tiwari, Binod, editor, Yin, Yueping, editor, and Sassa, Kyoji, editor
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Landslide monitoring techniques in the Geological Surveys of Europe
- Author
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Slovenian Research Agency, Herrera García, Gerardo [0000-0002-6633-9184], Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María [0000-0002-3905-0692], Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Herrera García, Gerardo, Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Quental, Lídia, Severine, Bernardie, Peternel, Tina, Podolszki, Laszlo, Calcaterra, Stefano, Kociu, Arben, Warmuz, Bartłomiej, Jelének, Jan, Hadjicharalambous, Kleopas, Becher, Gustaf Peterson, Dashwood, Claire, Ondrus, Peter, Minkevičius, Vytautas, Todorović, Saša, Møller, Jens Jørgen, Marturià, Jordi J., Slovenian Research Agency, Herrera García, Gerardo [0000-0002-6633-9184], Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María [0000-0002-3905-0692], Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Herrera García, Gerardo, Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Quental, Lídia, Severine, Bernardie, Peternel, Tina, Podolszki, Laszlo, Calcaterra, Stefano, Kociu, Arben, Warmuz, Bartłomiej, Jelének, Jan, Hadjicharalambous, Kleopas, Becher, Gustaf Peterson, Dashwood, Claire, Ondrus, Peter, Minkevičius, Vytautas, Todorović, Saša, Møller, Jens Jørgen, and Marturià, Jordi J.
- Abstract
[EN] Landslide monitoring is a mandatory step in landslide risk assessment. It requires collecting data on landslide conditions (e.g., areal extent, landslide kinematics, surface topography, hydrogeometeorological parameters, and failure surfaces) from different time periods and at different scales, from site-specific to local, regional, and national, to assess landslide activity. In this analysis, we collected information on landslide monitoring techniques from 17 members of the Earth Observation and Geohazards Expert Group (from EuroGeoSurveys) deployed between 2005 and 2021. We examined the types of the 75 recorded landslides, the landslide techniques, spatial resolution, temporal resolution, status of the technique (operational, non-operational), time of using (before the event, during the event, after the event), and the applicability of the technique in early warning systems. The research does not indicate the accuracy of each technique but, rather, the extent to which Geological Surveys conduct landslide monitoring and the predominant techniques used. Among the types of landslides, earth slides predominate and are mostly monitored by geological and engineering geological mapping. The results showed that Geological Surveys mostly utilized more traditional monitoring techniques since they have a broad mandate to collect geological data. In addition, this paper provides new insights into the role of the Geological Surveys on landslide monitoring in Europe and contributes to landslide risk reduction initiatives and commitments (e.g., the Kyoto Landslide Commitment 2020).
- Published
- 2023
10. A National Warning System for Rainfall-Induced Landslides in Slovenia
- Author
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Komac, Marko, Šinigoj, Jasna, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Sassa, Kyoji, editor, Canuti, Paolo, editor, and Yin, Yueping, editor
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- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. TXT-tool 2.386-2.1: SAR Interferometry as a Tool for Detection of Landslides in Early Phases
- Author
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Komac, Marko, primary, Peternel, Tina, additional, and Auflič, Mateja Jemec, additional
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- 2017
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- View/download PDF
12. Fatal landslides in Europe
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Haque, Ubydul, Blum, Philipp, da Silva, Paula F., Andersen, Peter, Pilz, Jürgen, Chalov, Sergey R., Malet, Jean-Philippe, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Andres, Norina, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Lamas, Pedro C., Zhang, Wenyi, Peshevski, Igor, Pétursson, Halldór G., Kurt, Tayfun, Dobrev, Nikolai, García-Davalillo, Juan Carlos, Halkia, Matina, Ferri, Stefano, Gaprindashvili, George, Engström, Johanna, and Keellings, David
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- 2016
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13. Assessing of Spatio-Temporal Factors Influencing Landslides Using PSInSAR
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Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Čarman, Magda, Komac, Marko, Margottini, Claudio, editor, Canuti, Paolo, editor, and Sassa, Kyoji, editor
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- 2013
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14. Objectives and main results of “Community Participation for Landslide Disaster Risk Reduction” thematic papers
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Klimeš, Jan, Calvello, Michele, and Auflič, Mateja Jemec
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- 2019
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15. Composite landslide in the dynamic alpine conditions: a case study of Urbas landslide.
- Author
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ŠEGINA, Ela, AUFLIČ, Mateja JEMEC, ZUPAN, Matija, JEŽ, Jernej, and PETERNEL, Tina
- Subjects
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LANDSLIDES , *ROCKFALL , *EXTREME weather , *DEBRIS avalanches , *WEATHER , *VALLEYS , *GEOLOGY - Abstract
The alpine environment is characterized by complex geology, high-energy terrain, deeply incised river valleys with high erosional potential, extreme weather conditions and dynamic geomorphic processes. Such settings provide favourable conditions for the formation of composite landslides rather than individual slope mass movement phenomena. As an example, we present the kinematics of the composite landslide Urbas in the North of Slovenia which developed in the complex geological and morphological settings characteristic of the alpine environment. The research combines several monitoring techniques and involves the integration of both surface and subsurface displacements measured in the landslide area. The results indicate that the composite sliding process consists of several simultaneous and interrelated types of movements occurring in different segments of the unstable mass that are governed by different mechanisms of displacements, such as rockfall, sliding and debris flow. The kinematic characteristics of a deep-seated landslide that formed in such conditions vary spatially, but is rather homogenuous vertically, indicating translational type of movement. Spatial kinematic heterogeneity is primarily related to the diverse terrain topography, reflecting in different displacement trends. Based on the revealed kinematic proprieties of the sliding material, the sediment discharge illustrates the sliding material balance which estimates the volume of the retaining material that represents the potential for slope mass movement events of larger scales. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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16. Integration of landslide hazard into urban planning across Europe
- Author
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European Commission, Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España), Béjar Pizarro, Marta [0000-0001-7449-4048], Herrera García, Gerardo [0000-0002-6633-9184], Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María, López-Vinielles, Juan, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Tsagkas, Dimetrios, Sheehy, Michael, Hadjicharalambous, Kleopas, Liščák, Pavel, Podolski, Laszlo, Laskowicz, Izabela, Iadanza, Carla, Gauert, Christoph, Todorović, Saša, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Maftei, Raluca, Hermanns, Reginald L., Kociu, Arben, Sandić, Cvjetko, Mauter, Rike, Sarro Trigueros, Roberto, Béjar Pizarro, Marta, Herrera García, Gerardo, European Commission, Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (España), Béjar Pizarro, Marta [0000-0001-7449-4048], Herrera García, Gerardo [0000-0002-6633-9184], Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María, López-Vinielles, Juan, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Tsagkas, Dimetrios, Sheehy, Michael, Hadjicharalambous, Kleopas, Liščák, Pavel, Podolski, Laszlo, Laskowicz, Izabela, Iadanza, Carla, Gauert, Christoph, Todorović, Saša, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Maftei, Raluca, Hermanns, Reginald L., Kociu, Arben, Sandić, Cvjetko, Mauter, Rike, Sarro Trigueros, Roberto, Béjar Pizarro, Marta, and Herrera García, Gerardo
- Abstract
[EN] An enquiry-based and participatory analysis approach is carried out to identify the strengths and weaknesses in the heterogeneous legislations across Europe that regulate the integration of landslide hazard into urban planning. Twenty one national and eight regional Geological Surveys (GSs) have participated in the analysis. The GSs report almost 4000 recent (2015–2017) damaging landslides events resulting in 39 fatalities and 155 injuries, destruction to housing, infrastructure and properties. In addition, 11 countries report 18 MORLE events over the past 10 years responsible for 150 fatalities and severe economic impacts. Results also reveal almost 48 million people living in areas with high and very high degrees of landslide-susceptibility (around 1 million km2 according to ELSUS v2). This work shows that almost half the participating countries (10 countries) have no legal guidance in the National Land Bill to stipulate consideration of landslides in urban planning practices, and mapping tools are often not adapted to a standard required to inform sustainable development. Furthermore, there is a wide range of laws and a large heterogeneity of mapping methods, scales and procedures. A relevant deficiency detected in many countries is the lack of landslide maps at a detailed resolution for urban planning. Additionally, some case studies of suboptimal urban development practices in areas of known instability have been discussed; they are found to be related to weak rule of law and/or absence of good governance. This paper shows inconsistencies across Europe in the handling of landslides and proposes a series of key actions to improve this situation, highlighting the need for a common regulatory framework to deal with this geohazard appropriately.
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- 2020
17. Monitoring Surface Displacement of a Deep-Seated Landslide by a Low-Cost and near Real-Time GNSS System
- Author
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Šegina, Ela, primary, Peternel, Tina, additional, Urbančič, Tilen, additional, Realini, Eugenio, additional, Zupan, Matija, additional, Jež, Jernej, additional, Caldera, Stefano, additional, Gatti, Andrea, additional, Tagliaferro, Giulio, additional, Consoli, Angelo, additional, González, Joaquín Reyes, additional, and Auflič, Mateja Jemec, additional
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- 2020
- Full Text
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18. Analiza časovne porazdelitve padavinskih vzorcev pri pojavljanju zemeljskih plazov na območju Posavskega hribovja, vzhodna Slovenija
- Author
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Galena Jordanova, Verbovšek, Timotej, and Auflič, Mateja Jemec
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- 2019
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19. Integration of geohazards into urban and land-use planning. Towards a Landslide Directive. The EuroGeoSurveys Questionnaire
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Mikos, M., Mateos, Rosa María, Herrera, Gerardo, García-Davalillo, Juan Carlos, Grandjean, Gilles, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Maftei, Raluca, Filipciuc, Tatiana-Constantina, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Jez, Jernej, Podolszki, Laszlo, Trigila, Alessandro, Comerci, Valerio, Raetzo, Hugo, Kociu, Arben, Przyłucka, Maria, Kułak, Marcin, Laskowicz, Izabela, Sheehy, Michael, Kopackova, Veronika, Frei, Michaela, Kuhn, Dirk, Dehls, John F., Hermanns, Reginald L., Koulermou, Niki, Smith, Colby A., Engdahl, Mats, Pagespetit, Pere Buxó, González, Marta, Banks, Vanessa, Dashwood, Claire, Reeves, Helen, Cigna, Francesca, Liščák, Pavel, Mikulėnas, Vidas, Demir, Vedad, Raha, Margus, Quental, Lidia, Oliveira, Daniel, Dias, Ruben, Sandić, Cvjetko, Mikos, M., Mateos, Rosa María, Herrera, Gerardo, García-Davalillo, Juan Carlos, Grandjean, Gilles, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Maftei, Raluca, Filipciuc, Tatiana-Constantina, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Jez, Jernej, Podolszki, Laszlo, Trigila, Alessandro, Comerci, Valerio, Raetzo, Hugo, Kociu, Arben, Przyłucka, Maria, Kułak, Marcin, Laskowicz, Izabela, Sheehy, Michael, Kopackova, Veronika, Frei, Michaela, Kuhn, Dirk, Dehls, John F., Hermanns, Reginald L., Koulermou, Niki, Smith, Colby A., Engdahl, Mats, Pagespetit, Pere Buxó, González, Marta, Banks, Vanessa, Dashwood, Claire, Reeves, Helen, Cigna, Francesca, Liščák, Pavel, Mikulėnas, Vidas, Demir, Vedad, Raha, Margus, Quental, Lidia, Oliveira, Daniel, Dias, Ruben, and Sandić, Cvjetko
- Abstract
Exposure to hazards is expected to increase in Europe, due to rapid population growth in urban areas and the escalation of urbanization throughout many countries. In the framework of the European Geological Surveys (EGS), the Earth Observation and Geohazards Expert Group (EOEG) has carried out a survey based enquiry regarding the integration of geohazards (earthquakes, volcanoes, landslides, ground subsidence, floods and others) into urban and land-use planning. Responses from 19 European countries and 5 regions reveal heterogeneous policies across national borders. 17% of the countries have not yet implemented any legal measures to integrate geohazards into urban and land-use plans and half of the participating countries have no official methodological guides to construct geohazard maps. Additionally, there is a scarce knowledge about real social impacts of geohazards and resulting disasters in many of the countries, although they have a significant impact on their national economies. This overview stresses the need for a common legislative framework and homogenization of the national legislations as well as mutual guidelines which adopt the principles applicable to the management of geohazards and explain the process to be followed in the production of hazard documentation. This is especially relevant in case of landslide and subsidence hazards; although those are of great importance in Europe, there are no common guidelines and practices similar to Directive 2007/60/EC on the assessment and management of flood risk. Based on their expertise, EuroGeoSurveys (EGS) have the potential to coordinate this activity in European geohazard guidelines and to promote the interaction among stakeholders.
- Published
- 2017
20. Landslide databases in the Geological Surveys of Europe
- Author
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Herrera García, Gerardo, Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María, García López-Davalillo, Juan Carlos, Grandjean, Giles, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Maftei, Raluca, Filipciuc, Tatiana-Constantina, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Jež, Jernej, Podolszki, Laszlo, Trigila, Alessandro, Iadanza, Carla, Raetzo, Hugo, Kociu, Arben, Przyłucka, María, Kułak, Marcin, Sheehy, Michael, Pellicer, Xavier M., McKeown, Charise, Ryan, Graham, Kopačková, Veronika, Frei, Michaela, Kuhn, Dirk, Hermanns, Reginald L., Koulermou, Niki, Smith, Colby A., Engdahl, Mats, Buxó, Pere, Gonzalez, Marta, Dashwood, Claire, Reeves, Helen, Cigna, Francesca, Liščák, Pavel, Pauditš, Peter, Mikulėnas, Vidas, Demir, Vedad, Raha, Margus, Quental, Lídia, Sandić, Cvjetko, Fusi, Balazs, Jensen, Odd Are, Herrera García, Gerardo, Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María, García López-Davalillo, Juan Carlos, Grandjean, Giles, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Maftei, Raluca, Filipciuc, Tatiana-Constantina, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Jež, Jernej, Podolszki, Laszlo, Trigila, Alessandro, Iadanza, Carla, Raetzo, Hugo, Kociu, Arben, Przyłucka, María, Kułak, Marcin, Sheehy, Michael, Pellicer, Xavier M., McKeown, Charise, Ryan, Graham, Kopačková, Veronika, Frei, Michaela, Kuhn, Dirk, Hermanns, Reginald L., Koulermou, Niki, Smith, Colby A., Engdahl, Mats, Buxó, Pere, Gonzalez, Marta, Dashwood, Claire, Reeves, Helen, Cigna, Francesca, Liščák, Pavel, Pauditš, Peter, Mikulėnas, Vidas, Demir, Vedad, Raha, Margus, Quental, Lídia, Sandić, Cvjetko, Fusi, Balazs, and Jensen, Odd Are
- Abstract
Landslides are one of the most widespread geohazards in Europe, producing significant social and economic impacts. Rapid population growth in urban areas throughout many countries in Europe and extreme climatic scenarios can considerably increase landslide risk in the near future. Variability exists between European countries in both the statutory treatment of landslide risk and the use of official assessment guidelines. This suggests that a European Landslides Directive that provides a common legal framework for dealing with landslides is necessary. With this long-term goal in mind, this work analyzes the landslide databases from the Geological Surveys of Europe focusing on their interoperability and completeness. The same landslide classification could be used for the 849,543 landslide records from the Geological Surveys, from which 36% are slides, 10% are falls, 20% are flows, 11% are complex slides, and 24% either remain unclassified or correspond to another typology. Most of them are mapped with the same symbol at a scale of 1:25,000 or greater, providing the necessary information to elaborate European-scale susceptibility maps for each landslide type. A landslide density map was produced for the available records from the Geological Surveys (LANDEN map) showing, for the first time, 210,544 km2 landslide-prone areas and 23,681 administrative areas where the Geological Surveys from Europe have recorded landslides. The comparison of this map with the European landslide susceptibility map (ELSUS 1000 v1) is successful for most of the territory (69.7%) showing certain variability between countries. This comparison also permitted the identification of 0.98 Mkm2 (28.9%) of landslide-susceptible areas without records from the Geological Surveys, which have been used to evaluate the landslide database completeness. The estimated completeness of the landslide databases (LDBs) from the Geological Surveys is 17%, varying between 1 and 55%. This variability is due to the d
- Published
- 2017
21. Integration of Geohazards into Urban and Land-Use Planning: towards a Landslide Directive: the EuroGeoSurveys Questionnaire
- Author
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Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María, Herrera García, Gerardo, García López-Davalillo, Juan Carlos, Grandjean, Giles, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Maftei, Raluca, Filipciuc, Tatiana-Constantina, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Jež, Jernej, Podolszki, Laszlo, Trigila, Alessandro, Comerci, Valerio, Raetzo, Hugo, Kociu, Arben, Przyłucka, María, Kułak, Marcin, Laskowicz, Izabela, Sheehy, Michael, Kopačková, Veronika, Frei, Michaela, Kuhn, Dirk, Dehls, John F., Hermanns, Reginald L., Koulermou, Niki, Smith, Colby A., Engdahl, Mats, Buxó, Pere, Gonzalez, Marta, Banks, Vanessa, Dashwood, Claire, Reeves, Helen, Cigna, Francesca, Liščák, Pavel, Mikulėnas, Vidas, Demir, Vedad, Raha, Margus, Quental, Lídia, Oliveira, D. de, Dias, R., Sandić, Cvjetko, Mateos Ruiz, Rosa María, Herrera García, Gerardo, García López-Davalillo, Juan Carlos, Grandjean, Giles, Poyiadji, Eleftheria, Maftei, Raluca, Filipciuc, Tatiana-Constantina, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Jež, Jernej, Podolszki, Laszlo, Trigila, Alessandro, Comerci, Valerio, Raetzo, Hugo, Kociu, Arben, Przyłucka, María, Kułak, Marcin, Laskowicz, Izabela, Sheehy, Michael, Kopačková, Veronika, Frei, Michaela, Kuhn, Dirk, Dehls, John F., Hermanns, Reginald L., Koulermou, Niki, Smith, Colby A., Engdahl, Mats, Buxó, Pere, Gonzalez, Marta, Banks, Vanessa, Dashwood, Claire, Reeves, Helen, Cigna, Francesca, Liščák, Pavel, Mikulėnas, Vidas, Demir, Vedad, Raha, Margus, Quental, Lídia, Oliveira, D. de, Dias, R., and Sandić, Cvjetko
- Abstract
Exposure to hazards is expected to increase in Europe, due to rapid population growth in urban areas and the escalation of urbanization throughout many countries. In the framework of the European Geological Surveys (EGS), the Earth Observation and Geohazards Expert Group (EOEG) has carried out a survey based enquiry regarding the integration of geohazards (earthquakes, volcanoes, landslides, ground subsidence, floods and others) into urban and land-use planning. Responses from 19 European countries and 5 regions reveal heterogeneous policies across national borders. 17% of the countries have not yet implemented any legal measures to integrate geohazards into urban and land-use plans and half of the participating countries have no official methodological guides to construct geohazard maps. Additionally, there is a scarce knowledge about real social impacts of geohazards and resulting disasters in many of the countries, although they have a significant impact on their national economies. This overview stresses the need for a common legislative framework and homogenization of the national legislations as well as mutual guidelines which adopt the principles applicable to the management of geohazards and explain the process to be followed in the production of hazard documentation. This is especially relevant in case of landslide and subsidence hazards; although those are of great importance in Europe, there are no common guidelines and practices similar to Directive 2007/60/EC on the assessment and management of flood risk. Based on their expertise, EuroGeoSurveys (EGS) have the potential to coordinate this activity in European geohazard guidelines and to promote the interaction among stakeholders.
- Published
- 2017
22. Landslide prediction system for rainfall induced landslides in Slovenia (Masprem).
- Author
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AUFLIČ, Mateja JEMEC, ŠINIGOJ, Jasna, KRIVIC, Matija, PODBOJ, Martin, PETERNEL, Tina, and KOMAC, Marko
- Subjects
- *
LANDSLIDE prediction , *RAINFALL , *PREDICTION models , *FUZZY logic - Abstract
In this paper we introduce a landslide prediction system for modelling the probabilities of landslides through time in Slovenia (Masprem). The system to forecast rainfall induced landslides is based on the landslide susceptibility map, landslide triggering rainfall threshold values and the precipitation forecasting model. Through the integrated parameters a detailed framework of the system, from conceptual to operational phases, is shown. Using fuzzy logic the landslide prediction is calculated. Potential landslide areas are forecasted on a national scale (1: 250,000) and on a local scale (1: 25,000) for five selected municipalities where the exposure of inhabitants, buildings and different type of infrastructure is displayed, twice daily. Due to different rainfall patterns that govern landslide occurrences, the system for landslide prediction considers two different rainfall scenarios (M1 and M2). The landslides predicted by the two models are compared with a landslide inventory to validate the outputs. In this study we highlight the rainfall event that lasted from the 9th to the 14th of September 2014 when abundant precipitation triggered over 800 slope failures around Slovenia and caused large material damage. Results show that antecedent rainfall plays an important role, according to the comparisons of the model (M1) where antecedent rainfall is not considered. Although in general the landslides areas are over-predicted and largely do not correspond to the landslide inventory, the overall performance indicates that the system is able to capture the crucial factors in determining the landslide location. Additional calibration of input parameters and the landslide inventory as well as improved spatially distributed rainfall forecast data can further enhance the model's prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Longitudinal profiles of torrential channels in the Western Karavanke mountains.
- Author
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MOHORIČ, Nejc, GRIGILLO, Dejan, AUFLIČ, Mateja JEMEC, MIKOŠ, Matjaž, and CELARC, Bogomir
- Subjects
GEOLOGIC faults ,EROSION ,DIGITAL elevation models ,PETROLOGY ,ROCK mechanics - Abstract
Copyright of Geologija (0016-7789) is the property of Geological Survey of Slovenia and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. Validation of the Slovenian national landslide forecast system using contingency matrices.
- Author
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Auflič, Mateja Jemec and Šinigoj, Jasna
- Subjects
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LANDSLIDE hazard analysis , *LANDSLIDE prediction , *LANDSLIDES , *RAINFALL , *RAIN gauges , *FALSE alarms , *MATRICES (Mathematics) , *GEOMORPHOLOGY - Abstract
Slovenian national landslide prediction system, MASPREM, has started in September 2013 (Jemec Auflič et al., 2016). The MASPREM system forecasts landslide probability twice a day for 24-hours ahead. Forecasting landslides is based on the landslide susceptibility map, statistically defined rainfall threshold values and rainfall forecast models. Geological settings of the area, diverse geomorphology, tectonics and climate regimes increase the probability of landslide occurrences. It is estimated that more than 10,000 landslides were triggered in the past 30 years. Since the spatial distribution of the rainfall stations is very sparse (1 rainfall gauge per 460 km2, while for example in Tuscany it's 1 rain gauge per 70 km2) the MASPREM system is based on rainfall threshold values which were determined using a non-parametric statistical method chi-square (χ2) for each lithological unit. Maximum daily rainfall above 60-70 mm proved to be critical for landslide occurrence, especially in more loose soils and in less resistant rocks (e.g., Quaternary, Tertiary, Triassic, and Permo-Carbonian rocks). In accordance to different soil characteristics in the regions and available rainfall forecast models, ALADIN and nowcasting model INA, the five different MASPREM models have been developed. Therefore, MASPREM calculates the five different landslide scenarios parallelly. The validation of the five models was based on the computation of the statistical indicators from 2 x 2 contingency matrices. This elementary matrix shows the correlation between landslide events and warnings, both of them expressed in four classes: (TP) true positives (correct predictions), (TN) true negatives, (FP) false positive (false predictions), (FN) false negative (missed predictions). For the five year validation period of MASPREM models (2013 -2018) the results showed that the Probability Of Detection (POD), also known as Hit Rate, which is the proportion of the events that were predicted correctly, is 53% for the models with applied two-day antecedent rainfall, while for the model without antecedent rainfall it is only 11%. The Probability Of False Detection (POFD), also known as False Alarm Rate, which is the proportion of correct predictions when the event did not occur, is around 10% for models with antecedent rainfall and 2% for the model without antecedent rainfall. The Probability Of False Alarm (POFA), also known as False Alarm Ratio, which is the ratio between the number of false alarms and the total number of correct forecasts, ranges between 35% to 53%. The higher values are for the models with antecedent rainfall. Overall MASPREM performance indicates that the system is able to capture the crucial factors in determining the general landslide location, even if it cannot predict a specific area. Additional calibration of input parameters and the landslide inventory, as well as improved spatially distributed rainfall forecast data can further enhance the model's prediction.Jemec Auflič, M, Šinigoj, J, Krivic, M, Podboj, M, Peternel,T, Komac, M. Landslide prediction system for rainfall induced landslides in Slovenia (Masprem) Geologija, 2016, 59/2, 259-271, doi: 10.5474/geologija.2016.016. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
25. Testing the feasibility of webcam-based landslide alert systems.
- Author
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Albrecht, Florian, Hölbling, Daniel, Taferner, Damian, and Auflič, Mateja Jemec
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- 2018
26. Studying slope mass instabilities above the settlement of Koroýka Bela (NW Slovenia) using multidisciplinary monitoring approach.
- Author
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Peternel, Tina, Jež, Jernej, Milanič, Blaž, Markelj, Anže, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, Kumelj, Špela, and Janža, Mitja
- Published
- 2018
27. GIMS project: development of a low-cost system based on Galileo, Sentinel InSAR and inertial measurement units to monitor ground deformations.
- Author
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Realini, Eugenio, Colomina, Ismael, Crosetto, Michele, Consoli, Angelo, Auflič, Mateja Jemec, and Lucca, Sara
- Published
- 2018
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