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Protracted interseismic locking of the low‐angle décollement of the Himalaya causes strain accumulation and results in growing slip deficit with time. Unlocking the frontal splay of the décollement during high‐magnitude earthquakes (Mw ≥6.5) may cause surface ruptures along the Himalayan Frontal Thrust (HFT). According to Paleoseismic investigations and observations on undeformed fluvial strath surfaces, the HFT in Nahan Salient has not experienced coseismic slip at least for the last six to seven centuries. Our new observations and chronological assessments on folded and faulted fluvial strath surfaces on the hanging wall of the HFT indicates a maximum slip rate of 10.4 ± 0.8–12.2 ± 0.8 mm/a (averaged over the last 7–8 ka). Seismic quiescence of 600–700 a results in a ~6.2–8.5 m slip deficit on the HFT which could trigger a Mw ≥7.7 earthquake. Our findings underline an enormous seismic risk prevailing in the Nahan area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Understanding millennial‐scale fault activity and related structural architecture from seismic gaps in active orogens is important for assessment of future seismic risks. Here, we present new Late Pleistocene–Holocene shortening rates across a segment of the 600‐km‐long Medlicott‐Wadia Thrust (MWT) system in the Sub‐Himalaya (SH) from the far‐western Himalayan sector of Jammu. OSL‐dated offset and folded fluvial strath terraces provide a measure for the intra‐wedge convergence and document strain partitioning within the SH, among which the MWT is the most active. Estimated differential uplift rates across the frontal and rear splay of the MWT is 3.2 ± 0.8 mm/a and 3.1 ± 0.4 which translates into a cumulative Late Pleistocene–Holocene shortening rate of 5.5 ± 0.5–5.8 ± 0.5 mm/a on the MWT. Previously published balanced cross‐sections proposed deformation pattern and in range of ~1 mm/a. Our study reaffirms deformation rates from neighbouring MWT fault segments; moreover, it provides independent constraints to the structural architecture of the frontal fold‐and‐thrust belt and implies changes in fault displacement rates on Quaternary time‐scales. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The southernmost thrust of the Himalayan orogenic wedge that separates the foreland from the orogen, the Main Frontal Thrust, is thought to accommodate most of the ongoing crustal shortening in the Sub-Himalaya. Steepened longitudinal river profile segments, terrace offsets, and back-tilted fluvial terraces within the Kangra reentrant of the NW Sub-Himalaya suggest Holocene activity of the Jwalamukhi Thrust (JMT) and other thrust faults that may be associated with strain partitioning along the toe of the Himalayan wedge. To assess the shortening accommodated by the JMT, we combine morphometric terrain analyses with in situ 10Be-based surface-exposure dating of the deformed terraces. Incision into upper Pleistocene sediments within the Kangra Basin created two late Pleistocene terrace levels (T1 and T2). Subsequent early Holocene aggradation shortly before ~10 ka was followed by episodic reincision, which created four cut-and-fill terrace levels, the oldest of which (T3) was formed at 10.1 ± 0.9 ka. A vertical offset of 44 ± 5 m of terrace T3 across the JMT indicates a shortening rate of 5.6 ± 0.8 to 7.5 ± 1.1 mm a−1 over the last ~10 ka. This result suggests that thrusting along the JMT accommodates 40-60% of the total Sub-Himalayan shortening in the Kangra reentrant over the Holocene. We speculate that this out-of-sequence shortening may have been triggered or at least enhanced by late Pleistocene and Holocene erosion of sediments from the Kangra Basin. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]