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Objective: To investigate the impact of intensified cardiovascular risk management on soluble markers of platelet, endothelial and rheological function in a population of middle-aged hypertensive patients at high risk of cardiovascular complications.Design: Prospective follow-up study.Subjects and Methods: A total of 159 hypertensive patients [138 male, mean age 64 (+/-8) years] and 80 healthy controls were studied. Plasma levels of soluble P-selectin (sP-sel, a marker of platelet function), von Willebrand factor (vWF, an index of endothelial damage/dysfunction) and rheological indices [fibrinogen (Fib), plasma viscosity (PV), haematocrit (HCT), white blood count (WBC) and platelet count] were measured at baseline and again (in the patients) after 6 months' treatment.Results: As expected, 6 months of intensified cardiovascular risk management resulted in a significant fall in mean blood pressure (BP) and total cholesterol. It also resulted in reduced haematocrit, vWF, sP-sel, WBC and PV levels (all P < 0.001), but not plasma fibrinogen. There were no correlations between the fall in BP and the improvement in any of the research indices.Conclusions: Intensified cardiovascular risk management results in significant improvements in indices of endothelial, platelet and rheological function in a population of hypertensives at high risk of cardiovascular events. These improvements appear to be independent of the degree of change in BP. Given the fundamental role of interactions between the endothelium and circulating blood components in the pathogenesis of hypertensive complications this may be of importance in preventing adverse cardiovascular outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Short and rare episodes of atrial fibrillation (AF) are commonly detected using implanted devices (device-detected AF) in patients with prior stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). The effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulation in patients with prior stroke or TIA and device-detected AF but with no ECG-documented AF is unclear., Methods and Results: This prespecified analysis of the NOAH-AFNET 6 (Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Atrial High Rate Episodes) trial with post hoc elements assessed the effect of oral anticoagulation in patients with device-detected AF with and without a prior stroke or TIA in the randomized, double-blind, double-dummy NOAH-AFNET 6 trial. Outcomes were stroke, systemic embolism, and cardiovascular death (primary outcome) and major bleeding and death (safety outcome). A prior stroke or TIA was found in 253 patients with device-detected AF randomized in the NOAH-AFNET 6 (mean age, 78 years; 36.4% women). There was no treatment interaction with prior stroke or TIA for any of the primary and secondary time-to-event outcomes. In patients with a prior stroke or TIA, 14 out of 122 patients experienced a primary outcome event with anticoagulation (5.7% per patient-year). Without anticoagulation, there were 16 out of 131 patients with an event (6.3% per patient-year). The rate of stroke was lower than expected (anticoagulation: 4 out of 122 [1.6% per patient-year]; no anticoagulation: 6 out of 131 [2.3% per patient-year]). Numerically, there were more major bleeding events with anticoagulation in patients with prior stroke or TIA (8 out of 122 patients) than without anticoagulation (2 out of 131 patients)., Conclusions: Anticoagulation appears to have ambiguous effects in patients with device-detected AF and a prior stroke or TIA in this hypothesis-generating analysis of the NOAH-AFNET 6 in the absence of ECG-documented AF, partially due to a low rate of stroke without anticoagulation.

Aim: To analyse the association between serum bile acid (BA) profile and heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD)., Methods: We enrolled 163 individuals with biopsy-proven MAFLD undergoing transthoracic echocardiography for any indication. HFpEF was defined as left ventricular ejection fraction >50% with at least one echocardiographic feature of HF (left ventricular diastolic dysfunction, abnormal left atrial size) and at least one HF sign or symptom. Serum levels of 38 BAs were analysed using ultra-performance liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry., Results: Among the 163 patients enrolled (mean age 47.0 ± 12.8 years, 39.3% female), 52 (31.9%) and 43 (26.4%) met the HFpEF and pre-HFpEF criteria, and 38 serum BAs were detected. Serum ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) and hyocholic acid (HCA) species were lower in patients with HFpEF and achieved statistical significance after correction for multiple comparisons. Furthermore, decreases in glycoursodeoxycholic acid and tauroursodeoxycholic acid were associated with HF status., Conclusions: In this exploratory study, specific UDCA and HCA species were associated with HFpEF status in adults with biopsy-confirmed MAFLD., (© 2024 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Aims: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM) are both associated with adverse clinical events, but the associations have not been fully elucidated, particularly with concomitant insulin use. This study aimed to analyse the associations between adverse events and DM, as well as adverse events and sole insulin use., Materials and Methods: Our analysis included individuals with AF from the prospective Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-Thrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA-AF) registry with 3-year follow-up. Outcomes included all-cause death, major bleeding, cardiovascular (CV) death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, thromboembolism and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE)., Results: A total of 15 861 AF individuals were included (age 70.0 ± 10.2 years; 55% male, 20% Asian), of whom, 3666 had DM (age 70.0 ± 9.5 years ; 59% male, 21% Asian). After adjustment, those with DM had higher risks of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.46, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.28-1.66), CV death (HR: 1.53 95% CI: 1.27-1.86), major bleeding (HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01-1.48), MI (HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.17-1.94) and MACE (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.23-1.63). Compared to individuals with DM receiving oral hypoglycaemic agents, those receiving insulin alone were associated with increased risks of all-cause death (HR: 2.16, 95% CI: 1.61-2.91), CV death (HR: 2.24, 95% CI: 1.45-3.47), major bleeding (HR: 1.89, 95% CI: 1. 21-2.95), MI (HR: 2.24, 95% CI: 1.31-3.82) and MACE (HR: 2.11, 95% CI: 1.54-2.88)., Conclusions: DM was independently associated with higher risks of all-cause death, CV death, MI, major bleeding and MACE in AF individuals. Individuals receiving insulin alone were associated with higher risks of all-cause death, CV death, MI, major bleeding and MACE., (© 2024 The Author(s). Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: NULL-PLEASE is a simple and accurate clinical scoring system developed in a Western cohort of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). The need for blood test results limits its use in early stages of care. We adapted and validated the NULL-EASE score (without laboratory tests) in an independent, multiethnic Asian cohort of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest., Methods and Results: Using the Singapore OHCA registry, we included consecutive adult patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest who survived to hospital admission between April 2010 to December 2020. In-hospital mortality was the primary outcome. Logistic regression analyses were performed with STATA MP v18. Of 3274 patients (median age 64, interquartile range 54-75; 67.9% male) included in the study, 2476 (75.6%) had in-hospital mortality. NULL-EASE score was significantly lower in survivors compared with nonsurvivors (median [inter quartile range] 3 [1-4] versus 6 [4-7]; P <0.001) and strongly predictive of mortality (area under receiver operating characteristic, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.79-0.83]). Patients with a score of ≥3 had higher odds of mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 8.11 [95% CI, 6.57-10.00]) when compared with those with lower scores, after adjusting for sex, residential arrest, diabetes, respiratory disease, and stroke. A cutoff value of ≥3 predicted mortality with 92.2% sensitivity, 84.1% positive predictive value, 46.1% specificity, and 65.5% negative predictive value. NULL-EASE score performed better in younger compared with older patients (area under receiver operating characteristic, 0.82 versus 0.77, P =0.008)., Conclusions: The NULL-EASE score has good discriminative performance (sensitivity and accuracy) in our multiethnic Asian cohort, but the cutoff of ≥3 falls short of the desired level of specificity for therapeutic decision-making.

Aims: To investigate plasma apixaban concentrations and thrombin generation assay (TGA) parameters across different apixaban doses in atrial fibrillation patients who had dose-reduction criteria for apixaban., Methods: This observational study included 374 patients (mean age 75.6 ± 7.7 years, 54.8% female) with dose-reduction criteria for apixaban. The patients were divided into 3 groups: (i) on-label standard dose (5 mg twice daily, n = 166); (ii) on-label reduced dose (2.5 mg twice daily, n = 55); and (iii) off-label underdose (2.5 mg twice daily, n = 153). Apixaban concentrations determined via the anti-Xa assay and TGA parameters were compared at trough levels., Results: The off-label underdose group exhibited significantly lower apixaban trough concentrations than the on-label reduced-dose and standard-dose groups (56.7 ± 42.9 vs. 83.7 ± 70.4 vs. 129.9 ± 101.8 ng/mL, all P < .001). Less than 70% of all patients fell within the expected range of apixaban concentrations. Proportions exceeding the upper limit of the expected range were significantly lower in the off-label underdose group (1.3%) than in the on-label reduced-dose (9.1%, P = .005) and standard-dose (12.7%, P < .001) groups. The TGA parameters showed the on-label standard-dose group displaying the lowest thrombogenic profiles. Lower creatinine clearance was the most significant predictor of higher apixaban concentrations., Conclusion: Off-label underdosed apixaban resulted in lower apixaban concentrations than both on-label standard and reduced-dose regimens. A considerable proportion of the patients exhibited apixaban concentrations outside the expected range, suggesting the potential benefits of plasma concentration monitoring. Further studies are needed to compare dosages directly, investigate the impact of plasma apixaban concentration monitoring and validate the current dose-reduction criteria., (© 2024 British Pharmacological Society.)

Aims: To evaluate the efficacy and cardiovascular outcomes of combination pioglitazone with either a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) or a sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitor in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) by conducting a systematic review, meta-analysis, and analysis of a large international real-world database., Methods: We searched MEDLINE, SCOPUS and Web of Science to identify relevant articles for inclusion (PROSPERO [CRD: 42023483126]). Nineteen studies assessing pioglitazone + SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1RAs versus controls were identified, 16 of which were randomized controlled trials. Risk of bias was assessed using Cochrane-endorsed tools and quality of evidence was assessed using GRADE. We additionally performed a retrospective cohort study of all individuals aged 18 years or over with T2D, using the TriNetX platform. We included propensity-score-matched individuals who were treated for at least 1 year with pioglitazone and a GLP-1RA or pioglitazone and an SGLT2 inhibitor, compared against GLP-1RA and SGLT2 inhibitor monotherapy. Outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure, chronic kidney disease and composite stroke and transient ischaemic attack., Results: The average follow-up in the included studies ranged from 24 to 52 weeks. Combination of pioglitazone with a GLP-1RA reduced glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and weight greater than in controls: mean differences -1% (95% confidence interval [CI] -1.27, -0.74) and -1.19 kg (95% CI -1.80, -0.58), respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in systolic blood pressure (SBP) or mortality between groups: mean difference - 1.56 mmHg (95% CI -4.48, 1.35; p = 0.30) and relative risk (RR) 0.29 (95% CI 0.07-1.15; p = 0.08), respectively. Combination of pioglitazone with SGLT2 inhibitors reduced HbA1c, weight and SBP to a greater extent than control treatment: mean differences -0.48% (95% CI -0.67, -0.28), -2.3 kg (95% CI -2.72, -1.88) and -2.4 mmHg (95% CI -4.1, -0.7; p = 0.01), respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in mortality between groups (RR 1.81, 95% CI 0.30-10.97; p = 0.52). The included trials demonstrated a reduction in risk of heart failure with combination treatment. Similarly, from the real-world database (n = 25 230 identified), pioglitazone and SGLT2 inhibitor combination therapy was associated with reduced risk of heart failure compared to monotherapy alone (hazard ratio 0.50, 95% CI 0.38-0.65; p < 0.001)., Conclusion: Both our systematic review/meta-analysis and the real-world dataset show that combination of pioglitazone with either GLP-1RAs or SGLT2 inhibitors is associated with increased weight loss and reduced risk of heart failure compared with monotherapy., (© 2024 The Authors. Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Aim: To develop and employ machine learning (ML) algorithms to analyse electrocardiograms (ECGs) for the diagnosis of cardiac autonomic neuropathy (CAN)., Materials and Methods: We used motif and discord extraction techniques, alongside long short-term memory networks, to analyse 12-lead, 10-s ECG tracings to detect CAN in patients with diabetes. The performance of these methods with the support vector machine classification model was evaluated using 10-fold cross validation with the following metrics: accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC)., Results: Among 205 patients (mean age 54 ± 17 years, 54% female), 100 were diagnosed with CAN, including 38 with definite or severe CAN (dsCAN) and 62 with early CAN (eCAN). The best model performance for dsCAN classification was achieved using both motifs and discords, with an accuracy of 0.92, an F1 score of 0.92, a recall at 0.94, a precision of 0.91, and an excellent AUC of 0.93 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91-0.94). For the detection of any stage of CAN, the approach combining motifs and discords yielded the best results, with an accuracy of 0.65, F1 score of 0.68, a recall of 0.75, a precision of 0.68, and an AUC of 0.68 (95% CI 0.54-0.81)., Conclusion: Our study highlights the potential of using ML techniques, particularly motifs and discords, to effectively detect dsCAN in patients with diabetes. This approach could be applied in large-scale screening of CAN, particularly to identify definite/severe CAN where cardiovascular risk factor modification may be initiated., (© 2024 The Authors. Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: Enhanced detection of large vessel occlusion (LVO) through machine learning (ML) for acute ischemic stroke appears promising. This systematic review explored the capabilities of ML models compared with prehospital stroke scales for LVO prediction., Methods and Results: Six bibliographic databases were searched from inception until October 10, 2023. Meta-analyses pooled the model performance using area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and summary receiver operating characteristic curve. Of 1544 studies screened, 8 retrospective studies were eligible, including 32 prehospital stroke scales and 21 ML models. Of the 9 prehospital scales meta-analyzed, the Rapid Arterial Occlusion Evaluation had the highest pooled AUC (0.82 [95% CI, 0.79-0.84]). Support Vector Machine achieved the highest AUC of 9 ML models included (pooled AUC, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.88-0.89]). Six prehospital stroke scales and 10 ML models were eligible for summary receiver operating characteristic analysis. Pooled sensitivity and specificity for any prehospital stroke scale were 0.72 (95% CI, 0.68-0.75) and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.72-0.81), respectively; summary receiver operating characteristic curve AUC was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.76-0.83). Pooled sensitivity for any ML model for LVO was 0.73 (95% CI, 0.64-0.79), specificity was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.80-0.89), and summary receiver operating characteristic curve AUC was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.83-0.89)., Conclusions: Both prehospital stroke scales and ML models demonstrated varying accuracies in predicting LVO. Despite ML potential for improved LVO detection in the prehospital setting, application remains limited by the absence of prospective external validation, limited sample sizes, and lack of real-world performance data in a prehospital setting.

Background: Evidence for the relationship between remnant cholesterol (RC) and incident atrial fibrillation (AF) risk remains sparse and limited., Methods and Results: Participants were enrolled between 2006 and 2010 and followed up to 2021. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the relationship between RC quartiles and risk of incident AF. Subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were performed to explore the potential modification of the association and the robustness of the main findings. A total of 422 316 participants (mean age, 56 years; 54% women) were included for analyses. During a median follow-up of 11.9 years (first quartile-third quartile, 11.6-13.2 years), there were 24 774 AF events documented with an incidence of 4.92 events per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 4.86-4.98). Participants in higher RC quartiles had a lower risk of incident AF than those in the lowest quartile (first quartile): hazard ratio (HR)=0.96 (95% CI, 0.91-1.00) for second quartile; HR=0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.96) for third quartile; and HR=0.85 (95% CI, 0.81-0.89) for fourth quartile ( P for trend <0.001). The association between RC quartiles and risk of incident AF was stronger in participants aged ≥65 years, in men, and in participants without history of diabetes when compared with control groups ( P <0.001 for interaction)., Conclusions: On the basis of data from this large-scale prospective cohort study, elevated RC was associated with a lower risk of incident AF.

Background: In older adults, obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has been associated with several cardiovascular complications. Whether young patients diagnosed with OSA also are at higher risk of developing subsequent cardiovascular disease is uncertain. We aimed to estimate the risk of developing an incident cardiovascular event among young patients diagnosed with OSA., Methods and Results: We linked nationwide Danish health registries to identify a cohort of patients aged ≤50 years with OSA using data from 2010 through 2018. Cases without OSA from the general population were matched as controls (1:5). The main outcome was any cardiovascular event (including hypertension, diabetes, atrial fibrillation, ischemic heart disease, ischemic stroke, heart failure, and venous thromboembolism). All-cause mortality was a secondary outcome. The study included 20 240 patients aged ≤50 years with OSA (19.6% female; mean±SD age 39.9±7.7 years) and 80 314 controls. After 5-year follow-up, 31.8% of the patients with OSA developed any cardiovascular event compared with 16.5% of the controls, with a corresponding relative risk (RR) of 1.96 (95% CI, 1.90-2.02). At 5-year follow-up, 27.3% of patients with OSA developed incident hypertension compared with 15.0% of the controls (RR, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.78-1.90]). Incident diabetes occurred in 6.8% of the patients with OSA and 1.4% of controls (RR, 5.05 [95% CI, 4.60-5.54])., Conclusions: Similar to older adults, young adults with OSA demonstrate increased risk of developing cardiovascular events. To prevent cardiovascular disease progression, accumulation of cardiovascular risk factors, and mortality, risk stratification and prevention strategies should be considered for these patients.

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with an increased risk of adverse events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF); however, few data are available on this topic in Asian populations., Methods and Results: Prospective observational study conducted on patients with AF enrolled in the Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) AF Registry. The diagnosis of COPD was based on data reported in the case report form by the investigators. Cox-regression models were used to assess the 1-year risk of a primary composite outcome of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome, and heart failure. Analysis on single outcomes and cardiovascular death was also performed. Interaction analysis was used to assess the risk of composite outcome and all-cause death in different subgroups. The study included 4094 patients with AF (mean±SD age 68.5±12 years, 34.6% female), of whom 112 (2.7%) had COPD. Patients with COPD showed a higher incidence of the primary composite outcome (25.1% versus 6.3%, P <0.001), all-cause death (14.9% versus 2.6%, P <0.001), cardiovascular death (2.0% versus 0.6%, P <0.001), and heart failure (8.3% versus 6.0%, P <0.001). On multiple Cox-regression analysis, COPD was associated with a higher risk of the primary composite outcome (hazard ratio [HR], 3.17 [95% CI, 2.05-4.90]), all-cause death (HR, 3.59 [95% CI, 2.04-6.30]), and heart failure (HR, 3.32 [95% CI, 1.56-7.03]); no statistically significant differences were found for other outcomes. The association between COPD and mortality was significantly modified by the use of beta blockers ( P int =0.018)., Conclusions: In Asian patients with AF, COPD is associated with worse prognosis. In patients with AF and COPD, the use of beta blockers was associated with a lower mortality., Registration Information: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT04807049.

Background: Systemic chronic inflammation plays a role in the pathophysiology of both heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease. This study aimed to investigate whether serum hs-CRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) levels were associated with the future risk of heart failure (HF) hospitalization in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and a normal left ventricular ejection fraction., Methods and Results: The study enrolled consecutive individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and normal left ventricular ejection fraction who underwent coronary angiography for suspected coronary heart disease. The study population was subdivided into non-HF, pre-HFpEF, and HFpEF groups at baseline. The study outcome was time to the first hospitalization for HF. In 10 019 middle-aged individuals (mean age, 63.3±10.6 years; 38.5% women), the prevalence rates of HFpEF and pre-HFpEF were 34.2% and 34.5%, with a median serum hs-CRP level of 4.5 mg/L (interquartile range, 1.9-10 mg/L) and 5.0 mg/L (interquartile range, 2.1-10.1 mg/L), respectively. Serum hs-CRP levels were significantly higher in the pre-HFpEF and HFpEF groups than in the non-HF group. HF hospitalizations occurred in 1942 (19.4%) patients over a median of 3.2 years, with rates of 3.7% in non-HF, 20.8% in pre-HFpEF, and 32.1% in HFpEF, respectively. Cox regression analyses showed that patients in the highest hs-CRP quartile had a ≈4.5-fold increased risk of being hospitalized for HF compared with those in the lowest hs-CRP quartile (adjusted-hazard ratio, 4.42 [95% CI, 3.72-5.25])., Conclusions: There was a high prevalence of baseline pre-HFpEF and HFpEF in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and suspected coronary heart disease. There was an increased risk of HF hospitalization in those with elevated hs-CRP levels.

Aims: The effectiveness of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) on incident dementia in patients with diabetes and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the association between SGLT2i and the risk of incident dementia in diabetic patients with AF, and to explore the interactions with oral anticoagulants or dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i)., Materials and Methods: We conducted a cohort study using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients with diabetes and AFwithout a prior history of established cardiovascular diseases, were identified. Using propensity score matching, 810 patients receiving SGLT2i were matched with 1620 patients not receiving SGLT2i. The primary outcome was incident dementia, and secondary outcomes included composite cardiovascular events and mortality., Results: After up to 5 years of follow-up, SGLT2i use was associated with a significantly lower risk of incident dementia (hazard: 0.71, 95% confidence interval: 0.51-0.98), particularly vascular dementia (HR: 0.44, 95% CI: 0.24-0.82). SGLT2i was related to reduced risks of AF-related hospitalisation (HR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.56-0.93), stroke (HR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.60-0.94), and all-cause death (HR: 0.33, 95% CI: 0.24-0.44). The protective effects were consistent irrespective of the concurrent use of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) or DPP4i., Conclusions: In diabetic patients with AF, SGLT2i was associated with reduced risks of incident dementia, AF-related hospitalisation, stroke, and all-cause death. The protective effects were independent of either concurrent use of NOACs or DPP4i., (© 2024 The Authors. Diabetes/Metabolism Research and Reviews published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: Whether statin use can reduce the risk of heart failure (HF) remains controversial. The present study evaluates the association between statin use and HF in patients with atrial fibrillation., Methods and Results: Patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation from 2010 to 2018 were included. An inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to balance baseline covariates between statin users (n=23 239) and statin nonusers (n=29 251). The primary outcome was incident HF. Cox proportional hazard models with competing risk regression were used to evaluate the risk of HF between statin users and nonusers. The median age of the cohort was 74.7 years, and 47.3% were women. Over a median follow-up of 5.1 years, incident HF occurred in 3673 (15.8%) statin users and 5595 (19.1%) statin nonusers. Statin use was associated with a 19% lower risk of HF (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.78-0.85]). Restricted to the statin users, duration of statin use was measured during follow-up; compared with short-term use (3 months to <2 years), there was a stepwise reduction in the risk of incident HF among those with 2 to <4 years of statin use (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.84-0.88]), 4 to <6 years of statin use (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.72-0.76]), and ≥6 years of statin use (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.69-0.74]). Subgroup analysis showed consistent reductions in the risk of HF with statin use., Conclusions: Statin use was associated with a decreased risk of incident HF in a duration-dependent manner among patients with atrial fibrillation.

Background Clinical risk factors are common among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but there are still limited data on their association with oral anticoagulant (OAC) treatment patterns and major outcomes. We aim to analyze the association between clinical risk phenotypes on AF treatment patterns and the risk of major outcomes. Methods and Results The GLORIA-AF (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation) phase 2 and 3 registries enrolled patients with a recent diagnosis of AF between 2011 and 2016. We defined 4 features of clinical risk among patients with CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc ≥2: elderly individuals (aged ≥80 years), chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate <45 mL/min), history of stroke, and history of bleeding. We analyzed the odds of receiving OAC and the risk of OAC discontinuation and adverse events at follow-up according to specific combinations and cumulative burden of these features. Primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death, thromboembolism, and major bleeding. Among 28 891 (mean±SD age, 70.1±10.5 years; 45.5% women) patients included, 10 797 (37.3%) had at least 1 clinical risk feature. OAC use was lower among patients in the elderly group (odds ratio [OR], 0.85 [95% CI, 0.75-0.96]), those with history of both stroke and bleeding (OR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.35-0.56]), and those with multiple features (OR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.62-0.82]). Increasing burden of clinical risk features was associated with OAC discontinuation, with highest magnitude in those with ≥3 features (hazard ratio [HR], 1.68 [95% CI, 1.31-2.15]). Groups with increasingly complex clinical risk phenotypes were associated with the occurrence of the primary composite outcome, with the highest figures observed for groups with a history of both stroke and bleeding (adjusted HR, 2.36 [95% CI, 1.83-3.04]) and multiple features (adjusted HR, 2.86 [95% CI, 2.52-3.25]). Conclusions In patients with AF, clinical risk phenotypes are multifaceted and heterogenous, and they are associated with differences in stroke prevention and worse prognosis.

Aim: To assess the relationship of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor analogues (GLP-1RA) and their combination (SGLT2i + GLP-1RA) with 5-year risk of all-cause mortality, hospitalization and cardiovascular/macrovascular disease in people with type 2 diabetes., Materials and Methods: Retrospective cohort analysis of 2.2 million people with type 2 diabetes receiving insulin across 85 health care organizations using a global federated health research network. Three intervention cohorts (SGLT2i, GLP-1RA and SGLT2i + GLP-1RA) were compared against a control cohort (no SGLT2i/GLP-1RA). Propensity score matching for age, ischaemic heart disease, sex, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, heart failure and glycated haemoglobin was used to balance cohorts 1:1 (SGLT2i, n = 143 600; GLP-1RA, n = 186 841; SGLT-2i + GLP-1RA, n = 108 504). A sub-analysis comparing combination and monotherapy cohorts was also performed., Results: The intervention cohorts showed a reduced hazard ratio (HR, 95% confidence interval) over 5 years compared with the control cohort for all-cause mortality (SGLT2i 0.49, 0.48-0.50; GLP-1RA 0.47, 0.46-0.48; combination 0.25, 0.24-0.26), hospitalization (0.73, 0.72-0.74; 0.69, 0.68-0.69; 0.60, 0.59-0.61) and acute myocardial infarct (0.75, 0.72-0.78; 0.70, 0.68-0.73; 0.63, 0.60-0.66), respectively. All other outcomes showed a significant risk reduction in favour of the intervention cohorts. The sub-analysis showed a significant risk reduction in all-cause mortality for combination therapy versus SGLT2i (0.53, 0.50-0.55) and GLP-1RA (0.56, 0.54-0.59)., Conclusions: SGLT2i, GLP-1RAs or combination therapy confers mortality and cardiovascular protection in people with type 2 diabetes over 5 years. Combination therapy was associated with the greatest risk reduction in all-cause mortality versus a propensity matched control cohort. In addition, combination therapy offers a reduction in 5-year all-cause mortality when compared directly against either monotherapy., (© 2023 The Authors. Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Aims: Comparative data between the HAS-BLED, GARFIELD-AF and ORBIT score are limited in anticoagulated Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We compared the performance of the 3 scores in a nationwide registry., Methods: AF patients treated with oral anticoagulants in the COOL-AF registry were studied. We fitted the variables of the HAS-BLED, GARFIELD-AF and ORBIT score to major bleeding in Cox model. We explored a modified HAS-BLED by addition of sex and body weight. Discrimination, calibration, net reclassification index (NRI) and decision curve analysis were used to compare the performance of the 3 models., Results: Of 3402 patients in the registry, 2568 patients who received oral anticoagulant at baseline were studied. Majority of patients (91.1%) received warfarin. The rate of major bleeding was 2.11 per 100 person-years. The C-statistics of the GARFIELD-AF, HAS-BLED, modified HAS-BLED and ORBIT score were 0.65 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-0.67), 0.66 (95%CI 0.64-0.68), 0.69 (95%CI 0.67-0.71) and 0.64 (95%CI 0.62-0.66) respectively. There was good agreement between predicted and observed bleeding in the deciles of HAS-BLED and GARFIELD-AF scores, while the modified HAS-BLED score and ORBIT score overestimated the risk in the last decile. The modified HAS-BLED score had superior NRI than the HAS-BLED score (26.9%, 95%CI 9.7%-42.2%) and the ORBIT score (31.9%, 95%CI 9.0-53.6%). The NRI between the modified HAS-BLED and GARFIELD-AF score was similar. The net benefit curve of the 4 models were overlapping among different thresholds., Conclusions: The clinical utility for bleeding prediction of GARFIELD-AF, HAS-BLED, modified HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores were similar in anticoagulated Asian patients with AF participating in the COOL-AF registry. We found no advantage of the ORBIT over HAS-BLED score for bleeding risk prediction, even in direct oral anticoagulant users., (© 2023 British Pharmacological Society.)

Aims: Using advanced longitudinal analyses, this real-world investigation examined medication adherence levels and patterns for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with significant cardiovascular and noncardiovascular multimorbid conditions for each of 5 medication classes (β-blockers, calcium channel blockers/digoxin, antiarrhythmics, anticoagulants, antiplatelets). The population was derived from a large cohort covering a wide age spectrum/diversified US geographical areas/wide range of socioeconomic-disability status., Methods: The patients were drawn from 3 different health plans. Adherence was defined in terms of the proportion of day covered (PDC), and its patterns were modelled in terms of group-based trajectory, with each pattern profiled in terms of comorbid history, demographic variables and health plan factors using multinomial regression modelling., Results: The total population consisted of 1 978 168 patients, with the AF cohort being older (average age of 64.6 years relative to 44.7 years for the non-AF cohort) and having fewer females (47.8% relative to 55.4 for the non-AF cohort). The AF cohort had significant cardiovascular/noncardiovascular multimorbidities and was much sicker than the non-AF cohort. A 6-group based trajectory solution appears to be the most logical outcome for each medication class according to assessed criteria. For each medication class, it consisted of one consistent adherent group (PDC ≥ 0.84), one fast declining group (PDC ≤ 0.11) and 4 intermediate nonadherence groups (slow decline [0.30-0.74 PDC range], occasional users [0.24-0.55 PDC range] and early gap/increased adherence [0.62-0.75]). The most consistent adherent groups were much lower than 50% of the total population and equal to 12.5-27.0% of the population, with the fast declining nonadherent pattern in the 5.6-35.0% of the population and the intermediate nonadherence equal to ~61% of the population., Conclusion: Our findings confirm that medication adherence is of major concern among multimorbid patients, with adherence levels lower much than those reported in the literature. There are 3 patterns of intermediate nonadherence (slow decline, occasional users, early gap/increased adherence), which were found to be eligible for interventions aimed at improving their adherence levels for each medication class. This may help improve cardiovascular medication adherence using large medication nonadherence improvement programmes., (© 2022 British Pharmacological Society.)

Background We aimed to determine the effect of integrating Atrial Fibrillation Better Care pathway compliance in relation to achievement of systolic blood pressure (SBP) targets and good control of time in therapeutic range (TTR) on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation. Methods and Results We prospectively enrolled patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation  from 27 hospitals in Thailand. All clinical outcomes were recorded. Main outcomes were the composite of all-cause death or ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SSE), as well as secondary outcomes of all-cause death, SSE, major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, and heart failure. An SBP of 120 to 140 mm Hg was considered good blood pressure control. Target TTR was a TTR ≥65%. A total of 3405 patients were studied (mean age 67.8 years, 41.8% female). Full ABC pathway compliance was evident in 42.7%. For blood pressure control, 41.9% had SBP within target, whereas 35.9% of those on warfarin had TTR within target. The incidence rates of all-cause death/SSE, all-cause death, SSE, major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, and heart failure were 5.29, 4.21, 1.51, 2.25, 0.78, and 2.84 per 100 person-years respectively. Adjusted hazard ratios and 95% CI of Atrial Fibrillation Better Care pathway compliance for all-cause death/SSE, all-cause death, and heart failure were 0.76 (0.62-0.94), 0.79 (0.62-0.99), and 0.69 (0.51-0.94), respectively, compared with noncompliance. Patients with Atrial Fibrillation Better Care compliance and SBP within target had a better outcome or TTR within target had better outcomes. Conclusions In COOL-AF (Cohort of Antithrombotic Use and Optimal International Normalized Ratio Level in Patients With Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation in Thailand), a multicenter nationwide prospective cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation, achieving SBP within target and TTR ≥ 65% has added value to Atrial Fibrillation Better Care pathway compliance in the reduction of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation.

Aims: This study aimed to develop and validate a new bleeding risk score to predict warfarin-associated major bleeding for patients with mitral valve stenosis with atrial fibrillation (MSAF) or mechanical heart valves (MHV)., Methods: A multicentre, retrospective cohort study was conducted at 3 hospitals in Thailand. Adult patients with MSAF or MHV receiving warfarin for ≥3 months during 2011-2015 were identified. Data collection and case validation were performed electronically and manually. Potential variables were screened using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. Multivariate logistic regression analysis using stepwise backward selection was used to construct a risk score. Predictive discrimination of the score was evaluated using the C-statistic. Calibration was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test., Results: There were 1287 patients (3903.41 patient-year of follow-up), with 192 experiencing bleeding (4.92 event/100 patient-year) in the derivation cohort. A new bleeding risk score termed, the HEARTS-60 + 3 score (hypertension/history of bleeding; external factors, e.g., alcohol/drugs [aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs]; anaemia/hypoalbuminaemia; renal/hepatic insufficiency; time in therapeutic range of <60%; stroke; age ≥60 y; target international normalized ratio of 3.0 [2.5-3.5]), was developed and showed good predictive performance (C-statistic [95% confidence interval] of 0.88 [0.85-0.91]). In the external validation cohort of 832 patients (2018.45 patient-year with a bleeding rate of 4.31 event/100 patient-year), the HEARTS-60 + 3 score showed a good predictive performance with a C-statistic (95% confidence interval) of 0.84 (0.81-0.89)., Conclusion: The HEARTS-60 + 3 score shows a potential as a bleeding risk prediction score in MSAF or MHV patients., (© 2022 British Pharmacological Society.)

Aim: To investigate the impact of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors on the risk of incident heart failure and adverse cardiovascular outcomes., Methods: All patients with diabetes who were registered between January 2018 and December 2019 were identified from a federated electronic medical record database (TriNetX) and followed up for 2 years. A 1:1 propensity-score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to balance the SGLT2 inhibitor and non-SGLT2 inhibitor cohorts. The primary outcome was incident heart failure. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, cardiac arrest, ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF), incident atrial fibrillation (AF), ischaemic stroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA), composite of arterial and venous thrombotic events, and composite of incident VT/VF and cardiac arrest., Results: A total of 131 189 and 2 692 985 patients were treated with and without SGLT2 inhibitors, respectively. After PSM, 131 188 patients remained in each group. The risk of incident heart failure was significantly lower in the SGLT2 inhibitor cohort compared to the non-SGLT2 inhibitor cohort (hazard ratio [HR] 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68-0.73). SGLT2 inhibitor use was also associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.58-0.64), cardiac arrest (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.63-0.78), incident AF (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.76-0.84), ischaemic stroke/TIA (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.88-0.93), composite of arterial and venous thrombotic events (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.88-0.92), and composite of incident VT/VF and cardiac arrest (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.71-0.81). There were no significant differences for VT/VF (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.88-1.00)., Conclusion: Use of SGLT2 inhibitors was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of incident heart failure and adverse cardiovascular outcomes but not ventricular arrhythmias., (© 2022 The Authors. Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background Socioeconomic status (SES) differences could influence management and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), reflecting health inequalities. The authors aimed to investigate emergency department (ED) visits in patients with AF according to SES level. Methods and Results The authors performed a cross-sectional analysis of ED visits in patients with nonvalvular AF using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database in 2016. The patients were divided into health premium quartiles and medical aid groups, with quartile 4 the highest SES and medical aid the lowest SES. Among patients with AF, patients who had ≥1 ED visits in 2016 were identified. The prevalence and cause of ED visits, 30- and 90-day mortality, and rehospitalization risk after ED visits were evaluated. Among the total 371 017 AF patients, 99 306 patients visited the ED in 2016. The medical aid group showed the highest ED visit rate (n=11 833, 38.0%), and patients with the highest quartile of SES (quartile 4 group) showed the lowest ED visit rate (n=38 037, 30.0%). The most common cause of ED visits was cerebral infarction in all groups. The 30- and 90-day mortality rates and rehospitalization risk after ED visits was higher in groups with lower SES. Conclusions Patients with AF and with lower SES had a higher risk of ED visit rate, higher 30- and 90-day mortality rates, and rehospitalization risk after ED visit. Tailored AF management according to different SES levels in patients with AF is needed to improve clinical outcomes.

Background The association between cancer types and specific bleeding events in patients with atrial fibrillation has been scarcely investigated. Also, the performance of bleeding risk scores in this high-risk subgroup of patients is unclear. We investigated the rate of any bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, major bleeding, and gastrointestinal bleeding according to cancer types in patients with atrial fibrillation. We also tested the predictive value of HAS-BLED, ATRIA, and ORBIT bleeding risk scores. Methods and Results Observational retrospective cohort study including hospitalized patients with atrial fibrillation and cancer from the French National Hospital Discharge Database (Programme de Medicalisation des Systemes d'Information) from January 2010 to December 2019. Major bleeding was defined according to Bleeding Academic Research Consortium definitions. Patients with HAS-BLED ≥3, ATRIA ≥5, or ORBIT ≥4 were classified as at high bleeding risk. Receiver operating characteristic analysis for each score against any bleeding, major bleeding, gastrointestinal bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage was performed. Areas under the curve (AUCs) were then compared. We included 399 344 patients. Mean age was 77.9±10.2 years, and 63.2% were men. The highest intracranial hemorrhage rates were found in leukemia (1.89%/year), myeloma (1.52%/year), lymphoma and liver (1.45%/year), and pancreas cancer (1.41%/year). Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that ORBIT score predicted best for any bleeding. In addition, ORBIT score ≥4 had the highest predictivity for major bleeding (AUC, 0.805), followed by HAS-BLED ≥3 and ATRIA ≥5 (AUCs, 0.716 and 0.700, respectively). HAS-BLED and ORBIT performed best for intracranial hemorrhage (AUCs, 0.744 and 0.742 for continuous scores, respectively), better than ATRIA (AUC, 0.635). For gastrointestinal bleeding, ORBIT ≥4 had the highest predictivity (AUC, 0.756), followed by the HAS-BLED ≥3 (AUC, 0.702) and ATRIA ≥5 (AUC, 0.662). Conclusions Some cancer types carry a greater bleeding risk in patients with atrial fibrillation. The identification and management of modifiable bleeding risk factors is crucial in these patients, as well as to flag up high bleeding risk patients for early review and follow-up.

Aim: To clarify the importance of HbA1c reduction and antidiabetic drug use in preventing major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D)., Materials and Methods: We conducted an updated systematic review of contemporary large randomized controlled trials assessing the relative efficacy and safety of antidiabetic drugs with less hypoglycaemia risk in adult T2D patients. Mixed-effects meta-regression was performed to examine the associations of HbA1c reduction with subsequent risk of macrovascular and microvascular events. We evaluated the potential mediating role of HbA1c reduction in the relationship between antidiabetic drugs and MACE., Results: Eighteen placebo-controlled trials comprising 155 610 participants were included. The effects of treatment differed among antidiabetic drug classes for most adverse outcomes with high heterogeneity (I 2 : 63.7%-95.8%). Mean HbA1c reduction was lowest with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (0.30%), followed by sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (0.46%), and was highest with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (0.58%) and thiazolidinediones (0.60%). Lower relative risks of MACE were significantly associated with larger reductions in achieved HbA1c (β -0.3182; 95% CI: -0.5366 to -0.0998; P = .0043), even after adjusting for drug classes. When considering HbA1c lowering as a mediator to be controlled, beneficial effects owing to specific antidiabetic treatment for MACE were not observed (χ 2  = 1.4494; P = .6940). The proportion mediated by HbA1c reduction was 50.0%-63.5% for these antidiabetic agents., Conclusions: The main benefits of antidiabetic agents might result from the reduction in blood sugar levels and are generally independent of drugs used. Risk reduction in MACE was proportional to the magnitude of HbA1c decrease conferred by antidiabetic agents with less hypoglycaemic hazard., (© 2022 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Aims: Observational studies have investigated the effectiveness and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) used in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the risk of ischaemic stroke, thromboembolism (TE) and intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) associated with the use of DOACs and VKAs., Methods: Medline and Embase were systematically searched until April 2021. Observational studies were gathered and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were extracted. Subgroup analyses based on DOAC doses, history of chronic kidney disease, stroke, exposure to VKA, age and sex were performed. A random-effects model was used., Results: We included 92 studies and performed 107 comparisons. Apixaban was associated with lower risk of stroke (HR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.68-0.99) compared to dabigatran. Rivaroxaban was associated with lower risk of stroke (HR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.83-0.98) compared to VKA. Dabigatran (HR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.80-0.91), rivaroxaban (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.77-0.89) and apixaban (HR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.65-0.86) were associated with lower risk for TE/stroke compared to VKA. Apixaban (HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.03-1.68) and rivaroxaban (HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.31-1.89) were associated with higher risk of ICH compared to dabigatran. Dabigatran (HR: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.44-0.52), apixaban (HR: 0.60, 95% CI: 0.49-0.73) and rivaroxaban (HR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.65-0.81) were associated with lower risk of ICH compared to VKA., Conclusion: Our study demonstrated significant differences in the risk of ischaemic stroke, TE/stroke and ICH associated with individual DOACs compared to both other DOACs and VKA., (© 2022 British Pharmacological Society.)

Aims: The evidence of a protective effect of proton-pump inhibitor (PPI) in oral anticoagulant (OAC)-treated patients against gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) is still lacking. We conducted a meta-analysis to estimate the risk of GIB in patients with OAC and PPI cotherapy., Methods: A systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane and Scopus databases was performed for studies reporting GIB risk in OAC and PPI cotherapy. Primary outcomes were total GIB and major GIB events. Pooled estimates of GIB risk were calculated by a random-effect meta-analysis and reported as odds ratios and 95% confidence interval., Results: A total of 10 studies and 1 970 931 patients were included. OAC and PPI cotherapy were associated with a lower odds of total and major GIB; odds ratio (95% confidence interval) was 0.67 (0.62-0.74) for total and 0.68 (0.63-0.75) for major GIB, respectively. No differences in the GIB of PPI cotherapy were observed between Asians and non-Asians (P-for-difference, total GIB = .70, major GIB = .75, respectively). For all kinds of OAC except for edoxaban, PPI cotreatment was related to lower odds of GIB by 24-44%. The protective effect of PPI on total GIB was more significant in concurrent antiplatelets or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug users and those with high bleeding risks: patients with previous GIB history, HAS-BLED ≥3 or underlying gastrointestinal diseases., Conclusion: In patients who receive OAC, PPI cotherapy is associated with a lower total and major GIB irrespective of ethnic group and OAC type, except for edoxaban. PPI cotherapy can be considered particularly in patients with high risk of GIB., (© 2022 British Pharmacological Society.)

Background Residual risk of ischemic stroke despite anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) represents a significant clinical issue that remains unaddressed. We aimed to evaluate the incidence and risk factors for residual adverse events in AF. Methods and Results Using data from phase II/III of the prospective GLORIA-AF (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-thrombotic Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation) registry, we studied anticoagulated patients with newly diagnosed AF and an increased risk of stroke (CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc ≥1). The primary outcome of interest was ischemic stroke. Secondary outcomes were all-cause death, cardiovascular death and myocardial infarction. A total of 22 410 patients were included; median age 65 (interquartile range 71-78) and 10 044 (44.8%) were female. During a median follow-up period of 3.0 (interquartile range 2.2-3.1) years, the incidence of ischemic stroke was 0.60 (95% CI, 0.54-0.67) per 100-PYs, all-cause death 3.22 (95% CI, 3.08-3.37) per 100-PYs, cardiovascular death 1.08 (95% CI, 1.00-1.16) per 100-PYs and myocardial infarction 0.59 (95% CI, 0.53-0.66) per 100-PYs. Using multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, independent predictors of residual ischemic stroke were age (HR 1.05 [95% CI, 1.03-1.07]), diabetes (HR 1.42 [95% CI, 1.08-1.87]), prior thromboembolism (HR 2.27 [95% CI, 1.73-2.98]) and use of antiarrhythmic drugs (HR 0.66 [95% CI, 0.47-0.92]). The incidence of ischemic stroke was comparable among patients treated with nonvitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants versus vitamin K antagonist; however, there were differences in the independent predictors between both groups. Conclusions Patients with AF remain at significant residual risk of developing complications including ischemic stroke despite anticoagulation therapy. Further efforts among these patients should be directed at the management of modifiable risk factors that contribute to this risk. Registration URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifiers: NCT01468701, NCT01671007 and NCT01937377.

Aims: Schizophrenia is associated with poor anticoagulation control and clinical prognosis in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Little is known about initiation of oral anticoagulation therapy (OAC) in this patient population., Methods: In the nationwide Danish health registries, we identified all patients with incident AF and schizophrenia with indication for OAC treatment. Patients with schizophrenia (n = 673) were matched 1:5 on sex, age, stroke risk score, and calendar-period to incident AF patients without schizophrenia. We calculated absolute risk and risk difference (RD) of OAC initiation, adjusting for stroke and bleeding risk factors. Analyses were stratified by calendar period (2000-2011 and 2012-2018) to account for changes after the introduction of non-vitamin K OACs (NOAC)., Results: Among patients with schizophrenia (mean age 69.5 years, 50.3% females), 33.7% initiated OAC within the first year after AF diagnosis, compared with 54.4% of patients without schizophrenia, corresponding to an adjusted RD of -20.7 (95% confidence interval [CI]: -24.7 to -16.7). OAC initiation increased over time regardless of schizophrenia status. During 2000-2011, 18.3% of patients with schizophrenia and 42.9% without schizophrenia initiated OAC (adjusted RD -23.6%, 95% CI -28.8 to -18.6). During 2012-2018, this was 48.5% and 65.7%, respectively (adjusted RD -14.4%, 95% CI -20.4 to -8.4)., Conclusion: Initiation of OAC was substantially lower among patients with AF and schizophrenia compared with matched AF peers. These findings accentuate the importance of close attention to disparities in initiation of OAC treatment, and potential missed opportunities for prevention of disabling strokes in AF patients with schizophrenia., (© 2022 The Authors. British Journal of Clinical Pharmacology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of British Pharmacological Society.)

Background Improved prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) may allow for earlier interventions for stroke prevention, as well as mortality and morbidity from other AF-related complications. We developed a clinically feasible and accurate AF prediction model using electronic health records and computerized ECG interpretation. Methods and Results A total of 671 318 patients were screened from 3 tertiary hospitals. After careful exclusion of cases with missing values and a prior AF diagnosis, AF prediction models were developed from the derivation cohort of 25 584 patients without AF at baseline. In the internal/external validation cohort of 117 523 patients, the model using 6 clinical features and 5 ECG diagnoses showed the highest performance for 3-year new-onset AF prediction (C-statistic, 0.796 [95% CI, 0.785-0.806]). A more simplified model using age, sex, and 5 ECG diagnoses (atrioventricular block, fusion beats, marked sinus arrhythmia, supraventricular premature complex, and wide QRS complex) had comparable predictive power (C-statistic, 0.777 [95% CI, 0.766-0.788]). The simplified model showed a similar or better predictive performance than the previous models. In the subgroup analysis, the models performed relatively better in patients without risk factors. Specifically, the predictive power was lower in patients with heart failure or decreased renal function. Conclusions Although the 3-year AF prediction model using both clinical and ECG variables showed the highest performance, the simplified model using age, sex, and 5 ECG diagnoses also had a comparable prediction power with broad applicability for incident AF.

Aims: This study aimed to evaluate the performance of HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores in predicting bleeding risk among Asian patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) using direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs)., Methods: A retrospective chart review was conducted among adult patients receiving DOACs for ≥6 months during January 2013 to December 2017 in 10 tertiary care hospitals in Thailand. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) method or C-statistic was used to test the diagnostic accuracy for bleeding risk classification of HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores. The predictive performances of the two scores were compared using DeLong's method., Results: A total of 961 NVAF patients, 52.5% warfarin-naïve and 47.5% warfarin-experienced, with mean age of 74.25 ± 10.08 years, were included in the analysis. Mean HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores of the cohort were 1.98 ± 1.10 and 2.37 ± 1.71, respectively. During the mean follow-up time of 1.55 ± 1.13 years, 34 patients experienced major bleeding (2.28 events/100 patient-year). For the overall cohort, both the HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores showed similarly moderate predictive performance on bleeding with C-statistic (95% confidence interval) of 0.65 (0.57-0.74) and 0.64 (0.56-0.71), respectively. There was no statistical significance between the two scores (P = .62). Analysis based on the status of previous warfarin use was consistent with the overall cohort. Based on the calibration analysis, both HAS-BLED and ORBIT scores possessed moderate ability to identify those who experienced major bleeding from those who did not., Conclusion: Both HAS-BLED and ORBIT bleeding risk scores had moderate predictive performance in Asian NVAF patients receiving DOACs., (© 2021 British Pharmacological Society.)

Background Patients with atrial fibrillation commonly have complex clinical backgrounds of multimorbidity and polypharmacy. The Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway has been developed to help deliver integrated and holistic care for patients with atrial fibrillation. In this ancillary analysis, we assessed the adherence to and the effectiveness of the ABC pathway at reducing adverse outcomes in Chinese patients with atrial fibrillation with a complex clinical background of multimorbidity or polypharmacy. Methods and Results The ChiOTEAF (Optimal Thromboprophylaxis in Elderly Chinese Patients With Atrial Fibrillation) registry is a prospective, multicenter, nationwide study conducted from October 2014 to December 2018. The primary outcomes of interest were the composite end point of all-cause death and thromboembolic events, as well as individual end points of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, and major bleeding. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of ≥2 comorbidities, and polypharmacy was defined as the concomitant use of ≥5 medications. The eligible cohort included 4644 patients with multimorbidity, of whom 2610 (56.2%) had available data to assess the ABC pathway usage (mean age, 74.4±10.2; 42.8% women). Among patients with polypharmacy (n=2262; mean age, 74.6±10.1; 43.3% women), 1328 (58.7%) had available data to assess the use of the ABC pathway. Adherence to the ABC pathway was associated with a lower risk of the primary composite outcome among patients with multimorbidity (odds ratio, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.29-0.79) and in the polypharmacy group (odds ratio, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.19-0.78). Health-related quality of life was lower in the non-ABC-adherent group compared with the ABC-treated patients. Conclusions This nationwide real-world registry shows that adherence to the ABC pathway is associated with improved clinical outcomes and health-related quality of life in clinically complex Chinese patients with atrial fibrillation with multimorbidity or polypharmacy.

Background Limited data are available on the clinical impact of healthy lifestyle behaviors on the risk of dementia in patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF). Here, we aimed to evaluate the association between a combination of healthy lifestyle behaviors and the risk of incident dementia in patients with AF. Methods and Results Using the Korean National Health Insurance database between 2009 and 2016, we identified 199 952 adult patients who were newly diagnosed as AF without dementia. Patients were categorized into 4 groups by healthy lifestyle behavior score (HLS) with 1 point each being assigned for no current smoking, alcohol abstinence, and regular exercise. The HLS 0, 1, 2, and 3 groups included 4.4%, 17.4%, 53.4%, and 24.8% of the patients, respectively. We performed an inverse probability of treatment weighting to balance covariates between HLS groups. The HLS 1, 2, and 3 groups were associated with a lower risk of dementia compared with the HLS 0 group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.769; 95% CI, 0.704-0.842 for HLS 1; HR, 0.770; 95% CI, 0.709-0.836 for HLS 2; and HR, 0.622; 95% CI, 0.569-0.679 for HLS 3). The risk of dementia showed a tendency to decrease with an increase in HLS ( P -for-trend <0.001). Conclusions A clustering of healthy lifestyle behaviors was associated with a significantly lower risk of dementia in patients with new-onset AF. These findings support the promotion of a healthy lifestyle within an integrated care approach to AF patient management.

Data on the use of oral anti-coagulants (OAC) for stroke prevention in cancer patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are sparse. Nationwide cohort study of patients with AF (2012-2018) and an indication for OAC who were diagnosed with cancer at least one year later (N = 12 756). We identified treatment with OAC at cancer diagnosis and the following year and described the incidence of discontinuing or switching between warfarin and direct oral anti-coagulants (DOACs). We also described baseline characteristics associated with OAC non-persistence. One third of the cancer patients received no OAC therapy, whereas 42% received warfarin and 24% received DOAC treatment. Switching incidence between OACs was higher for those receiving warfarin treatment (8.6%) than DOAC treatment (1.7%) within one year. Treatment discontinuation was 61% for warfarin and 26% for DOAC. Females were less likely to discontinue DOAC than males (ratio 0.77, 95% confidence interval: 0.66, 0.90). Increasing cancer stage was associated with discontinuation of DOAC, but not warfarin. OAC for stroke prevention in AF was used by two thirds of patients with newly diagnosed cancer. Switching between OACs and discontinuation was more common for warfarin than DOAC, and females had higher persistence with DOACs., (© 2022 British Society for Haematology and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background Effective stroke prevention with oral anticoagulants (OAC) is recommended for some patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to describe OAC use by geographical region and type of site in patients with recent-onset AF enrolled in a large global registry. Methods and Results Eligible participants were recruited into GLORIA-AF (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation), a prospective observational cohort study from 2014 to 2016 in 4 international regions: North America, Europe, Asia, and Latin America. Cumulative incidence functions were generated for direct OACs (DOAC), vitamin K antagonists, and antiplatelet drugs considering competing risks, stratified by region and type of site. Time-to-treatment initiation after AF diagnosis was analyzed with Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models. A total of 21 237 patients eligible for analysis were identified. By 30 days after AF diagnosis, 40%, 16%, and 8.6% of patients had DOAC, vitamin K antagonists, and antiplatelet drugs initiated, respectively. Earlier initiation of DOACs was observed in Europe, with Asia and Latin America having lower hazard rates of DOAC time-to-treatment initiation than Europe (hazard ratio [HR], 0.66; 95% CI, 0.62-0.70 and HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.73-0.85, respectively). DOAC initiation was highest in community hospitals, vitamin K antagonists in outpatient health care centers/anticoagulation clinics, and antiplatelet drugs in primary care clinics. Conclusions Important geographic variability exists with the use of OACs for patients with AF. Differences in the time-to-treatment initiation of OAC by type of site suggests suboptimal implementation of guideline recommendations and could result in less benefit and more harm. Optimizing OAC use for patients with AF may improve outcomes and reduce health care costs. Registration URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifiers: NCT01468701, NCT01671007.

Aims: The net benefit of oral anticoagulants (OACs) in atrial fibrillation (AF) is poorly understood. We aimed to determine the NNT for net effect (NNT net ) using calculator of absolute stroke risk (CARS) in anticoagulated patients with AF in real-world and clinical trial cohorts., Methods: Post-hoc analysis of patient-level data from the real-world Murcia AF Project and AMADEUS clinical trial. Baseline risk of stroke was determined using CARS. The risk of stroke and major bleeding events with OAC were determined using the number of respective events at 1-year. NNT net was calculated as a reciprocal of the net effect of absolute risk reduction with OAC (NNT net  = 1/(absolute risk reduction of stroke[ARR stroke ] - absolute risk increase of major bleeding[ARI bleeding ]))., Results: In total, 3511 patients were included (1306 [37.2%] real-world patients and 2205 [62.8%] clinical trial participants). The absolute 1-year stroke risk was similar across both cohorts. In the real-world cohort, OAC was associated with a 4.0% ARR stroke , 25 NNT benefit , 1.0% ARI bleeding , 100 NNT harm and 34 NNT net . In the clinical trial cohort, OAC was associated with a 3.8% ARR stroke , 27 NNT benefit , 1.6% ARI bleeding , 63 NNT harm and 46 NNT net . In both cohorts, the NNT net was significantly lower in patients with an excess stroke risk of ≥2% by CARS., Conclusion: Overall, the NNT net approach in AF incorporates information regarding baseline risk of stroke and major bleeding, and relative effects of OAC with the potential to include multiple additional outcomes and weighting of events based on their perceived effects by individual patients., (© 2021 British Pharmacological Society.)

Background Rhythm control is associated with better cardiovascular outcomes than usual care among patients with recently diagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF). This study investigated the effects of rhythm control compared with rate control on the incidence of stroke, heart failure, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death stratified by timing of treatment initiation. Methods and Results We conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study including 22 635 patients with AF newly treated with rhythm control (antiarrhythmic drugs or ablation) or rate control in 2011 to 2015 from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. Propensity overlap weighting was used. Compared with rate control, rhythm control initiated within 1 year of AF diagnosis decreased the risk of stroke. The point estimates for rhythm control initiated at selected time points after AF diagnosis are as follows: 6 months (hazard ratio [HR], 0.76; 95% CI, 0.66-0.87), 1 year (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.66-0.93), and 5 years (HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.45-2.24). The initiation of rhythm control within 6 months of AF diagnosis reduced the risk of hospitalization for heart failure: 6 months (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.95), 1 year (HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.82-1.13), and 5 years (HR, 2.88; 95% CI, 1.34-6.17). The risks of myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death did not differ between rhythm and rate control regardless of treatment timing. Conclusions Early initiation of rhythm control was associated with a lower risk of stroke and heart failure-related admission than rate control in patients with recently diagnosed AF. The effects were attenuated as initiating the rhythm control treatment later.

Background Cardiomyopathy is a common cause of atrial fibrillation (AF) and may also present as a complication of AF. However, there is a scarcity of evidence of clinical outcomes for people with cardiomyopathy and concomittant AF. The aim of the present study was therefore to characterize the prevalence of AF in major subtypes of cardiomyopathy and investigate the impact on important clinical outcomes. Methods and Results A retrospective cohort study was conducted using electronic medical records from a global federated health research network, with data primarily from the United States. The TriNetX network was searched on January 17, 2021, including records from 2002 to 2020, which included at least 1 year of follow-up data. Patients were included based on a diagnosis of hypertrophic, dilated, or restrictive cardiomyopathy and concomitant AF. Patients with cardiomyopathy and AF were propensity-score matched for age, sex, race, and comorbidities with patients who had a cardiomyopathy only. The outcomes were 1-year mortality, hospitalization, incident heart failure, and incident stroke. Of 634 885 patients with cardiomyopathy, there were 14 675 (2.3%) patients with hypertrophic, 90 117 (7.0%) with restrictive, and 37 685 (5.9%) with dilated cardiomyopathy with concomitant AF. AF was associated with significantly higher odds of all-cause mortality (odds ratio [95% CI]) for patients with hypertrophic (1.26 [1.13-1.40]) and dilated (1.36 [1.27-1.46]), but not restrictive (0.98 [0.94-1.02]), cardiomyopathy. Odds of hospitalization, incident heart failure, and incident stroke were significantly higher in all cardiomyopathy subtypes with concomitant AF. Among patients with AF, catheter ablation was associated with significantly lower odds of all-cause mortality at 12 months across all cardiomyopathy subtypes. Conclusions Findings of the present study suggest AF may be highly prevalent in patients with cardiomyopathy and associated with worsened prognosis. Subsequent research is needed to determine the usefulness of screening and multisdisciplinary treatment of AF in this population.

Background Guideline recommendations on the use of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with aortic stenosis are based on studies including a low number of patients with aortic stenosis. The aim of this study was to estimate the effects of NOAC versus warfarin on thromboembolism and major bleeding among AF patients with aortic stenosis. Methods and Results We emulated a target trial using observational data from Danish nationwide registries between 2013 and 2018. Thromboembolism was defined as a hospital diagnosis of ischemic stroke and/or systemic embolism, and major bleeding was defined as a hospital diagnosis of intracranial bleeding, gastrointestinal bleeding, or major or clinically relevant bleeding in other anatomic sites. Treatment effect estimates were based on an intention-to-treat and per-protocol approach. A total of 3726 patients with AF and aortic stenosis claimed a prescription for either a NOAC (2357 patients) or warfarin (1369 patients) and met the eligibility criteria for the trial. During 3 years of follow-up, the adjusted hazard ratios for thromboembolism and major bleeding were 1.62 (95% CI, 1.08-2.45) and 0.73 (0.59-0.91) for NOAC compared with warfarin in the intention-to-treat analyses. Similar results were observed in the per-protocol analyses. Conclusions In this observational study, we observed a higher risk of thromboembolism but a lower risk of major bleeding for treatment with NOACs compared with warfarin in patients with AF and aortic stenosis. This observation needs confirmation in large randomized trials in these commonly encountered patients.

Background Available evidence supports an association between atrial high-rate episode (AHRE) burden and thromboembolic risk, but the necessary extent and duration of AHREs to increase the thromboembolic risk remain to be defined. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to identify the thromboembolic risk associated with various AHRE thresholds. Methods and Results We searched PubMed and Scopus until January 9, 2020, for literature reporting AHRE duration and thromboembolic risk in patients with implantable electronic devices. The outcome assessed was stroke or systemic embolism. Risk estimates were reported as hazard ratio (HR) or relative risk alongside 95% CIs. We used the Paule-Mandel estimator, and heterogeneity was calculated with I 2 index. Among 27 studies including 61 919 patients, 23 studies reported rates according to the duration of the longest AHRE and 4 studies reported rates according to the cumulative day-level AHRE duration. In patients with cardiac implantable devices, AHREs lasting ≥30 seconds significantly increased the risk of stroke or systemic embolism (HR, 4.41; 95% CI, 2.32-8.39; I 2 , 5.5%), which remained consistent for the thresholds of 5 minutes and 6 and 24 hours. Patients with previous stroke or transient ischemic attack and AHREs lasting ≥2 minutes had a marginally increased risk of recurrent stroke or transient ischemic attack. The risk of stroke or systemic embolism was higher in patients with cumulative AHRE ≥24 hours compared with those of shorter duration or no AHRE (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.04-1.52; I 2 , 0%). Conclusions This systematic review and meta-analysis suggests that single AHRE episodes ≥30 seconds and cumulative AHRE duration ≥24 hours are associated with increased risk of stroke or systemic embolism.