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Numerical forecasts of plasma convective instability in the postsunset equatorial ionosphere are made based on data from the Ionospheric Connections Explorer satellite (ICON) following the method outlined in a previous study. Data are selected from pairs of successive orbits. Data from the first orbit in the pair are used to initialize and force a numerical forecast simulation, and data from the second orbit are used to validate the results 104 min later. Data from the IVM plasma density and drifts instrument and the MIGHTI red‐line thermospheric winds instrument are used to force the forecast model. Thirteen (16) data set pairs from August (October), 2022, are considered. Forecasts produced one false negative in August and another false negative in October. Possible causes of forecast discrepancies are evaluated including the failure to initialize the numerical simulations with electron density profiles measured concurrently. Volume emission 135.6‐nm OI profiles from the Far Ultraviolet (FUV) instrument on ICON are considered in the evaluation. Plain Language Summary: Numerical forecasts of disruptions in the postsunset equatorial ionosphere are made from data from the Ionospheric Connections Explorer (ICON) satellite using the method outlined in a previous study. Data are selected from pairs of successive orbits–the first providing data for the numerical forecast model, and the second providing a means of validation. Specifically, measurements of vertical plasma drifts and horizontal wind profiles are used. Thirteen (16) orbital pairs from August (October) of 2022 are considered. The forecasts were accurate in the main but produced one false negative in August and another false negative in October. Reasons for the forecast discrepancies are analyzed including the failure to include electron density profile measurements in the forecast model initialization. Data from the Far Ultraviolet instrument on Icon are considered in the analysis. Key Points: ICON‐based numerical forecasts of plasma convective instability in the equatorial ionosphere extended through 2022Results mainly consistent with earlier ICON‐based forecastsICON FUV profiles used to investigate forecast discrepancies further [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Simultaneous measurements of F‐region neutral winds near 250 km and topside field‐aligned interhemispheric plasma flow near 600 km, made by the ionospheric connections satellite, allow the connection between these parameters to be observationally established for the first time. The largest variations in the topside plasma flows are seen as a function of season and are shown to depend on trans‐equatorial neutral winds near the F peak in a manner that is essentially the same during the daytime and the nighttime for the solar minimum conditions that prevail in 2020. This finding is consistent with established principles of a servo model of the ionosphere for which both production and loss rates in the topside are specified by the O/N2 ratio at the F‐peak height. The intermediate relationships, describing how the neutral wind influences the F‐peak height and how the O+ plasma pressure gradient across the equator influences the interhemispheric plasma flow are also investigated and found to be consistent with expectations. Plain Language Summary: Neutral winds in the upper atmosphere apply collisional forces to the charged particles that produce motions parallel and perpendicular to the magnetic field. Motions parallel to the magnetic field influence the distribution of charged particle pressure and thus change the plasma motion everywhere along the magnetic field. Simultaneous measurements of the neutral winds and the plasma motions at remote locations connected by the magnetic field allow the relationships between these quantities to be observationally established for the first time. These relationships show the direct relationships between the meridional winds near 250 km, the peak height of the ionospheric density and the field‐aligned interhemispheric plasma transport velocity at the apex of the magnetic field near 600 km. Key Points: Meridional winds near the F‐peak directly drive F‐peak height and topside field‐aligned interhemispheric plasma flowsMeridional wind across the magnetic equator at 250 km is linearly related to field‐aligned plasma flow across the magnetic equator at 600 kmIonospheric Connections satellite provides the first simultaneous observations of F‐region winds and topside field‐aligned interhemispheric plasma flows [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We present a method for estimating incident photoelectrons' energy spectra as a function of altitude by combining global scale far‐ultraviolet (FUV) and radio‐occultation (RO) measurements. This characterization provides timely insights important for accurate interpretation of ionospheric parameters inferred from the recently launched Ionospheric Connection Explorer (ICON) observations. Quantification of photoelectron impact is enabled by the fact that conjugate photoelectrons (CPEs) directly affect FUV airglow emissions but not RO measurements. We demonstrate a technique for estimation of photoelectron fluxes and their spectra by combining coincident ICON and COSMIC2 measurements and show that a significant fraction of ICON‐FUV measurements is affected by CPEs during the winter solstice. A comparison of estimated photoelectron fluxes with measured photoelectron spectra is used to gain further insights into the estimation method and reveals consistent values within 10–60 eV. Plain Language Summary: The impact of solar radiation on the atmosphere produces highly energetic electrons, which travel freely along the magnetic Earth's field lines from one hemisphere to the other. When these electrons flow from the sunlit side into the nightside hemisphere, they interact with the neutral species and produce noticeable effects in the ionosphere such as an increase in electron temperature and enhancement of airglow emissions. This study presents a method to quantify the amount of precipitating electrons and their energy on a global scale using two recent satellite missions, ICON and COSMIC2. Our results demonstrate that coincident far‐ultraviolet (ICON) and radio‐occultation (COSMIC2) measurements from space are valuable resources to study precipitating electrons in the ionosphere and their impact on inferring ionospheric plasma parameters. Key Points: Nightglow emissions excited by photoelectrons originating in the magnetically conjugate hemisphere are observed by the ICON missionConjugate photoelectron energy spectra are derived for the first time using global scale far‐ultraviolet and radio‐occultation observationsComparison of estimated photoelectron fluxes with measurements on a rocket flight shows consistent characteristics at all altitudes [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Far Ultra Violet (FUV) ultraviolet imager onboard the NASA‐ICON mission is dedicated to the observation and study of the ionosphere dynamics at mid and low latitudes. We compare O+ density profiles provided by the ICON FUV instrument during nighttime with electron density profiles measured by the COSMIC‐2 constellation (C2) and ground‐based ionosondes. Co‐located simultaneous observations are compared, covering the period from November 2019 to July 2020, which produces several thousands of coincidences. Manual scaling of ionogram sequences ensures the reliability of the ionosonde profiles, while C2 data are carefully selected using an automatic quality control algorithm. Photoelectron contribution coming from the magnetically conjugated hemisphere is clearly visible in FUV data around solstices and has been filtered out from our analysis. We find that the FUV observations are consistent with the C2 and ionosonde measurements, with an average positive bias lower than 1 × 1011e/m3. When restricting the analysis to cases having an NmF2 value larger than 5 × 1011e/m3, FUV provides the peak electron density with a mean difference with C2 of 10%. The peak altitude, also determined from FUV observations, is found to be 15 km above that obtained from C2, and 38 km above the ionosonde value on average. Key Points: We compare ICON‐FUV NmF2 and hmF2 observations with those provided by COSMIC‐2 and ionosondesFar Ultra Violet Imaging Spectrograph (FUV) observations are affected by conjugate photoelectrons mainly around solsticesThe FUV performance during nighttime allows for reliable electron density measurement [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Subauroral emissions known as STEVEs (Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancements) are sometimes accompanied by green arcs containing magnetic field‐aligned "picket fence" structures. In a newly published spectrum of a green picket fence arc Gillies et al. (2019, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083272) showed that the visible emission in such arcs is mostly OI 557.7 nm with minimal N2+ 1N. This finding is consistent with the color ratios found in digital camera photos (Mende & Turner, 2019, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JA026851) and is distinct from the ratios in auroral precipitation. The spectrum also contains intense N2 first positive (1P) emission. The presence of OI 557.7 (~4.19 eV excitation energy) and N2 1P (~7.35 eV), combined with the lack of N2+ first negative (~18.75 eV) commonly seen in the aurora, suggests that the particles exciting the emission have energy <18.75 eV. This is strong evidence against the precipitation hypothesis recently put forth (Nishimura et al., 2019, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082460; Gillies et al., 2019, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083272). Key Points: Recent spectra of a green STEVE arc shows intense 557.7 nm OI and N2 1P nitrogen emission in the IR but minimal N2+ 1N in the blueColor ratios in photos of the green "picket fence" arcs are consistent with the spectrospcopic resultsSpectra and the color ratios show low energy excitation which is inconsistent with auroral source from the magnetosphere [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Photos of a spectacular optical phenomenon, nicknamed STEVE, show finely structured, purple‐colored, east‐west arcs spanning the sky. These purple Sub‐auroral Arc Emissions are associated with Sub‐Auroral Ion Drifts, often accompanied by separate green arcs frequently displaying magnetic field aligned rays suggesting charge particle excitation. Both types of these arcs and polar auroras appear in some photos. Splitting the images into red, green, and blue channels allowed comparison of color ratios of the three phenomena. Wavelength calibration of the camera verified that the dominant atmospheric auroral emissions, 630.0 nm O(1D), O(1S) 557.7 nm, and N2+1N bands, were cleanly separated in the red, green, and blue channels of the camera. In the absence of a spectrogram the ratios between the color channels were interpreted in terms of possible excitation mechanisms. The purple arcs contained an excess of blue, presumably N2+1N intensity. This excess production could be due to the excitation of N2+ ions that were ionized through charge exchange with O+. The green companion arcs appear to be purely green (557.7) with almost no blue and minimal red suggesting excitation by low‐energy electrons excitation at altitudes >100 and <150 km. Key Points: The color ratios of purple and green subauroral arcs were compared to normal aurora using there red, green and blue intensisitiesIn purple arcs blue emission is enhanced, perhaps due to soft electron acting on charge exchanged N2+, and red due to 630 nm from OGreen companion arcs are likely to be soft electron excited green line at low altitudes with no blue. Source of soft electrons is unknown [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]