Zeng, Feng, He, Qiulan, Li, Yao, Shi, Weiyu, Yang, Ruowen, Ma, Mingguo, Huang, Guangwei, Xiao, Junlan, Yang, Xinyue, and Di, Dongrui
The changing climate and intensifying human activities have made an impact on the hydrological processes in the upper Yangtze River (UYR), but quantifying their effects remains uncertain. This study used the Budyko framework to investigate the response of runoff (Q) to climate change and human activities during 1956–2017 and evaluate the impacts of human activities, including land use/cover change, water use, dam construction, and vegetation change, on watershed characteristic. Results show that climate change is the dominant driver of Q variations in the Wujiang River (WJR), Jialing River (JLR), and Jinsha River (JSR) watersheds, with contributions of 58.6%, 66.9%, and 67.6%, respectively. However, in Mingjiang River (MJR) and UYR watersheds, human activities contribute more to Q variations with 55.2% and 51.2%, respectively. Human activities play important roles in variation of watershed characteristics, and they can explain 22%, 26%, 36%, 25%, and 53% of the watershed character change in UYR, WJR, JLR, MJR, and JSR, respectively. This study conducts a comprehensive analysis of the causes of Q change in UYR, and provides a new perspective to explore the effects of specific human activities on watershed characteristics. Plain Language Summary: With climate change and intensifying human activities, the water cycle has been changed. Runoff is an essential component of the water cycle, and its response to changing environments has drawn broad attention. This study aims to quantify the contributions of climate change and human activities to runoff changes in the upper Yangtze River (UYR) and its four sub‐watersheds over the past half‐century. According to the results, human activities and climate change have been responsible for approximately 51.2% and 48.8% of the observed runoff changes in UYR, respectively. It suggests that both human activities and climate change have played significant roles, and their contributions are remarkably comparable. In addition, the impacts of human activities on watershed environment changes are analyzed. The results suggest that increased settlement area and industrial water use are the dominant influencing factors. Key Points: Human activities and climate change have made comparable contributions to the runoff reduction in the upper Yangtze RiverWater use, land use/cover change, vegetation change, and dam construction together explain 22% of the watershed environment changesHuman settlements and increased industrial water use have been the principal factors contributing to the changes in watershed environment [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]