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Tradeoffs between intra and interspecific distances of individual plants determine the spatial distributions of local plant communities and small‐scale community assembly. Here we use an individual based approach and null model standardization to compare intra‐ and interspecific nearest neighbour distances of plant ramets as well as mean differences in functional trait expression to nearest heterospecifics within local communities of temperate forest understorey plants in northern Poland. We found a general tendency towards clustered intraspecific and segregated interspecific ramet distributions. Spatial distribution patterns of understorey plants differed considerably between two nearby forest sites that mainly differed in the age structure of trees. Individuals of clonal species tended to have significantly smaller intraspecific and larger interspecific nearest neighbour distances than seed dispersing species. Our results indicate a major influence of dominant plant species on the spatial distributions of subdominants. Trait expressions related to plant growth (specific leaf area and leaf mass) and reproduction (seed mass) were significantly segregated in comparison to the spatial distribution of conspecific individuals and less so in comparison to heterospecific individuals. We argue that spatially explicit analyses of plant community assembly need to consider respective distributions of important traits and that the tradeoffs of contrasting trait distributions trigger small scale plant community composition and species distributions. We present a general framework for the analysis of plant community assembly based on the spatial distributions of individual plants and functional traits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Robinia pseudoacacia is one of the most frequent non‐native species in Europe. It is a fast‐growing tree of high economic and cultural importance. On the other hand, it is an invasive species, causing changes in soil chemistry and light regime, and consequently altering the plant communities. Previously published models developed for the potential distribution of R. pseudoacacia concerned 2070, and were based mainly on data from Western and Central Europe; here we extended these findings and included additional data from Eastern Europe. To fill the gap in current knowledge of R. pseudoacacia distribution and improve the reliability of forecasts, we aimed to (i) determine the extent to which the outcome of range modeling will be affected by complementing R. pseudoacacia occurrence data with sites from Central, Southeastern, and Eastern Europe, (ii) identify and quantify the changes in the availability of climate niches for 2050 and 2070, and discuss their impacts on forest management and nature conservation. We showed that the majority of the range changes expected in 2070 will occur as early as 2050. In comparison to previous studies, we demonstrated a greater eastward shift of potential niches of this species and a greater decline of potential niches in Southern Europe. Consequently, future climatic conditions will likely favor the occurrence of R. pseudoacacia in Central and Northeastern Europe where this species is still absent or relatively rare. There, controlling the spread of R. pseudoacacia will require monitoring sources of invasion in the landscape and reducing the occurrence of this species. The expected effects of climate change will likely be observed 20 years earlier than previously forecasted. Hence we highlighted the urgent need for acceleration of policies aimed at climate change mitigation in Europe. Also, our results showed the need for using more complete distribution data to analyze potential niche models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ABSTRACT Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations affect climate directly through radiative effects and indirectly by changing plant water-use efficiency. Under global warming scenarios these widely reported changes will have a substantial impact on future bush encroachment, crop yields, river flow and climate feedbacks. Tree-ring intrinsic water-use efficiency (iWUE) records for Africa show a 24.6% increase over the 20th century. As high iWUE can partly counterbalance projected decreases in regional precipitation, this research has important implications for those involved in water resource management and highlights the need for climate models to take physiological forcing into account. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent studies have highlighted the importance of higher‐order competitive interactions in stabilizing population dynamics in multi‐species communities. But how does the structure of competitive hierarchies affect population dynamics and extinction processes? We tackled this important question by using spatially explicit simulations of ecological drift (10 species in a homogeneous landscape of 64 patches) in which birth rates were influenced by interspecific competition. Specifically, we examined how transitive (linear pecking orders) and intransitive (pecking orders with loops) competitive hierarchies affected extinction rates and population dynamics in simulated communities through time. In comparison to a pure neutral model, an ecological drift model including transitive competition increased extinction rates, caused synchronous density‐dependent population fluctuations, and generated a white‐noise distribution of population sizes. In contrast, the drift model with intransitive competitive interactions decreased extinctions rates, caused asynchronous (compensatory) density‐dependent population fluctuations, and generated a brown noise distribution of population sizes. We also explored the effect on community stability of more complex patterns of competitive interactions in which pairwise competitive relationships were assigned probabilistically. These probabilistic competition models also generated density‐dependent trajectories and a brown noise distribution of population sizes. However, extinction rates and the degree of population synchrony were comparable to those observed in purely neutral communities. Collectively, our results confirm that intransitive competition has a strong and stabilizing effect on local populations in species‐poor communities. This effect wanes with increasing species richness. Empirical assemblages characterized by brown spectral noise, density‐dependent regulation, and asynchronous (compensatory) population fluctuations may indicate a signature of intransitive competitive interactions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]