1. EUROPEAN ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND DECARBONIZATION STRATEGIES BEYOND 2030 — A SECTORAL MULTI-MODEL DECOMPOSITION
- Author
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Katja Schumacher, Ronald D. Sands, Silvana Mima, Michael Hübler, Hannah Förster, Ilkka Keppo, Enrica De Cian, Oko-Institut e.V., Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) (Centre for European Economic Research (Mannheim, Germany)), Universität Mannheim [Mannheim], UCL Energy Institute, University College of London [London] (UCL), équipe EDDEN, Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales (PACTE), Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 (UPMF)-Université Joseph Fourier - Grenoble 1 (UJF)-Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble (IEPG)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 (UPMF)-Université Joseph Fourier - Grenoble 1 (UJF)-Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble (IEPG)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Economic Research Service, and US Departement of Agriculture
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,020209 energy ,02 engineering and technology ,010501 environmental sciences ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,Settore SECS-P/02 - Politica Economica ,Settore SECS-P/06 - Economia Applicata ,01 natural sciences ,7. Clean energy ,Decomposition analysis, decarbonization, model intercomparison ,11. Sustainability ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Production (economics) ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Decomposition analysis,decarbonization,model intercomparison ,Global and Planetary Change ,decarbonization ,business.industry ,Divisia index ,Environmental economics ,[SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance ,jel:Q4 ,jel:Q5 ,Decomposition analysis ,jel:Q51 ,model intercomparison ,Climate change mitigation ,Electricity generation ,Sectoral analysis ,13. Climate action ,Energy intensity ,Environmental science ,Electricity ,business ,Efficient energy use - Abstract
http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/pdfplus/10.1142/S2010007813400046; International audience; Energy efficiency and decarbonization are important elements of climate change mitigation. We draw on European mitigation scenarios from the EMF28 modeling exercise to decompose economy-wide and sectoral emissions into their main components. We utilize the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) to gain insights into five effects : affluence, energy intensity, carbon intensity, conversion efficiency, and structural change. Economy-wide analysis suggests that energy efficiency improvements (including end-use efficiency of production and structural change of the economy) determine emission reductions short to medium term while decarbonization becomes more important in the long term. Sectoral analysis suggests that electricity generation holds the largest potential for decarbonization. Mitigation in the transport and energy-intensive sectors is limited by technology availability, forcing output and energy inputs to decline to meet the given mitigation pathways. We conclude that energy efficiency improvements could bridge the time until carbon-free technologies mature, while their quick development remains essential.
- Published
- 2013
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