1. The Effect of Past Saturation Changes on Noble Gas Reconstructions of Mean Ocean Temperature.
- Author
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Pöppelmeier, Frerk, Baggenstos, Daniel, Grimmer, Markus, Liu, Zhijun, Schmitt, Jochen, Fischer, Hubertus, and Stocker, Thomas F.
- Subjects
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OCEAN temperature , *ICE cores , *LAST Glacial Maximum , *CLIMATE change , *EFFECT of human beings on climate change , *GLACIAL Epoch , *NOBLE gases , *KRYPTON - Abstract
The ocean's immense ability to store and release heat on centennial to millennial time scales modulates the impacts of climate perturbations. To gain a better understanding of past variations in mean ocean temperature (MOT), a noble gas‐based proxy measured from ancient air in ice cores has been developed. Here we assess non‐temperature effects that may influence the atmospheric noble gas ratios reconstructed from polar ice and how they impact the temperature signal with an intermediate complexity Earth system model. We find that changes in wind speed, sea‐ice extent, and ocean circulation have partially compensating effects on mean‐ocean noble gas saturation, leading to a slight reduction of noble gas undersaturation at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Taking these effects and ice core measurements into account, our model suggests a revised MOT difference between the LGM and pre‐industrial of −2.1 ± 0.7°C that is also in improved agreement with other independent temperature reconstructions. Plain Language Summary: Most of the heat added to the climate system by anthropogenic climate change is taken up by the oceans. To better understand how the ocean responds to climate change over hundreds to thousands of years, an indirect measure for the mean ocean temperature (MOT) based on the temperature‐dependent solubility of noble gases has been developed. Noble gas concentrations of the past atmosphere are archived in air bubbles in polar ice cores, which have been used to reconstruct the MOT of the past 20,000 years when Earth's climate was propelled out of the last ice age. However, uncertainties remain regarding critical parameters that are required to derive the correct MOT of the past. Here we make use of an Earth system model that explicitly simulates the noble gases and allows us to assess these parameters in detail under modern and past climate conditions. We find that changes in wind, sea‐ice, and ocean circulation all play important roles in the partitioning of noble gases between the atmosphere and ocean. By taking these effects into account our model suggests a revised best‐estimate MOT cooling of the last ice age to −2.1 ± 0.7°C, which is about 0.5°C warmer than previous estimates. Key Points: Revised implementation of noble gases in Bern3D model tuned to observations of saturation anomaliesComplex interplay between air‐sea gas exchange, overturning circulation, and noble gas saturationIncluding saturation effects noble gas‐based mean ocean temperature of the last glacial maximum is 2°C colder than the Holocene [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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