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By the present paper, a numerical model for cost and probability analysis of mixed mode fatigue crack propagation in a patched 2024-T3Aluminium plate is developed. The finite element method is used to analyse the temperature effect on the bonded composite repair performance of the Aluminium plate. Using a fine mesh, mid-plane finite element results are in good experimental results given by literature. Different patch shapes are proposed like; circle, rectangle, square, ellipse, regular octagon, and prolonged octagon. The stress intensity factors at the crack tip are chosen as fracture criteria in order to estimate the repair performance. According to the temperature variation, the lifespan of the repaired fatigue crack growth is estimated using Paris law. The repair done on a central inclined crack with a single-side composite patch show that, best results are given by prolonged octagon and patch is damaged under at elevated temperature. The life-cycle of the patched Aluminium plate is obtained by Monte Carlo simulation, and the probability of failure is quantified according to various geometrical and mechanical parameters. At elevated temperature, the most dominant input parameters are thicknesses of adhesive and patch. In sensitivity analysis effect of thickness of the adhesive layer reaches 35%.Finally, a code source has been developed and implanted in ANSYS software, to consider the manufacturing process and optimal maintenance costs to prove the performance of patch operation from both safety and economical point of view. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]