1. In praise of propensities: the road to personalised medicine?
- Author
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Sleigh, J. W.
- Abstract
However, although the individual molecule has no pressure, the individual patient does have an explicit treatment effect. This extreme example may be seen as simply the knocking down of a straw man; but in evidence-based medical practice there seems to be an all-pervasive, unquestioned assumption that individual probability is equal to the frequentist population probability - the average treatment effect. Using frequentist methods, all the variation in individual (between-patient) response is assigned to the random-error term in the analysis - and ever more precise estimates of average treatment effect are sought by designing ever larger trials. An eloquent paper by Gill et al. entitled " I Why clinicians are natural bayesians i " [4] showed how this process is used for diagnosis of patients, but the same reasoning can also be applied to patient treatment. [Extracted from the article]
- Published
- 2020
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