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Quantitative adverse outcome pathways (qAOPs) describe the response–response relationships that link the magnitude and/or duration of chemical interaction with a specific molecular target to the probability and/or severity of the resulting apical‐level toxicity of regulatory relevance. The present study developed the first qAOP for latent toxicities showing that early life exposure adversely affects health at adulthood. Specifically, a qAOP for embryonic activation of the aryl hydrocarbon receptor 2 (AHR2) of fishes by polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) leading to decreased fecundity of females at adulthood was developed by building on existing qAOPs for (1) activation of the AHR leading to early life mortality in birds and fishes, and (2) inhibition of cytochrome P450 aromatase activity leading to decreased fecundity in fishes. Using zebrafish (Danio rerio) as a model species and benzo[a]pyrene as a model PAH, three linked quantitative relationships were developed: (1) plasma estrogen in adult females as a function of embryonic exposure, (2) plasma vitellogenin in adult females as a function of plasma estrogen, and (3) fecundity of adult females as a function of plasma vitellogenin. A fourth quantitative relationship was developed for early life mortality as a function of sensitivity to activation of the AHR2 in a standardized in vitro AHR transactivation assay to integrate toxic equivalence calculations that would allow prediction of effects of exposure to untested PAHs. The accuracy of the predictions from the resulting qAOP were evaluated using experimental data from zebrafish exposed as embryos to another PAH, benzo[k]fluoranthene. The qAOP developed in the present study demonstrates the potential of the AOP framework in enabling consideration of latent toxicities in quantitative ecological risk assessments and regulatory decision‐making. Environ Toxicol Chem 2024;43:2145–2156. © 2024 SETAC [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are structurally diverse organic chemicals that can have adverse effects on the health of fishes through activation of aryl hydrocarbon receptor 2 (AhR2). They are ubiquitous in the environment, but alkyl PAHs are more abundant in some environmental matrices. However, relatively little is known regarding the effects of alkylation on the toxicity of PAHs to fishes in vivo and how this relates to potency for activation of AhR2 in vitro. Therefore, the objectives of the present study were to determine the toxicity of benz[a]anthracene and three alkylated homologs representing various alkylation positions to early life stages of zebrafish (Danio rerio) and to assess the potency of each for activation of the zebrafish AhR2 in a standardized in vitro AhR transactivation assay. Exposure of embryos to each of the PAHs caused a dose‐dependent increase in mortality and malformations characteristic of AhR2 activation. Each alkyl homolog had in vivo toxicities and in vitro AhR2 activation potencies different from those of the parent PAH in a position‐dependent manner. However, there was no statistically significant linear relationship between responses measured in these assays. The results suggest a need for further investigation into the effect of alkylation on the toxicity of PAHs to fishes and greater consideration of the contribution of alkylated homologs in ecological risk assessments. Environ Toxicol Chem 2022;41:1993–2002. © 2022 SETAC [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]