1. Comparing the effectiveness of molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir in non-hospitalized and hospitalized COVID-19 patients with type 2 diabetes: A target trial emulation study.
- Author
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Wan EYF, Wong ZCT, Yan VKC, Chui CSL, Lai FTT, Li X, Wong ICK, and Chan EWY
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Female, Middle Aged, Aged, SARS-CoV-2, Hong Kong epidemiology, Leucine analogs & derivatives, Leucine therapeutic use, Hydroxylamines therapeutic use, Treatment Outcome, COVID-19 complications, COVID-19 mortality, COVID-19 epidemiology, Drug Therapy, Combination, Indoles therapeutic use, Adult, Lactams, Nitriles, Proline, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 drug therapy, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 complications, Ritonavir therapeutic use, COVID-19 Drug Treatment, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, Cytidine analogs & derivatives, Cytidine therapeutic use, Antiviral Agents therapeutic use
- Abstract
Aims: To compare the effectiveness of molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir for non-hospitalized and hospitalized COVID-19 patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM)., Materials and Methods: Territory-wide electronic health records in Hong Kong were used to perform target trial emulation using a sequential trial approach. Patients (1) aged ≥18 years, (2) with T2DM, (3) with COVID-19 infection, and (4) who received molnupiravir or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir within 5 days of infection between 16 March 2022 and 31 December 2022 in non-hospital and hospital settings were included. Molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir initiators were matched using one-to-one propensity-score matching and followed for 28 days. Risk of outcomes was compared between groups by Cox regression adjusted for baseline characteristics. Subgroup analyses were performed on age (<70 years, ≥70 years), sex, Charlson comorbidity index (<4, ≥4), and number of COVID-19 vaccine doses (<2 doses, ≥2 doses)., Results: Totals of 17 974 non-hospitalized (8987 in each group) and 3678 hospitalized (1839 in each group) patients were identified. Non-hospitalized nirmatrelvir-ritonavir initiators had lower risk of all-cause mortality (absolute risk reduction [ARR] at 28 days 0.80%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56-1.04; hazard ratio [HR] 0.47, 95% CI 0.30-0.73) and hospitalization (ARR at 28 days 4.01%, 95% CI 3.19-4.83; HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.66-0.82) as compared with molnupiravir initiators. Hospitalized nirmatrelvir-ritonavir initiators had reduced risk of all-cause mortality (ARR at 28 days 2.94%, 95% CI 1.65-4.23; HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.40-0.80) as compared with molnupiravir initiators. Consistent findings were found across all subgroups., Conclusions: The use of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir may be preferred to molnupiravir for COVID-19 patients with T2DM and without contraindication to either treatment., (© 2024 The Author(s). Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
- Published
- 2024
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